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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; EPS</title>
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		<title>Why &#8216;Best of Breed&#8217; Investing Is No Passing Fad</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/why-best-of-breed-investing-is-no-passing-fad/19673</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/why-best-of-breed-investing-is-no-passing-fad/19673#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 04 Aug 2009 22:30:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andrew Gordon</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andrew Gordon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Asian Economic Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Credit Bubble]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dividend Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Earnings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EPS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hedge Fund]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Housing Bubble]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National Debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stagflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stocks]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p>If you want to do well in today’s market, ignore this rally. Pay all your attention instead to the only class of companies you need to know about. I call these companies the “best of breed.”  They’re probably the least-talked about companies in the market. Many investors are missing the boat. And that’s a shame.</p>
<p>This has been a tough quarter for companies. Compared to last year’s second quarter, profit is down roughly 31 percent and revenue is down even more. Wall Street thought it was going to be even worse. So in one of the worst quarters ever, the market has rallied.</p>
<p>Investors learn all the wrong lessons from a rally like this. Nothing about it makes sense. The smallest companies&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If you want to do well in today’s market, ignore this rally. Pay all your attention instead to the only class of companies you need to know about. I call these companies the “best of breed.”  They’re probably the least-talked about companies in the market. Many investors are missing the boat. And that’s a shame.</p>
<p>This has been a tough quarter for companies. Compared to last year’s second quarter, profit is down roughly 31 percent and revenue is down even more. Wall Street thought it was going to be even worse. So in one of the worst quarters ever, the market has rallied.</p>
<p>Investors learn all the wrong lessons from a rally like this. Nothing about it makes sense. The smallest companies are outgunning the biggest one. The most heavily shorted stocks are doing better than the least shorted stocks. The companies with the worst analyst ratings are outshining the ones with the best ratings. Everything about this rally is backwards.</p>
<p>Over the past 37 years – from 1972 to 2009 – these “best of breed” companies have made shareholders 2.3 times more money than the stock market as a whole. For every $100 you made from the stock market, you would have made $230 from these “best of breed” companies.</p>
<p>That’s not just slightly outperforming the market. That’s lapping the market and then some. And it’s even more impressive when you take into account everything this period covered. It’s been an eventful 37 years of embargoes, stagflation, a savings &amp; loan crisis, an Asian economic crisis, a Russian national debt default, a near collapse of the Mexican peso, 9/11, two gulf wars, the bankruptcy of the Long-Term Capital Management hedge fund, the dotcom rise and fall, a bursting of the housing bubble, credit bubble and spending bubble. Forgive me if I’ve left some “minor stuff” out like the fall of the “Iron Curtain” and the rise of China.</p>
<p>Through all this, these companies gave their shareholders a steady and rising stream of revenue and a return that, as I’ve said, was more than 2.3 times what the markets gave. Who wouldn’t want that?</p>
<p>Everybody would. And that’s a big problem for all those mutual funds which don’t touch these companies … and for the hyper-active Wall Street press which makes a fuss over a dozen things every day but somehow misses the biggest story of all…</p>
<p>The existence of a class of companies which know how to put ever-increasing amounts of cash into the pockets of their shareholders, year in and year out, decade in and decade out.</p>
<p>Almost as bizarre as our junk rally are dividend-paying companies that can do no wrong. The ones strong enough and confident enough to raise dividends are going up in price. And the ones that are cutting dividends? Many of them are going up too.</p>
<p>Shareholders have recently been accepting smaller checks without protest and without selling their shares. They are evidently willing to take the hit today so the company can grow profits tomorrow. It’s easier to do when investors think that some kind of recovery is around the corner. If that recovery doesn’t materialize, these shareholders will be showing much less forgiveness to dividend cutters. I don’t want to own these companies when that happens.</p>
<p>If I were an investor in any of those companies, I’d sell my shares right away. The whole point of investing in the “best of breed” companies is that you get paid no matter what.</p>
<p>Everybody is cutting costs, the strong and weak companies alike. But not all dividend companies are cutting their dividends. Just slightly more than half are these days. It pays to invest in the dividend hikers, not so with the cutters. Let other investors be forced to rely on a recovery to reverse their portfolio losses.</p>
<p>You should be and can be making money even if the economy remains weak. As long as there are “best of breed” companies still raising their dividends, there’s no reason why you should sacrifice your pay “for the good of the company.”</p>
<p>The scary thing (for us and the Fed) is that low-interest rates aren’t speeding up the recovery. People aren’t willing to borrow. And banks aren’t willing to lend. The amount of money floating around the economy is pretty stagnant. The Fed should be pretty discouraged. They have $2 trillion on their balance sheet. And all they have to show for it are some banks which should have gone under but are instead giving its employees million-dollar bonuses.</p>
<p>Dividend companies are getting a little respect again. They may even have become the “new fad” according to the UK’s Telegraph. Here’s the money quote…</p>
<p>Few professional investors are banking on a return to the super-charged capital gains we have seen from equities in the past. Rather, the new fad is for companies capable of delivering reliable sources of income. Historically, dividends have been responsible for more than half the return on equities. In the more risk-averse environment which is the new norm it may be rather more than that.</p>
<p>But why be satisfied with just a “reliable source of income” when you could get income which is both reliable and growing. Perhaps the Telegraph doesn’t realize that with “best of breed” companies, you can have your cake and eat it too. But the Telegraph isn’t the only newspaper or media outlet that doesn’t “get it.”</p>
<p>Nobody is talking about these companies providing reliable revenue to shareholders for decades (yes, I said decades) and increasing their dividends at rates of 25-40 percent every year. Yes, I said 25-40 percent every year.</p>
<p>Do the math. A company raising its cash payments to you by 25 percent every year will double the money it pays you every three years! If you’re getting $10,000 in cash every year from a company now, in six years you’ll be getting $40,000.</p>
<p>These aren’t junk bonds. They’re not risky derivatives. They don’t depend on a bull market. These payments come from some of the safest and strongest companies in the market. When companies provide rising cash payments for decades and generate plenty of cash with above average profit margins, they qualify for “best of breed” status.</p>
<p>Actually, some people out there do “get it.” One of them is Hersh Cohen. He has managed the Legg Mason Partners Appreciation fund for the past 30 years. Over these three decades, his fund has done better than the S&amp;P 500, the dividend-company benchmark index and the average return for large-capitalization stock funds. Cohen, who holds a doctorate in psychology, says he focuses on companies with “superior balance sheets and rising dividends.”</p>
<p>Cohen says his academic training helps him when the market goes to extremes. During such times he likes to go against the flow, cutting back when the market is euphoric and increasing his bets when others panic “and stuff is being given away.”</p>
<p>I’m not a fan of mutual funds. I think they’re terrible instruments, trapping investors into very narrow styles of investment long past the time when those styles made a buck. And I don’t think mutual fund managers are the sharpest tools in the investment shed. So when I see an exception, I try to point him out. Cohen is an exception.</p>
<p>If you’re interested in doubling your money every three years with very little risk, there’s only one way to do it. Invest in “best of breed” companies.</p>
<p>To your investing success,<br />
Andrew</p>
<p><a href="http://www.investorsdailyedge.com/why-best-of-breed-investing-is-no-passing-fad.html">Source: Why &#8216;Best of Breed&#8217; Investing Is No Passing Fad</a></p>
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		<title>The Most Undervalued Stock on the S&amp;P 500?</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/the-most-undervalued-stock-on-the-sp-500/1737</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/the-most-undervalued-stock-on-the-sp-500/1737#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 May 2008 03:18:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bryan Bottarelli</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Gold Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[aluminum]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commodity Boom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EPS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GOOG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iron]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Molybdenum]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[resources]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Small Cap Companies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[steel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steel Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TIE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[titanium]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vanadium]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/the-most-undervalued-stock-on-the-sp-500/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>When you have a market that’s in the process of hammering out a bottom (as I believe we have right now), my “best investing idea” involves carefully adding some of the very best small cap stocks to your portfolio.</p>
<p>But how do you uncover and identify the very best small cap  companies?</p>
<p>Well, the trick is to identify specific market niches that are in the very early stages of growth – and invest in the companies (if any) that are positioned to exponentially grow sales, revenues, and profits when these market sectors take flight.</p>
<p>In this spirit, here are three of the top market niches that I’ve recently identified – and the corresponding small cap stock charts that fit into each powerful category.</p>
<p><strong>Market&#8230;</strong></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When you have a market that’s in the process of hammering out a bottom (as I believe we have right now), my “best investing idea” involves carefully adding some of the very best small cap stocks to your portfolio.</p>
<p>But how do you uncover and identify the very best small cap  companies?</p>
<p>Well, the trick is to identify specific market niches that are in the very early stages of growth – and invest in the companies (if any) that are positioned to exponentially grow sales, revenues, and profits when these market sectors take flight.</p>
<p>In this spirit, here are three of the top market niches that I’ve recently identified – and the corresponding small cap stock charts that fit into each powerful category.</p>
<p><strong>Market Niche: Bullish  on Titanium</strong></p>
<p>I find it amazing that we’re in the heart of a commodity boom – not one in a hundred commodity investors realizes that titanium (not steel) will soon be viewed as <em>“The Metal  of the 21st Century.”</em> In fact, while steel stocks are blasting higher across the board, one small cap titanium stock (listed below) could be one of the best investing opportunity you see all year.</p>
<p>Here’s the situation…</p>
<p>Discovered in 1791 and named after Titans of Greek mythology, titanium is a light, strong, and corrosion-resistant metal with a grayish color. The two most useful properties of titanium are the fact that it’s resistant to corrosion and that it has the highest strength-to-weight ratio of any metal.</p>
<p>In its unalloyed condition, for example, titanium is as strong as steel but <strong>45% lighter.</strong></p>
<p>As you can imagine, this unique combination of strength, light weight, and corrosion resistance makes titanium useful in hundreds of applications. For example, it can be alloyed with iron, aluminum, vanadium, or molybdenum to produce alloys for jet engines, missiles, spacecrafts, petro-chemicals, or desalination plants.</p>
<p>If you’ve bought a new golf club in the last 12 months, odds  are the overweight head on your driver is made of titanium.</p>
<p>And here’s the thing. When you consider the cost benefits of titanium on lifetime basis, the market is quickly discovering that no other metal is as reliable or as economical as titanium.</p>
<p>It’s categorized into the “Nonferrous Metals” group, which is defined as a metal (other than iron) such as copper, lead, zinc, nickel, and aluminum – and this is one of the specific sector niches that I’m bullish on right now.</p>
<p>The top small cap company that’ll capitalize off this  titanium bullishness is <strong>Titanium Metals  (TIE – NYSE). </strong>And in fact, TIE just might be the most undervalued stock on  the S&amp;P 500.</p>
<p>After all, if you run a screen of stocks on the S&amp;P 500 that are down over 30% in the past three months and that also carry double digit earnings growth forecasts for the next fiscal year, the one company with the most attractive readings is TIE!</p>
<p>Their 3-month percent change is -42.5%, yet their Earnings Per Share growth rate currently stands at 35.3%. No other stock, which has fallen over 31%, has earnings per share growth this high. Not even <strong>Google (GOOG – Nasdaq)!</strong></p>
<p>Therefore, you can realistically argue that TIE is the most under-valued stock on the S&amp;P 500 right now. No other company with an EPS growth rate of 35% has fallen so far, and the best part is, most investors don’t realize this fact.</p>
<p align="center"><a href="http://www1.youreletters.com/t/1476686/29544153/847576/6001/" target="_blank"><img src="http://www.taipanpublishinggroup.com/img/assets/3713/TIE042908.JPG" alt="Titanium Metals Corp (TIE:NYSE)" border="0" height="226" width="360" /></a></p>
<p>I’m currently recommending shares of TIE in my <strong>Bottarelli Research Small Cap</strong> letter,  and I advise you to pick up some shares as well.</p>
<p>Sincerely,<br />
Bryan Bottarelli<br />
Editor, Bottarelli Research Small Cap</p>
<p><strong>P.S.</strong> If you’d  like more information on <strong>Bottarelli  Research Small Cap, </strong>we invite you to review the letter below:</p>
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		<title>General Electric Earnings: The Worst is Yet to Come</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/general-electric-earnings-the-worst-is-yet-to-come/1231</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/general-electric-earnings-the-worst-is-yet-to-come/1231#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 12 Apr 2008 19:36:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andrew Snyder</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credit crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EPS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wall Street]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Today’s announcement from GE is not typical of the company.  It rarely lowers guidance and rarely misses its forecasts.  But not this time.  That is what is so scary.<br />
You do not think the credit crisis is over just like that?  A few weeks of ups and downs, some presses releases, and some rule changes and the economy is fixed.  Get real.  This mess is just getting started.</p>
<p>For proof, just take a look at one of the nation’s strongest bellwethers, General Electric.  To say its earnings announcement this morning was disappointing is an understatement.  It is a disaster.  When a company with as much economic breadth as GE takes such a surprising hit, it becomes obvious this crisis is impacting more&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Today’s announcement from GE is not typical of the company.  It rarely lowers guidance and rarely misses its forecasts.  But not this time.  That is what is so scary.<br />
You do not think the credit crisis is over just like that?  A few weeks of ups and downs, some presses releases, and some rule changes and the economy is fixed.  Get real.  This mess is just getting started.</p>
<p>For proof, just take a look at one of the nation’s strongest bellwethers, General Electric.  To say its earnings announcement this morning was disappointing is an understatement.  It is a disaster.  When a company with as much economic breadth as GE takes such a surprising hit, it becomes obvious this crisis is impacting more than a handful of banks with shoddy loan practices.</p>
<p><strong>Some bogeys on the radar</strong></p>
<p>Today’s announcement from GE is not typical of the company.  It rarely lowers guidance and rarely misses its forecasts.  But not this time.  That is what is so scary. Analysts were expecting earnings per share (EPS) of 51 cents.  The company surprised them with a report of just 43 cents.</p>
<p>And to prove to the Street that this is not a short-term problem, the super-conglomerate lowered its yearly guidance to a range of $2.20 to $2.30.  Analysts were anticipating full-year EPS of $2.43.  You can bet they already had plans of an economic slowdown priced into that forecast, which makes today’s news even more unnerving.</p>
<p>For some reason, the boys of Wall Street have had blinders on for the past two months.  They are just now realizing there is some sort of “pattern” developing amongst the nation’s corporations.</p>
<p>I thought it was obvious.  Nearly every company in the nation is having a rough time.  As more first-quarter earnings reports hit the wire, the news of widespread problems is only going to get more damaging.</p>
<p><strong>There she blows, capt’n</strong></p>
<p>Over the last two weeks, Wall Street has been calm and collected.  I would use the tired analogy of being in the eye of the hurricane, but we are far from halfway through this storm.  The market is merely inhaling as it gathers enough breath to blow earnings forecasts away.  If you haven’t already, I would start boarding up your windows.</p>
<p>Fortunately, the activity over the last few weeks has created some good opportunities to flee towards safety.  Unless you don’t need it for at least a year or two, get your money out of speculative positions and find safety.  Right now, you can find safety hiding in the equities markets in sectors like biotechnology and emerging markets.  If you need your money soon, cash is king.</p>
<p>We cannot forget Wall Street is often very shortsighted.  It is a club of good ole boys.  And right now, one of the leaders is hurting.  GE’s pain is going to cause the herd to panic. Do not stand in their way.</p>
<p>Go around then and take advantage of what they leave in their wake. The “fertilizer” a spooked herd leaves behind can help things blossom into a real profit opportunity.</p>
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