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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; factory orders</title>
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		<title>Stock Market Gyrates as Reports Show Economy Deep in Recession</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/stock-market-gyrates-as-reports-show-economy-deep-in-recession/10964</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/stock-market-gyrates-as-reports-show-economy-deep-in-recession/10964#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Jan 2009 13:58:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Don Miller</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Don Miller]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[factory orders]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Resales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LEN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Manufacturing Sector]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US recession]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=10964</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The stock market struggled to recover from a tumultuous 2008 yesterday (Tuesday) while digesting a trio of downbeat economic reports from the manufacturing, housing and service sectors. </p>
<p>The  reports included separate data on factory orders and pending home sales for  November, as well as the <a href="http://www.ism.ws/" target="_blank">Institute of Supply  Management</a> report on the non-manufacturing index for December &#8211; giving  investors fresh insight into the depth of the current recession.</p>
<p>Despite the overall negative tone  of the reports, some analysts maintain the worst may be over.</p>
<p>“While the economic headlines  remain grim, stocks are holding higher in quiet trading because <a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/US-stocks-begin-higher-crudes/story.aspx?guid=%7b931E07CC-7817-4D41-B5EE-F5B3A5A3829D%7d" target="_blank">a  lot of the bad news was already discounted when the stock market crashed in  2008</a>,” Frederic Ruffy, options strategist, at WhatsTrading.com told <strong><em>MarketWatch</em></strong>.</p>
<p><strong>Factory Orders&#8230;</strong></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The stock market struggled to recover from a tumultuous 2008 yesterday (Tuesday) while digesting a trio of downbeat economic reports from the manufacturing, housing and service sectors. </p>
<p>The  reports included separate data on factory orders and pending home sales for  November, as well as the <a href="http://www.ism.ws/" target="_blank">Institute of Supply  Management</a> report on the non-manufacturing index for December &#8211; giving  investors fresh insight into the depth of the current recession.</p>
<p>Despite the overall negative tone  of the reports, some analysts maintain the worst may be over.</p>
<p>“While the economic headlines  remain grim, stocks are holding higher in quiet trading because <a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/US-stocks-begin-higher-crudes/story.aspx?guid=%7b931E07CC-7817-4D41-B5EE-F5B3A5A3829D%7d" target="_blank">a  lot of the bad news was already discounted when the stock market crashed in  2008</a>,” Frederic Ruffy, options strategist, at WhatsTrading.com told <strong><em>MarketWatch</em></strong>.</p>
<p><strong>Factory Orders Fall Biggest Since 1992</strong></p>
<p>Data from the manufacturing sector confirmed that the recession accelerated in November. Orders placed with U.S. factories fell twice as much as forecast, signaling businesses are cutting back on investments, <strong><em>Bloomberg </em></strong>reported.</p>
<p>Factory demand fell 4.6% after a revised 6% decrease in October that was more than previously reported, the Commerce Department said yesterday (Tuesday) in Washington. The back-to-back decline was the biggest since records began in 1992.</p>
<p>“<a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=asv7dBL9meiw&amp;refer=home" target="_blank">Consumer-durable  spending is way down as credit is more difficult to get</a>,” Douglas Smith,  chief economist for the Americas at Standard Chartered Bank in New York, said  in an interview with <strong><em>Bloomberg Television</em></strong>. “With weakness  overseas, you’re also seeing fewer orders for U.S. manufactured goods.”</p>
<p><strong>Tight Credit Hammers Home Resales </strong></p>
<p>A key housing indicator added to the economic malaise as pending home re-sales fell 4% to 82.3 in November, the lowest level since the index began in 2001. The index was down from a revised 85.7 in October, the <a href="http://www.realtor.org/" target="_blank">National Association of Realtors</a> said.</p>
<p>The latest drop supports most analysts’ views that further softening could be in store for the U.S. housing market as credit markets continue to seize up and unemployment skyrockets.</p>
<p>“<a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&amp;sid=acxj.i6VJoJ4" target="_blank">The  housing stress just doesn’t end</a>,” Ethan Harris, co-head of U.S. economic  research at Barclays Capital Inc. in New York, told <strong><em>Bloomberg</em></strong>. Economists had  expected November pending sales to fall 1% after an originally reported drop of  0.7% in the prior month.</p>
<p>Meanwhile homebuilders are hanging on by a thread.  Lennar Corp. (<a href="file:///%5C%5Cagora%5C..%5CLocal%20Settings%5CTemporary%20Internet%20Files%5COLKBA%5Cfinance.google.com%5Cfinance%3fq=NYSE:LEN" target="_blank">LEN</a>),  a U.S. home building company with operations in 14 states, reported its seventh  straight quarterly loss on Dec. 18.</p>
<p>“We’re in the midst of a downward spiral and the momentum is building,” Chief Executive Officer Stuart Miller said on a conference call with analysts.</p>
<p><strong>Service Sector Gives Hope</strong></p>
<p>Meanwhile, the service sector provided the market with a glimmer of hope as the non-manufacturing index contracted in December at a slower rate than had been feared.</p>
<p>The ISM  service sector index rose to 40.6% in December from a record low of 37.3% in  November. Economists polled by <strong><em>MarketWatch</em></strong> had projected a figure of 37% for December. Still, a reading below 50% indicates that more firms are contracting than expanding.</p>
<p>In December, only one industry reported growth: Retail trade. Among the 17 industries reporting contractions: Wholesale trade; professional, scientific and technical services; and transportation and warehousing.</p>
<p>But surveyed managers said they were still worried about a falloff in their business, budget cuts and jobs. As global demand slows and access to credit continues to tighten, companies are likely to further curtail spending.</p>
<p>The U.S. economy contracted at a 0.5% annual rate in the third quarter, the Commerce Department said Dec. 23. The economy probably shrank at a 4.3% annual rate in the last three months of 2008, the biggest contraction since 1982, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed last month by <strong><em>Bloomberg</em></strong>.</p>
<p>The barrage of negative data may put pressure on  Congress to move quickly on President-elect Barack Obama’s <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2009/01/06/obama-stimulus-plan/" target="_blank">economic  stimulus plan</a>. Obama has proposed an economic stimulus package costing as much as $850 billion, with emphasis on infrastructure projects and tax cuts. The incoming administration hopes the package will provide a boost to consumer spending and stabilize the economy.</p>
<p>Source: <a class="titleref" rel="bookmark" href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2009/01/06/stock-market/">Stock Market Gyrates as Reports Show Economy Deep in Recession</a></p>
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