The cure is not more regulation – in fact, the current rules are a big reason why we’re in this dire situation.

Almost a year ago, an accounting rule known as FAS 157 went into effect. This rule has been called the “fair-value rule,” but it’s not working that way. FAS 157 is forcing companies to write off tens of billions of dollars in debt-related investments.

That’s because of FAS 157’s requirement of a “mark-to-market” valuation on these investments each quarter. Mark-to-market essentially means the value of these investments if they had to be sold immediately. Current uncertainties and liquidity issues have chased away just about all of the buyers for many of these investments, so the markets are distorted. When there are no buyers, under FAS 157 the value has to be marked down, sometimes to zero. This is the case even for securities that could be sold in the future at face value once they reach maturity.

Overlaying FAS 157 with the demands of Sarbanes-Oxley creates a recipe for continuous quarterly writedowns until all value is gone. New York has lost its status as the world’s financial capital since Sarbanes-Oxley was enacted, and the harsh requirements of FAS 157 may accelerate that trend.

This is not a blind defense of the companies that have invested heavily in derivatives that Warren Buffett called “financial weapons of mass destruction” in 2002. In the next six years, these financial WMDs grew by 500 percent to more than $500 trillion. The sheer size of these derivatives has greatly increased the risks of catastrophe, and the danger is further elevated because of FAS 157 and Sarbanes-Oxley.

Source: U.S. Global Investors

Because global financial markets are woven in a complex web, turmoil in one sector is felt elsewhere. Some wounded financial companies are desperately selling healthy stocks to raise capital to stay afloat, and this heavy selling pressure is forcing down the price of these stocks. The same is being done by leveraged hedge funds that have been hurt by their investments in financial stocks – they need to raise money for shareholders who want out of their fund, so they are selling good stocks to get cash.

This talk of new regulation reminds me of one good rule that got away. The SEC eliminated the “uptick rule” for short-selling stocks last year, and this has facilitated a rise in illegal “naked shorting” that has hurt financial companies and impaired their ability to refinance.

The New York Times had an interesting op-ed article on this subject on Sept. 14 titled “Too Few Regulations? No, Just Ineffective Ones” by Tyler Cowen, an economics professor at George Mason University.

One of Cowen’s best observations was “financial regulation has produced a lot of laws and a lot of spending but poor priorities and little success in using the most important laws to head off a disaster. The pattern is reminiscent of how legislators often seem more interested in building new highways – which are highly visible projects – than in maintaining old ones.”

He also pointed out that 70,000 new pages of federal regulations in a single year is not an uncommon feat, and that the inflation-adjusted spending by the federal agencies regulating banking and finance has gone up more than 40 percent since 1990.

New rules are what Washington knows how to do best – it’s how legislators measure their worth. And while there are times when new regulations make sense, this isn’t one of those times.

Hearing the solutions offered by McCain and Biden today reduces my confidence that either the Democrats or the Republicans have the knowledge or the imagination to take on the biggest economic crisis in America since the 1930s.

Source: Obama and McCain Don’t Understand Markets

Nickel followed a similar pattern, poking above $13 in the late morning and holding there, to close at $13.0408/lb., up 22 2/3 cents. Zinc clawed its way back over the $1 mark, ending at $1.01/lb., up more than a penny and a half. Aluminum was a modest gainer, adding a penny, to $1.3706/lb., while lead pushed steadily upward to its intraday high of $1.289/lb., up 2½ cents.

Copper rebounded strongly after three days in the red, as supply worries trumped demand fears, at least for the time being.

On the demand side, traders had been hoping that China would pick up any slack from the worsening U.S. economy. However, some of that optimism was dampened as the price differential between copper traded on the LME, as opposed to the Shanghai Futures Exchange, suggests that Chinese demand may be softening.

“The market realized that Chinese consumers are not buying copper at the elevated levels, and that the spread between copper in Shanghai and at the LME widened to around $938 (per tonne) last week,” said Peter Fertig of Dresdner Kleinwort.

Nevertheless, the Chilean situation is not getting any better. All but one of state-owned Codelco’s mines are now closed, as El Tienente joined the Andina and Salvador operations in shutting down, after an employee was injured in violence there. That left Norte, Codelco’s biggest division, as the only one running.

“The prospect of spreading Chilean strikes, across both worker classes and facilities, will keep the markets on edge until they are fully resolved,” wrote Edward Meir.

And Frank Holmes, CEO of the highly successful U.S. Global Investors funds, is unabashedly bullish.

“The demand side for copper is going to be very strong,” boosted by usage in China and other emerging markets, Holmes said. “We could see $8 a pound for copper,” he predicted.

In company news, diversified Canadian miner Teck Cominco is expecting business to continue to boom. Teck CEO Don Lindsay says he expects no demand falloff, and that, “There’s more than a reasonable chance that …our copper and coal businesses alone will generate record earnings…so the next 12 months look pretty good.”

According to the site, “gold for June delivery tumbled $41.80, or 4.5%, to $879.70 an ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Other metals futures were also sharply lower, with platinum selling off 7%.”

Read on at MarketWatch.com

The greenback has climbed higher against the euro today on fears that the economic woes in the US will go global.

Despite today’s sell-off, commodities expert Frank Holmes expects copper – which has gained 400% in the past five years and now sells for $3.75 per pound – to hit $8 to $10 in the coming years.

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