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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; Fuel Cost</title>
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		<title>American Airlines: Has AMR Stock Reached Rock Bottom?</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/american-airlines-has-amr-stock-reached-rock-bottom/1151</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/american-airlines-has-amr-stock-reached-rock-bottom/1151#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Apr 2008 20:52:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>J. Christoph Amberger</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Airline Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[American Airlines]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AMR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FAA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fuel Cost]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gas prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US stocks]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p>American Airlines (<a href="http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=amr&#38;sid=0&#38;o_symb=amr&#38;x=0&#38;y=0" title="american airlines amr stock chart" onclick="javascript:pageTracker._trackPageview ('/outbound/bigcharts.marketwatch.com');">AMR</a>:NYSE) canceled an additional 933 flights today to catch up on inspections and to repair questionable electrical wiring in hundreds of jets. This marks the third day of mass groundings.</p>
<p>The nation’s largest airline has now canceled a total of more than 2,400 flights since Tuesday, after FAA regulators implied that nearly half its airplane fleet could violate a safety regulations.</p>
<p>Shares of AMR stock fell more than 11% on Wednesday, recovering over 6% in morning trading on Thursday.</p>
<p>The fallout of the outages for AMR’s second-quarter financials should be even greater. In times of high fuel cost, airlines must cram each plane as full with passengers as they can, scrapping under-booked flights. Assuming just 100 passengers on each of the&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>American Airlines (<a href="http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/quickchart/quickchart.asp?symb=amr&amp;sid=0&amp;o_symb=amr&amp;x=0&amp;y=0" title="american airlines amr stock chart" onclick="javascript:pageTracker._trackPageview ('/outbound/bigcharts.marketwatch.com');">AMR</a>:NYSE) canceled an additional 933 flights today to catch up on inspections and to repair questionable electrical wiring in hundreds of jets. This marks the third day of mass groundings.<span id="more-1151"></span></p>
<p>The nation’s largest airline has now canceled a total of more than 2,400 flights since Tuesday, after FAA regulators implied that nearly half its airplane fleet could violate a safety regulations.</p>
<p>Shares of AMR stock fell more than 11% on Wednesday, recovering over 6% in morning trading on Thursday.</p>
<p>The fallout of the outages for AMR’s second-quarter financials should be even greater. In times of high fuel cost, airlines must cram each plane as full with passengers as they can, scrapping under-booked flights. Assuming just 100 passengers on each of the 2,400 canceled flights, over 240,000 people, each spending just $100 per flight, gross revenues would take a hit of a minimum $24 million — not counting vouchers for meals and accommodations.</p>
<p>With a price-earninge ration of just 5.47, AMR would now qualify as a “value stock” to those cherishing arbitrary numbers fetishes as salutary indicators of a stock’s inherent value. Indeed, given today’s impressing rebound in the face of more bad news (and medium-term fall-out), there seem to be plenty of traders who consider the recent low of $8.10 a bargain for a company that hit $34 just a year ago.</p>
<p>But given the outlook for U.S. consumer spending (especially on travel) and soaring gas prices, I believe the airline industry as a whole will dive-bomb into a sea of red ink by summer. (I said this much in the <strong>upcoming TFN 60-Second Buzz</strong>… which I taped before the AMR troubles hit.)</p>
<p>Unless you’re shorting the stock awaiting further bad news, I’d not put a dime into airline stocks just yet. No matter how cheap, you can always lose another 90% of principal…</p>
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