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		<title>Credit Addicts Turn to the Most Expensive Source</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/credit-addicts-turn-to-the-most-expensive-source/1421</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/credit-addicts-turn-to-the-most-expensive-source/1421#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 19 Apr 2008 17:33:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Porter Stansberry</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[International Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[china]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Credit Card Debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[energy prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Equifax]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FNM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Food Prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gas tax break]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LEN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil Prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil Sector]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reit]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/credit-addicts-turn-to-the-most-expensive-source/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Looking at the credit data, it seems people have begun to stop paying their bills in order, from most expensive to least. Houses came first – that&#8217;s the most expensive bill. Autos came second.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"> The largest independent auto-finance company lost $300 million last year on its $25 billion auto loan portfolio as defaults rose higher than 7%. What will be next? Credit cards.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Even though interest rates on credit-card debt are sky high, the minimum payments are small, which is allowing people to keep borrowing. At least for now.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Equifax (a leading credit bureau) reports total credit-card balances increased 8.1% in the first quarter of this year – more than double the previous average rate of growth. Naturally, the steepest increases in credit-card&#8230;</font></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Looking at the credit data, it seems people have begun to stop paying their bills in order, from most expensive to least. Houses came first – that&#8217;s the most expensive bill. Autos came second.</font><span id="more-1421"></span></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"> The largest independent auto-finance company lost $300 million last year on its $25 billion auto loan portfolio as defaults rose higher than 7%. What will be next? Credit cards.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Even though interest rates on credit-card debt are sky high, the minimum payments are small, which is allowing people to keep borrowing. At least for now.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Equifax (a leading credit bureau) reports total credit-card balances increased 8.1% in the first quarter of this year – more than double the previous average rate of growth. Naturally, the steepest increases in credit-card borrowing occurred in the same states where the mortgage crisis is the worst. Credit-card balances rose nearly 15% in the first quarter in California and Florida and more than 20% in Nevada.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Like drug addicts, consumers cannot survive without more and more credit, and they&#8217;re now turning to the most expensive and unreliable source. They will soon hit bottom.</font></p>
<p><font size="2"><font size="2"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><img src="http://stansberryresearch.com/secure/images/icon.gif" height="14" width="14" /></font></font></font><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"> In the latest issue of my newsletter, <em>PSIA</em>, I tell my subscribers how to profit from the coming collapse of U.S. credit-card debt, which now stands at $1 trillion. If you never read another issue of my letter, make sure you read this one. <a href="http://www1.youreletters.com/t/1470158/30018050/846710/0/" target="_blank">Click  here</a> to learn about a risk-free subscription.</font></p>
<p><font size="2"><font size="2"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><img src="http://stansberryresearch.com/secure/images/icon.gif" height="14" width="14" /></font></font></font><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"> Interested in trend following? Ed Seykota, the system-trading pioneer, composed a bluegrass song outlining the basics of his strategy. Check out <em>The  Whipsaw Song</em> <a href="http://youtube.com/watch?v=LiE1VgWdcQM" target="_blank">here</a>.</font></p>
<p><font size="2"><font size="2"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><img src="http://stansberryresearch.com/secure/images/icon.gif" height="14" width="14" /></font></font></font><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"> Oil prices hit an intraday record above $115 a barrel this week, and Jeff Clark is perfectly positioned to profit from the move. In <em><a href="http://www.stansberryonline.com/PRO/0709BTRCODSP/WBTRH902/200709BTR-COD-SP.html"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Advanced Income</a></em>, Jeff found the one undervalued oil sector: refiners. While every other oil stock is trading at all-time highs, refiners are at 10-year lows. </font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Jeff created a trade to profit from the turnaround in refiners, and it pays you 8% up front. He noticed a similar trend last month, and that trade is already up 18%. To learn more about <em>Advanced Income</em> and receive Jeff&#8217;s latest  recommendation, <a href="http://www1.youreletters.com/t/1470158/30018050/846711/0/" target="_blank">click here</a>. </font></p>
<p><font size="2"><font size="2"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><img src="http://stansberryresearch.com/secure/images/icon.gif" height="14" width="14" /></font></font></font><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"> Energy costs rose 2.9% last month, while food prices rose 1.2%. The Fed cuts interest rates 100 basis points and injects more than $100 billion to prop up the liars and cheats on Wall Street, and I&#8217;m paying $5 for a box of cereal and nearly $4 for a gallon of gas. But maybe I&#8217;ll soon be paying a little less for gasoline&#8230;</font></p>
<p><font size="2"><font size="2"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><img src="http://stansberryresearch.com/secure/images/icon.gif" height="14" width="14" /></font></font></font><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"> It  says right here in the <em><a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB120830279185717737.html?mod=sphere_ts&amp;mod=sphere_wd" target="_blank"><em>Wall  Street Journal</em></a></em> Republican presidential candidate John McCain wants Congress to put a temporary halt on the 18.4-cent federal gas tax and 24.4-cent diesel tax from Memorial Day to Labor Day. </font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Tax cuts are the only true economic stimulus the government can offer. Everything else it does is merely a redistribution of seized wealth or a manipulation of the money supply. </font></p>
<p><font size="2"><font size="2"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><img src="http://stansberryresearch.com/secure/images/icon.gif" height="14" width="14" /></font></font></font><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"> China&#8217;s sovereign wealth fund recently invested $2 billion in oil major BP. A Chinese investment could soon become the ultimate contrary indicator&#8230; </font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">In the past year, Chinese government-controlled entities invested $5 billion in Morgan Stanley, bought 9.9% of Bear Stearns (at around $150 per share), and invested $3 billion in Blackstone Group at the top in private equity.</font></p>
<p><font size="2"><font size="2"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><img src="http://stansberryresearch.com/secure/images/icon.gif" height="14" width="14" /> </font></font></font><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Our  favorite commodities bull, <a href="http://www.dailywealth.com/archive/2006/jun/2006_jun_24.asp" target="_blank">Jim Rogers</a>,  had a front-page <em>Barron&#8217;s</em> interview recently. Rogers told the same story (long agriculture/China, short banks), but gave some specific stocks this time. </font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">He&#8217;s still short investment banks through the Amex Securities Broker/Dealer Index (XBD). He&#8217;s short Citigroup (C) and Fannie Mae (FNM). He&#8217;s also short some U.S. homebuilders, including Lennar (LEN). Meanwhile, he&#8217;s a big fan of international airlines like Lufthansa, Austrian Airlines, and Japan Airlines. He&#8217;s bullish on the renminbi, and his only exposure to emerging markets is through China and <a href="http://www.dailywealth.com/archive/2007/sep/2007_sep_26.asp" target="_blank">Taiwan</a>.</font></p>
<p><font size="2"><font size="2"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><img src="http://stansberryresearch.com/secure/images/icon.gif" height="14" width="14" /></font></font></font> <font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">If foreign stocks aren&#8217;t your thing, maybe you should check out our <em>Monthly Dividend Program</em>. Goldsmith compiled a portfolio of 10 stocks paying monthly dividends, and the portfolio is up 5% in a month. </font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Readers have already made 9% on an oil stock that yields more than 13%. They&#8217;ve also pocketed 9% on a hotel REIT yielding close to 7%. And that&#8217;s just capital gains. There are still 120 dividend checks on the way. To receive Goldsmith&#8217;s report, which shows you exactly how to pick the best monthly dividend payers and gives you our 10 favorite, <a href="http://www1.youreletters.com/t/1470158/30018050/846712/0/" target="_blank">click here</a>&#8230;</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Regards,</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Porter  Stansberry and Dan Ferris</font></p>
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