But there are currencies that have actually been falling against the green back. My guest today is Sovereign Society’s currency expert and editor of the Money Trader, Jack Crooks.

The dollar has plummeted in Europe and Japan. But it has actually gone up in many countries, such as South Africa, Indonesia, Iceland, South Korea, Argentina. What is the reason for the decline in these currencies?

Jack Crooks: You’d think by reading the news that the dollar has fallen against everybody, but the lowly green back has appreciated against some of those countries. The reasons vary. Iceland is a financial crisis and I think South Africa has a political problem. So you have different reasons for these falls against the dollar in these countries. And you have to get beneath the surface to see.

It goes to show that currencies aren’t always a one-way bets. No matter how bad a currency may look, it may be appreciating against something else.

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Ben Bernanke is just DAYS away from unwinding the world’s biggest bet – and his actions could spin markets into a “deflationary, global collapse.” To learn his dirty little secret – and grab potential gains of 319% or MORE, read Jack Crooks’ latest report.
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Laura Cadden: I was especially surprised to see the South African rand dropping 26 percent against the dollar in two years. Yet they’re one of the major gold producers of the world. How do you explain this situation?

Jack Crooks: That’s an odd one, especially if you look at the price of gold, as you said. It almost runs completely inverse to the dollar. If gold goes up, the dollar goes down. So you sure would expect the South African rand to go up as. But I think that’s a real political problem there:

The South African government really is shifting more from capitalism to a very socialist economy. They’re having power outages and you’re just seeing a real breakdown in a lot of the key factors that drive an economy. The political side is scaring a lot of investors out of South Africa. And since currencies are driven by money flow, if money is moving out of South Africa, its currency is going to fall.

Laura Cadden: Let’s talk about Iceland. The krona has slumped 26 percent against the Euro this year and it’s down 40 percent since mid-July 2007. What do you think is the big factor there?

Jack Crooks: Now Iceland is a financial fix. There’s a real banking crisis going on in Iceland because Icelandic banks borrowed a lot of international money from Norway, Denmark, Sweden, the European market.

Then we had the credit crunch. Then all of a sudden they couldn’t get the funds to refinance these credit lines. It fed directly into the currency.

There’s no free lunch: A lot of small investors were putting a lot of money in the Icelandic currency because the interest rate was so high. They thought they could earn ten, 15 percent in Iceland interest rates versus three percent in the United States.

There was a reason interest rates were so high in Iceland: Because there was a lot of risk. The currency fell off the table because of that risk when it came to fruition.

Laura Cadden: Iceland hiked their rates up to 15.5% in part because they were battling inflation of 11.8 percent. Can you imagine yields of inflation like this to a U.S. investor. I mean that’s just crazy.

Do you think it’s going to continue? The krona’s going to continue to decline?

Jack Crooks: Well, recently the banks of Norway and Sweden have come in to try and open up credit lines and really save the currency to a degree. This is a real emergency for Iceland.

As you said, it’s really a double whammy. It’s not only financial, but you have that inflation problem in the background. You also have the situation where their economy is starting to slow down. It’s bad news at the moment. So we really need to see how this shakes out because if we have another bout of the credit crunch globally, it’ll continue to feed into Iceland and I think will continue to hurt the currency.

Once we get through this credit problem and if the banking system is stabilized in Iceland I do think it’s going to be a great buy.

Laura Cadden: So are there any opportunities for U.S. investors to leverage this situation for long-term gains?

Jack Crooks: As I said, I think Iceland is going to turn around because the economy ultimately is stable. They just got over-extended on this credit crisis. So I think that would be a nice long-term play, but we want to see some consolidation technically there.

In other places there are a lot of emerging opportunities. Emerging markets all present opportunities—big risk, but the reward is there if you’re willing to take it.

Source: Currency Trading Strategies for a Volatile Forex Market

It is widely regarded that such utterances, if repeated often enough, can constitute the sum total of what is still laughingly known as the nation’s “strong dollar policy.”

Over the past two generations, the American government has launched many failed campaigns. There has been the war on drugs, the war on poverty, and the continued attempts to improve education. But the “strong dollar policy” must be seen as the poster child for all failed Federal policies.

Many in the market took cheer that the policy is now being greatly expanded. In an unprecedented move, the Fed Chairman is now adding his voice to the chorus and using the same rhetoric previously used by Treasury alone. That’s two people saying the words…not just one:

A double-barrel strong dollar policy!

As the administration is so fond of saying, a nation’s currency reflects the underlying strength of its economy. In that sense it can be seen as a nation’s economic report card. In truth, a strong currency is in the interest of every nation, just as good grades are in the interest of every student.

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URGENT WARNING: American Debt Crisis Set to Implode

Ben Bernanke is just DAYS away from unwinding the world’s biggest gamble – and his actions could spin markets into a “deflationary, global collapse.” To learn his dirty little secret – and grab potential gains of 319% or MORE, read Money Trader Jack Crooks’ latest report.
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A flunking student cannot improve his grades by simply telling his parents and teachers that he has adopted a “straight A policy.” If his words are not accompanied by a change in actual behavior, his new policy is unlikely to achieve results. As long as his bad habits persist, the policy will not be any more effective simply because one of his friends chimes in.

In his speech this past Tuesday, Ben Bernanke finally admitted that the weakness in the dollar was contributing to both higher inflation and elevated inflation expectations. This stands in stark contrast to his recent testimony in front of the House Banking Committee, where in response to a question asked by Congressman Ron Paul, he confidently declared that the weakness of the dollar only effected Americans who travel abroad. It is amazing how little attention this complete reversal received.

The media of course wasted no time in declaring that Bernanke’s speech heralded the opening of a new front in the campaign against the falling dollar. For example, CNBC’s Larry Kudlow proclaimed that Bernanke had endorsed “King Dollar” (someone needs to remind Kudlow that the king has long since abdicated his throne) and the network ran an entire segment on how to profit from the new dollar rally. All of this because Bernanke merely mentioned the dollar, acknowledged its effects on inflation, and expressed concern for its plight. As far as the media and Wall Street are concerned, words without action are enough. Too bad that’s not the way things work here on the planet Earth.

The real take away from Bernanke’s comment is not that the dollar is about to rally, but that it is now more likely to sink even lower. I believe the main reason Bernanke has refrained from mentioning the dollar in the past is that he did not want to be put in a position of actually having to do something about its decline. He is now so fearful of an imminent dollar collapse that he must have felt compelled to throw down the gauntlet despite his fear that someone might actually pick it up.

My guess is that currency traders will ultimately see this as an act of desperation. When the dollar keeps falling a chorus will swell to demand that the Fed put teeth in its new policy. If Bernanke does nothing the world will finally see a naked emperor and the dollar’s decline will turn into a rout. If, on the other hand, the Fed raises rates to defend the dollar, and only a short term bounce results, then all remaining confidence in the Fed’s ability to support the dollar will evaporate as well. This is probably Bernanke’s greatest fear and is likely the main reason he waited so long before mentioning the dollar. The fact that he felt compelled to do so now likely means he knows the game is coming to an end.

Source: Dollar Bear Torpedoes the Fed’s ‘Strong Dollar Policy’