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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; Global Commodities</title>
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		<title>Crude Up Slightly, Drops Below $60 but Recovers</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/crude-up-slightly-drops-below-60-but-recovers/8231</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/crude-up-slightly-drops-below-60-but-recovers/8231#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Nov 2008 20:40:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Doug Casey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crude Oil Prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Doug Casey]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy Demand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gas prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Commodities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kevin Kerr]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Opec]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Saudis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stimulus]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=8231</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>In the energy market Monday, oil eked out a small gain, with crude for December delivery closing at $62.41/barrel, up $1.37 from Friday. December reformulated gasoline added a penny and three-quarters, to $1.3679/gallon. <br />
Early in the day, crude had fallen to $59.10, its lowest level since mid-March, 2007. But every time crude goes “to a new low, a light round of buying emerges to push it up a bit,” said Darin Newsom, a senior analyst at DTN.</p>
<p>Phil Flynn, of Alaron Trading, responded to the Chinese news by calling it “a lot of stimulus that the market wasn&#8217;t expecting … It&#8217;s a two-year project, and it will increase energy demand from China.”</p>
<p>Flynn added that any gains may not be sustainable, though.&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In the energy market Monday, oil eked out a small gain, with crude for December delivery closing at $62.41/barrel, up $1.37 from Friday. December reformulated gasoline added a penny and three-quarters, to $1.3679/gallon. <br />
Early in the day, crude had fallen to $59.10, its lowest level since mid-March, 2007. But every time crude goes “to a new low, a light round of buying emerges to push it up a bit,” said Darin Newsom, a senior analyst at DTN.</p>
<p>Phil Flynn, of Alaron Trading, responded to the Chinese news by calling it “a lot of stimulus that the market wasn&#8217;t expecting … It&#8217;s a two-year project, and it will increase energy demand from China.”</p>
<p>Flynn added that any gains may not be sustainable, though. “China has gone from having to slow their economy to having to boost it,” he said. “The market is still trying to determine the extent of the global economic downturn. In the meantime, we remain in a trading range, trying to break higher into the [$70 a barrel range] or breaking down in the $50s.”</p>
<p>The big factor is OPEC’s “pledge to cut production even deeper if prices are not in the $70-$90 range,” says Kevin Kerr, editor of <em>Global Commodities Alert</em>.  “Giving that threat some teeth is the fact that the Saudis seem to be on board with the cuts.”</p>
<p>Kerr added that it&#8217;s clear OPEC is “fearful of an Obama presidency and what the longer-term impact to their industry will be,” and said the cartel will likely “vigorously defend the $60 level.” ”</p>
<p><a href="http://www.caseyresearch.com/displayDrpArchives.php ">Source:  Crude up slightly -  Drops below $60 but recovers</a></p>
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		<title>Commodity Prices Sinking to 52-Year Low</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/commodity-prices-sinking-to-52-year-low/7725</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/commodity-prices-sinking-to-52-year-low/7725#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 03 Nov 2008 18:29:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mike Caggeso</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commodity Prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[consumer spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corn Futures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Corn Soybeans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crb Index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gas prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Commodities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Caggeso]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=7725</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Commodity prices are bracing for their worst month in 52  years as global demand continues to slide. The Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index &#8211; a measure of 19 global  commodities from light crude to lean hogs &#8211; fell 24% in October, <strong><em>Bloomberg  reports</em></strong>.</p>
<p>&#8220;October is at last ending &#8211; the worst month in commodity history,&#8221; Eugen Weinberg, an analyst at Commerzbank AG in Frankfurt, told <strong><em>Bloomberg</em></strong>.  &#8220;Investors are expecting lower growth for the longer term and that is putting  prices under pressure.&#8221;</p>
<p>The news came one day after the revelation that the U.S. economy shrank 0.3% in the third quarter, and on the very same day that the government announced consumer spending tumbled 0.3% in September &#8211; meaning the world’s largest economy is struggling&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Commodity prices are bracing for their worst month in 52  years as global demand continues to slide. The Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index &#8211; a measure of 19 global  commodities from light crude to lean hogs &#8211; fell 24% in October, <strong><em>Bloomberg  reports</em></strong>.</p>
<p>&#8220;October is at last ending &#8211; the worst month in commodity history,&#8221; Eugen Weinberg, an analyst at Commerzbank AG in Frankfurt, told <strong><em>Bloomberg</em></strong>.  &#8220;Investors are expecting lower growth for the longer term and that is putting  prices under pressure.&#8221;</p>
<p>The news came one day after the revelation that the U.S. economy shrank 0.3% in the third quarter, and on the very same day that the government announced consumer spending tumbled 0.3% in September &#8211; meaning the world’s largest economy is struggling to produce and purchase.</p>
<p>It also continues a steady, months-long decline of commodity  prices.</p>
<p>The past year’s inflation epidemic has waned significantly  because consumer spending and demand has significantly cooled.</p>
<p>Prices for staple foods such as corn, soybeans and wheat  have all come down from their record highs in near perfect harmony.</p>
<p>Corn  futures are down nearly 50% from their summer high of $8 per bushel. Same  story and stats for  soybeans and wheat, the latter hitting a  16-month low in mid-October.</p>
<p>Gas  prices have fallen 37.1% from their July 17 high of $4.114 a gallon.</p>
<p>Not coincidentally, gold has fallen 21.1% in that same time  frame.</p>
<p>Short-term prices are likely to continue to wane or tread water, as economies around the world are hording their pennies and trying to build capital to start buying again.</p>
<p>&#8220;The outlook for demand remains weak while we wait for economic rescue measures to feed their way through the system,&#8221; Christopher Bellew, senior broker at Bache Commodities Ltd. in London, told <strong><em>Bloomberg</em></strong>.  &#8220;Even in emerging markets the growth there is likely to be lower than was  previously expected.&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/11/03/commodity-prices/">Source: Commodity Prices Sinking to 52-Year Low</a></p>
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		<title>Jim Rogers: More Pain for the Greenback, and the Failure of the Federal Reserve</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/jim-rogers-more-pain-for-the-greenback-and-the-failure-of-the-federal-reserve/1024</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/jim-rogers-more-pain-for-the-greenback-and-the-failure-of-the-federal-reserve/1024#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Apr 2008 15:09:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Keith Fitz-Gerald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics & Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alan Greenspan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bear Stearns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bernanke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Central Banks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Currency Investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dollar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fed]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Commodities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Currency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Greenback]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jim Rogers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stagflation]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/jim-rogers-more-pain-for-the-greenback-and-the-failure-of-the-federal-reserve/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>By <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/03/17/money-morning%e2%80%99s-three-minute-review-how-last-week%e2%80%99s-events-will-shape-this-week%e2%80%99s-action-2/">bailing  out Wall Street</a> and applying &#8220;band-aids&#8221; to the economy, the U.S. Federal Reserve may well be causing its own downfall &#8211; even as it hastens the demise of the greenback as a viable global currency, investment guru Jim Rogers told <strong><em>Money  Morning </em></strong>during an exclusive interview.Because of such strategic missteps, U.S. consumers could be facing a long and painful economic malaise, similar to the &#8220;lost decade&#8221; of 1990s Japan, or the stagflation-riddled 1970s in the United States, Rogers said.</p>
<p>Make no mistake: If that happens, there are two clear culprits &#8211; current Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke, and his predecessor, Alan Greenspan.</p>
<p>Bernanke &#8220;and Greenspan together will probably bring [about] the end of the Federal Reserve,&#8221; Rogers said during the interview&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>By <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/03/17/money-morning%e2%80%99s-three-minute-review-how-last-week%e2%80%99s-events-will-shape-this-week%e2%80%99s-action-2/">bailing  out Wall Street</a> and applying &#8220;band-aids&#8221; to the economy, the U.S. Federal Reserve may well be causing its own downfall &#8211; even as it hastens the demise of the greenback as a viable global currency, investment guru Jim Rogers told <strong><em>Money  Morning </em></strong>during an exclusive interview.Because of such strategic missteps, U.S. consumers could be facing a long and painful economic malaise, similar to the &#8220;lost decade&#8221; of 1990s Japan, or the stagflation-riddled 1970s in the United States, Rogers said.</p>
<p>Make no mistake: If that happens, there are two clear culprits &#8211; current Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke, and his predecessor, Alan Greenspan.</p>
<p>Bernanke &#8220;and Greenspan together will probably bring [about] the end of the Federal Reserve,&#8221; Rogers said during the interview in Singapore. &#8220;We’ve had two central banks in America that failed [and] this third central bank will probably fail, too, because of Bernanke and Greenspan. The <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/03/11/fed-plan-sends-dow-soaring-over-400-points/">Federal  Reserve [just] put $200 billion more onto its balance sheet of mortgages</a>. Now I don’t know how big they can expand their balance sheet, but if they keep doing it, there’s only so much &#8211; and they just bought Bear Stearns (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=bsc&amp;hl=en">BSC</a>).&#8221;</p>
<p>Rogers <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2007/07/09/jimrogers/">first  made a name for himself</a> with The Quantum Fund, a hedge fund that’s often described as the first real global investment fund, which he and partner George Soros founded in 1970. Over the next decade, Quantum gained 4,200%, while the <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=626307">Standard &amp; Poor’s 500  Index</a> climbed about 50%.</p>
<p>It was after Rogers &#8220;retired&#8221; in 1980 that the investing masses got to see him in action. Rogers traveled the world (several times), and penned such bestsellers as &#8220;Investment Biker&#8221; and the just-released &#8220;<a href="http://www.oxfonline.com/MMR/ROG0108.html?pub=MMR&amp;code=WMMRJ101">Bull  in China</a>.&#8221; And he made some historic market calls: Rogers predicted China’s meteoric growth a good decade before it became apparent and he subsequently foretold of the powerful updraft in global commodities prices that’s fueled a year-long bull market in the agriculture, energy and mining sectors.</p>
<p>Given Rogers’ prescience &#8211; not to mention all the uncertainty facing U.S. investors right now &#8211; we thought it was well worth a sit-down with the noted guru, even though it meant <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/03/17/snapshot-from-singapore-in-this-asian-tiger-tiger-attacks-have-given-way-to-construction-and-capitalism/">traveling  all the way to Singapore</a>, where he now lives with his family, to do so.</p>
<p>During that interview here in <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Singapore">Singapore</a>, Rogers also said  that:</p>
<ul type="disc">
<li>Although the United States faces perhaps its most daunting economic challenges in at least a generation, &#8220;in America, most people do not understand that there is a problem.&#8221;</li>
<li>Because of these weak-dollar efforts &#8211; as well as the billion-dollar bailouts &#8211; &#8220;America is now the largest debtor the world has ever seen.&#8221;</li>
<li>Although the central bank seems intent on engineering a U.S. economic rebound by creating an ultra-weak dollar, no country in history has ever emerged from a serious financial crisis by &#8220;debasing its currency.&#8221;</li>
</ul>
<p>The bottom line: The strategies that the central bank is  currently employing are nothing short of &#8220;outrageous,&#8221; Rogers said.</p>
<p>&#8220;You know, I’ve read the Federal Reserve Act,&#8221; he said. &#8220;Nowhere does it say [the central bank is] supposed to bail out investment banks! Nowhere does it say you should bail out Wall Street. Their mandate was to have a sound currency, and then it was later expanded to have employment &#8211; to help employment. But nowhere does it say: ‘Bail out investment banks.’&#8221;</p>
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