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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; HEAT</title>
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		<title>A Hot Stock in a Cool Market</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/a-hot-stock-in-a-cool-market/19819</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/a-hot-stock-in-a-cool-market/19819#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Aug 2009 21:30:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andrew Snyder</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Andrew Snyder]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CVX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HEAT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HOG]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=19819</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>It is hard to find a “true” growth story these days, especially in the United States. In China, however, things are not quite as bleak. The action from SmartHeat (NASDAQ:<strong></strong><strong><a onclick="javascript:pageTracker._trackPageview('/outgoing/www.google.com/finance?q=heat');" href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=heat" target="_blank">HEAT</a></strong>) is a perfect example. </p>
<p>Call it an earnings season hangover. Call it profit taking. Or call it a technical reverse. Just don’t call it a good day on Wall Street.</p>
<p>With the equities market down by over 1% at the moment, investors who got in at the recent highs are wondering what in the world they may have gotten themselves into. A slew of the markets most-popular investments of late are taking it square on the chin.</p>
<p><strong>General Electric (NYSE:<a onclick="javascript:pageTracker._trackPageview('/outgoing/www.google.com/finance?q=ge');" href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=ge" target="_blank">GE</a>) </strong>is down by over 3%. <strong>Harley Davidson (NYSE:<a onclick="javascript:pageTracker._trackPageview('/outgoing/www.google.com/finance?q=hog');" href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=hog" target="_blank">HOG</a>)</strong> is down by nearly 3.5%.&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It is hard to find a “true” growth story these days, especially in the United States. In China, however, things are not quite as bleak. The action from SmartHeat (NASDAQ:<strong></strong><strong><a onclick="javascript:pageTracker._trackPageview('/outgoing/www.google.com/finance?q=heat');" href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=heat" target="_blank">HEAT</a></strong>) is a perfect example. <span id="more-19819"></span></p>
<p>Call it an earnings season hangover. Call it profit taking. Or call it a technical reverse. Just don’t call it a good day on Wall Street.</p>
<p>With the equities market down by over 1% at the moment, investors who got in at the recent highs are wondering what in the world they may have gotten themselves into. A slew of the markets most-popular investments of late are taking it square on the chin.</p>
<p><strong>General Electric (NYSE:<a onclick="javascript:pageTracker._trackPageview('/outgoing/www.google.com/finance?q=ge');" href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=ge" target="_blank">GE</a>) </strong>is down by over 3%. <strong>Harley Davidson (NYSE:<a onclick="javascript:pageTracker._trackPageview('/outgoing/www.google.com/finance?q=hog');" href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=hog" target="_blank">HOG</a>)</strong> is down by nearly 3.5%. And <strong>Chevron (NYSE:<a onclick="javascript:pageTracker._trackPageview('/outgoing/www.google.com/finance?q=cvx');" href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=cvx" target="_blank">CVX</a>)</strong>, a <a onclick="javascript:pageTracker._trackPageview('/outgoing/tfnstrategictrader.com/welcome');" href="http://tfnstrategictrader.com/welcome" target="_blank"><em>TFN Strategic Trader</em></a> short position, is down by another 1.2% today after dropping by an equal proportion tomorrow.</p>
<p>The breadth of the decline is wide and getting even wider.</p>
<p>If you read my commentary yesterday, you know the downturn is far from a surprise. Even better, you know how bullish I am on Asian markets.</p>
<p>Just to prove the potential in Asia, I want to look at a winner in China’s growing economy.</p>
<p>While the rest of the world contemplates just how an economy can grow without the creation of new jobs, companies like <strong>SmartHeat Inc. (NASDAQ:<a onclick="javascript:pageTracker._trackPageview('/outgoing/www.google.com/finance?q=heat');" href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=heat" target="_blank">HEAT</a>) </strong>are producing record-breaking earnings.<br />
<strong><br />
No artificial growth here<br />
</strong><br />
Although China is not on a politically motivated, Al Gore-type environmental kick, there is no doubt the expanding country is working to clean up its smog-filled air. Companies like SmartHeat are taking full advantage of the initiative.</p>
<p>SmartHeat works to build a variety of heat exchangers and temperature meters. Its products allow companies to increase their heating efficiency, which helps lower heating costs and reduces emissions.</p>
<p>While this morning’s earnings report from the company has plenty of useful information, one line by the company’s CEO, James Jun Wang, stands out:</p>
<p>“The current economic slowdown has significantly increased customer awareness towards utilization of energy savings equipment from which we are a primary beneficiary. SmartHeat is well positioned to potentially reap significant benefits from the world’s economic recovery.”</p>
<p>The company backed up the statement with a revenue figure that grew by 125% from this time last year. While $12.5 million is a miniscule figure in today’s world of billion-dollar conglomerates, the fact that the company managed to turn the income into a profit of $2.6 million (up 257%) solidifies the idea that SmartHeat is far from a speculative play.</p>
<p>The company has a high-demand profit and is profiting from it.</p>
<p>Going forward, SmartHeat has boosted its full-year outlook and expects the Asian recovery to treat the company well. Next quarter, Wang expects revenue of $35 million, almost three times last quarter’s figures.</p>
<p>Shareholders have been treated well by the bullish news, with the stock up by double-digit proportions today.</p>
<p>With such quickly growing figures, the markets are naturally going to have a tough time determining the company’s fair value.</p>
<p>Right now, using the old earnings figures, the company has a price-to-earnings ratio of about 35. But when I plug in the estimated $15.5 million in annual earnings announced this morning, that critical figure drops to just 14.7, high but not too high.</p>
<p>To include the high-flying growth in the valuation equation, we have to divide the P/E figure by its anticipated earnings growth. In this case, the company earned $6.3 million in 2008, giving us a denominator of about 150.</p>
<p>Crunching the numbers, it gives us a PEG of an ultra-low 0.01, making shares of SmartHeat well worth the $9.75 they are currently trading for… if the earnings predictions come true.</p>
<p>Take a look at the company and see what you. Just don’t say we don’t ever give you anything for free.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.todaysfinancialnews.com/us-stocks-and-markets/smartheat-a-hot-stock-in-a-cool-market-9730.html">Source: A Hot Stock in a Cool Market</a></p>
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