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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; Holiday Homes</title>
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		<title>Turning Sub-Prime Misery Into Vacation Homes</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/turning-sub-prime-misery-into-vacation-homes/2365</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/turning-sub-prime-misery-into-vacation-homes/2365#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 May 2008 19:45:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Adrian Ash</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Investments]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Agency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AIPP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fannie Mae]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Holiday Homes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[House Price]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[House Prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Real Estate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SISFMA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Subprime Mortgages]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/turning-sub-prime-misery-into-vacation-homes/2365</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>You can&#8217;t blame Fannie Mae for trying. Last year saw British property buyers snap up around 20,000 homes in the United States.</p>
<p>  	 	  	Flush with British pounds at a 27-year high against the dollar, they poured something like $4.6bn into US real estate, according to data from the Association of International Property Professionals (AIPP).</p>
<p>Now the pound&#8217;s slipped back, but so too have Florida house prices. So cue Fannie Mae to target British holiday-makers.</p>
<p>&#8220;Homes Available in USA,&#8221; says a Google advert – visible only to web surfers inside the UK it would seem – from the US-government backed mortgage agency.</p>
<p>If you&#8217;re inside the fifty states, most likely you won&#8217;t find it. Which would only be tactful.</p>
<p>&#8220;Affordable housing opportunities,&#8221; says the ad. &#8220;Find a&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You can&#8217;t blame Fannie Mae for trying. Last year saw British property buyers snap up around 20,000 homes in the United States.<span id="more-2365"></span></p>
<p><!-- START IN PAGE TEXT BOX -->  	 	  	<!-- END IN PAGE TEXT BOX -->Flush with British pounds at a 27-year high against the dollar, they poured something like $4.6bn into US real estate, according to data from the Association of International Property Professionals (AIPP).</p>
<p>Now the pound&#8217;s slipped back, but so too have Florida house prices. So cue Fannie Mae to target British holiday-makers.</p>
<p>&#8220;Homes Available in USA,&#8221; says a Google advert – visible only to web surfers inside the UK it would seem – from the US-government backed mortgage agency.</p>
<p>If you&#8217;re inside the fifty states, most likely you won&#8217;t find it. Which would only be tactful.</p>
<p>&#8220;Affordable housing opportunities,&#8221; says the ad. &#8220;Find a holiday home in America.&#8221;</p>
<p>There are plenty of &#8220;holiday homes&#8221; to choose from in the USA right now, not least on Fannie Mae&#8217;s books. Single family homes in Miami, Florida, for example, start at just $45,000. The last time a first-time buyer in Britain could snap up a starter home for that price – around £23,000 – was 1991.</p>
<p>Even then they had to buy far outside the &#8220;hot spots&#8221; of London and the South-East. At least 150 miles away, in fact. The last reported sighting of a London home costing less than $50,000 equivalent was back in 1985. Today the average apartment in the UK capital costs six times as much.</p>
<p>But hey, that&#8217;s inflation for you! And flicking through the huge range of cut-price real estate now on sale at Fannie Mae today, three things about the decade-long inflation in real estate prices now imploding on both sides of the Atlantic continue to amaze us here at <a href="http://www.BullionVault.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title="Bullion Vault"  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">BullionVault</a>.</p>
<p>First, the sheer volume of foreclosures sweeping the former hot spots of America. Second, the size of house price &#8220;discounts&#8221; about to hit the United Kingdom. And third, how-in-the-hell anyone ever thought subprime mortgages sounded like a good idea.</p>
<p>As the chart above shows – courtesy of Janet Yellen of the San Francisco Federal Reserve – late payment rates on subprime US mortgages stayed above 9% even when the cost of borrowing sank to a four-decade low (and stayed there) between 2002 and 2005.</p>
<p>Teaser rates of just 1% interest, in other words, left almost one-in-ten subprime borrowers unable to meet their monthly mortgage bills. So the profits assumed by &#8220;resetting&#8221; those rates to 7% and above two years down the line were never going to show up.</p>
<p>As in not ever. Any bank day-dreaming otherwise deserves euthanasia, let alone bankruptcy.</p>
<p>What they&#8217;re getting instead, however, is a fresh dose of money from the Fed. The US central bank is actively creating a market in mortgage bonds, accepting these illiquid assets as collateral against loans of highly liquid US Treasury bonds.</p>
<p>Will the money thus released to the banks find its way back into US house prices? Whatever happens on your street in 2008, subprime lending as a financial product is dead – if not for good, then at least for now. Issuance of residential mortgage-backed bonds collapsed by 95% during the first three months of this year, according to data from SIFMA, the securities association. The futures market expects a further 25% drop in US house prices, notes Janet Yellen of the Fed, based off the price for Case-Shiller index contracts.</p>
<p>And now the UK property crash has finally turned up as well – a mere three years after everyone thought it would – the chances of British holiday-makers supporting the Florida real estate market look pretty slim too, despite Fannie Mae&#8217;s advertising dollars.</p>
<p>Source: <a href="http://www.moneyweek.com/file/47375/turning-sub-prime-misery-into-vacation-homes.html">Turning Sub-Prime Misery Into Vacation Homes</a></p>
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