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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; Home Construction</title>
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		<title>The Ultimate Inflation Hedge &#8211; Invest in Timber and Protect Your Wealth</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/the-ultimate-inflation-hedge-invest-in-timber-and-protect-your-wealth/15272</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/the-ultimate-inflation-hedge-invest-in-timber-and-protect-your-wealth/15272#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Mar 2009 17:35:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ted Peroulakis</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Construction Demand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Demand Increases]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economic Stress]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Construction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inflation Hedges]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inflationary Pressure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Plum Creek Timber Co Inc]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pulp Paper]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Timber Prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tree Farm]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=15272</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>If you’re concerned about rising inflation then you may want to think about investing in natural resources. Timber has been an attractive investment for thousands of years and is one of the best inflation hedges available. </p>
<p>It’s really easy to invest in timber too. You don’t have to go out and plunk down a few million dollars to buy a tree farm. You can simply buy stock in a company in the timber business! As timber prices go up, your stock price goes up! It’s that simple.</p>
<p>My article for <a href="http://www.investorsdailyedge.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Investor’s Daily Edge</a> on 03/05/09 specifically recommended Plum Creek Timber Co. Inc. (PCL).</p>
<p>I hope you took my advice because PCL is up over 18% in just a few weeks. Now that is&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If you’re concerned about rising inflation then you may want to think about investing in natural resources. Timber has been an attractive investment for thousands of years and is one of the best inflation hedges available. <span id="more-15272"></span></p>
<p>It’s really easy to invest in timber too. You don’t have to go out and plunk down a few million dollars to buy a tree farm. You can simply buy stock in a company in the timber business! As timber prices go up, your stock price goes up! It’s that simple.</p>
<p>My article for <a href="http://www.investorsdailyedge.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Investor’s Daily Edge</a> on 03/05/09 specifically recommended Plum Creek Timber Co. Inc. (PCL).</p>
<p>I hope you took my advice because PCL is up over 18% in just a few weeks. Now that is a nice short-term gain. Our staff here at Investor’s Daily Edge strives to give you information that you can profit from, that is our passion.</p>
<p>If you missed this opportunity to get into PCL, don’t worry-it’s not too late. I still think timber is one of the best places to put your money. Let me explain why.</p>
<p>The Earth currently has 6.76 billion people and the world’s population is expected to hit 9 billion by 2040. All these extra people are going to consume timber in a variety of uses from home construction to wood pulp used in paper production. Demand will greatly exceed supply, and this will drive timber prices much higher.</p>
<p>Timber tends to outperform inflation and the stock market over the long term. In fact, timber usually performs quite well in times of economic stress like we are experiencing these days. When we finally exit this economic crisis, you should see timber prices rocket higher due to construction demand increases and inflationary pressure.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.investorsdailyedge.com/Article.aspx?Id=2023">Source: The Ultimate Inflation Hedge &#8211; Invest in Timber and Protect Your Wealth</a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>U.S. Housing Continues to Slump</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/us-housing-continues-to-slump/2182</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/us-housing-continues-to-slump/2182#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 17 May 2008 14:25:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Chuck Butler</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Investments]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AUD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bank Of England]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dollar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fomc]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Construction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ISK]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[JPY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mortgage Costs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NZD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[real estate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/us-housing-continues-to-slump/2182</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The U.S. economy is in a recession, and the over-leveraged U.S. consumer won&#8217;t be able to ride to the rescue as they have in the past. And I don&#8217;t expect the stimulus checks to help much either, as they are way too little too late.</p>
<p>Good day… And good morning from beautiful downtown Panama. Chuck had to get on a plane back to St. Louis early this morning, so he asked me to pfill in this morning. The dollar mostly traded within a range versus most of the major currencies yesterday as negative news from the United States was offset by predictions of a possible FOMC rate rise. The biggest movers yesterday were the commodity currencies and the ISK, which was&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span class="Body_Text">The U.S. economy is in a recession, and the over-leveraged U.S. consumer won&#8217;t be able to ride to the rescue as they have in the past. And I don&#8217;t expect the stimulus checks to help much either, as they are way too little too late.</span><span id="more-2182"></span></p>
<p><span class="Body_Text">Good day… And good morning from beautiful downtown Panama. Chuck had to get on a plane back to St. Louis early this morning, so he asked me to pfill in this morning. The dollar mostly traded within a range versus most of the major currencies yesterday as negative news from the United States was offset by predictions of a possible FOMC rate rise. The biggest movers yesterday were the commodity currencies and the ISK, which was helped by the Nordic central banks. More on that later, but lets start with the data due out in the United States.</span></p>
<p><span class="Body_Text">The Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index will likely show a drop to a 26-year low when it comes out later this morning. The other major report released today will probably show that housing starts in the United States fell to a 17-year low in April. Home construction and property values &#8220;seem likely to decline well into 2009,&#8221; Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Janet Yellen said earlier this week. And a jump in foreclosures, as values fall and adjustable rate mortgage costs rise, is adding to concern. Foreclosure filings climbed 65% and bank seizures more than doubled in April compared with a year earlier, according to figures issued this week.</span></p>
<p><span class="Body_Text">The U.S. economy is in a recession, and the over-leveraged U.S. consumer won&#8217;t be able to ride to the rescue as they have in the past. And I don&#8217;t expect the stimulus checks to help much either, as they are way too little too late. The fundamentals of the U.S. economy don&#8217;t look good and this dollar rally will not last past the end of the second quarter. But short term, we could see additional dollar strength as investors focus on future FOMC moves.</span></p>
<p><span class="Body_Text">Both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England have had to admit that inflation is rising faster than they expected, leading currency traders to predict an end to their interest rate cuts. Higher inflation numbers have caused future traders to increase their bets that the Fed will reverse recent cuts later this year. This change in sentiment has helped push the dollar higher, but the move will likely be short-lived as the markets will realize that the FOMC is just too far behind in their fight with inflation. As prices continue to move higher, the U.S. economic growth will slow even further and the dollar will resume its steady decline.</span></p>
<p><span class="Body_Text">Nordic central banks rode to the rescue of the Icelandic krona (<a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/currency/convert?amt=1&amp;from=USD&amp;to=ISK&amp;submit=Convert" target="_blank" onclick="window.open('http://finance.yahoo.com/currency/convert?amt=1&#038;from=USD&#038;to=ISK&#038;submit=Convert', '_blank', 'toolbar=yes,menubar=yes,location=yes,scrollbars=yes,resizable=yes,status=yes,width=450,height=400'); return false;" title="ISK">ISK</a>) this morning as they announced they have agreed to provide as much as 1.5 billion euros in emergency funds to Iceland&#8217;s central bank. We&#8217;ve written at length about how the credit crisis has spilled into the Icelandic banks, and recently the liquidity in the ISK has all but dried up as currency dealers questioned the financial stability of the Icelandic central bank. Traders have been concerned that the Atlantic island&#8217;s commercial banks may seek help from Sedlabanki (Iceland&#8217;s central bank) which doesn&#8217;t have the funds to bail them out. While the size of the swap agreement wasn&#8217;t large enough to move the krona, the announced cooperation seems to have restored at least some of the lost confidence. With the support of the central banks of Norway, Denmark, and Sweden, the Icelandic krona rallied more than 4.4%, the biggest gain on record.</span></p>
<p><span class="Body_Text">In other news from the Nordic region, the Danish central bank raised its benchmark interest rate by 0.1% to 4.35% today.</span></p>
<p><span class="Body_Text">Japan&#8217;s economy grew faster than economists estimated as exports to the rest of Asia helped offset the U.S. slowdown. Gross domestic product in the first quarter of 2008 grew 3.3% in Japan, well above estimates. Net exports accounted for most of Japan&#8217;s growth as demand from Europe and Asia continues to be strong. The figures coincide with reports released yesterday that showed the German economy expanded at the fastest pace in 12 years. Both of these reports confirm our thought that the global economy will not be dragged down by the slowdown in the United States.</span></p>
<p><span class="Body_Text">But the currency markets ignored the positive surprise in Japan and the yen (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=USDJPY" target="_blank" onclick="window.open('http://finance.google.com/finance?q=USDJPY', '_blank', 'toolbar=yes,menubar=yes,location=yes,scrollbars=yes,resizable=yes,status=yes,width=450,height=400'); return false;" title="JPY">JPY</a>) continued to sell off. As Chuck pointed out earlier in the week, the carry trade is back as market volatility has eased. Japan&#8217;s currency slid the most against the Aussie dollar (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=AUDUSD" target="_blank" onclick="window.open('http://finance.google.com/finance?q=AUDUSD', '_blank', 'toolbar=yes,menubar=yes,location=yes,scrollbars=yes,resizable=yes,status=yes,width=450,height=400'); return false;" title="AUD">AUD</a>) and New Zealand dollar (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NZDUSD" target="_blank" onclick="window.open('http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NZDUSD', '_blank', 'toolbar=yes,menubar=yes,location=yes,scrollbars=yes,resizable=yes,status=yes,width=450,height=400'); return false;" title="NZD">NZD</a>), both of which benefit from the return of the carry trades. With the markets generally range bound, volatility has decreased encouraging investors to borrow funds in the nations with low rates and invest where returns are higher. This week&#8217;s sell off of yen reflects a return to risk-taking activity and a revival of carry trades. Ultimately the currencies will return to trading on economic fundamentals, but for now the carry trade is continuing to dominate.</span></p>
<p><span class="Body_Text">Currencies today 5/16/08: A$ .9449, kiwi .7675, C$ .9992, euro 1.5457, sterling 1.9479, Swiss .9465, ISK 74.43, rand 7.4835, krone 5.0855, SEK 6.0402, forint 160.20, zloty 2.1922, koruna 16.16, yen 104.77, baht 32.285, sing 1.3715, HKD 7.80, INR 42.65, China 6.9950, pesos 10.436, BRL 1.653, dollar index 73.28, Oil $125.58, Silver $16.81, and Gold… $886.90</span></p>
<p><span class="Body_Text">That&#8217;s it for today… Had a great dinner with the folks from the <a href="http://www.SovereignSociety.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Sovereign Society</a> last night. I know it sounds like I came down here to Panama kicking and screaming, but this conference has far outweighed my expectations. The investors are knowledgeable and excited by the opportunity to diversify out of the U.S. dollar. Hopefully I will be able to convert a few of them over to the <a href="http://www.everbank.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">EverBank</a> family. Got to get back downstairs now, as I don&#8217;t want to miss an early presentation by one of last night&#8217;s dinner hosts. Hope everyone has a Fantastico Friday and a great weekend!!</span></p>
<p><span class="Body_Text"><strong>P.S.</strong> To get The <a href="http://www.dailyreckoning.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Daily Reckoning</a> sent directly to your inbox, <a href="http://dailyreckoning.com/Sub/DRsite.html" title="Daily Reckoning sign up">sign up for our free email newsletter</a>, or if you prefer to use RSS, subscribe to the <a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/dailyreckoning" title="RSS sign up">Daily Reckoning RSS feed</a>.</span></p>
<p>Source: <a href="http://www.dailyreckoning.com/Writers/Butler/Articles/051608.html">U.S. Housing Continues to Slump</a></p>
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