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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; Home Equity Lines</title>
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		<title>7 Reasons Banks’ Pain Isn’t Over Yet</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/7-reasons-banks%e2%80%99-pain-isn%e2%80%99t-over-yet/16337</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/7-reasons-banks%e2%80%99-pain-isn%e2%80%99t-over-yet/16337#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 May 2009 19:17:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Notes From the Investment Underground]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ben Bernanke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consumer Loans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Credit Card Loans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Equity Lines]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Industrial Loans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Loans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Residential Mortgages]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stress Tests]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US Banking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US economy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=16337</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Even if Ben Bernanke is right about the stress tests truly reflecting the “financial conditions” of the banks, it doesn’t matter much. Banks themselves are still worried that they won’t get paid back on old loans.</p>
<p>The latest Federal Reserve survey of senior loan officers finds very few shoots of green in that garden. According to the survey, “A significant majority of banks reported that credit quality for all types of loans is likely to deteriorate over the year.” And this assumes the economy won’t get any worse than it already is now! Here are some specifics (hat tip, Real Time Economics)</p>
<p>Commercial and industrial loans: Of 52 banks responding, none said they expect improving quality, but seven said they expect delinquencies&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Even if Ben Bernanke is right about the stress tests truly reflecting the “financial conditions” of the banks, it doesn’t matter much. Banks themselves are still worried that they won’t get paid back on old loans.<span id="more-16337"></span></p>
<p>The latest Federal Reserve survey of senior loan officers finds very few shoots of green in that garden. According to the survey, “A significant majority of banks reported that credit quality for all types of loans is likely to deteriorate over the year.” And this assumes the economy won’t get any worse than it already is now! Here are some specifics (hat tip, Real Time Economics)</p>
<p>Commercial and industrial loans: Of 52 banks responding, none said they expect improving quality, but seven said they expect delinquencies and charge offs to stabilize at current levels.</p>
<p>Commercial real-estate loans: Only 1 of 51 banks (the other doesn’t make such loans) sees improving quality, and three see quality stabilizing at current levels. Of the 47 who see a worsening picture, 13 expected a substantial deterioration in 2009.</p>
<p>Prime residential mortgages: Only 1 of 50 banks sees improving quality, and seven see quality stabilizing at current levels.</p>
<p>Subprime mortgages: No bank sees improving quality, and only two see quality stabilizing at current levels.</p>
<p>Home equity lines: No bank sees improving quality, though nine expect quality to stabilize around current levels.</p>
<p>Credit card loans: None of the 31 banks who make such loans expects improvement, and three expect stabilization.</p>
<p>Other consumer loans: Only one of 50 banks expects improvement, though 12 see loan quality stabilizing around current levels.</p>
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		<title>Dollar Slides &#8211; Fed Confirms that the Credit Crunch Isn&#8217;t Getting Better.</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/dollar-slides-fed-confirms-that-the-credit-crunch-isnt-getting-better/1866</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/dollar-slides-fed-confirms-that-the-credit-crunch-isnt-getting-better/1866#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 May 2008 23:07:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Doug Casey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics & Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brown Brothers Harriman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commercial Real Estate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consumer Loans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consumption Growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Credit Crunch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Currency Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dollar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dollar Index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[falling dollar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fed]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Equity Lines]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Industrial Loans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Loans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Residential Mortgages]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/dollar-slides-fed-confirms-that-the-credit-crunch-isnt-getting-better/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p class="maintextDRP"> In the currency market, the dollar slipped against the euro. Late Monday, the euro was trading at $1.5491 vs. $1.5424 on Friday. </p>
<p>The buck declined despite some upbeat news from the Institute for Supply Management. The ISM said nonmanufacturing sectors of the U.S. economy expanded during April after three months of contraction. Its services index rose to 52.0% from 49.6% in March. That handily beat economists’ projections for a decline to 49.4%.</p>
<p>Analysts believe traders were locking in their gains from last week&#8217;s rally, which was based on signals from the Federal Reserve that it is near the end of its interest-rate cuts. The dollar index, which charts the greenback against a basket of currencies, rose 2.5% last week.</p>
<p>Currency strategists at&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="maintextDRP"> In the currency market, the dollar slipped against the euro. Late Monday, the euro was trading at $1.5491 vs. $1.5424 on Friday. <span id="more-1866"></span></p>
<p>The buck declined despite some upbeat news from the Institute for Supply Management. The ISM said nonmanufacturing sectors of the U.S. economy expanded during April after three months of contraction. Its services index rose to 52.0% from 49.6% in March. That handily beat economists’ projections for a decline to 49.4%.</p>
<p>Analysts believe traders were locking in their gains from last week&#8217;s rally, which was based on signals from the Federal Reserve that it is near the end of its interest-rate cuts. The dollar index, which charts the greenback against a basket of currencies, rose 2.5% last week.</p>
<p>Currency strategists at Brown Brothers Harriman are of the opinion that the “pieces of the puzzle we believe will contribute to a U.S. dollar uptrend this year are beginning to fall into place, but more pieces are needed for a more significant U.S. dollar rally.”</p>
<p>But the good feelings were diluted considerably by a report from the Federal Reserve on the credit crunch, which continues.</p>
<p class="maintextDRP"> More than half of the banks surveyed by the Fed said they had tightened commercial and industrial loans, commercial real estate loans, residential mortgages, and home-equity lines of credit. Almost no banks eased credit terms for any type of loan, the Fed said in its quarterly senior loan officer survey.</p>
<p>“The significant tightening of standards for consumer loans is probably the ugliest news of this report,” wrote Harm Bandholz, of UniCredit Markets. “Investment will continue to shrink, while private consumption growth will come to a halt or even turn negative” in the second quarter.</p>
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