Is the U.S. housing market truly at a turning point, as investors seem to increasingly believe? Or is this actually a false dawn, meaning that there are problems and pain ahead for those who turned bullish too soon?

A rise in existing home sales last month shows things are getting better in the U.S. housing market, but the still-dire unemployment situation and the looming possibility of a jobless recovery may halt the rally by the end of the year. That makes the extension of an $8,000 tax credit for first-time homebuyers imperative.

The U.S. stock market has enjoyed a strong rally since the early spring, but while the economy has shown improvement, it still faces major headwinds. So it may be best to hedge against the U.S. dollar, which is likely to experience a significant decline over the next few months.

Mortgage delinquencies move higher…Euro pushed higher by European data…Economist predicts Norway will be first to raise…Mexico to leave rates unchanged…And Now… Today’s Pfennig!

Yesterday, the euphoria on Wall Street broke for a while as investors paused for thought to digest crappy July retail figures. Even with the feds funneling borrowed cash into the economy and high-profile government boondoggles such as the “cash for clunkers” program working, Americans are still doing the sensible thing and cutting back on spending. July retail sales dipped 0.1%, and the Dow, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq all took lumps.

If you look at recent headlines such as CNNMoney.com’s “Another Sign of a Housing Thaw” you may be inclined to believe that the housing market has finally found a bottom. Various reports cite increases in sales, slight increases in sales prices, and reduced inventory. These are the three factors needed for any housing recovery to begin. Throw in the first-time homebuyer tax credit, and we may have a winning formula.

Housing Market Showing Signs of Stability? Puh-lease!

While the many of the world’s economies continue to look for signs of growth, the U.S. economy took a big step in the right the direction in the second quarter.

Resource legend tips his hat to three soon-to-bubble sectors… The housing market has “bottomed out” says PNC… our gentle retort… Alan Knuckman with an economic indicator far superior to unemployment: chicken sales… Our panel of “whiskey shooters” on the worst-case scnerio… how to get out of Dodge if the dollar collapses… Britian now REALLY in crisis… recession, taxes cause wave of pub shutdowns…

US leading indicators push higher…  Labor department admits errors…  Ben Bernanke heads to the hill…  PIMCO suggests buying emerging markets… And Now… Today’s Pfennig!