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		<title>Early Indicators: $247bn Cash Flood&#8230; Bloomberg Warns of &#8216;Next Wave&#8217;</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/early-indicators-247bn-cash-flood-bloomberg-warns-of-next-wave/5525</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/early-indicators-247bn-cash-flood-bloomberg-warns-of-next-wave/5525#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 18 Sep 2008 12:32:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Addison Wiggan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credit crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dan Denning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ian Mattias]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investing in gold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[subprime crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wall Street crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WM]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/early-indicators-247bn-cash-flood-bloomberg-warns-of-next-wave/5525</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>&#8211; The Fed, desperate to relieve the panic that has gripped the credit markets,  has <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&#38;sid=abyFUcrzapb4&#38;refer=home" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">almost quadrupled the amount of dollars central banks can auction around the world to $247 billion. </a></p>
<p><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&#38;sid=abyFUcrzapb4&#38;refer=home" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank"> </a>&#8211; According to Bloomberg: &#8220;<a href="httphttp://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&#38;sid=abyFUcrzapb4&#38;refer=home" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">The Fed increased the amount of dollars that the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and other counterparts can offer from $67 billion</a> &#8216;to address the continued elevated pressures in U.S. dollar short-term funding markets.&#8217; The Bank of England, the Bank of Canada and the Swiss National Bank also participated.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8211; This flood of cash seems to have cheered Wall Street. &#8220;<a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/us-stock-futures-rise-wamu/story.aspx?guid={C8DF94F5-CD90-46E1-9693-16C6B8F42EB0}" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">US stock futures pointed to a stronger start.</a> S&#38;P 500 futures rose 16 points to 1,178.90 and Nasdaq 100 futures improved 21.25 points to 1,668.25. Dow&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8211; The Fed, desperate to relieve the panic that has gripped the credit markets,  has <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=abyFUcrzapb4&amp;refer=home" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">almost quadrupled the amount of dollars central banks can auction around the world to $247 billion. </a></p>
<p><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=abyFUcrzapb4&amp;refer=home" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank"> </a>&#8211; According to Bloomberg: &#8220;<a href="httphttp://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=abyFUcrzapb4&amp;refer=home" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">The Fed increased the amount of dollars that the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and other counterparts can offer from $67 billion</a> &#8216;to address the continued elevated pressures in U.S. dollar short-term funding markets.&#8217; The Bank of England, the Bank of Canada and the Swiss National Bank also participated.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8211; This flood of cash seems to have cheered Wall Street. &#8220;<a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/us-stock-futures-rise-wamu/story.aspx?guid={C8DF94F5-CD90-46E1-9693-16C6B8F42EB0}" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">US stock futures pointed to a stronger start.</a> S&amp;P 500 futures rose 16 points to 1,178.90 and Nasdaq 100 futures improved 21.25 points to 1,668.25. Dow industrial futures rose 96 points,&#8221; reports MarketWatch.</p>
<p>&#8211;New York Mayor <strong>Michael Bloomberg</strong>, however, sent shivers up the spine of investors. He warned that <a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080917/ap_on_bi_ge/economy_bloomberg" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">a &#8220;next wave&#8221; of the crisis could come as foreign investors stop buying US debt</a>.&#8221;It&#8217;s not clear who&#8217;s going to be buying our debt,&#8221; he said. &#8220;It may very well be that the next wave is going to come back and bite us.&#8221;</p>
<p>&#8211; Two financial giants are on the block. <strong>Morgan Stanley</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?chdnp=1&amp;chdd=1&amp;chds=1&amp;chdv=1&amp;chvs=maximized&amp;chdeh=0&amp;chdet=1221739719847&amp;chddm=23460&amp;q=NYSE:MS&amp;ntsp=0" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">MS</a>) is <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/5068c4f4-84f2-11dd-b148-0000779fd18c.html" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">in merger talks</a> with <strong>Wachovia</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?chdnp=1&amp;chdd=1&amp;chds=1&amp;chdv=1&amp;chvs=maximized&amp;chdeh=0&amp;chdet=1221739776303&amp;chddm=23460&amp;q=NYSE:WB&amp;ntsp=0" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">WB</a>)<strong><a href="http://markets.ft.com/tearsheets/performance.asp?s=us:WB" symbol="us:WB"></a></strong>, the troubled regional lender. Morgan Stanly is also &#8220;exploring other potential deals in an effort to avoid becoming the next victim of the credit crunch [...] and is in close contact with a leading shareholder, China Investment Corporation, which owns a 9.9 per cent stake,&#8221; according to the FT. <strong>WaMu</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?chdnp=1&amp;chdd=1&amp;chds=1&amp;chdv=1&amp;chvs=maximized&amp;chdeh=0&amp;chdet=1221740011122&amp;chddm=23460&amp;q=NYSE:WM&amp;ntsp=0" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">WM</a>), the country&#8217;s largest savings and load bank, which saw its credit rating slashed to junk by Standard and Poor&#8217;s, <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/5068c4f4-84f2-11dd-b148-0000779fd18c.html" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">is also looking to sell itself</a> and has hired Goldman to run an auction, according to the paper.</p>
<p>&#8211; <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122169431617549947.html?mod=rss_whats_news_us" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">No end in sight</a>, says the WSJ:</p>
<blockquote><p>Lingering hopes that the damage could be contained to a handful of financial institutions that made bad bets on mortgages have evaporated. New fault lines are emerging beyond the original problem &#8212; troubled subprime mortgages &#8212; in areas like credit-default swaps, the credit insurance contracts sold by American International Group Inc. and others. There&#8217;s also a growing sense of wariness about the health of trading partners.</p></blockquote>
<p>&#8211; <a href="http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=D938MA302&amp;show_article=1" title="Open a new browser window to learn more.">Gold prices</a><span class="lingo_region"><a href="http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=D938MA302&amp;show_article=1" title="Open a new browser window to learn more."> exploded</a> yesterday as investors sought safety from the mayhem on Wall Street. The metal posted the biggest one-day gain ever in dollar terms. This from AP:<br />
</span></p>
<blockquote><p><span class="lingo_region">Gold for December delivery rose as much as $90.40, or 11.6 percent, to $870.90 an ounce in after-hours trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange after jumping $70 to settle at $850.50 in the regular session. That was the biggest one-day price jump ever; gold&#8217;s previous single-day record was a $64 gain on Jan. 29, 1980. In percentage terms, it was gold&#8217;s largest one-day advance since 1999.</span></p></blockquote>
<p><span class="lingo_region">&#8211; As gold soared, white-knuckled <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/8058d308-84d3-11dd-b148-0000779fd18c.html?nclick_check=1" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">panic has gripped the global credit markets</a>. Yesterday saw &#8220;a flight to safety of the kind not seen since the second world war,&#8221; reports the FT. According to the paper, lending between banks &#8220;in effect, stopped.&#8221;   While yields on short-term US Treasuries &#8220;hit their lowest level since the London Blitz.&#8221;</span></p>
<p>&#8211; This is how The Big Picture blogger <strong>Barry Ritholz</strong> explained <a href="http://bigpicture.typepad.com/comments/2008/09/laymans-explana.html" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">the difference between AIG, Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns</a> to researches on The Daily Show:</p>
<blockquote><p><span style="color: #000000">Lehman Brothers was like the little kid pulling the tail of a dog. You know the kid is going to get hurt eventually, and so no one is surprised when the dog turns around and bites the kid. But the kid only hurts himself, so no one really cares that much.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000">Bear Stearns is the little pyro &#8212; the kid who was always playing with matches. He could harm not only himself, but burns his own house down, and indeed, he could have burnt down the entire neighborhood. The Fed stepped in not to protect him, but the rest of the block. </span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000000">AIG is the kid who accidentally stumbled into a bio-tech warfare lab . . . finds all these unlabeled vials, and heads out to the playground with a handful of them jammed into his pockets.</span></p></blockquote>
<p>&#8211; <strong><a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/author/dan-denning/"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Dan Denning</a></strong>, editor of The <a href="http://www.dailyreckoning.com.au/"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Daily Reckoning Australia</a>, has another view on the matter. Here&#8217;s Dan on why the Fed bailed out AIG and not Lehman Brothers, as quoted in <strong>Addison Wiggan</strong>&#8217;s and <strong>Ian Mathias</strong>&#8217;s 5 Min Forecast:</p>
<blockquote><p><font size="2" face="arial,helvetica,sans-serif">One answer is that <a href="http://www.agorafinancial.com/5min/another-bailout-why-aig-and-not-leh-russian-market-crash-a-bull-market-and-more/" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">most of AIG’s customers are overseas</a>. Not only would a bankruptcy trigger chaos is the CDS market, but many foreign customers insured by AIG would be in doubt about the value of their normal insurance policies. Just like with Fannie and Freddie, foreign creditors may have again forced the hand of the Treasury to use American taxpayer dollars to guarantee the value of their financial investments in the U.S.</font></p></blockquote>
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