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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; Income Tax</title>
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		<title>Best Time in History for This Trade?</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/best-time-in-history-for-this-trade/1528</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/best-time-in-history-for-this-trade/1528#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Apr 2008 18:47:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Steve Sjuggerud</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AAA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Credit Crunch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Income Tax]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Municipal Bonds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Us Stock Market]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">I don&#8217;t know about you, but I&#8217;m  not earning much interest at the bank these days. Fortunately, an extraordinary  &#8220;return-on-your-cash&#8221; alternative has come up in the last month.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">It&#8217;s not a new investment vehicle&#8230; It&#8217;s an old asset, where the opportunity has never been this good. I crunched the numbers, and I discovered we now have <strong>the best opportunity to buy in the 50-year history of this asset.</strong></font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Right now, my savings account pays me less than 3% interest. At that rate, $10,000 would earn you less than $300 in interest in the course of a year. Then, of course, you also have to factor in income taxes on that $300&#8230; </font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">So after taxes, you&#8217;ll pocket less than $200 on a $10,000&#8230;</font></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">I don&#8217;t know about you, but I&#8217;m  not earning much interest at the bank these days. Fortunately, an extraordinary  &#8220;return-on-your-cash&#8221; alternative has come up in the last month.</font><span id="more-1528"></span></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">It&#8217;s not a new investment vehicle&#8230; It&#8217;s an old asset, where the opportunity has never been this good. I crunched the numbers, and I discovered we now have <strong>the best opportunity to buy in the 50-year history of this asset.</strong></font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Right now, my savings account pays me less than 3% interest. At that rate, $10,000 would earn you less than $300 in interest in the course of a year. Then, of course, you also have to factor in income taxes on that $300&#8230; </font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">So after taxes, you&#8217;ll pocket less than $200 on a $10,000 investment over a full year. It&#8217;s abysmal. So what can you safely do? You could tie your money up for a longer period of time&#8230; But 10-year Treasury bonds are only paying about 3.7%. And again, after taxes, you&#8217;re down to, well, not much. So what can you do?</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">You should consider buying  tax-free municipal bonds.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;- Advertisement &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;-<br />
<strong>This One-Page Federal Letter has Predicted 58 of the Most Shocking Stock Swings THIS DECADE&#8230; </strong></font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">At first glance, it looks like any other piece of Government mail&#8230; </font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">But this seldom-publicized and seldom-understood Federal Letter holds the secret to the easiest returns you&#8217;ll ever see in the US stock market.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Dr. George Huang – a PhD trader and former VC – has spent the past 12 months studying this letter, and discovered the secret to making money from it.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">The next letter arrives on April 30th.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">For more information, <a href="http://www1.youreletters.com/t/1471859/29576349/846896/0/" target="_blank">click here</a>.<br />
&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;<wbr></wbr>&#8212;&#8212;&#8212;&#8211;</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Right now, super safe, tax-free  municipal bonds pay more interest than taxable treasury bonds. This is crazy. </font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Under &#8220;normal&#8221; circumstances, a tax-free investment should pay much less interest than a taxable one. For example, if you can earn taxable interest of 6%, then after income tax, you&#8217;d pocket about 4%. So if you could earn tax-free interest elsewhere, your &#8220;break even&#8221; interest rate would be about 4%. Said another way, interest of 6% taxable and 4% tax-free (at a 33% tax rate for this example) should be thought of as identical.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Interestingly, this is not the  case at all today.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Thanks to the credit crunch, hedge funds sold their positions in municipal bonds about two months ago. Legendary fund manager Bill Gross started buying munis in March – <em>by the billions</em>. &#8220;When you can get a non-taxable security at the same rate as a basically taxable security, then you&#8217;ve got a bargain,&#8221; Gross said.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Another legendary value investor  – Wilbur Ross – also bought a billion dollars worth.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Despite this buying, the anomaly is still here. Tax-free municipal bonds still pay more interest than taxable Treasuries. At the bottom of the market last month, the spread was the widest in history. Take a look:</font></p>
<table align="center" width="90%">
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<p align="center"><strong><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">The big anomaly </font></strong></p>
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<td>
<p align="center"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2"><img src="http://www.dailywealth.com/images/charts/2008/apr/20080423-chart_b.gif" alt="The big anomaly" /></font></p>
</td>
</tr>
</table>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">As I&#8217;ve told readers before, this anomaly always sorts itself out in one of two ways: 1) Either regular government bond prices must crash while municipal bonds stay flat. Or 2) Municipal bond prices must soar. Either way, you&#8217;ll do extremely well by holding a portfolio of municipal bonds.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Municipal bonds are safe&#8230; The cumulative default rate on municipal bonds from 1970 to 2000 (the only numbers I have) was 0.04%. And that number is for all municipal bonds, not just the highest-rated, AAA ones.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Municipal bond prices fell recently.  But the uptrend is back.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">You can invest extremely safely in boring municipal bond funds from companies like Vanguard. Or you can significantly increase your tax-free yields by going with a closed-end municipal bond fund. I currently recommend two municipal bond funds to <em>True  Wealth</em> subscribers. You can sort through a list of them  at <a href="http://www.etfconnect.com/" target="_blank">www.etfconnect.com</a>.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">As I&#8217;ve said to <em><a href="http://www.stansberryresearch.com/PRO/0802TRWSEC49/ETRWJ318/200802REN-SEC-49.html"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">True Wealth</a></em> readers&#8230; <strong>between the tax-free interest and the capital gains I expect as the anomaly sorts itself out, you should be able to pick up double-digit total returns here </strong>over 12 months<strong>. </strong>Safe, double-digit annual returns on  your cash, tax-free, is hard to beat.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Good investing,</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Steve</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">P.S. You can learn more about my  top two fund ideas with a subscription to <em>True Wealth</em>. To learn more  about joining up, <a href="http://www1.youreletters.com/t/1471859/29576349/846897/0/" target="_blank">click here</a>. (The tax-free interest you earn this year  will easily pay for the subscription!)</font></p>
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