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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; Indian Steel</title>
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	<description>Access market-beating ideas from the world&#039;s top investment gurus on stock market investing, the gold market, ETFs, Forex trading and real estate values.</description>
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		<title>American Spring, Indian Steel</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/american-spring-indian-steel/1432</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/american-spring-indian-steel/1432#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 19 Apr 2008 20:45:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andy Carpenter</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Gold Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hong Kong Stock Exchange]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Indian Steel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[resource]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SAIL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[steel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tata Steel]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/american-spring-indian-steel/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Today, I am going to start running the first of the many opinion pieces you sent in last week.  There’s more below on the mechanics of that and how you too can get into the game.</p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">In fact, I nearly decided to skip the writin’ part myself this week and leave the heavy lifting to your contributions, because you guys are smart and I have caught a bad case of Spring Fever.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Chances are you have it too. As I write this (Thursday afternoon), with the exception of a small swath of the US Midwest, we here on our side of the equator are under the influence of glorious spring weather.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Here in Boston, we may hit 70 degrees for the first time&#8230;</font></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Today, I am going to start running the first of the many opinion pieces you sent in last week.  There’s more below on the mechanics of that and how you too can get into the game.<span id="more-1432"></span></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">In fact, I nearly decided to skip the writin’ part myself this week and leave the heavy lifting to your contributions, because you guys are smart and I have caught a bad case of Spring Fever.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Chances are you have it too. As I write this (Thursday afternoon), with the exception of a small swath of the US Midwest, we here on our side of the equator are under the influence of glorious spring weather.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Here in Boston, we may hit 70 degrees for the first time in something like 175 days. But I won’t brag too much, because I am sure IDE readers under the equator are grooving on some spectacular autumn weather. Still, in lieu of bagging it altogether this week, I’ll be rolling down the windows for today’s ride.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">I have spent most of the day, as I do a couple times week, running through a spreadsheet of my projected valuations for about 200 companies that trade on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">And before you get the idea that I am going to use that as a sleazy no-value-to-you entry point to talk about my newsletter, let me dissuade you of that idea, immediately.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Like you, I quickly tire of email gabbers who offer nothing more than lame ideas that somehow are shoehorned to fit their high-dollar newsletter’s point of view.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">I read one recently – all the way through – that was making some truly ridiculous points about the power of micro-cap investing. And sure enough, after making it appear as if the Pink Sheets were a secret market stocked with nothing but profit whales, the author closed by referring me to a penny-stock service.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">One, I assumed that has done what no one else has – found a way to make billons of dollars off of the Pink Sheet garbage pile… and if I don’t subscribe today I’ll die a penniless wretch… hey, maybe I have a future as a copy writer.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">WARNING: SHAMELESS SHILL AHEAD – Of course, that’s what I really like about IDE. Yes, missives from Charles, Lynn, Rusty, Andy Gordon, and Rick contain advertising but – and it’s a big BUT – 99% of the time you’ll not find a self-serving word among that crowd.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">You get free stuff… actual professional market insights…  with an absolute minimum of hassle.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">So anyway, back to my spreadsheet. I was digging though my HKEx forward valuations, which you can buy for a zillion dollars because it’s only stocked with whales, and I started noodling around steel company valuations.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">A warm breeze was wafting through my office windows and next thing you know I was naked with daisies in my hair romping on the front lawn singing, “When the moooooon is in the seventh house and Jupiter aligns with Mars… Leeettttt the sunshine, Leeettttt the sunshine in, the sunshine in.”</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Whoops. I mean the next thing you know I was looking at the  global steel industry as a whole.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">I found something interesting that pertains to the Indian  steel industry. </font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">It looks to me as if Indian steel stocks are headed toward some very attractive gains after suffering a pretty stiff correction during the past three or four months.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">The best I can figure, most of that dive was due to  misplaced fears of weak earnings caused by robust raw-commodity prices.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">And, while costs are an issue, I think Tata Steel and Steal Authority of India (SAIL) are due for a nice bounce… 15% to 20% over the short term.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">In fact, they may even be sweet long-term value plays considering that they trade at about a 35% discount to their global peers.  On top of that, it looks like India’s government is set to step in and regulate prices… but in favor of state-owned SAIL. That means, at a minimum, jacked up prices could help all Indian steel outfits with second- and third-quarter earnings.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">This, at worst, should create a solid short- to medium-term  low-risk/high-reward scenario for investors.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Now, as promised, a word about the Saturday IDE opinion  challenge, which is a very simple concept.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Since we’re more relaxed here on the weekend, I thought it would be a great place for you to share your opinions… but, not in the usual two-line “hey a**hole,” way, but in the longer sign-your-work way.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">So, we’re opening up the spigot for your opinions… as long as they are decently well-thought and not more than 350 words long you’re in… I’ve got about 12 queued now… and as I said last week, don’t worry if you’re punctuation and grammar shy – I got people (me) to give you a hand up there.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">So, pen your opinion, paste it into the reply tab down below, and I’ll work my way through them and publish one to two a week, at minimum.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Easy!</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">See you next week. I’ll be the one with the big smile and  the sunburn.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Now, let’s turn things over to Bob then Kevin, both of whom show you just how easy it is to make a good, engaging argument… I am hearing footsteps. </font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Lock and load.</font></p>
<p><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">Andy</font></p>
<p align="left"><font face="Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif" size="2">P.S.  To let me know what you thought of today&#8217;s article, send an e-mail to: <a href="mailto:feedback@investorsdailyedge.com" target="_blank"><font color="#b26603"><u>feedback@investorsdailyedge.com</u></font></a>.</font></p>
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