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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; Inflation Germany</title>
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		<title>Euro Heads Back Towards Record High on German Economic Strength</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/euro-heads-back-towards-record-high-on-german-economic-strength/2372</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/euro-heads-back-towards-record-high-on-german-economic-strength/2372#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 May 2008 20:38:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Yousfi</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[International Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ben Bernanke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consumer Price Inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Credit Crunch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Credit Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dollar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ECB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[euro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fomc]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[German Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inflation Germany]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/euro-heads-back-towards-record-high-on-german-economic-strength/2372</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>An unexpected increase in German business confidence sent the euro to a one-month high versus the dollar yesterday (Wednesday) on speculation that the European Central Bank could be forced to hike interest rates to combat inflation.</p>
<p>Germany’s <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ifo_institute" onclick="s_objectID="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ifo_institute_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">Ifo Institute</a> Business Climate Index increased to 103.5 in May from 102.4 in April. Economists had expected the index to decline to approximately 102.0.</p>
<p>“On the whole, <a href="http://www.forbes.com/feeds/ap/2008/05/21/ap5033862.html" onclick="s_objectID="http://www.forbes.com/feeds/ap/2008/05/21/ap5033862.html_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">the dampening  of economic activity in Germany in the months following the very good first  quarter should be moderate</a>,” the institute said of the results, which were  gathered from the polling of 7,000 German firms, <strong><em>The Associated Press</em></strong> reported.</p>
<p>Germany is the largest economy in the European Union and has so far proved fairly resistant to the global credit crunch and&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>An unexpected increase in German business confidence sent the euro to a one-month high versus the dollar yesterday (Wednesday) on speculation that the European Central Bank could be forced to hike interest rates to combat inflation.<span id="more-2372"></span></p>
<p>Germany’s <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ifo_institute" onclick="s_objectID="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ifo_institute_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">Ifo Institute</a> Business Climate Index increased to 103.5 in May from 102.4 in April. Economists had expected the index to decline to approximately 102.0.</p>
<p>“On the whole, <a href="http://www.forbes.com/feeds/ap/2008/05/21/ap5033862.html" onclick="s_objectID="http://www.forbes.com/feeds/ap/2008/05/21/ap5033862.html_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">the dampening  of economic activity in Germany in the months following the very good first  quarter should be moderate</a>,” the institute said of the results, which were  gathered from the polling of 7,000 German firms, <strong><em>The Associated Press</em></strong> reported.</p>
<p>Germany is the largest economy in the European Union and has so far proved fairly resistant to the global credit crunch and the surge in dollar-denominated commodities. With the German economy helping to fuel Eurozone growth, the ECB can turn its attention to consumer price inflation. The possibility of an interest rate increase to help curtail soaring prices pushed the euro higher against the greenback.</p>
<p>The euro traded as high as $1.5765 as of 1:22 p.m. yesterday  in New York, <strong><em>Bloomberg News</em></strong> reported, a 0.8% increase from the  day prior and headed towards the euro’s all-time high of $1.6019, established  April 22.</p>
<p>The ECB has remained hawkish on inflation, while the U.S. Federal Reserve, Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and the central bank’s policymaking Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) have chosen to focus on the weak U.S. economy and pursued an aggressive rate cutting campaign to try to spur economic activity. The dollar has suffered as a result.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcminutes20080430.htm" onclick="s_objectID="http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomcminutes20080430.htm_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">The  minutes from the FOMC’s April 29-30 meeting were released</a> yesterday and indicated that the committee is still concerned by factors contributing to sluggish growth including the weak labor market, slowing consumer spending and continued lack of liquidity in the credit markets. <strong><em><a href="http://www.moneymorning.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Money Morning</a></em></strong> <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/05/19/talks-about-inflation-and-interest-rates-will-be-on-the-front-burner-this-week-as-economic-speculation-resumes/" onclick="s_objectID="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/05/19/talks-about-inflation-and-interest-rates-will-be-on-the-fr_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">reported  Monday that the Fed minutes were certain to be a key topic of conversation</a> among economists this week.</p>
<p>The central bank committee that sets interest rates noted that “conditions across a number of financial markets were judged to have improved over the inter-meeting period, but financial markets remained fragile and strains in some markets had intensified.”</p>
<p>The FOMC voted to reduce the Fed funds rate by 25 basis points at its April meeting, but due to the “improved” conditions, many believe the Fed will hold rates steady at the next policymaking meeting slated for June 24 – 25.</p>
<p>The signal of a Fed pause led to a brief rally in the dollar after the release FOMC’s statement. However, a Fed that is holding rates steady is no match for an ECB that’s raising rates.</p>
<p>“The euro is heading back to $1.60,” Adam Boyton, a senior  currency strategist at Deutsche Bank AG (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ADB" onclick="s_objectID="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ADB_1";return this.s_oc?this.s_oc(e):true">DB</a>) in New York told <strong><em>Bloomberg</em></strong>.  “Interest-rate differential and high oil prices are supporting the euro.”</p>
<p>Source: <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/05/21/euro-heads-back-towards-record-high-on-german-economic-strength/">Euro Heads Back Towards Record High on German Economic Strength</a></p>
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