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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; Interest Rate Reductions</title>
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		<title>Consumer Sentiment at Lowest Level Since Stagflation Era</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/consumer-sentiment-at-lowest-level-since-stagflation-era/2207</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/consumer-sentiment-at-lowest-level-since-stagflation-era/2207#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 May 2008 13:16:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jennifer Yousfi</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics & Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Deceleration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fuel Costs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Income Households]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Insight Inc]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Interest Rate Reductions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stagflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tax Rebate Checks]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/consumer-sentiment-at-lowest-level-since-stagflation-era/2207</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Mirroring the stagflation of the early 1980s, consumer sentiment hit its lowest level since that time period this month as short-term inflation continues to ramp up.</p>
<p>The Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment dropped to 59.5 in May from 62.6 in April. The index is at its lowest level since June 1980. Consumer confidence was at 85.6 as recently as 2007.</p>
<p>&#8220;<a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&#38;sid=aqqGY5BrKuoA&#38;refer=home">The  consumer is getting extremely grumpy</a>,&#8221; Brian Bethune, director of financial  economics at <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=12534257">Global  Insight Inc.</a>, who had forecast a decline in the confidence index to 59.6,  told <strong><em>Bloomberg News</em></strong>. &#8220;The economy is flirting with a recession. The only thing keeping it out is this huge amount of pump-priming going on,&#8221; including aggressive interest-rate reductions by the U.S. Federal&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mirroring the stagflation of the early 1980s, consumer sentiment hit its lowest level since that time period this month as short-term inflation continues to ramp up.</p>
<p>The Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment dropped to 59.5 in May from 62.6 in April. The index is at its lowest level since June 1980. Consumer confidence was at 85.6 as recently as 2007.</p>
<p>&#8220;<a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=aqqGY5BrKuoA&amp;refer=home">The  consumer is getting extremely grumpy</a>,&#8221; Brian Bethune, director of financial  economics at <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=12534257">Global  Insight Inc.</a>, who had forecast a decline in the confidence index to 59.6,  told <strong><em>Bloomberg News</em></strong>. &#8220;The economy is flirting with a recession. The only thing keeping it out is this huge amount of pump-priming going on,&#8221; including aggressive interest-rate reductions by the U.S. Federal Reserve, the government’s stimulus package and deep discounting by retailers.</p>
<p>Lower-income households are feeling the rising prices at the pump and grocery store most acutely, the survey showed, as such households were the main cause for the index’s fourth consecutive monthly decline.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/domesticNews/idUSN1632051720080516">The  confidence index was well below economists’ median expectation of a reading of  62.0</a>, according to a <strong><em>Reuters </em></strong>poll, the news service reported.</p>
<p>&#8220;Consumer confidence continued to slip in early May due to surging food and fuel prices,&#8221; the Surveys of Consumers statement said according to <strong><em>Reuters</em></strong>. &#8220;Record numbers of consumers viewed the  economy in recession and saw little hope of recovery anytime soon.&#8221;</p>
<p>Consumer spending provides the bulk of U.S. gross domestic product, but a deteriorating housing market coupled with high food and fuel costs are eating away at household discretionary income.</p>
<p>The $117 billion in tax-rebate checks mailed to consumers as part of the Bush administration’s stimulus plan should lead to a rebound in spending in the third quarter, followed by a deceleration by year-end, a <strong><em>Bloomberg</em></strong> poll showed.</p>
<p>Source: <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/05/19/consumer-sentiment-at-lowest-level-since-stagflation-era/">Consumer Sentiment at Lowest Level Since Stagflation Era</a></p>
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		<title>Precious Metals Get Tagged Again</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/precious-metals-get-tagged-again/1741</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/precious-metals-get-tagged-again/1741#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 02 May 2008 11:39:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Doug Casey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Gold Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cash Infusion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fed]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Interest Rate Reductions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kitco]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[platinum]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[resources]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Thebulliondesk]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p class="maintextDRP">Gold took it on the chin after holding near $880 in the far East, falling in London and through most of the New York session on Thursday, before finally finding a bottom at $850 and trading sideways for the afternoon hours, finishing at $851.90, down $24.70. Overnight, gold has been flat.</p>
<p class="maintextDRP">
Platinum also took a pounding, just coming off its intraday low to end at $1865/oz., down $68. Overnight, platinum has edged lower.</p>
<p>Silver’s decline was even sharper than gold’s, but it did bounce off the $16 mark and rebound up to close at $16.15, down 69 cents. Overnight, silver is trending higher.<br />
(<a href="javascript:openCharts();">Click here for charts</a>)</p>
<p>The bloodletting in the precious metals continued with a vengeance yesterday, but with gold finding support at&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="maintextDRP">Gold took it on the chin after holding near $880 in the far East, falling in London and through most of the New York session on Thursday, before finally finding a bottom at $850 and trading sideways for the afternoon hours, finishing at $851.90, down $24.70. Overnight, gold has been flat.</p>
<p class="maintextDRP">
Platinum also took a pounding, just coming off its intraday low to end at $1865/oz., down $68. Overnight, platinum has edged lower.</p>
<p>Silver’s decline was even sharper than gold’s, but it did bounce off the $16 mark and rebound up to close at $16.15, down 69 cents. Overnight, silver is trending higher.<br />
(<a href="javascript:openCharts();">Click here for charts</a>)</p>
<p>The bloodletting in the precious metals continued with a vengeance yesterday, but with gold finding support at $850 and silver at $16, is the worst over? It’s way too soon to tell, as yet.</p>
<p>One thing for certain is that this is entirely counterintuitive. The Federal Reserve’s quarter-point cut on Wednesday is inflationary, without question, which should be gold-positive. But traders seem to be grasping at the straw that the Fed may be done, based on little evidence.</p>
<p>If this is indeed the end of this round of interest rate reductions, then that could be seen as very slightly dollar- and equity-positive. But not to the extent we saw yesterday, with stocks booming and the buck strong.</p>
<p>The truth of the matter, though, is that the Fed wouldn’t have acted if it felt that the economy had been given enough of a cash infusion to perk it up. And it is also true that serious inflation is baked into the cake.</p>
<p>That the market can ignore those important factors in favor of a wispy hope that things maybe, possibly, might not be quite as bad as they seem is a good indication of just how daffy this market is.</p>
<p>Whatever, “gold will remain at risk to further corrections in the coming sessions,” wrote James Moore, of <em>TheBullionDesk.com</em>.</p>
<p>Perennial pessimist Jon Nadler of Kitco goes farther, saying that, “Despite the lack of a clear pause signal in yesterday&#8217;s Fed announcement, the markets are treating May/June as the pivot point beyond which they can no longer reliably depend on ever cheaper dollars to fuel speculative binges in commodities.”</p>
<p>But what then will they spend those eroding dollars on?</p>
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