All Posts Tagged With: "Investing In Oil"
Why Energy and Resource Plays Will Profit in the Long Term
One of the biggest collapses this year hasn’t been in stocks. Crude oil has lost half its value since it peaked at just under $150 a barrel in July. Today, a barrel of the black goo sells for just over $80.
Outstanding Investments co-editor Byron King says “it seems like the investment locomotive — energy, resources and related infrastructure — has derailed.”
Does this mean you should sell your resource stocks? Byron says selling now would leave a lot of value on the table. That’s because resource stocks are now priced well below their intrinsic value.
Some Very Healthy Resource Stocks Are ‘Shockingly’ Cheap
It remains to be seen whether fear takes control of the markets again today. So far, global equities have seen a reprieve from the brutal pounding they suffered last week.
The crash in stock prices has most investors spooked. But it’s worth keeping you head while others lose theirs, says Strategic Investment editor Dan Amoss.
Right now, there are some very healthy resource stocks are shockingly cheap. What Dan calls “screaming bargains.”
Early Indicators: Europe Acts to Rescue Banks… Stocks Up…
– The German government is gearing up today to pump cash in the the bank and insurance sector. Talk is that Germans will stump up €470bn as part of the much-hyped ‘coordinated bailout’ campaign by European governments.
– The move has set off a rally in European banking stocks.
– Asian markets were also up this morning. Hong Kong shares shot up over 10%. It was the biggest one-day rise in more than 33 years.
– Meanwhile, European central banks have promised unlimited dollar funding.
The Only Safe Oil Investment: Tanker Ships
Crude oil prices have been highly volatile this. From its $146 peak in July, the black goo is down at $87 a barrel.
It’s a scary time to be a direct investor in oil. But Byron King says is one way of sidestepping the wild price swings: investing in tanker ships.
“As long as people continue to use oil,” says Bryon, “there will be some consistency to the tanker business.”
There is a relatively tight market for charters. And many good reasons why there won’t be a capacity glut in coming years.
Early Indicators: Perilous Turn… New Fed Lending Scheme
– The worlds financial markets are waking up to a harsh reality this morning: the financial crisis has moved far beyond US subprime-mortgage meltdown to a fundamental breakdown of trust in the money markets that is dragging the sick and the healthy down alike. Yesterday’s drop below the 10,000 mark for the Dow is ample evidence that the Bush administration’s pork-laden plan to rescue the US banks has fallen short of its stated goal of shoring up confidence in the markets.
– As quoted in Agora Financial’s 5 Min. Forecast, “The idea of the bailout,” one trader told CNBC soon after the close on Friday “sounded better than the actual bailout.”
Early Indicators: Europe’s Turn
– The credit crisis has spread. Over the weekend, Germany issued a blanket guarantee of consumer bank deposits. The German government also bailed out lender Hypo Real Estate Holding AG that was close to collapse after private lenders pulled out of an their own bailout plan.
– European stocks are getting trashed. According to the Financial Times, “Dizzying falls across the [financial] sector came across the continent and led to big overall losses on leading indices.”
– There are calls for a European-wide fund to recapitalize banks. So far, European governments are acting individually to stem the crisis.
Early Indicators: Happy Ending?
– After a week of grim news, could Friday provide a happy ending to the week? Some in Washington certainly hope so. According to the WSJ, the bailout bill “appeared to gather momentum in the House of Representatives” after the strong bipartisan showing in the Senate.
– US stock futures reflect the brighter mood on Capitol Hill. “S&P 500 futures rose 9 points to 1,133.40 and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 10.25 points to 1,520.75. Dow industrial futures rose 73 points,” according to MarketWatch.
– Also adding to the positivity is news that Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) is to buy Wachovia (NYSE:WB)in a $15.4 billion takeover.
Hedge Fund ‘Extinction’ Could Kill Off Commodities
Since mid-2007, 81 hedge funds have imploded. Another 34 are in trouble.
“No matter how you cut it, it’s been a rough year for the hedge fund industry,” says J. Christoph Amberger, editor of Today’s Financial News.
These funds may soon be forced to sell off their assets - many of which are commodities.
J. Christoph says this have a market-flooding effect… and weigh heavily on commodities prices.
Watch Oil Spike If Government Bailout Passes
The Senate is voting today on the bailout bill. It’s gained a FDIC insurance raise and significant tax breaks since it failed in Congress. Senate leaders say this would put pressure on the House pass the bill on a second vote.
The passing of the bill would mean “far higher prices are ahead,” according to Keith Fitz-Gerald.
And higher prices - otherwise known as inflation - means higher oil prices to come.
Early Indicators: Senate Votes… Stocks Lag
– Today, it’s the turn of the Senate to vote on the bailout bill that Congress ditched spectacularly on Monday. Call it bold move, call it political stunt, Senate leaders hope the move will help the bill pick up more votes in the House.
– Mr. Market is still on edge, however. US stock futures have slipped after yesterday’s surge. “S&P 500 futures fell 11.9 points to 1,156.80 and Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 19 points to 1,585.50. Dow industrial futures fell 96 points,” reports MarketWatch.
– The FDIC isn’t taking any chances. It is asking Congress to approve an increase in deposit insurance limits.
Latest News
- It Could Get Worse Before It Gets Better3:42pm CDT
- Base Metals Savaged3:36pm CDT
- Crude Plummets Below $803:31pm CDT
- Shortages, Bankruptcy and More!3:28pm CDT
- US Dollar Whipping Everyone3:26pm CDT
- Fed Floods the Markets with US$3:22pm CDT
- Gold Endures Frightful Selloff3:19pm CDT
- Citigroup Concedes Wachovia to Wells Fargo3:00pm CDT
- Breaking News: Dow Rebounds… Biggest One-Day Gain Ever…2:20pm CDT
- Adam Lass Says US Blue Chips Could Lose Another 34%1:49pm CDT
- Why Smart Investors Should Be Thinking about Cows11:42am CDT
- Why Energy and Resource Plays Will Profit in the Long Term10:41am CDT
- Some Very Healthy Resource Stocks Are ‘Shockingly’ Cheap10:20am CDT
- How to Play the Sovereign Wealth Fund Property Boom9:26am CDT
- Early Indicators: Europe Acts to Rescue Banks… Stocks Up…9:19am CDT
- Nouriel Roubini: Markets Will Fall Another 20%5:55pm CDT
- Goerge Soros: Financial Crisis Is the ‘End of an Era’1:48pm CDT
- Government Rescues Will Trigger a Bull Market in Gold11:22am CDT
- Natural Gas and Water Are the Investments of the Future2:41pm CDT
