The Tokyo-based company lost $1.1 billion (98.9 billion yen) last year, and it expects to lose another $1.4 billion (120 billion yen) in its fiscal year ending March 31.  That would be Sony’s first back-to-back annual loss since the company went public in 1958.

And despite renewed optimism within its ranks, Sony still faces a plethora of challenges, including a questionable direction, cost-conscious consumers and a strengthening yen.

The onetime bellwether of the electronics industry has seen its market share crumble in almost every category: Nintendo Co. Ltd.’s (OTC ADR: NTDOY) Wii game console has supplanted Sony’s PlayStation brand, Sony has given up its lead in portable media players to Apple Inc.’s (Nasdaq: AAPL) iPod, and Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd. is now the world’s largest seller of televisions.

Hoping to turn the tide, Sony earlier this year underwent a major restructuring with the goal of unifying its hardware, software and entertainment businesses. The idea is to leverage its growing catalog of networked products with the software and services its sells, such as Internet-enabled televisions that enable consumers to watch Sony movies through an online connection.

“Consumers want products that are networked, multi-functional and service-enhanced utilizing open technologies, and user experiences that are rich, shared and, increasingly, green,” said Sony Chief Executive Officer Howard Stringer. “[The restructuring] will now make it possible for all of Sony’s parts to work together to assume a position of worldwide leadership and, together, achieve great things.”

Doubts Cast Shadow Over Efforts

While analysts agree with Sony’s loss estimate for this year, some doubt its restructuring efforts – which included thousands of layoffs and a streamlining of manufacturing in the – will truly pay off.

“They were hit fairly early by the downturn and have moved quicker than some competitors to restructure, but it remains to be seen if those moves will pay off,” Hideyuki Ookoshi, who helps oversee $365 million at Chiba-Gin Asset Management in Tokyo, told Bloomberg News. “The problem with Sony is it doesn’t know what it wants to be: Is it a game company, a consumer-electronics maker, a financial-services provider? There’s no direction.”

Operating income at Sony’s financial services division was propelled more than 57% by a boost in its life insurance revenue in the company’s fiscal first quarter ended June 30. But this non-core business won’t be the catalyst that brings Sony out of the red, according to Makoto Haga, president of Tokyo-based hedge fund Wing Asset Management Co.

“Profit at the financial unit helped Sony narrow a loss, but investors don’t appreciate that,” Haga told Bloomberg. “I can’t see any engine that drives its recovery and the company’s prospects are dim.”

As it stands now, CEO Stringer’s cost-cutting efforts have only gone so far, and investors like Yasuhiko Hirakawa want the British-born executive to prove he can boost Sony’s sales, which are expected to be 6% lower than last year.

“Cost cutting and reshuffling of management may help mend unprofitable businesses but they won’t make Sony competitive against Samsung and other rivals,” said Hirakawa, a fund manager at DIAM Co., which oversees $80 billion in assets including Sony shares. “The brand is still highly regarded but that won’t last forever.”

Premium Without the Value in Tough Times

While all electronics manufacturers have suffered during the worst economic crisis since World War II, premium-branded Sony has been hit especially hard. The economy has brought out the practical side of consumers, who flocked to cheaper television sets from makers like Vizio Inc., which is No. 2 in North America behind Samsung.

It’s the “intensification of price competition” that contributed to Sony’s $1.7 billion operating loss in its electronics segment last year, the company said. Comparable televisions from Samsung are often hundreds of dollars less than a Sony, without a significant sacrifice in tangible quality.

“I don’t think you can say a Samsung TV has a better picture than Sony TV,” Richard Doherty, co-founder of industry researcher Envisioneering Group told the San Diego Union-Tribune. “But (the difference) has narrowed, and that’s one of the problems.”

Indeed, while TVs from Sony may have technically superior features such as 240mhz refresh rates, it usually won’t make a difference to the mass market. The benefit of such a feature is “difficult to discern,” writes CNET, a leading Web site from CBS Interactive Inc.

Televisions are just one area where Sony is struggling with its value proposition. Until recently, Sony faced mounting pressure from video game executives and analysts to cut the price of its $400 PlayStation 3 (PS3) console.

“They have to cut the price, because if they don’t, the attach rates [the ratio of games purchased to a console] are likely to slow. If we are being realistic, we might have to stop supporting Sony,” Bobby Kotick, chief executive officer and president of Activision Blizzard Inc. (Nasdaq: ATVI) said in a June interview with Times Online.

After months of lowering manufacturing costs on PS3, Sony finally dropped the price of the console to $300 in the United States and launched an ad campaign touting “It only does everything,” a reference to PS3’s ability to play games, Blu-ray movies and browse the Internet.

The result was Sony selling more than 1 million PS3s in the first three weeks of September, almost the same amount it sold in the entire second quarter. A similar price drop in Japan led to PS3 outselling Nintendo’s Wii last month, a first since the console was released in Nov. 2006.

Sony’s Walkman, which first revolutionized portable audio 30 years ago, now comes in the form of a touchscreen digital media player, but has failed to put a dent in Apple’s ubiquitous iPod, which also has a touchscreen model. Sony’s 32-gigabyte Walkman sells for $400. But while it gives users some limited Internet options, Apple’s comparable iPod Touch sells for $100 less and has access to thousands of applications – many of them free – in its vaunted App Store.

Without any tangible features to discern it from the competition, it’s no wonder Sony expects to sell just 6.7 million Walkmans this year, while Apple sold 10 million iPods in its third quarter alone.

Currency Crisis

Sony, like its Japanese counterpart Panasonic Corp. (NYSE ADR: PC), is inherently at a disadvantage to Korean competitors like Samsung and LG Electronics Inc. due to the yen’s strengthening position against the won and U.S. dollar. The yen’s gain has enabled the Korean manufacturers to sell its products at a discount of as much as a 10% without taking a hit on margin.

“We don’t have a moment to breathe,” Sony Vice Chairman Ryoji Chubachi said of the strengthening Japanese currency in a Bloomberg interview on Tuesday. “It is a tough environment.”

The yen has gained about 15% versus the Korean won and 14% against the dollar in the 12 months ended Sept. 30, according to Bloomberg data. The dollar is at its weakest levels against the yen since February, trading at as low as 88.86 yen on Tuesday. The yen has been the third-best performer among G-10 members in the past 12 months.

For Sony and other Japanese companies, a rising yen is “like a death warrant as things stand now and if this continues, they will have a very difficult time,” said Chu Moon Sung, a Seoul-based fund manager at Shinhan BNP Paribas Asset Management Co., which manages the equivalent of $26 billion in assets. “For Korean companies, it’s a favorable environment and the currency has been the biggest factor for their good performance.”

Source: The Three Roadblocks to Sony’s Turnaround

Even though the “Merger Monday” trend is not continuing this week, we have a Monday morning filled with positive news and upgrades. The action is putting new wealth into the pockets of plenty of investors.

One of the morning’s biggest movers comes close to the form of a merger. With the news the Swiss technology company Kudelski has raised its tender offer price for OpenTV (NASDAQ:OPTV) to $1.55, shares of the American digital-television software manufacturer have surged ahead by nearly 20%.

Earlier this year, Kudelski offered to purchase the 87% of the company it does not own for $1.35. But a shareholder committee bulked at the offer and the Swiss backed out.

This morning OpenTV shareholders are glad they shook off the last potential deal. Kudelski’s offer is doing what the markets could not accomplish, raise the share price above $1.55 and keep it there.

While it is too soon to know for certain, I’m thinking the deal will be finalized this time.

Food? Where’s the value?

Another company worth paying attention to today is Manitowac (NYSE:MTW). Thanks to an upgrade by the folks over at Deutsche Securities, shares of the crane manufacturer and foodservice operator are up by nearly 15%.

Interestingly, the upgrading analyst does not cite the company’s heavy-manufacturing exposure as the catalyst for earnings growth. Instead, he feels the foodservice division will “dominate” over the next couple of years, providing some 45% of Manitowac’s revenue and 65% of its pre-tax earnings.

The chief reason for the predicted boost in profitability is a sizeable increase in margins, a theme certainly not prevalent in a “de-inflationary” economic environment.

It will be interesting to see how this one works out. After surging by nearly 300% from its March lows, I am not expecting this stock to soar much further anytime soon.

Finally, we have all heard the fairly decent news out of the nation’s computer manufacturers over the past couple of months. Now it is trickling down the supply chain.

After a four-fold share price increase over the past seven months, Ultra Clean Holdings (NASDAQ:UCTT)was the recipient of a late-inning upgrade from Needham this morning. The equity research team switched their outlook from “hold” to “buy.”

Better late than never?

Again, potential investors may be a few months late if they want to get in on the big money potential.

Shares of the $120 million company, which specializes in subsystems for the semi-conductor industry, are just shy of 52-week highs, fully recovered from the meltdown of the past 12 months.

While it is easy to sit behind my desk and pick on analysts for being late to the party, there are plenty of investors reliably profiting from investing contrary to analyst upgrades or downgrades.

After the ultra-bullish quarter we just put into the books, this looks like as good of a time to investigate the strategy as ever. The more top-heavy this market becomes and the faster it moves, the more smart investors will look at downside strategies.

OpenTV investors are likely to sell their stakes at today’s offering price in order to lock in gains. I would be surprised if Manitowac and Ultra Clean investors do not follow in kind over the next week or so.

It won’t take much for investors to start selling once again.

Source: Three Big Movers to Start the Week

I’m talking about organic light-emitting diodes, or OLEDs. OLED displays are taking off in a big way. These next-generation displays are perfect for the mobile phone and personal media device markets because they are thinner than traditional displays and produce sharper images.

OLED — and active-matrix OLED — technology has now reached its tipping point. Very soon, we will begin to see OLEDs used in a vast array of electronics, including small televisions, digital cameras, netbooks, phones — the list goes on and on.

The rise of the OLED display is similar to that of the flat-panel television. Once a novelty, flat-panel LCD and plasma televisions quickly became the industry standard as quality and production increased while prices fell. The “transition” from bulky tube televisions to sleek flat-panel displays took only a few short years.

Try walking into your neighborhood electronics store today to browse the tube television selection. Be warned: You will be disappointed. Only a few models remain, and you can easily purchase a comparable flat-panel television for about the same price. And a flat panel can actually save you money, since it uses less power than a standard TV. Yes, it seems that the tube television is going the way of the VCR. It won’t be long before they’re only available at yard sales and antique stores.

OLED Growth: The Story Is in the Numbers

Experts from world mobile display sector leader Samsung Mobile Display are banking on OLED screen use in mobile phones to “grow significantly.” And with overall smartphone use also growing dramatically, we have before us a unique opportunity in the OLED market.

The Samsung venture expects the global smartphone market to grow to 500 million units by 2012, making up almost 30% of the industry. To put this in perspective, consumers are using 170 million smartphones right now.

Better phone technology means better displays. Samsung predicts OLED screens will be used in half of these new phones over the next five years. That’s hundreds of millions of units…

Overall, the OLED display market will grow to $6.2 billion, according to DisplaySearch forecasts. Last year, the total OLED market was worth an estimated $600,000. As you can see, we are looking at exponential growth, with the mobile phone market leading the charge.

As the technology continues to improve, we will begin to see even larger OLED displays. LG Electronics and Sony (NYSE:SNE) are each planning on releasing 15-inch and bigger OLED display televisions by the end of this year, according to DisplaySearch, with OLED netbooks and larger televisions showing up by the end of 2010.

Obviously, LG and Samsung are the big players in this market. But there are a couple of small-caps that have also found success developing OLED technologies. A good place to start looking would be Universal Display Corp. (NASDAQ: PANL). While the company is not yet profitable, it does have a promising patent portfolio that includes phosphorescent OLED technology.

Best,
Greg Guenthner

Source: OLED: The Next High-Tech Profit Opportunity

The obvious answer is that they’re four of the most successful technology companies on the planet.

But they’re also heavily involved in the modernization plans for America’s “Smart Grid” – a topic I introduced in a previous column.

Make no mistake, with a decade-long project as monumental as modernizing the country’s “Smart Grid,” the devil is truly in the details. And the Commerce Department released the finer details of the initiative last week.

Until now, one of the big problems with the “Smart Grid” was the lack of set standards. Without them, each power company would be free to do as it pleases, resulting in a hodge-podge of small grids that, in all likelihood, wouldn’t work together.

To put this in perspective, just imagine how well the Internet would work if there weren’t hundreds (or perhaps even thousands) of standards in place so that everything works seamlessly.

So the National Institute of Standards (NIST) prepared the detailed standards that the Commerce Department wants the power industry to use as they build intelligence into the electrical power grid.

Job #1: Setting Up an American “Smart Grid” Standard

The standards released last week are the result of NIST’s review of proposed measures it sent out to companies like Cisco, IBM, AT&T and Intel, plus hundreds of others, seeking industry comments.

This plan basically details the integration and connection of smart meters, plus data sharing on energy usage among utilities and cyber security standards.

With regard to the latter, the big four firms lobbied vigorously for certain data and communications standards. This is because they want to integrate the essential “hooks” into their product lines as soon as possible.

And the NIST standards require internet-protocol (IP) technology in any system connected to the “Smart Grid.” The idea here is that the existing Internet could be used as the information highway for “Smart Grid” data communications and also for control purposes.

That’s good news for Cisco, in particular. It’s already a leader in IP technology, having integrated it into the “Smart Grid” systems that it currently sells.

But this brings up a potentially big problem…

Smart Meters By Name… But Not By Nature

If “Smart Grid” communication is based on IP technology, how vulnerable is it to hacking?

In order to attack the hardware, you first need to gain access to it to determine the kind of programming required to hack it. Smart hackers could simply walk up to a house where no one is home and steal one using a pair of pliers.

Once the hacker has access to the smart meter’s programming and special software codes, he can then begin communicating with all the meters made by that same manufacturer. As utilities continue their rollout of smart meters, those numbers will be in the millions.

As Mike Davis, a senior security consultant at IOActive, says, current smart meters are “probably not mature enough” and can easily be hacked.

Davis has tested a number of currently available meters (he hasn’t publicly revealed which ones) and identified vulnerabilities that could allow an experienced hacker to shut off large numbers of meters all at once from anywhere in the world.

Imagine a hacker issuing a command to several hundred thousand meters, telling them to simultaneously turn off all at once… and then immediately back on. The resulting surge would blow just about every breaker in the utilities’ grid, taking hours if not days to restore. And the next day, they could do it all over again.

Clearly, this is a serious problem for the utilities and meter makers to address. So what’s being done about it?

These Four Tech Titans Are Poised to Cash In

The good news is that with standards now in place, the Obama administration is ready to start issuing checks – perhaps as early as November. And those checks are worth a total $4.5 billion – money that the government earmarked for the “Smart Grid” project back in January.

And the beneficiaries of this windfall? Cisco, IBM, AT&T, Intel and others.

This just goes to show that it’s not just the obvious candidates that stand to profit from the electrical “Smart Grid” plans (utilities, etc). These great tech giants are ready and waiting to deliver crucial services, too.

Good investing,

David Fessler

Source: Four Companies Set to Profit from a Federal Cash Injection

Keep this volatility tip in mind and you’ll be well on your way to profiting from the price swings…

It can be nerve-racking to watch a stock pinball. And if you own shares of any penny stock, you have to be able to spot whether or not the stock is taking a turn for the worse. But wild price swings don’t always mean that there’s cause for concern in your small-cap portfolio.

OTC Is Inherently Volatile

Volatility is inherent in any small-cap stock, but that’s especially true of stocks that trade over-the-counter, or OTC.

And now, with volatility higher than ever on the big boards – like the NYSE and the NASDAQ – as well, the volatility we’re seeing in the penny stock arena is unprecedented. That’s why we need to consider the cause of the volatility, because the reason for a price swing can often tell us quite a bit about where prices are headed next.

First, you need to look at the bid and ask.

The bid – the price that investors are willing to pay for shares – and the ask – the price shareholders are willing to sell shares for – are key parts of how shares of a stock are priced. With blue chips, the difference between the bid and ask price (known as the spread) is tiny, but for penny stocks spreads can be enormous.

Just look at WordGate Communications (OTC: WGAT), which has a 4 cent spread as of Friday morning. With WGAT currently trading at $1.04 per share, that spread represents almost a 4% of the company’s share price – and many OTC stocks have much higher spreads.

That’s largely a product of volume, which is the number of shares that trade hands during trading. Because investors set the market prices of stocks by their buying and selling activity, all any stock needs to make a serious move (up or down) is trading volume. That’s why it’s exciting to find a stock that can make a big move without a lot of extra buying power behind it.

You may have heard a broker or trader talk about a stock that “moves on air.” Simply put, it doesn’t take a lot of extra buying to get shares to blast off. That’s why traders are always looking for “low floaters.” These are the stocks that don’t have a lot of shares that are unrestricted and available for trading on any given day. That’s often true of penny stocks – with relatively low trading volume on any given day, small share transactions can be a major component of share price.

That’s why OTC stocks are so powerful. Little bumps in volume can translate into huge moves in the share price. That was certainly the case with WGAT – shares have rallied 134% in the last month alone thanks to a volume-induced push. And other OTC plays, like IMAGING3 Inc. (OTC: IMGG) have fared even better, pushing 1,580% in the last thirty days.

That’s performance that you’ll only find with bulletin board stocks…

When investor interest returns and volume picks up — thanks to positive news, earnings or guidance — the spread should shrink and the stock should move up nicely.

Just look at the real-time streaming quote generator on your online brokerage site. Type in your favorite blue chip and you’ll see a flurry of activity. Thousands upon thousands of shares will trade in a matter of seconds right before your eyes.

Now type in WGAT or IMGG – two OTC stocks that we’ve been getting quite a bit of reader mail about recently. If it’s a busy day, you could see the bid or ask tick up and down a bit, with a few thousand shares exchanging hands over the course of the morning. But then there are the slow days, when the stock barely moves at all…with a painfully large spread.

That’s nothing to worry about. Just remember this: If there’s no unusual volume backing up a drop, chances are the move won’t hold. Sometimes you’ll see a “shake” — the stock price taking a dive on the sale of just a few hundred shares. Don’t fall into this trap and sell…prices will more than likely return to previous levels sooner, rather than later.

Cheers,
Jonas Elmerraji

Source: Why Volatility Equals Profits for Small-Cap Stocks

For its second quarter ended August 29, RIM reported net income of $475.6 million, or 83 cents per share on revenue of $3.53 billion. That compares to a net income of $643.0 million, or $1.12 per share on revenue of $3.42 billion in the same quarter a year ago.

Analysts expected RIMM to earn $1 per share on revenue of $3.62 billion, according to Briefing.com.

In June, RIM held a commanding market share lead over Apple Inc.’s (Nasdaq: AAPL) iPhone – it’s closest competitor in the United States – with a 55% share of the smartphone market versus Apple’s 20%.

Approximately 3.8 million net new BlackBerry subscriber accounts were added in the quarter, bringing the total account base to 32 million, RIM said. AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T), said it activated more than 2.4 million iPhone accounts, but that number is limited to the United States, where AT&T is the exclusive carrier of the smartphone.

Roughly 8.3 million BlackBerry smartphones where shipped in the quarter, versus 5.2 million iPhones in Apple’s last reported quarter, which ended June 27.

RIM shares were trading at $73.55 in after hours trading this evening, down 11.45%.

Source: Research in Motion Shares Nosedive After Missed Sales, Earnings

Battles for dominate, market-accepted technology are rarely good for the companies mired in the fight. Sony’s (NYSE:SNE) torturous foray in the VHS versus Beta battle is a perfect example.

But a divided market is not always bad.

Just ask Sonic Solutions (NASDAQ:SNIC) shareholders. As the entertainment industry slowly figures out if DVDs or Blu-ray technology will dominate the video world, Sonic’s shareholders had the chance to rake in a fortune.

Shares of the $175 million company have soared by 1,050% over the past six months as the global economy rebounds and Blu-ray production increases.

As the go-to firm in Blu-ray production technology, Sonic is embarking on an era of strong growth. Earlier this week, the company announced a list of nearly two dozen European firms that are now using Sonic platforms.

European growth?

The growth comes as authoring facilities increase their Blu-ray production to meet the split demands of the world’s consumers. Until one platform becomes the accepted winner, Sonic will benefit from the dual revenue streams.

Investors interested in this company should be aware of several factors before making the leap.

The first should be obvious. After such a remarkable six-month climb, any negative news event could instantly erode recent growth. In the software industry a new competitor or the advancement of stronger technology can easily send even the strongest of players to the end of the line.

Shares of the company are up by nearly 20% this week, making it a good time to sit back and wait for a better buying opportunity.

Another important variable for the company and its shareholders is the next set of quarterly earnings figures.

Shares surged in August when the company announced a solid quarter (it lost just $1.8 million). If the momentum is not carried through the current period, investors will quickly lose their willingness to pay a premium for the position.

Room for more

When a stock starts to get top heavy, as an options investor, one of the first things I look at is the possibility of a covered call position.

Sonic is ripe for the taking.

As I write, savvy options investors could have a shot at low-risk gains in the neighborhood of 45% by selling out-of-the-money calls and using the premium to buy the underlying stock. It is a relatively safe play (by selling options, you are creating a layer of insurance), with a strong upside.

As the Dow approaches 10,000 and the third quarter comes to an end, volatility and resistance will be on the rise. Now is the time to lock in a smart strategy to take advantage of the situation.

Source: Sonic Solutions: Easy Options Opportunity

It’s a world shrouded in deep myths and folklore that include stories of people losing their homes, or having 5,000 bushels of soybeans dumped on their front lawn.

I’m talking about the commodities world, of course.

But despite these tall tales, commodities aren’t necessarily dangerous investments. Not if you know what you’re doing and take adequate precautions. Rather, the “secret society” stuff comes from the belief that the sector is a murky one that many investors simply don’t understand. Just the mere sound of “commodity futures and futures options contracts” was enough to send people running for cover…

However, nothing could be further from the truth when dealing with commodities. And over the past few years, we’ve seen great changes in the financial world that have opened the doors to this “secret society.”

Step Out of Your Comfort Zone… Don’t Be Afraid of Futures & Futures Options

I’ll tell you what I’ve told my friends and acquaintances over the years: Don’t be scared of commodity futures and futures options, they’re essentially little different than stock and stock options. If you know how to trade stocks and stock options, then there’s no difference from futures and futures options.

For example, if you can buy and sell IBM (NYSE: IBM) shares and IBM options, then why can’t you buy and sell sugar futures and sugar options? There is no difference. As long as you have an idea of where an investment (be it IBM or sugar) might move to and its underlying fundamentals, then what is there to be scared about?

Here’s the problem as I see it (based on my 18 years of experience in the commodities sector): Most people just don’t know enough about the underlying fundamentals of commodities – how/why soybeans, cocoa, cotton, or live cattle trade in a certain way. The majority of people know stocks and that’s that. They don’t like change and are fearful to step out of their comfort zone.

But all commodities that are available to trade on various U.S. exchanges are highly regulated. They have strict rules, which are efficient and assure the integrity and safety of your capital.

So if you’re looking to add some great potential gains to your portfolio, then consider what commodities can do for you…

Four Commodities… Four Explosive Moves

Want some examples of how explosive the world of commodities can be? Just look at these moves for oil, natural gas, gold and silver over the past year…

How would you have liked to hop aboard some of those moves?

Oil: When it started rising in 2007 and topped in 2008, it encompassed a staggering $90,000 move if you’d held just one contract. And the freefall that ended last March brought in an unheard of $110,000 for anyone being bearish.

If you’d held 10 contracts during those moves, you could have seen gains of over $1 million! And that’s just one direction. Double it if you went both ways.

Natural Gas: The move up in the summer of 2007 to the top in 2008 encompassed an $85,000 move, while the drop back down to the lows hit just two weeks ago and saw an even larger haul of $110,000. And this was for holding just one measly little contract. Imagine if you had 100 contracts.

Gold: From the gold chart below, you can see the trend higher from 2002. But even if you got onboard as late as 2006, the move could still have netted you $45,000.

Silver: A bullish position taken in 2006 would have scored $60,000 on just one contract. And if you’d hopped on the bear train near the highs in the spring of 2008, you could have pocketed another $65,000 just six months later.

This is some serious money folks.

And the great thing about commodities is that it’s normal for them to cycle from highs to lows and then back again. This gives you opportunities to profit on the way up and the way down. Moreover, it’s in contrast to the stock market, where most moves are biased to the upside.

Now, if you want to profit today…

Three Reasons Why You Should Trade These Four ETFs

Due to the changes that have taken place in the commodities world, regular investors have a chance to take part in the sector without leaving the comfort of a stockbroker.

We’re talking about commodity-related exchange-traded-funds (ETFs), which mimic the moves of the underlying asset. So you can use them to play some of the most popular and active commodity markets.

For example, if you’d like to go for oil, natural gas, gold, and silver, consider these ETFs:

• Oil: United States Oil Fund (NYSE: USO)
• Natural Gas: United States Natural Gas Fund (NYSE: UNG)
• Gold: SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD)
• Silver: iShares Silver Trust (NYSE: SLV)

If you want to gain exposure to the often lucrative commodities world, here’s why you should trade these ETFs…

1. Simple: ETFs trade like stocks, so you can buy and sell them as you would with shares of any other company from a regular stock brokerage account. So you don’t even need to get involved with commodity brokers, futures, or futures options contracts.
2. Options: The ETFs also have options available, which offers you more leverage and can reduce your risk.
3. Liquidity: Because all four of these ETFs are the largest ones available for their respective commodities, there is enough volume to be able to get in and out quickly and safely.

Next time, I’ll show you one of my favorite ways to use an options strategy to execute a bullish commodity trade. But in the meantime, check out those ETFs above.

Good trading,

Lee Lowell

Source: Four Easy Ways to Trade the World’s Top Commodities

Investors who realize this fact early could cash in on a brand new tech boom that could produce a new generation of high-tech millionaires not seen since the 1990s.

Comcast, Verizon and other government-protected duopolies won’t be around for your grandchildren to enjoy — at least not in their current forms. You see, companies like these are selling outdated services. And they’re more than reluctant to change their business models.

First, consider the home telephone. This beast is becoming scarcer by the day. In fact, mobile phone-only households are becoming the norm. Yet despite huge increases in wireless sales by traditional telecoms, it’s the wireline segment that keeps these blue chips in the black. More than half of Verizon and (NYSE:T) AT&T’s revenue comes directly from wireline sales.

For the old-school telecom giants, it’s all about infrastructure. They want to milk the cable and phone lines for all they’re worth. After all, it took decades — and millions upon millions of dollars—to create these vast systems that pump TV and telephone service into our homes.

But the communications landscape has changed. We don’t need separate wires to connect our homes to world. Now, it all comes back to bandwidth.

The technology is ready. Wireless dominates the landscape, and the old-fashioned telecoms and cable providers can only desperately hang on to their antiquated services. Even the government—which normally favors any out-of-date and/or irrational business model — is coming around.

We’ve said before that the Federal Communication Commission’s stranglehold on our nation’s airwaves is not only hopelessly out of date — it’s downright counterproductive to the agency’s goals.

However, the FCC is slowly stumbling toward opening up the airwaves once and for all.

Earlier this year, the president dedicated billions of dollars toward rural broadband development in the economic stimulus package. There’s also a mandate that requires the FCC to create a national plan to bring broadband to everyone in the country.

The FCC has also approved proposals to use white space devices to provide broadband access. These devices would utilize analogue television frequencies recently freed up during the digital television conversion.

Of course, telecom giants aren’t going down without a fight. The National Association of Broadcasters has already filed suit in federal court regarding the white space decision, claiming it could interfere with television signals.

It’s a desperate move to save its empire. But in the end, it won’t work. Technology will win, and media convergence will open the door to new data service packages for customers that will provide phone, television, gaming and internet service through lightening-fast, reliable wireless connections.

It will be the beginning of a new tech boom. Companies such as Limelight Networks Inc. (NASDAQ: LLNW), a content delivery network (CDN) provider provides a variety of services, including live Internet video feeds for major events such as the U.S. Open, Oprah’s book tour and the Beijing Olympics, will thrive.  In fact, Limelight’s lucrative contracts with heavy hitters like MSNBC have helped the company grow its revenue more than 500% over the past three years.

More small companies like Limelight will surely emerge in the near future, providing ample opportunities for early investors to cash in on a new age of content convergence.

Best,
Greg Guenthner

Source: How the Death of Big Telecom Will Reignite the Tech Boom

I can’t say I blame them. After all, the company did make a foolish foray into the real estate lending business. And it did so at precisely the wrong time – the top of the market. In turn, like many banks, it got sacked as loan losses mounted.

At that point, forget a takeover. Bankruptcy appeared more imminent. And the stock quickly reflected this widely held belief, plunging by 95% from its 2007 high to trade below $1.

Unsurprisingly, many investors sprinted away from the company. But here’s what most of them don’t understand: Beneath the muck of E*Trade’s real estate operations, it possesses a valuable asset – its brokerage business…

For example, even during aterrible year for stocks in 2008, E*Trade (NASDAQ:ETFC) still managed to grow its account base by 6% and added $6.4 billion in customer assets.

It wasn’t a fluke either. E*Trade has continued to grow its brokerage business in 2009.

CEO, Donald Layton, sums it up: “Our online brokerage business is thriving… volumes are up versus last quarter, our average commission per trade is higher, and interest spreads are much improved.”

If it weren’t for the company’s real estate operations, shares would be soaring based on such comments. But therein lies the opportunity.

A Risk Worth Taking for E*Trade’s Rivals

With real estate operations weighing down its share price, suitors like TD Ameritrade (Nasdaq: AMTD) and Charles Schwab (Nasdaq: SCHW) can scoop up E*Trade’s most valuable asset at a steep discount. Both companies certainly possess the stability and financial resources to pull off a deal.

So what’s the holdup? Nothing… anymore.

I’m convinced that the only thing holding up a takeover is the uncertainty surrounding E*Trade’s real-estate loan portfolio. But that obstacle is quickly disappearing.

On Monday, E*Trade revealed that delinquencies continue to drop. In fact, over the past two months, delinquencies for its home-equity portfolio (its largest exposure) fell by another 7%, having fallen by 10% in the prior period.

Meanwhile, overall delinquencies remained flat, clearly indicating that E*Trade’s real-estate portfolio is stabilizing.

When we factor in all the capital the company raised to insulate itself from further losses, the risk to potential suitors appears manageable. And if suitors don’t act quickly, they’ll miss out on the opportunity to buy E*Trade’s brokerage assets at a discount. Shares have already tacked on 11% this week.

Here’s why I’m believe the situation is even more urgent for us…

Why You Should Buy E*Trade Today

A few weeks ago, E*Trade’s largest shareholder, Citadel Investment Group, scrapped plans to start unwinding its position. The move suggests a deal is in the works. Why else would the firm have such a sudden change of heart?

The rumor mill continues to heat up about the possibility of deal. And a strong uptick in call options trading adds credibility to the rumors. In fact, a Yale University study confirms that heavy spikes in options trading precede takeover announcements.

Most compelling of all, TD Ameritrade CEO, Fredric J. Tomczyk, said on Monday that he expects more consolidation to come in the industry.

Since his company is one of the most obvious buyers, he could be foreshadowing a deal. And at such an attractive price, E*Trade represents a risk worth taking for him… and us.

Bottom line: With the real estate risks subsiding, a takeover offer could come any day now for E*Trade. And if you don’t buy shares today, you might not get another chance.

Good investing,

Louis Basenese

Source: E*Trade (Nasdaq: ETFC): Why You Should Buy This Stock Before It’s Too Late