Paralysis is not an option. Neither is making 1% or less on your cash every year when there is a high probability of out-of-control inflation in the years ahead.

You need to have a plan that can take advantage of what the market offers. And simply put, that means employing strategies that work both the long and short sides…

Expand Your Investment Horizons

Until recently, most investors have feared executing anything but the most basic investment strategies: Buying stocks, trading stocks, and in many cases, just buying and holding stocks.

While there’s nothing wrong with any of those moneymaking methods, they only scratch the surface of what the market really has to offer.

And in an increasingly complex and volatile market, there’s no better time to expand your horizons and learn how to execute the strategies that can enhance your returns, protect your portfolio and get you excited you about investing, rather than fearful.

Are Options Dangerous?

My specialty is options.

When I mention that to people, I’ll often get a rolling of eyes, or some kind of, “Wow, that’s kind of risky, isn’t it?” reaction.

Are options “dangerous” investments?

Well, any investment is dangerous if you don’t understand it. Even having money in a CD can be a painful experience when interest rates are rising and you’re locked into 2% for five years. Just ask those who locked up their money at 8% in U.S. Treasuries in the mid 1970s, only to watch rates eclipse 18%.

So options can be dangerous… if you don’t know what you’re doing. Then again, investing in Worldcom, Enron, WAMU, Fannie Mae and General Motors was dangerous, too.

And if you don’t take the time to learn how options work and what’s happening with your money when you use them, options most likely will prove dangerous for you.

The people who lose money in the options markets are the ones who view it like Vegas on Wall Street. They use options to gamble. But options aren’t weapons of financial destruction. They are, in fact, the opposite…

A Barrage Of Options Benefits

I’ve spent years telling people that far from being scary, options are very efficient instruments that allow you to control your money like no other tool on the market today.

Many investors have realized that once you do your homework, options make you a smarter investor, less dependent on the market’s vagaries and whims.

Among their benefits, options allow you to…

• Buy stocks for less than their current prices… or get paid for the effort.

• Protect your downside by offering insurance against downward movement in price.

• Generate greater income than dividends from your current holdings.

• Control stocks and benefit from their movement, while using significantly less capital to do so and giving you the luxury of more time for the situation to work in your favor.

• Play both sides of the market or a stock simultaneously for potentially unlimited gains.

So why do people think options are dangerous?

To answer this question we must take a look at the other side of the trade…

Winning Without Gambling

For every option seller, there is a buyer.

For every covered call, put-sell, straddle, strangle, etc, there has to be a counter-party. Most of the time, youdon’t want to be in this position.

These are the gambling types I mentioned a moment ago. In their eyes, options represent a lotto ticket to fortune. The chance of winning the lotto in a state like Florida is one in 18 million. But that doesn’t stop people from buying tickets. The losers in the options market adopt the “you can’t win if you don’t buy a ticket” mentality, giving the entire subject a bad name.

But you don’t have to join them. Instead you can execute proven strategies that work – and work well in any type of market, especially volatile ones. Over the next few weeks, I’ll explore several strategies in-depth (a mini-workshop if you will), so stay tuned, Meantime, feel free to browse our archives to get a head-start.

Source: The Options Market: Overcome Your Fear And Embrace These Lucrative Instruments

You may be surprised to learn that you can actually harness market volatility and make it work for you, not against you, allowing you to recoup losses and even make money.

Do you know how to do it?

The truth is… the stock market hates volatility. And suffice it to say that investors also loath the daily swings that can take their portfolios down 10% one week and back up again the week after. That’s if they even have the will to stay invested, of course.

But there is a select group of investors who relish market volatility. They thrive on it. And they see big swings in stock prices as an opportunity to make money. Big money. Today, I’ll show you how to become one of them…

Simple-to-Execute Option Investment Strategies

Okay, hang onto your hat… both investment strategies involve the use of options.

No, not the scary, complex ones. The simple-to-execute options that can actually prove extremely valuable in any market – but particularly one like this.

Buying options is easy enough.

• When you buy calls, you’re simply betting that a stock will rise.
• When you buy puts, you think the stock will fall.

But this is no different than placing a short-term bet on the direction of a stock or index – something that is very tough to do consistently. And because of volatility, you will overpay each time you buy an option.

A better way to play the options market is to understand what happens when you sell options. This is the “other side” of the trade – the infinitely more profitable side of volatility and a more consistent way to make money from the stock market.

Profit From Market Volatility #1: Using Covered Calls

Market volatility is so rampant today because investors are uncertain about the direction of stocks in the short-term. No surprise there.

But with daily double-digit swings and volatility so high, the price for buying options has shot through the roof.

That’s bad news for suckers, but excellent news for us.

That’s because the first way to profit from market volatility is to sell calls against stocks that you own or that you want to buy. When you sell an option, you get a lot more money. In fact, you get the money upfront and it’s yours to keep, no matter what happens.

I’ll give you an example of this volatility at work…

Last month, Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) traded between $9 and $20. For a bank stock, that $11 range is very wide (of course, we all know why that happened). By comparison, the stock traded between $29 and $34 – a $5 range in February 2008.

In percentage terms, the numbers are much more revealing. In February 2008, WFC traded with swings of less than 20%. But last month, those swings rocketed to more than 100%.

Simply put, this means the cost for WFC options with a strike price at-the-money (at or near the current price) on any given day last month was between 3 and 4 times the price at the same time last year.

So let’s say that WFC was trading at $10. The $10 option this year with a one-month expiration would have cost you over $2.50. Last year, a corresponding at-the-money option with a one-month expiration would have cost less than $1.

So the lesson here would have been to buy WFC shares and then sell call options against them to reduce your cost and protect your downside.

That’s one way to beat market volatility. Here’s another…

Profit From Market Volatility #2: Selling Put Options

What if you could make an investment where you could choose the price you want to pay for a stock and don’t have to pay for the shares unless the price falls to that level?

Oh, and also get paid money upfront, just for trying?

That’s the essence of selling put options.

When you sell a put option, you receive the cash from the sale in your trading account immediately. In return, you’re then obligated to buy the shares if they fall to your strike price at or before expiration.

Let’s look at an example of how market volatility and put selling are a marriage made in stock market heaven…

Let’s say that Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) is trading at $15 – a ridiculously low level for a cash-rich, debt-free company.

Because MSFT is moving with such volatility, the price for buying call options or put options is extraordinarily high. Forget that. You decide that you’d like to own MSFT at $12.50 – a price not seen since 1997 when the company was one-quarter the size it is today, with much less cash on the books. At $12.50, you’d own MSFT at 3x cash and 5x earnings – an outstanding bargain in any market.

Here’s what you’d do…

• Sell the MSFT $12.50 put options for $1. If you sold 10 contracts, you’d be “paid” $1,000 immediately because 10 multiplied by 100 (the options multiplier, because one contract is made up of 100 shares) is $1,000.
• You’d then be obligated to buy MSFT at $12.50 if it closed below that level. So be careful not to sell more contracts of shares that you can afford to buy.
• Your ultimate cost would be $11.50 per share (accounting for the $1 option premium) – a full $6.50 below current levels.
• If MSFT does not close below $12.50, you’d keep the cash – basically getting paid for trying to own MSFT at your price.

Once again the volatility of MSFT is 47 – more than double its historical volatility. And that volatility results in massive option premiums – which you receive as the seller.

Embrace Market Volatility… Don’t Fear It

Equipped with the right investment strategy, you don’t have to fear market volatility. In fact, volatility can be your best friend in the current market – and is the key to making money like the pros do.

Remember, for every loser in the market, there is also a winner. And in this market, the winners are those who have figured out how to use market volatility, not be abused by it.

Source: Two Ways To Make Money From Market Volatility

But what is bad for the economy and terrible for the market does not have to wreak havoc on your portfolio. By employing the right strategies, you can multiply your wealth safely in just about ANY market. In fact, there are a number of investment strategies that have never been as safe and profitable as they are today.

Here are several strategies you should strongly consider right now:

• Selling Covered Calls

Selling (also called “writing”) covered calls is one of the safest ways to generate extra income from your portfolio, especially in today’s market. Due to the fear and volatility in the market, option premiums are much higher than their historical averages. As a “seller” of options, that works in your favor. This is a strategy that could easily and safely generate 20% annual income.

Selling covered calls is probably the lowest-risk form of options trading. In fact it is less risky than simply buying stocks. The strategy involves buying a stock and then selling someone else the right to buy it from you in the future. For this privilege, the option buyer pays you cash up front, thus lowering your cost basis for the shares you purchase.

Here’s a hypothetical example of how it works…

Let’s assume stock ABC is trading for $10 and the July call options on this stock, with a strike price of $11 are selling for $1.00. To initiate a covered call, let’s assume you purchase 100 shares of ABC. Then you sell one call option on ABC, representing 100 shares. You would immediately receive $100 in your account, therefore your cost basis on this transaction is $900 ($1,000 – $100).

There are three possible outcomes to this trade:

• If ABC is trading for any amount over $11 at the option expiration date, the buyer would exercise his right to purchase the stock from you for $11. In this case, you would make 22%, based on your cost basis of $9.

• If ABC is trading for less than $11 but greater than $9 at expiration, you would still own the shares at a gain, and you would pocket the cash you received up front. You could then start the process all over, to generate another round of income.

• If ABC is trading for less than $9 at options expiration, you would be holding the shares at a loss. But the income you received up front would offset the loss. And you could repeat the process again to recoup some of the loss and generate additional income.

The key to this strategy is to write covered calls on stocks that you would like to hold for the long term. These could be stocks you already own or new positions. The stocks you select should be those that you believe to be very safe and cheap. And you should employ this strategy at a time when option premiums are large – as they are now. Ideally, you will be selling options that expire within three to five months.

When the strategy works out in your favor (and it will if you employ the rules above), you can generate better than 20% annualized income on a conservative portfolio of stocks. On the occasions when the stocks fall below your cost basis, you would own a stock that you wanted to own anyway… but at a much lower cost than if you had just purchased the shares.

By writing covered calls on high quality dividend-paying stocks you can get an extra bonus. Best case scenario, you will keep the option premiums, you’ll keep the dividends, and you’ll keep the stock too!

• Selling Puts

Selling puts is another strategy that can generate an annualized yield in the neighborhood of 30% – 50%. When executed properly, a put selling strategy can be highly profitable and carry very low risk. This is especially the case in a market like we have today, where fear is high and option prices are elevated.

You can also sell puts with the goal of generating income. In this case, you want the put to expire worthless so you can capture the option premium. To accomplish this goal, you sell puts that are out of the money on stocks you believe to have very little downside risk… and which you would be willing to purchase at a much lower price, if necessary.

Here is an example…

Let’s assume that stock XYZ is selling for $13. We’ll also assume the stock has already fallen a significant amount (not too hard to find in today’s market) and you believe the rock bottom liquidation value of the company is $8.

With the stock trading at $13, the July $10 put option is well out of the money and selling for $1.50. You decide to sell these puts. When the trade closes, $150 will automatically show up in your account for every contract you sold.

The only way you could lose money on this trade is if XYZ trades below $8.50 ($10 – $1.50) on or before the option expiration date in July. That is a 35% drop from the depressed level the shares of XYZ are trading today.

And in the unlikely event that you were obligated to purchase those shares, you should still come out okay. After all, the liquidation value of the company is $8 a share and your cost for those shares is just $8.50. So the downside risk should be very small.

Remember, this strategy should be employed on stocks where you believe the downside risk to be minimal. And you should only employ this strategy on stocks that you would be GLAD to own at a price below where you sell the put.

You should also have a reasonable understanding of the true valuation of the company. For this reason, I would exclude most financial and insurance companies from this category, as very few people (including the insiders) have any idea how much these companies are worth or what is on the books.

In today’s market, you can expect a well executed put selling strategy to generate an annualized yield of 30% to 50% with limited risk. Selling puts in this environment and following the rules above can put big odds in your favor.

By selling put options, you could buy super-high quality stocks as much as 50% cheaper than today’s historically low prices. PLUS you’ll get cold, hard cash deposited in your account instantly… adding to your annual income!

Where You Can Learn These Strategies… and a Lot More!

By no means are these the only strategies that can be highly profitable in today’s market. We are also seeing a once-in-a-generation opportunity in high quality corporate bonds. Invest in the right bonds and you can see significant capital gains plus income… without taking stock market risk.

This is also an excellent market for shorting stocks. But you should not go out and just short any stock. The inevitable bear market rallies could put you in the poorhouse. The lowest risk opportunity is to short those stocks that are almost certainly going to zero – companies with an impaired business model and a massive debt load. There are dozens, if not hundreds of these companies out there.

Now for some even better news: you don’t have to do all of this on your own…

In June, at the Turnberry Isle Resort & Club in Miami, Investor’s Daily Edge and Mt. Vernon Research have asked nine top investment experts to share their number one strategy and top recommendations that are making a fortune in today’s market. Of course, all of the above topics will be covered.

To learn more about this conference and the once-in-a-lifetime opportunities we’ll be discussing, click here.

Source: Two Strategies Perfect for Today’s Market

After all, the 44 year-old president of Euro Pacific Capital was mocked on networks like CNBC and Fox for predicting “wild” things like a real estate bust, a credit crunch, and a deep recession. Two years later, and Schiff’s original prophecies have come true.

That validation has been earning Schiff some much-deserved credibility in the financial world, where until now he’s been dismissed as overly pessimistic.

But does Schiff really deserve the acclaim he’s recently found?

While Schiff has proved himself as an economist, his ability to parlay those predictions into profits for his clients was questionable for 2008. For the last few years, he’s been betting big on overseas investments and precious metals – two areas that got hit as hard or harder than the S&P last year.

According to Morningstar, the average international equity fund performed 7% worse than the average U.S. stock fund in the last year.

Just look at the iShares MSCI Belgium (EWK), the worst performing ETF last year according to SmartMoney.com, or the iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 ETF (FXI), which lost 49% in 2008.

Another of Schiff’s investment strategies has been to exit the U.S. dollar in favor of more fundamentally sound currencies. This too has proved untimely since anxious treasury investors have driven up the dollar in the last year.

Just because Schiff’s favored investments didn’t do well doesn’t mean that others’ investments didn’t. Just look at former hedge fund manager Andrew Lahde, whose real estate fund made 866% last year by betting that defaults would rise. Schiff was an early investor in the fund, but even that play couldn’t shake the losses on his other picks.

Some of the market’s other doomsayers, like Nicholas Nassim Taleb, banked gains for the year, so why couldn’t Schiff?

Likewise, a lot of individual investors did well in 2008 by betting against the market. But if you’re still trying to decide where to put your money in 2009, you’re not alone. While the market is a lot less volatile than it was six months ago, it’s still wild enough to give pause to even the most decisive investors right now.

Now, I don’t think Schiff should be written off – he took a risky stance against CNBC’s perpetual bulls, and it paid off. He’s also helped to bring attention to some of our country’s very real financial problems. That’s something he should be congratulated for.

We’ll see where his investments go in the future, but it doesn’t look like his opinions are wavering for the time being. “…My problem has always been that I see things too clearly and too far in advance,” he said in the Fortune article, “Other people don’t understand what I do, so the markets might not validate what I’m saying right away. But they will eventually.”

Source: How to Profit Better Than “Dr. Doom”

This from Investor’s Daily Edge:

“Fear frustration; Some Call it Quits,” a recent Wall Street Journal article, unknowingly summarizes what I have been saying for a long, long time.

The article is a short list of people who have thrown in the towel on the stock market. In every instance, the people described themselves as having everything or most of their money in the stock market.

A formula for disaster.

All of the people were professionals, all were successful, or sounded so from the description of them, and all must try, very hard, to ignore all the good advice that’s out there about how to invest your money.

After many years of trying to get investors to listen to good advice, I know it’s a waste of time to say this again, but you cannot have all your money in stocks. In fact, I left the brokerage business because I was sick of my clients ignoring what I told them to do and then blaming me because they were losing money. Here we go again.

It is financial suicide to invest only in stock.

Here’s one of the saddest stories I know about learning this lesson the hard way.

Paul, a former client of mine, just retired from a Fortune 500 company with a huge stock, stock option and 401K-rollover portfolio. This guy was the poster child for how to do your retirement planning right, around $4 million.

He took his entire 401K and rolled it over into some great mutual funds. Good move, he didn’t want to be bothered with the day-to-day stuff and knew this particular group very well. He also understood the fee structure and was ok with it. This portion was about 25 percent of his entire net worth.

The rest of his money was in stock options and stock in his former company, one that he rightfully held close to heart. He credited this company with everything he had.

Two problems that are common to many retirees: one, he had too much in this wonderful company. Investments are not collectables or mementos. Paul refused to accept this.

Two, he had everything in stock. Despite my best efforts, he refused to budge from his positions. When I first met with him, his company stock was at 94. Within three years, it was at 12. That’s an 87 percent drop in value. Three fourths of his total worth dropped 87 percent.

Leaving yourself open to the full brunt of the stock market will always have the same outcome.

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INTERNAL ENDORSEMENT Stop Playing the Stock Market Lottery! In the ongoing destruction of the capital markets, no haven is safe. Gold… down. Blue chips… down. Utilities… down. Consumer staples… down. Cash? Well, maybe for a little while, but we all know the dollar is doomed. Why risk your precious funds in the stock market lottery? Did you know you can make stock market returns… without stock market risk? You can! And there has never been a better time than RIGHT NOW for this investment…

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The past six months should be enough to prove to you that the stock market, while it has great long-term returns, is a risky proposition. There are techniques that if used properly will reduce that risk, but can’t ever eliminate it. Not diversifying properly in stocks, bonds and cash, as everyone now knows, is as close to a guaranteed loss as you get in this business.

Investors have severe tunnel vision and an unwillingness to allow for failure in their investment planning, or lack of planning. If you do not plan for the type of market we are in now, you will not survive.

There have been six different “end of the world markets” since I have been investing and working in the investment industry. Every one came after a period of crazy increases in real estate and/or stocks. It is the nature of the beast.

In case you haven’t figured it out yet, there will be another market just like this one; maybe worse, it is how the market works. Call it financial selection, market cycles or just craziness, but you must plan for the next inevitable crash or be a victim again.

How do you survive these killer markets? Diversify with stocks, bonds and cash investments, use reliable research, avoid listening to conversations about investing at parties, and stick with the tried and true. This advice may seem boring and nonproductive at times, but it is the only way I have found to be there to fight another day.

Source: A Survivor of the “End Of The World Market”

This from Investment U:

With the stock market’s historic drop this year, some investors have fled to cash. Others are cautiously buying. Most, however, are sitting on their hands.

They shouldn’t be.

Even if you lack the cash – or the willpower – to buy into this market, there is still a very smart move you can make: switch.

Switch from your poor-performing, high-cost, tax-inefficient stock and bond mutual funds to index funds or exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

It’s a very smart move. Here’s why…

Why Choose Exchange Traded Funds Over Mutual Funds?

Compared to exchange traded funds, most mutual funds are a lousy deal, here’s why:

• Each year more than three-quarters of them fail to match the performance of their benchmarks.
• Many are loaded with front-end or back-end loads, 12b-1 fees, high management costs and other expenses.
• Moreover, even when these actively managed funds fall sharply, they still often distribute annual capital gains to shareholders, in effect handing shareholders a paper loss and a tax bill at the same time.

Don’t stand for it. Now is your chance to fight back.

Switching to Exchange Traded Funds Will Save On Taxes

Switch from your underperforming mutual funds to index funds and exchange-traded funds – and save yourself thousands of dollars in taxes in the process.

The IRS allows you to take losses each year to fully offset any realized capital gains. And also allows you to take capital losses to offset up to $3,000 in earned income.

In a year as nasty as this one, of course, you probably don’t have too many realized capital gains to worry about.

You should make this switch anyway. The IRS allows you to carry forward your losses indefinitely to offset future capital gains.

As bleak as the outlook is today, there will be capital gains in your future and, eventually, the tax on them is going to be higher than it is now.

Aside from the thousands you’ll save in taxes (and expenses) in the years ahead by making this switch to exchange traded funds, there is an important psychological reason to do it.

When you get your statements in 2009 and beyond, instead of looking at a smorgasbord of losing positions you’ll be looking at winners. You may not end up buying at the very bottom – few do – but you will have bought a whole lot closer to it than you did originally.

Exchange Traded Funds – Turning Market Lemons Into Lemonade

So take the lemons the market has handed out so abundantly this year and turn them into lemonade with exchange traded funds. Here’s how:

Sell Your Losing	Replace It With:
Gold Stock Funds	Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX)
U.S. Large-Cap Stock Funds	S&P 500 ETF (AMEX: SPY)
U.S. Small-Cap Stock Funds	Vanguard Small Cap ETF (NYSE: VB)
International Stock Funds	iShares MSCI EAFE (NYSE: EFA)
Corporate Bond Funds	Vanguard Total Bond Mkt ETF (NYSE: BND)
Junk Bond Funds	iShares High Yield ETF (NYSE: HYG)
Inflation-Adjusted Bond Funds	iShares Lehman TIPS (NYSE: TIP)
Emerging Market Stock Funds	iShares Emerging Mkts (NYSE: EEM)

Using Identical Exchange Traded Funds As Smart Tax Moves

If you’re already invested in exchange traded funds, incidentally, you can still make the same smart tax move by selling your losers and moving into virtually identical funds.

For example, you can take a loss in one S&P 500 Index Fund (AMEX: SPY) and replace it with, say, this S&P 500 Index Fund (AMEX: IVV). Even though these funds have the same benchmark and are virtually identical, they are different funds, so the IRS allows the switch.

(For a complete list of ETFs at Fidelity.com.)

However, you cannot sell a fund and buy back the exact same one and qualify for this deduction (unless you wait at least 30 days). If you do, you run afoul of the wash-sale rule.

Incidentally, if you own individual shares that are down but for which there is no logical replacement (think Apple or Berkshire Hathaway) and you don’t want to sell and risk that the stock will be substantially higher 30 days from now – always a possibility from these depressed levels – you can double down on your stocks now, then sell your higher-cost shares the last week of December. (You will, of course, be doubling down on your risk for the next 30 days.)

If you plan to do this, however, you need to do it by the end of the month. Once November ends, it will be too late to do it for the year.

Bear in mind, you cannot take tax losses in an IRA, 401(k) or other qualified retirement plan. But you should still consider making the switch to ETFs and index funds for the cost advantages and psychological benefits I’ve described.

Source: Exchange Traded Funds: An Investment Move You Need to Make…

This from Money Morning:

With his landslide election victory Tuesday – coupled with Democratic gains in the House of Representatives and in the Senate – U.S. President-elect Barack H. Obama II will have the ability to pursue more or less any policy he wants.

For investors who have been trying to analyze the economic outlook for the New Year, the election of U.S. Sen. Obama (D-Ill.) provides a major piece of the forward-looking jigsaw puzzle that these analysts hope to assemble. That’s because the likely trends of the United States and other economies around the world – and the relative success of different sectors within those economies – depends crucially on who’s in the White House, what policies they have, and how effectively they can pursue those policies.

Only one thing keeps the triumph of the incoming Democratic president from being totally complete: The Republicans appear to have held onto 41 Senate seats, enough to prevent the Democrat majority from overriding a united filibuster. In practice, however, there are few issues on which the Republicans will be completely united. Thus, on only a few “litmus test” issues – such as the “Employee Free Choice Act,” which removes the secret ballot from union elections – is this filibuster threat likely to be effective.

Obamanomics: From the Environment to Health Care

A review of President-elect Obama’s economic policies – characterized by the term, Obamanomics – clearly offer profit opportunities. Let’s take a closer look at some key areas to consider in 2009.

In the economics area, Obama’s two signature policies are a promise to institute a “cap-and-trade” system of carbon emissions permits to combat global warming, and a substantial expansion in state healthcare provision, notably to include universal healthcare provision for minors.

On the energy front, the support of U.S. Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.), for the “cap-and-trade” system will make it much easier for Obama to pass legislation quickly, probably in the first half of 2009. Under Obama’s proposed legislation, emission permits will be auctioned to utilities and other businesses with substantial carbon emissions. This has the advantage of being more of a free-market approach than McCain’s plan to give away the permits for free, which would have required the creation of a huge government bureaucracy to decide who would get those permits.

Even so, Obama’s approach has the disadvantage of imposing gigantic new costs on utilities and other carbon emitters. Indeed, Obama himself has said that new coal-fired power plants would become hopelessly uneconomic under his plan – chiefly because of the costs of the emissions permits they would need. That suggests that nuclear power plants (which he does not oppose) would account for the majority of new power-station construction during the Obama presidency – although solar, wind and other power-generating technologies that look pretty and can be made to work also will fare well.

The corollary of Obama’s emissions permit program, therefore, is that an investor should sell coal-producing companies and coal-fired electric utilities, and invest in nuclear power stations and uranium-mining companies. In principle, there should also be opportunities in the solar- and wind-power sectors, but the “new energy” fad of the last couple of years has already driven their valuations to uneconomic levels.

On the healthcare side, investment recommendations are more difficult to isolate. Generally, Democrats are skeptical of the patent protections enjoyed by pharmaceutical companies – as well as the high prices those protections create – so the major manufacturers of patented drugs should be avoided.

Conversely, the producers of generic drugs appear poised to benefit from the increased spending on healthcare – especially the manufacturers of pediatric healthcare products, including pharmaceuticals – should benefit from the Obama program’s emphasis on children’s healthcare.

Financial Crisis Redux

Of all the questions investors will have about the New Year – following Obama’s victory – is what the new administration will do about the current financial crisis.

A federal bailout package – consisting chiefly of spending increases – seems almost certain in the short term; that will cause the federal deficit to balloon even more than it has already, will make U.S. Treasury bond financing increasingly difficult, and will further stoke inflation. In those circumstances, avoid Treasury bonds, except the inflation-protected buying Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS), the principal and interest of which are linked to the Consumer Price Index (CPI). TIPS currently have an attractive yield around 3.0%.

It seems likely that an Obama administration will tend to impose costs on the financial-services sector in return for the bailouts it receives – perhaps, for example, banks will be required to funnel lending into low-income areas, or toward other chosen beneficiaries. Limits on financial-sector remuneration also may make it difficult for the major banks to do business, particularly in the trading area. The Democrats have a more aggressive attitude toward “predatory lending” than the Republicans, and will undoubtedly find innumerable examples of such lending in the mortgage and credit card area over the next few years, which they will wish to punish. Hence, financial sector investments should be generally avoided.

Potential Profit Plays

On the other hand, both Obama and the Democrats seem more likely to propose bailouts for states and municipalities that find themselves in budgetary hot water because of the recession that’s sure to come (if it’s not here, already). Thus, municipal bonds, which carry a considerable credit risk under a tight-fisted Republican administration, may be thought of as less vulnerable to default under an open-handed Democrat administration with sympathy for the issuer’s problems, particularly if that municipality represents a core urban Democratic constituency.

When New York City got in trouble, U.S. President Gerald Ford – the Republican who succeeded the disgraced Richard M. Nixon – took an unsympathetic attitude and The New York Daily News captured his perceived attitude with the headline: “Ford to City: Drop Dead!” No such episode will occur under the urban-oriented, free-spending Obama!

And that makes munis a “Buy.”

Also in the “Buy” category are automobile and auto-parts companies. No matter which candidate ended up winning Tuesday, the victor would almost certainly decide to bail out U.S. carmakers, as well as the suppliers that rely on them. After General Motors Corp. (GM) was rebuffed in its bid for aid by the Bush Administration, the bailout of U.S. carmakers is now being billed as a top priority for the incoming President Obama.

Automakers such as GM and Ford Motor Co. (F) benefit from being the headliners in an iconic U.S. industry – especially because it’s one that employs lots of potential Democrat voters in industrial states and suffer from international competition that increasingly riles the more protectionist Democrats. A bailout is thus inevitable, probably without involving the automobile companies in a Chapter 11 bankruptcy. And that makes their shares worth a “flutter.”

President-elect Obama’s supporters celebrated ecstatically Tuesday night. Investors should be more skeptical. But looked at carefully, an Obama administration – and Obamanomics – would still seem to offer opportunities for profit in the New Year.

Source: Money Morning Outlook 2009: Obamanomics Offers Investors Plenty of Profit Plays in the New Year