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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; Irish Banks</title>
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		<title>Could Ireland Go Bust and Become the Next Iceland?</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/could-ireland-go-bust-and-become-the-next-iceland/17374</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/could-ireland-go-bust-and-become-the-next-iceland/17374#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Jun 2009 18:53:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Notes From the Investment Underground]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[federal budget deficit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Government Bonds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Irish Banks]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=17374</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p style="margin-left: 0pt; margin-right: 0pt;">The brave new world has already  arrived in Ireland, where  your co-editor is currently based. Ireland exemplifies the boom-bust economics  that has shattered the global economy.</p>
<p style="margin-left: 0pt; margin-right: 0pt;"> When I left the country in 2006, the  place was awash with excess – property developers ferried themselves around in  helicopters, private bars served €20 cocktails, the roads were full of  top-of-the-range BMWs, Mercedes and Aston Martins. Now the bubble has burst and  the Irish are baying for blood.</p>
<p style="margin-left: 0pt; margin-right: 0pt;">Ireland’s fall from grace was nothing if  not spectacular. According to <em>The</em><em> Economist</em>, the economy  probably shrank by 2.5% in 2008 and may contract by another 6.5% this year.  Unemployment has jumped from 5% to 10.4%, faster than America’s decline.  Meanwhile, Irish banks are blighted by souring property&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="margin-left: 0pt; margin-right: 0pt;"><span style="font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;">The brave new world has already  arrived in </span></span><span style="font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;">Ireland</span></span><span style="font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;">,</span></span><span style="font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;"> where  your co-editor is currently based. </span></span><span style="font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;">Ireland</span></span><span style="font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;"> exemplifies the boom-bust economics  that has shattered the global economy.<span id="more-17374"></span></span></span></p>
<p style="margin-left: 0pt; margin-right: 0pt;"><span style="font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;"> When I left the country in 2006, the  place was awash with excess – property developers ferried themselves around in  helicopters, private bars served </span></span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;">€</span></span><span style="font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;">20 cocktails, the roads were full of  top-of-the-range BMWs, Mercedes and Aston Martins. Now the bubble has burst and  the Irish are baying for blood.</span></span></p>
<p style="margin-left: 0pt; margin-right: 0pt;"><span style="font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;">Ireland</span></span><span style="font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;">’s fall from grace was nothing if  not spectacular. According to </span></span><span style="font-family: 'Verdana';"><em><span style="font-size: x-small;">The</span></em></span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 'Verdana';"><em><span style="font-size: x-small;"> Economist</span></em></span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;">, the economy  probably</span></span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;"> shrank by 2.5% in 2008 and may contract by another 6.5% this year.  Unemployment has jumped from 5% to 10.4%, faster than </span></span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;">America</span></span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;">’s decline.  Meanwhile, Irish banks are blighted by souring property loans. And a crisis in  public finances has forced the government to add an extra income tax levy on all  its citizens to plug a hole in the public finances.</span></span></p>
<p style="margin-left: 0pt; margin-right: 0pt;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;">Of course, all this  is putting huge pressure on Irish sovereign debt. </span></span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;">The yield on </span></span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;">Ireland</span></span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;">’s ten-year  government bonds, at about 6%, is way above that of </span></span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;">Germany</span></span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;">, at about 3.2%. And  the state has gone even further than the </span></span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;">US</span></span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;"> in guaranteeing  banks’ toxic debts worth two to three times annual GDP. According to Goldman  Sachs, total losses could reach $27 billion, or 10% of GDP.</span></span></p>
<p style="margin-left: 0pt; margin-right: 0pt;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;">The federal budget  deficit is expected to be $1.8 trillion this year. That is $6,000 for every man,  woman and child.</span></span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;"> Does anyone think  this living beyond our means is money well spent?</span></span> <span style="font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;">Sent your comments, thoughts and  rants to </span></span><a href="mailto:info@contrarianprofits.com"><span style="color: #0000ff; font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><span style="font-size: x-small;">info@contrarianprofits.com</span></span></span></a><span style="font-family: 'Verdana';"><span style="font-size: x-small;">.</span></span></p>
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