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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; Irrigation Systems</title>
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		<title>Another Global Megatrend</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/another-global-megatrend/20018</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/another-global-megatrend/20018#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Aug 2009 21:30:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ian Mathias</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[International Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[china]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[farmers subsidies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[food crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ian Mathias]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Irrigation Systems]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market crunch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[politisc]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[resources]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=20018</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Check out this “megatrend”: 97% of global population growth over the next 40 years will occur in Asia, Africa, Latin America and the Caribbean, says the shiny new 2009 World Population Data Sheet. The headline data point was the total growth projection for the world population: 7 billion by 2011. That’s a 200 million extra people on this Earth in just two years.</p>
<p>But it’s the fine print that’s really getting our attention. Here are the highlights… some serious investment trends, to say the least:</p>
<ul>
<li>90% of the world’s youth, about 1.2 billion people, live in developing nations</li>
<li> Africa’s population just passed 1 billion and is set to double by 2050.</li>
<li> Half of the population growth in the U.S. and Canada over the next&#8230;</li></ul>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Check out this “megatrend”: 97% of global population growth over the next 40 years will occur in Asia, Africa, Latin America and the Caribbean, says the shiny new 2009 World Population Data Sheet. The headline data point was the total growth projection for the world population: 7 billion by 2011. That’s a 200 million extra people on this Earth in just two years.<span id="more-20018"></span></p>
<p>But it’s the fine print that’s really getting our attention. Here are the highlights… some serious investment trends, to say the least:</p>
<ul>
<li>90% of the world’s youth, about 1.2 billion people, live in developing nations</li>
<li> Africa’s population just passed 1 billion and is set to double by 2050.</li>
<li> Half of the population growth in the U.S. and Canada over the next two years will come from immigration</li>
<li> By 2050, India’s population will reach 1.7 billion, passing China as the world’s most populous nation.</li>
</ul>
<p>That last one was a particular surprise to us. In fact, the whole rundown of world population growth by nation is worth a quick look:</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a class="flickr-image alignnone" title="Projected World Population Growth" onclick="javascript:pageTracker._trackPageview('/outbound/article/www.agorafinancial.com');" href="http://www.agorafinancial.com/5min/"><img title="Projected World Population Growth" src="http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3578/3837775636_5e165f7b5c.jpg" alt="phpQHzMmG" width="470" height="391" /></a></p>
<p>To further illustrate this point, you have to check out this array of animated charts on <a onclick="javascript:pageTracker._trackPageview('/outbound/article/www.iiasa.ac.at');" href="http://www.iiasa.ac.at/Research/POP/edu01/pyramids.html">“Future Human Capital”</a>. They are too complex for our humble <em>5 Min</em>., but shouldn’t be missed.</p>
<p>All these data point to the same conclusion: The world is becoming increasingly less Amero-centric.</p>
<p>“Populations are rising,” says <a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/author/chris-mayer/"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Chris Mayer</a>. “The amount of arable land is in decline, thanks to desertification, urbanization and other factors. Water tables are dropping fast — Beijing is sinking eight inches per year!</p>
<p>“As I said in Vancouver, I don’t see how, when we look at the world in three-five years, the market for irrigation equipment is not substantially bigger than it is today. The Asian countries have the money to build new irrigation systems. They just have to decide to make that a top priority. China already gives its farmers subsidies to purchase equipment. I expect we’ll see more of this from other countries too.</p>
<p>“That’s one example of a great long-term idea that this short-term market crunch could give you a great chance to own.”</p>
<p><a href="http://dailyreckoning.com/another-global-megatrend/"><br />
</a></p>
<p><a href="http://dailyreckoning.com/another-global-megatrend/">Source: Another Global Megatrend</a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Can the Price of Oil Return to $70?</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/can-the-price-of-oil-return-to-70/2678</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/can-the-price-of-oil-return-to-70/2678#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 May 2008 18:55:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Paola Pecora</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Oil Investment & Alternative Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[agricultural commodities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Amex]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China Grain Production]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chinese Agriculture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Citigroup]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ETFs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Goldman Saks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Irrigation Systems]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Natural Disasters]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil Crops]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Province Sichuan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Vegetable Production]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Inflation on food items can increase even more once China depletes its food resources… Oil back to $70?</p>
<p>Buenos Aires, Argentina May 30, 2008</p>
<p>*** Four months ago China was brought to its knees in the face of the most ferocious meteor of the last 50 years, succumbing to its vulnerability to the uncontrollable and unmanageable force of nature. Today those knees have been literally broken after another dramatic and uncontrollable event for China: a devastating earthquake in Sichuan province, in the South West that killed and buried more than 56,000 people (and that number is rising every day…), injured 300,000 and 30,000 are still missing.</p>
<p>China normally enjoys a position of worldwide domination and control when it comes to internal policies that&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Inflation on food items can increase even more once China depletes its food resources… Oil back to $70?<span id="more-2678"></span></p>
<p>Buenos Aires, Argentina May 30, 2008</p>
<p>*** Four months ago China was brought to its knees in the face of the most ferocious meteor of the last 50 years, succumbing to its vulnerability to the uncontrollable and unmanageable force of nature. Today those knees have been literally broken after another dramatic and uncontrollable event for China: a devastating earthquake in Sichuan province, in the South West that killed and buried more than 56,000 people (and that number is rising every day…), injured 300,000 and 30,000 are still missing.</p>
<p>China normally enjoys a position of worldwide domination and control when it comes to internal policies that silence their opponents, and the development of an economy that exports deflation, and in protecting its industry and monetary competitiveness. However, in the face of these natural disasters, China find it can do little more than kneel and beg for aid from the very world it attempts to dominate whenever possible.</p>
<p>Chinese agriculture has once again been adversely affected in Sichuan as well as in other zones of disaster in the last few months. 34,000 hectares of farmland and irrigation systems have been destroyed in some areas: ““up to 100,000 hectares of rice paddies might have to be used to grow alternative crops”, the China Daily reported. Additionally, farming machinery and facilities have been damaged and 12.5 million head of poultry and livestock has been killed&#8230;.</p>
<p>As the country&#8217;s leading agricultural province, Sichuan provides 6% of the nation&#8217;s total grain output which includes 5% of the national total summer grain production, 8% of the total vegetable oil crops and 5% percent of the total vegetable production, said Wei Chao&#8217;an, Vice Agriculture Minister, speaking to the China Daily.</p>
<p>China food inflation surged to 22% in April. Through enacting price controls in areas hit by these disasters, the government is trying to cap inflation, that came in at 8.5% for April.</p>
<p>It is important to note that China has also been imposing agricultural export restrictions, increasing tariffs and imposing export quotas after inflation skyrocketed to its highest level in 12 years during February while at the same time 40% of the country’s inflation comes from the international price increases, according to Chinese economists.</p>
<p>It is like trying to extinguish a fire using a bucket of gasoline.</p>
<p>Also, China continues to import products that keep rising in price, from food to energy. We must remain aware that oil and corn are part of our everyday life in the form of plastics to toothpaste.</p>
<p>On the other hand, China is net exporter of agricultural products, which means that higher export restrictions will actually create the opposite effect to what they are trying to avoid in the process – that being it will bring about inflation. In restricting the international food supply they are generating a greater increase in international prices.</p>
<p>China has also increased subsidies to farmers in hopes they will raise more pork and cultivate more grains. Ultimately these measures do little more than to create relative price distortions while at the same time they discourage farmers from producing more of the same.</p>
<p>As quoted in the China Daily, Qi Jingmei, a senior economist at the State Information Center, noted that &#8220;The Chinese market is linked to the global market by thousands of threads. You can’t cut them off completely&#8221;.</p>
<p>As the country is imposing restrictions to food exports, it is opening its state food reserves of wheat, rice and pork in a move to contain inflation. Huang Jikun, of the Chinese Agricultural Policy Center noted that: &#8220;The potential for prices to go up may well rise in future, because you can&#8217;t always tap the grain reserves.&#8221;</p>
<p>These reserves could in turn run out in a few months, especially if the farmers decide to turn to the production of more profitable commodities in the face of depressed domestic prices. And if you combine this scenario with a policy of export restrictions an explosive cocktail could be generated when the world finds out that China is returning to participate actively in the world-wide grain purchase.</p>
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