Israel may very well attack Iran’s nuclear facilities if the hardliner Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is re-elected tomorrow. Israel thinks that if elected, Ahmadinejad will continue to develop nuclear weapons.  And, Israel can’t afford to wait for international efforts to bring Iran’s enrichment to an end.

Kudos to my friend George Friedman and his crew at Stratfor. If you didn’t see the article in this week’s Barron’s about Stratfor’s analysis of the geopolitical risk premium built into oil prices, you missed a really good piece of work. You’ve probably heard Napoleon’s quote that “Amateurs discuss strategy, and professionals discuss logistics.” If you want a perfect example of how that quote plays out for the markets, take a look at Stratfor’s article below. It’s precisely the kind of sober, fundamental research that makes Stratfor my invaluable source for geopolitical intelligence.

With oil reaching $130 today, Goldman Sachs forecasting $141 oil, and T. Boone Pickens calling $150, it’s time to examine the one “X” factor that could quickly spike oil to $200.