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		<title>Stalled Infrastructure Projects: What it Means for Investors</title>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 06 Jul 2009 20:43:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Fessler</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Make no mistake: Government and privately funded investment in public works projects &#8211; not bubble inducing, debt-financed consumer spending &#8211; will be the guiding light that leads the way out of this recession. The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act &#8211; otherwise known as the “Stimulus Bill” &#8211; provides $120 billion to begin to address our nation’s crumbling infrastructure.</p>
<p>It’s the largest infrastructure investment since Eisenhower’s Federal-Aid Highway Act of 1956, which created the U.S. interstate highway system.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2008/October/infrastructure-investment-opportunities-two-of-our-favorite-etfs-right-now.html">Infrastructure investment</a> &#8211; under-funded since the 1960s &#8211; will be unprecedented over the next three to five years, and let’s face it: the need is huge.</p>
<p>According to the National Surface Transportation Policy Review Study Commission, $225 billion needs to be spent annually for the next 50 years…&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Make no mistake: Government and privately funded investment in public works projects &#8211; not bubble inducing, debt-financed consumer spending &#8211; will be the guiding light that leads the way out of this recession. The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act &#8211; otherwise known as the “Stimulus Bill” &#8211; provides $120 billion to begin to address our nation’s crumbling infrastructure.</p>
<p>It’s the largest infrastructure investment since Eisenhower’s Federal-Aid Highway Act of 1956, which created the U.S. interstate highway system.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2008/October/infrastructure-investment-opportunities-two-of-our-favorite-etfs-right-now.html">Infrastructure investment</a> &#8211; under-funded since the 1960s &#8211; will be unprecedented over the next three to five years, and let’s face it: the need is huge.</p>
<p>According to the National Surface Transportation Policy Review Study Commission, $225 billion needs to be spent annually for the next 50 years… that’s over $11 <em>trillion</em>, and that’s just for the transportation sector.</p>
<p>Of course, public infrastructure projects such as roads, bridges and water and sewer systems are by their very nature huge, expensive undertakings, requiring massive amounts of capital and manpower.</p>
<p>But very little actual construction activity is getting underway. Here’s why, and what you can do about it in the meantime.</p>
<p><strong>What’s Going on in Big Infrastructure Project Financing?</strong></p>
<p>So, why is little construction happening? Simple.</p>
<p>The current economic environment has upset the applecart with regards to funding these capital-intensive projects. As tax revenue continue to plummet, over 30 states have serious budget shortfalls, and most have shutdown funding for large capital projects. Most municipalities aren’t in any better shape.</p>
<p>At the Federal level, Congress is transfusing the Highway Trust Fund every year &#8211; last year it was $8 billion &#8211; as consumers drive less and switch to more fuel-efficient cars and trucks.</p>
<p>Clearly, new and innovative ways to fund <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2008/October/infrastructure-investment-opportunities-two-of-our-favorite-etfs-right-now.html">infrastructure projects</a> are needed. Last week, the fourth annual U.S. Infrastructure Investment Summit was held in New York to address this issue, and I was delighted to be in attendance at this important two-day event.</p>
<p>This high-level gathering annually brings together a small, but influential group of individuals in the world of infrastructure finance and investing.</p>
<p>In addition to yours truly, attendees included directors and managers of a number of infrastructure investment funds, together with those from Barclays Capital, UBS, the Blackstone Group, Jolene Molitoris (Ohio DOT). Several managers of large pension funds rounded out the group.</p>
<p>This year, the discussions and panel sessions focused on several key areas. Below are a few of the highlights:</p>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>The Federal Infrastructure Spending Bill</strong></li>
</ul>
<p>Besides the $120 billion earmarked for infrastructure in the stimulus bill, the Federal Transportation Authorization bill provides for an additional $450 billion of funding over six years, in the form of a national infrastructure bank.</p>
<p>It accomplishes two things: It relies on bonds to provide the necessary funding for major infrastructure projects and it eliminates the huge, upfront payments. Clearly, there will be plenty of capital available from the government for infrastructure projects.</p>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on Infrastructure Spending</strong></li>
</ul>
<p>The global financial crisis has changed the financial landscape for the foreseeable future. Retail lenders are far more conservative, warning potential homebuyers that they will need “serious skin in the game” in order to qualify for a mortgage.</p>
<p>The same thing is happening with infrastructure, according to Ben Heap, Executive Director of Infrastructure Asset Management at UBS, and Stephen Howard, a Director at Barclays Capital.</p>
<p>Most of the deals being done right now are more like partnerships with other investors and pension funds. And they have much more equity in them today as opposed to those done several years ago. The reason is that traditional debt financing is hard to come by with state budgets in crisis mode.</p>
<p>As a result, political acceptance of private funding deals is warming fast (money talks) &#8211; especially at the municipal level &#8211; where partisan politics is often non-existent. At the local level, most deals are small, bottom-up deals involving a few million dollars.</p>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>The Current Lending Environment and Infrastructure Valuation</strong></li>
</ul>
<p>“Not all infrastructure is the same… many perform differently from an investment standpoint”, says Michael Dorrell, Senior Managing Director of Blackstone Group. Toll roads have very low earnings volatility, airports are higher and seaports are the highest.</p>
<p>According to Dorrell, earnings for infrastructure are off only 3% to -5%, versus the S&amp;P index that’s off nearly 85%. Even infrastructure stocks are off 35% to 40% from their highs. His main criteria for valuing good infrastructure assets?</p>
<p>Making sure the capital structure of the underlying asset is durable and robust. In the past, over-enthusiasm on the capital structure side has had a significant impact on asset valuation.</p>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>What it Takes to Create Public-Private Partnerships (P3s)</strong></li>
</ul>
<p>People don’t want to pay twice for infrastructure. They think it should be free, given that they’ve already paid taxes. The federal gas tax &#8211; due to its fixed nature &#8211; has lost much of its value as a proxy for the use of roads and bridges.</p>
<p>Paying for use is coming as a result of all of this. Proper tolling is a way for people to understand the value of the asset they are using. Expect toll roads to proliferate across the country.</p>
<p>States and municipalities will partner with private equity funds and pension funds as a means of raising capital and reducing annual budgets. These P3s will proliferate at the local level, where partisan politics is relatively absent. Some state deals will happen, particularly in those states with budgetary crises, where raising capital by any means is paramount.</p>
<p><strong>What it All Means for Investors</strong></p>
<p>The bottom line is this: The funding issues are being solved, albeit slower than initial expectations.</p>
<p>Dorrell said it best:<strong> </strong>“Now is a terrific time to buy infrastructure assets. They are extremely undervalued.” Of course infrastructure stocks are good buys as well… and for all the same reasons: nobody likes them.</p>
<p><strong>Jacobs Engineering Group, Inc. </strong>(NYSE: <a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=jec" target="_blank">JEC</a>), <strong>Fluor </strong>(NYSE: <a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:FLR" target="_blank">FLR</a>) and <strong>Foster Wheeler AG</strong> (Nasdaq: <a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ:FWLT" target="_blank">FWLT</a>) are three great examples of companies that stand to benefit as the infrastructure cash gets deployed this year and next.</p>
<p>As credit markets loosen, it will begin to free up billions in capital that will be put to work on infrastructure projects all across America, creating hundreds of thousands of jobs in the process.</p>
<p>As most of you know, I’ve been following the <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2008/September/the-infrastructure-and-energy-sectors.html">energy and infrastructure sectors</a> for some time now for both <em><a href="http://www.investmentu.com/"  class="alinks_links">Investment U</a></em> and <em>The</em> <em><a href="http://www.OxfordClub.com"  class="alinks_links">Oxford Club</a></em> &#8211; I believe that in the next three to five years there will be incredible investment opportunities in these two sectors.</p>
<p>And the prospects are exciting enough that we’re looking to devote an entire service to profiting from them. So stay tuned for more information as things unfold.</p>
<p>Source: <a class="post_title" href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2009/July/stalled-infrastructure-projects.html">Stalled Infrastructure Projects: What it Means for Investors</a></p>
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		<title>How To Profit From The Obama Stimulus Plan</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/how-to-profit-from-the-obama-stimulus-plan/11726</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Jan 2009 14:25:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jon Herring</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Top Story]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Obama&#8217;s stimulus plan will only end up making a sick patient even sicker, says <strong>Jon Herring</strong>. But that won&#8217;t stop it happening. Jon says infrastructure firms stand to benefit in the short run. But the real long-term winners will be companies that benefit from rising inflation.</p>
<p>This from <a href="http://www.investorsdailyedge.com"  class="alinks_links">Investors Daily Edge</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>From the government that brought you $1,000 toilet seats and $500 hammers comes the &#8220;Great Economic Stimulus Boondoggle of 2009&#8243;. Okay, while it might be an appropriate title, that&#8217;s not what it is called. President-Elect Obama&#8217;s stimulus plan is actually called the &#8220;American Recovery and Reinvestment Plan.&#8221;</p>
<p>In my article last week, I brought up the distinct parallels to Ayn Rand&#8217;s book <em>Atlas Shrugged</em> and what is happening in the <a href="http://investorsdailyedge.com/article.aspx?id=1785" target="_blank">financial and political&#8230;</a></p></blockquote>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Obama&#8217;s stimulus plan will only end up making a sick patient even sicker, says <strong>Jon Herring</strong>. But that won&#8217;t stop it happening. Jon says infrastructure firms stand to benefit in the short run. But the real long-term winners will be companies that benefit from rising inflation.</p>
<p>This from <a href="http://www.investorsdailyedge.com"  class="alinks_links">Investors Daily Edge</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>From the government that brought you $1,000 toilet seats and $500 hammers comes the &#8220;Great Economic Stimulus Boondoggle of 2009&#8243;. Okay, while it might be an appropriate title, that&#8217;s not what it is called. President-Elect Obama&#8217;s stimulus plan is actually called the &#8220;American Recovery and Reinvestment Plan.&#8221;</p>
<p>In my article last week, I brought up the distinct parallels to Ayn Rand&#8217;s book <em>Atlas Shrugged</em> and what is happening in the <a href="http://investorsdailyedge.com/article.aspx?id=1785" target="_blank">financial and political world </a>today. In a <em>Wall Street Journal</em> article highlighting these startling similarities, Stephen Moore tells how Rand pilloried various acts of government futility and their &#8220;benevolent-sounding titles&#8221;.</p>
<p>There is the:</p>
<ul>
<li>&#8220;Anti-Greed Act&#8221; which is meant to redistribute income</li>
<li>&#8220;Equalization of Opportunity Act&#8221; to prevent people from starting more than one business (to give others a fair chance) and the</li>
<li>&#8220;Anti Dog-Eat-Dog Act&#8221; to restrict competition between firms and slow the wave of business bankruptcies.</li>
</ul>
<p>While these acts sound far-fetched, they are not too far removed from what we have seen from Washington in recent months, such as the $700 billion &#8220;Emergency Economic Stabilization Act&#8221; and the &#8220;Auto Industry Financing and Restructuring Act&#8221; which followed.</p>
<p>And now we look forward to what will certainly be one of the biggest government-spending programs in history – Obama&#8217;s &#8220;American Recovery and Reinvestment Plan&#8221;.</p>
<p>Will it work? Will it help America to &#8220;recover&#8221;? Of course not. Let us count the flaws and discuss why this plan not only will not help America to &#8220;recover&#8221;, but will make the sick patient even sicker.</p>
<p>In a speech before the student body at George Mason University on January 8, 2009, President-Elect Obama stated:</p>
<p>&#8220;It is true that we cannot depend on government alone to create jobs or long-term growth, but at this particular moment, only government can provide the short-term boost necessary to lift us from a recession this deep and severe.&#8221;</p>
<p>I won&#8217;t even go into the assumption that what Obama is looking to do is provide a &#8220;short-term boost.&#8221; Do you really think this will be a quick in and out procedure? Not hardly.</p>
<p>But the bigger flaw is Obama&#8217;s Keynesian assumption that government can fix this economic downturn by increasing spending. In some cases, government spending can boost the economy. But most economists agree that too large an infusion of government spending ultimately slows growth, raises interest rates, and makes tax increases a certainty.</p>
<p>Federal government spending already accounts for one out of every four dollars in U.S. economic activity. This is the highest rate since World War II and it&#8217;s only going higher.</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s return to Obama&#8217;s recent speech:</p>
<p>&#8220;Only government can break the cycle that is crippling our economy – where a lack of spending leads to lost jobs, which leads to even less spending; where an inability to lend and borrow stops growth and leads to even less credit.&#8221;</p>
<p>Now we&#8217;re getting somewhere. According to Obama, what is crippling our economy is a &#8220;lack of spending&#8221; and &#8220;an inability to lend and borrow&#8221;. So our economic problems have nothing to do with loose monetary policy, the systematic dismantling of prudent regulations by crony capitalist bankers and legislators, and the parasitic expenses of an out-of-control government.</p>
<p>None of those things had anything to do with our current situation. Instead, we got here by not spending enough, not consuming enough and not borrowing enough. Debt is a large part of what got us into this mess. More debt will not get us out.</p>
<p>The President-Elect continues:</p>
<p>&#8220;[...] we need to put money in the pockets of the American people, create new jobs, and invest in our future.&#8221;</p>
<p>Obama has stated that he plans to create over 2.5 million jobs. But artificially created jobs will not boost the economy. What we need is increasing productivity. And you don&#8217;t get that through government programs.</p>
<hr />
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<tbody>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center"><strong>INTERNAL ENDORSEMENT</strong></p>
<blockquote>
<blockquote>
<p align="center"><strong>The Coming Gold Rush of 2009 Could Hand You Safe Gains of 408%</strong></p>
<p>If you think it&#8217;s too late to make big money in the precious metals bull market, it&#8217;s time to think again. The financial crisis has caused tremendous pain&#8230; but the &#8220;solutions&#8221; are likely to make the situation even worse in the long run. But there is a way to protect and grow your wealth&#8230; with inflation proof, depression proof gold!</p>
<p align="center"><a href="https://www.web-purchases.com/W21CJB00/21C/landing.html" target="_blank"><strong>Click here to learn how to turn the gold rush of 2009 into safe gains of 408%</strong></a></p>
</blockquote>
</blockquote>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<hr />In a recent essay, Ron Paul wrote:</p>
<p>&#8220;A &#8216;job&#8217; could be to dig a hole one day, and fill it back up the next, or perhaps the equivalent at a desk. This does no one any good. The value in that paycheck ultimately has to come from taxing someone productive.&#8221;</p>
<p>It doesn&#8217;t take much thinking to reach the conclusion that this closed-circle economic model won&#8217;t get us anywhere, and is, in fact totally counter-productive in the long-run.</p>
<p>But the bigger question – one that very few in Washington seem to be asking – is <em>where is all this money going to come from?</em></p>
<p>On January 6,  the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released the government&#8217;s latest budget forecast. The CBO estimates that the U.S. deficit for fiscal 2009 will be nearly $1.2 trillion!</p>
<p>This level of deficit spending is entirely unsupportable, especially for a nation as far in debt as we are already are. But this figure is not even the half of it&#8230; literally.</p>
<p>The CBO estimate does not factor in the spending increases and tax cuts proposed in Obama&#8217;s stimulus package. Nor does it include new healthcare promises. And that&#8217;s not all. The CBO estimate also includes numerous unlikely assumptions. To wit, that:</p>
<ul>
<li>There will be no more bank failures or bailouts (just yesterday Bank of America rattled the cup for a few more billion)</li>
<li>Federal revenues will remain stable (no rising unemployment or corporate losses leading to falling tax revenues)</li>
<li>The government will get most of its bailout money back (the assumption is that 75% of the TARP program funds will be paid or earned back)</li>
<li>Interest rates on government debt will continue to decline (these interest rates are already at more than 50-year lows, and in a recent report I sent to <a href="https://www.web-purchases.com/W21CJB00/21C/landing.html" target="_blank">20th Century Prosperity</a> subscribers, I showed why they will inevitably rise and how to profit)</li>
</ul>
<p>When Casey Research analyst Bud Conrad accounted for what is not included in the budget deficit along with the goldilocks assumptions, he came up with a 2009 deficit of $3 trillion!</p>
<p>Thankfully, besides Ron Paul, there is at least one other politician in Washington asking the question, <em>where is all this money going to come from</em>. Speaking to the Washington Times, Michele Bachmann (R-Minn) said:</p>
<p>&#8220;[...] someone has to pay for [the stimulus package] whether it&#8217;s today&#8217;s taxpayers or their children and grandchildren. There comes a time when government simply cannot provide enough government jobs to bolster the economy. There comes a time when the taxpayers&#8217; burden to pay for all of the projects is too heavy to carry. With the trillions in bailouts and stimulus packages that have already been passed and that are in the works, that time may be sooner than we think.</p>
<p>&#8220;Government should not take on the role of creating the jobs and buying the goods. Government should be in the business of establishing an environment in which businesses can thrive and play those roles themselves. Americans need a stimulus proposal that actually stimulates the economy.&#8221;</p>
<p>I heartily agree. But I am also realistic enough to understand that that is not what we are going to get. What we will get is a massive &#8220;stimulus&#8221; program with an emphasis on infrastructure, similar to the public-works projects of the Great Depression.</p>
<p>If you&#8217;re looking for a way to capitalize on the government-sponsored bull market in infrastructure, I expect there will be some upside to the usual cast of companies that benefit from government construction and engineering projects. Companies like <strong>Fluor</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=FLR">FLR</a>), <strong>Shaw Group</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=SGR">SGR</a>) and <strong>Jacobs Engineering Group</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=JEC">JEC</a>).</p>
<p>But the real winners – in the long-term – will be those investments that benefit most from rising inflation&#8230; precious metals and precious metals mining stocks.</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.investorsdailyedge.com/Article.aspx?Id=1814">Source: The Great Stimulus Boondoggle (And How to Profit)</a></p>
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		<title>8 Stocks For The Coming Construction Boom</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/8-stocks-for-the-coming-construction-boom/10429</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Dec 2008 13:38:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Justice Litle</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p><strong>Justice Litle</strong> says these two things are clear right now: 1) America&#8217;s infrastructure is crumbling, and 2) Washington is ready to spend trillions to rescue the economy. Put them together, and that means big business for construction firms. Justice picks eight of the best companies in the industry, which has a bright future under President Obama.</p>
<p>This from <a href="http://www.taipanpublishing.com"  class="alinks_links">Taipan</a> Daily:</p>
<blockquote><p>If you drive on U.S. roads, you probably don’t need to be told – the country’s infrastructure is in pretty bad shape.</p>
<p>As a nation, Americans like to look forward. We prefer to spend our money building new things (rather than fixing up old things). Issues like repair and maintenance are back-burnered for other priorities in state and federal budgets. Over time, the cost of&#8230;</p></blockquote>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Justice Litle</strong> says these two things are clear right now: 1) America&#8217;s infrastructure is crumbling, and 2) Washington is ready to spend trillions to rescue the economy. Put them together, and that means big business for construction firms. Justice picks eight of the best companies in the industry, which has a bright future under President Obama.</p>
<p>This from <a href="http://www.taipanpublishing.com"  class="alinks_links">Taipan</a> Daily:</p>
<blockquote><p>If you drive on U.S. roads, you probably don’t need to be told – the country’s infrastructure is in pretty bad shape.</p>
<p>As a nation, Americans like to look forward. We prefer to spend our money building new things (rather than fixing up old things). Issues like repair and maintenance are back-burnered for other priorities in state and federal budgets. Over time, the cost of neglect rises.</p>
<p>In 2007 we were hit with a long overdue wake-up call: a Minneapolis bridge collapsed. Thirteen drivers were killed.</p>
<p><strong>A Serious Problem</strong></p>
<p>I don’t know about you, but I routinely drive over bridges and interpasses without worry (just as 200 million other U.S. drivers do). The bridge collapse was seen as a freak occurrence, a one-off&#8230; but imagine if that changed. The climate of fear could cripple our roadways, and that would be disastrous.</p>
<p>Dale Reiss, vice chairman of the Urban Land Institute in Washington, believes that “at some point, the system could grind to a halt” if we don’t do something about the crumbling state of our highways, roads and bridges.</p>
<p>In Atlanta, Ga., for example – the city where your humble editor went to high school – rush-hour trips are projected to take 75% longer by the year 2030. (If you’ve ever braved Atlanta traffic, you know that’s no joke.)</p>
<p>The estimated repair bill is staggering. A report titled “Infrastructure 2007: A Global Perspective” argues that the U.S. faces a $1.6 trillion deficit for repair and maintenance through the year 2010.</p>
<p>It may not seem like it these days, but $1.6 trillion is still a serious chunk of change. (Unless your name is Hank Paulson or Ben Bernanke, that is.)</p>
<p>Keep in mind, too, that the $1.6 trillion repair bill estimate is <em>only through 2010</em>. When you look at the long-term estimates for needed infrastructure and repair costs – stretching out into decades – you get a repair bill in the <em>tens </em>of trillions.</p>
<p><strong>Keynes to the Rescue!</strong></p>
<p>So, given the above news, the logical John Q. Taxpayer reaction would be something like, “<em>Holy smokes, that’s a lot of dough to spend on repairs.</em>”</p>
<p>But in Washington, D.C. – where everybody and their brother is a John Maynard Keynes fan – the reaction is <em>“Hooray! Something huge to throw money at!”</em></p>
<p>Deflation fears are all the rage now as you know&#8230; the Fed just cut rates to zero&#8230; Chrysler is hurting so bad it’s shutting down operations for a month&#8230; and President-elect Obama is getting ready to swoop in with the mother of all stimulus plans. Money needs to be spent&#8230; and by gum, we’re gonna spend it on infrastructure.</p>
<p>The total amount of “Obama stimulus” seems to yo-yo up and down, like a mood ring attuned to the general anxieties of U.S. taxpayers. The initial amount being bandied about was $600 billion. In recent days the whispers have expanded it to a cool trillion – the big T word – or maybe even more.</p>
<p>On Dec. 6, President-elect Obama put some flesh on the bones of his stimulus plan, pledging “the largest new investment in roads and bridges since President Dwight D. Eisenhower built the interstate system in the 1950s” (according to the <em>Wall Street Journal</em>).</p>
<p>President-elect Obama also promised, in his own words, to “launch the most sweeping effort to modernize and upgrade school buildings that this country has ever seen.”</p>
<p>(Side note: why do most public schools look like prisons? Have you ever noticed that? I don’t get it.)</p>
<p><strong>“Use It or Lose It”</strong></p>
<p>When Obama unveiled his five-point plan earlier this month – encompassing energy, roads and bridges, schools, broadband and electronic medical records – the thing that really made my ears perk up was the “use it or lose it” provision.</p>
<p>Here is the President-elect, again in his own words:</p>
<p><em>We&#8217;ll invest your precious tax dollars in new and smarter ways, and we&#8217;ll set a simple rule – use it or lose it. If a state doesn&#8217;t act quickly to invest in roads and bridges in their communities, they&#8217;ll lose the money.</em></p>
<p>Have you ever seen the movie <em>Brewster’s Millions</em>? It’s a classic 80s comedy in which Richard Pryor, a minor league baseball player, has to blow 30 million dollars in thirty days – without telling anyone why – in order to inherit $300 million more from an eccentric relative.</p>
<p>The use-it-or-lose-it provision made me think of <em>Brewster’s Millions&#8230;</em> perhaps updated here as <em>Obama’s Trillions</em>. In order to meet the stimulus-driven desires of Washington, the states are going to have to shovel this road-and-bridge cash out the door, pronto.</p>
<p>You can almost hear the CEOs of the big construction companies doing a Homer Simpson: <em>Woo-Hoo!</em></p>
<p><strong>How to Play It? </strong></p>
<p>So we know that the state of America’s infrastructure is a real and serious problem – one that will take years, if not decades, to fully put right.</p>
<p>We also know that Washington is bound and determined to drop a money bomb on that problem, in order to stimulate our sagging economy and create millions of new jobs.</p>
<p>So the obvious question is, how to play it?</p>
<p>Here’s a quick look at some of the major players that could benefit (all traded on the New York Stock Exchange).</p>
<table style="font-size: 10px; text-align: center;" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="576" align="center">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="25%" valign="top"><strong>Name</strong></td>
<td width="25%" valign="top"><strong>Symbol (all NYSE)</strong></td>
<td width="25%" valign="top"><strong>P/E Ratio</strong></td>
<td width="25%" valign="top"><strong>Market Cap</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="25%" valign="top">Fluor Corporation</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top">FLR</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top">11.52</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top">8.98B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="25%" valign="top">Jacobs Engineering Corp.</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top">JEC</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top">14.35</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top">5.98B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="25%" valign="top">Caterpillar Inc.</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top">CAT</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top">7.16</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top">26.16B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="25%" valign="top">The Shaw Group Inc.</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top">SGR</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top">12.47</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top">1.74B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="25%" valign="top">Chicago Bridge &amp; Iron</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top">CBI</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top">n/a</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top">1.13B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="25%" valign="top">URS Corporation</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top">URS</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top">16.03</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top">3.34B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="25%" valign="top">McDermott International</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top">MDR</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top">4.20</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top">2.27B</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="25%" valign="top">Perini Corporation</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top">PCR</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top">6.10</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top">1.16B</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>If you pull up charts for the above names, you’ll see that every single one is in some form of uptrend – as is wholly to be expected, given the Obama news and the longer-term prospects for fattened construction company coffers.</p>
<p>Which of them to buy, though? Another option is just to go with an ETF, like the <strong>PowerShares Dynamic Building &amp; Construction ETF (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:PKB" target="_blank">PKB</a>)</strong>.</p>
<p align="center"><img src="http://www.taipanpublishinggroup.com/images/web/taipandaily/20081219tdimg.jpg" alt="PKB (PS Dyn Bldg&amp;Constr.) NYSE" width="440" height="381" /></p>
<p>As you can see, PKB is headed in the right direction. The ETF saw a surge in volume on the “Obama breakout” when the stimulus plans were announced, and the price action is strong.</p>
<p>But PKB has a few problems that make it a less than ideal choice.</p>
<p>For one, PKB’s average volume isn’t so hot at less than 100K shares per day. The volume is doable from a trading standpoint, but getting down to where lack of liquidity starts to be a concern.</p>
<p>Even more of a concern, from our perspective, is the fact that PKB’s top 10 holdings include <strong>Home Depot (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AHD" target="_blank">HD</a>)</strong> and <strong>Lowe’s (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ALOW" target="_blank">LOW</a>)</strong>. We’re not interested in DIY (do-it-yourself) retail or anything aimed at the consumer here, so that’s a real drawback.</p>
<p>Here’s where I turned to the man with the micro plan, Zach Scheidt (a.k.a Cash McDash), to get his take on how to play the Obama infrastructure boom.</p>
<p><strong>Smaller Is Better</strong></p>
<p>The first thing Zach pointed out to me is that, in terms of getting the most bang for one’s trading and investing buck, smaller is better as a rule of thumb.</p>
<p>Here’s what he means&#8230;</p>
<p>The major go-to names (the ones in the list noted above) should do well as a result of Obama’s big plans. In fact, they could very well offer double-digit returns in the coming years – nothing to sneeze at.</p>
<p>But, in Zach’s view, most of those multi-billion-dollar market cap names are <em>too big</em> to see the needle <em>really </em>move as a result of this road-and-bridge cash flood&#8230; the way it could with some of the <em>smaller, less well-known</em> infrastructure names.</p>
<p>“Think of an 18-wheeler semi-tractor trailer versus a sports car,” Zach told me.</p>
<p>“You can certainly cover ground in a big rig&#8230; but you just can’t get up to speed all that fast. So just as a fully loaded 18-wheeler can’t accelerate all that quickly (even on a brand new Obama highway), the big, well-known infrastructure names aren’t set to deliver the velocity of returns that some of the smaller names can.”</p>
<p>This program &#8211; which I call the “13F Disbursement Plan” &#8211; allows you to legally skim money from the cutthroat Wall Street firms who’ve gotten obscenely rich at the expense of ordinary folks like you and me.</p>
<p>By following the detailed instructions outlined in this letter, you’ll learn how to add $4,570 to $11,450 to your bank account every month, courtesy of the U.S. Government.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.web-purchases.com/SHI/WSHIJB15/landing.html" target="_blank">Read on for more information…</a></p>
<p>“Think of a Porsche,” Zach continued, “or maybe a Corvette, out of respect for the ailing Big Three. An infrastructure play with a market cap of just a few hundred million – as opposed to billions – is like the Corvette. The Obama plan’s impact on revenues will be that much greater for these smaller players&#8230; and in terms of shareholder return, the Corvette should leave the 18-wheeler in the dust.”</p>
<p>I asked Zach if he had any names in mind. He responded as if I had just insulted his honor. Of <em>course </em>he had some names on his roster – what self-respecting trader wouldn’t want a piece of this trend?</p>
<p>“In particular, I’m looking at one company that has a market cap of less than $300 million,” Zach said. “I haven’t pulled the trigger on it for <em>Taipan </em>subscribers yet, but my preliminary research suggests it could be a double or a triple within the next 12 to 18 months.”</p>
<p><strong>Lawyers and Bulldozers</strong></p>
<p>I then asked Zach what readers should look for as they scout for these infrastructure “Corvettes” themselves.</p>
<p>His response: “One thing that’s really important is to look at the lines of business. In particular, I like names that have the ability to make money on the construction side <em>and </em>the consulting side.”</p>
<p>“You can think of the two lines – construction and consulting – as the ‘bulldozer team’ and the ‘lawyer team.’ Before a structure can be upgraded or a new bridge can be built, a number of assessments have to be made. Sometimes there’s a lot of red tape – especially when NIMBY interests (the ‘Not In My Back Yard’ people) get involved.”</p>
<p>“So the smaller infrastructure names with dual lines of business – like the one I’m zeroing in on for <em>Taipan</em> subscribers – can make money on both sides of the coin. During the assessment period, while the project is being held up by red tape, they send in the lawyers and the guys with the clipboards. This allows them to make fat profit margins on their consulting fees.”</p>
<p>“Then, when the project actually gets underway, the ‘lawyer team’ packs up and the ‘bulldozer team’ rolls in&#8230; allowing the company to make another big chunk of profits on the construction side. Nobody likes red tape, but it’s a beautiful racket – a way to make money coming and going.”</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.taipanpublishinggroup.com/Taipan-Daily-121908.html">Source: How to Play the Obama Infrastructure Boom </a></p>
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		<title>Double and Triple-Profit Ideas For 2009</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/double-and-triple-profit-ideas-for-2009/10409</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/double-and-triple-profit-ideas-for-2009/10409#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Dec 2008 20:35:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Andy Carpenter</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Airline Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Altria Group]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CSCMY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GSI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investing advice]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ITW]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[JEC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LUV]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama infrastructure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Profit Ideas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[VOD]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p><strong>Quote of the week</strong>: <em>I stopped believing in Santa Claus when I was six. Mother took me to see him in a department store and he asked for my autograph. – </em>Shirley Temple</p>
<p>Here are eight stocking stuffers to unwrap.</p>
<p>1) The conversation between Libertarians and the rest of us (who aren&#8217;t on some nutty fringe) would go a lot smoother if we would all agree that laws and regulations do not prevent bad behavior.</p>
<p>Rather, they are merely guideposts to measure the quality of deviance in a way that allows the US&#8217;s local, state and federal judiciary to hand out retribution.</p>
<p>If you need further proof of this, I offer you two words – Bernard Madoff.</p>
<p>In an under-regulated world, Ponzi schemes might not&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Quote of the week</strong>: <em>I stopped believing in Santa Claus when I was six. Mother took me to see him in a department store and he asked for my autograph. – </em>Shirley Temple</p>
<p>Here are eight stocking stuffers to unwrap.</p>
<p>1) The conversation between Libertarians and the rest of us (who aren&#8217;t on some nutty fringe) would go a lot smoother if we would all agree that laws and regulations do not prevent bad behavior.</p>
<p>Rather, they are merely guideposts to measure the quality of deviance in a way that allows the US&#8217;s local, state and federal judiciary to hand out retribution.</p>
<p>If you need further proof of this, I offer you two words – Bernard Madoff.</p>
<p>In an under-regulated world, Ponzi schemes might not be illegal. In fact, you can assume that is a near certainty, judging by the number of famous institutions and wealthy people that poured billions into Madoff&#8217;s fund, even as they suspected he was cooking the books.</p>
<p>The allure of that steady 9% return was just too strong&#8230; flies to the dung heap.</p>
<p>You have to wonder how many of Madoff&#8217;s investors will not only lose millions on the madman&#8217;s fund, then double those loses when the IRS goes all militia on their wacky offshore tax schemes. The latter is one of 2008&#8217;s most under-reported financial stories&#8230; as it will likely be in 2009.</p>
<p>2) Poor and middle-class people dream of the big investment score – the lottery&#8230; wealthy people, as the Madoff affair demonstrates, get all dewy eyed over 9%.</p>
<p>The reason is simple. Nine percent of $10 million is $900,000. That&#8217;s enough to survive on, even if it&#8217;s your only income. On the other hand, try living on 9% of $200,000 or 9% of $100,000&#8230;</p>
<p>Actually, if you don&#8217;t have health insurance and you live in a tent, you can probably stretch $18,000 out through a year, as long as you don&#8217;t pay the capital gains tax on it.</p>
<p>3) Now that the conservatives on the Supreme Court have opened the door for a new round of huge lawsuits against the Altria Group, you have to wonder what would prevent the President-elect, who can choke down some Marlboros, from joining a class-action suit.4) Here&#8217;s a play for all those union-hating people who believed, without verifying, all the recent bunk about how the United Auto Workers union is killing US automakers.</p>
<p>There is <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ALUV" target="_blank">LUV</a> in the air for you. Southwest Airlines trades around $7.50 today. Many of its employees, 7,200 ground-crew workers, haven&#8217;t had a raise since 2005. Ten-month long negotiations with these workers broke down in October.</p>
<p>LUV is profitable, its debt is manageable, and its earnings and revenues are slated to increase by about 10%. Additionally, though I hate the quarterly reporting game, LUV seems historically adept at producing earnings surprises on a regular basis.</p>
<p>Still, the best part of this play is it&#8217;s so Reaganesque&#8230; Southwest seems to hate its employees.</p>
<p>Nevertheless, LUV looks like one of 2009&#8217;s <em>share-price</em> <em>doublers.</em></p>
<p>5) Here&#8217;s a sweet play that should tap into the infrastructure mania that&#8217;s about to sweep the world.</p>
<p>Find someone to give you good, long odds on an under/over bet that you won&#8217;t be reading at least 199 &#8220;First Great Obama Stock&#8221; promotions in the coming six months. Take the over.</p>
<p>Hell, I got an &#8220;Obama stock&#8221; via fax the other day – some 22-cent West Virginia coal play. Damn thing went up 10 cents the next day, too.</p>
<p>6) If you want to play the coming Obama/worldwide economic-stimulus infrastructure bubble, you&#8217;re going to have to get in soon.</p>
<p>In China, that would mean jumping on low prices General Steel Holding (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AGSI" target="_blank">NYSE:GSI</a>). I&#8217;ve known the GSI guys for five years now – even before they were public.</p>
<p>Actually, I took a bunch of investors over to Beijing in 2004 and introduced them to the company just two hours before it went public.</p>
<p>Great company&#8230; great CEO&#8230; great management (much of its top management and board are from what I affectionately refer to as Beijing&#8217;s born-again Christian mafia).</p>
<p>Its earnings are slated to jump out of the roof next year. At around $4, GSI is a wicked steal.</p>
<p>GSI is one of 2009&#8217;s potential <em>share-price triplers.</em></p>
<p>7) If you want to stay closer to home and still play the great-infrastructure-bubble-of-2009, then take a good look at Pasadena, California-based Jacobs Engineering (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AJEC" target="_blank">NYSE:JEC</a>). But, do it fast, because it is destined to be a newsletter darling next year.</p>
<p>Multifaceted, JEC provides technical, professional, and construction services to industrial, commercial, and governmental customers worldwide.</p>
<p>It designs and engineers manufacturing plants that make chemicals and polymers, pharmaceuticals and biotechnology, oil and gas refining, food and consumer products, and basic resources industries</p>
<p>It also designs and engineers infrastructure projects such as highways, roads, bridges, and other transportation systems, as well as water and wastewater treatment plants, water resources facilities.</p>
<p>Most analysts agree that JEC should see a nice jump in earning next year. It has a tiny amount of debt, which make its 20.5% return on equity that much more impressive.</p>
<p>JEC has the very real potential to be one of 2009&#8217;s safest <em>share-price doublers.</em></p>
<p> <img src='http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_cool.gif' alt='8)' class='wp-smiley' /> Do your own homework on Illinois Tool Works (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AITW" target="_blank">NYSE:ITW</a>), Vodafone (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=VOD" target="_blank">VOD</a>), Cosco Singapore (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=CSCMY" target="_blank">CSCMY</a>)&#8230; each could have a smoking hot 2009.</p>
<p>That&#8217;ll do it for this week. I&#8217;ve been traveling so, I need get home to Boston and get some of that New England Christmas spirit going.</p>
<p>Of course, one of the season&#8217;s happiest symptoms is the fact that so many of us return to a naïve child-like state that peace on earth – even for a few weeks – seems like a noble goal.</p>
<p>Merry Christmas (for those among you that find such a salutation applicable).</p>
<p><a href="http://www.investorsdailyedge.com/Article.aspx?Id=1722">Source: Double- and Triple-Profit Ideas For 2009 </a></p>
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		<title>Firms Poised To Cash In On The New U.S. Infrastructure Revolution</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/firms-poised-to-cash-in-on-the-new-us-infrastructure-revolution/10362</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/firms-poised-to-cash-in-on-the-new-us-infrastructure-revolution/10362#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Dec 2008 13:12:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin Denholm</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CAT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FCX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Infrastructure Projects]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[infrastructure stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[JEC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Martin Denholm]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PHO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S. Steel Corp.]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WTS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[XLI]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Pack your bags, folks &#8211; &#8220;There’s no more Wall  Street.&#8221; That’s the damning verdict from Alan Greenberg, former CEO  of The Bear Stearns Cos. Speaking on <strong><em>Bloomberg</em></strong> <strong><em>TV’s</em></strong> &#8220;Money and Politics&#8221; show, Greenberg declared that the existing Wall  Street investment-banking model is dead.</p>
<p>I’m not sure about death, but the broader U.S. economy is like a 2:00 A.M. drunk, continuing to stumble towards the end of a mind-altering 2008, with little long-term relief in sight. Will it ever find its way home again?</p>
<p>One of President-elect Barack Obama’s most ambitious and large-scale plans quite literally seeks to dig America out of this mess – and here’s how you can profit, too. But you’d better act fast. Some of Wall Street’s big boys are already&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Pack your bags, folks &#8211; &#8220;There’s no more Wall  Street.&#8221; That’s the damning verdict from Alan Greenberg, former CEO  of The Bear Stearns Cos. Speaking on <strong><em>Bloomberg</em></strong> <strong><em>TV’s</em></strong> &#8220;Money and Politics&#8221; show, Greenberg declared that the existing Wall  Street investment-banking model is dead.</p>
<p>I’m not sure about death, but the broader U.S. economy is like a 2:00 A.M. drunk, continuing to stumble towards the end of a mind-altering 2008, with little long-term relief in sight. Will it ever find its way home again?</p>
<p>One of President-elect Barack Obama’s most ambitious and large-scale plans quite literally seeks to dig America out of this mess – and here’s how you can profit, too. But you’d better act fast. Some of Wall Street’s big boys are already placing their bets.</p>
<h3>The Eisenhower Model</h3>
<p>Obama will take the oath as 44th president of the United  States on Jan. 20.</p>
<p>Since his Nov. 4 victory, the more he’s said about &#8220;getting to work immediately&#8221; and having &#8220;no time to waste,&#8221; the more I think the inauguration ceremony will be a time-consuming inconvenience, distracting him from fixing America’s problems.</p>
<p>One key area in which he’s pledged to spend his way out of the mire is by tackling the country’s aging and rapidly deteriorating infrastructure. He plans to make the largest investment to repair and upgrade the country’s public works systems since Dwight Eisenhower spearheaded the nationwide interstate highway system in the 1950s.</p>
<p>In short, this means utility industries like electric and water will receive huge cash infusions. Roads and bridges will be repaired and rebuilt. Schools will be modernized, part of which will include improving Internet access to a nation that ranks 15th in the world in broadband adoption. Energy efficiency, particularly in government buildings, will be increased. The healthcare industry will make greater use of technology to streamline and computerize medical records to cut costs.</p>
<p>That’s the plan anyway. And Obama says it will create 2.5  million jobs by 2011.</p>
<p>Obama’s economic brain trust is currently &#8220;busy working, crunching the numbers… to determine what the size and scope of the economic recovery plan needs to be. But it’s going to be substantial.&#8221;</p>
<p>Kind of vague right now, I know. But just yesterday (Thursday), one of his advisers floated a dollar figure of $850 billion. In terms of infrastructure upgrades, 5,000 road and bridge projects could get under <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/04/21/caterpillar-digs-deep-into-the-developing-world-for-profit/" target="_blank">Caterpillar  Digs Deep into the Developing World for Profit</a> way immediately after Obama  puts his autograph on the bill.</p>
<h3>Brick By Brick… Bridge By Bridge</h3>
<p>With U.S. infrastructure set to have a sweaty wad of cash lobbed in its direction, construction firms are lining up to grab a share of the spoils, particularly as the need for equipment and raw materials rises.</p>
<p>Appropriately, we start in Obama’s home state of Illinois, which is also home to the world’s largest manufacturers of construction and mining equipment, engines, and industrial turbines. Founded in 1986 and based in Peoria, Caterpillar (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:CAT" target="_blank">CAT</a>)  has seen its shares shoot up from $37 to over $45, <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/04/21/caterpillar-digs-deep-into-the-developing-world-for-profit/" target="_blank">as  the company feeds off the infrastructure buzz</a>.</p>
<p>One of Caterpillar’s fellow Illinois-based construction  equipment manufacturers, Deere &amp; Company (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=de" target="_blank">DE</a>), could also be set to extend a share price boost that has seen the price surge from the upper $20s on November 20 to over $39 today.</p>
<p>If you want a more diversified way to play the industrial and construction sector, take a look at the Industrial Select Sector SPDR (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=xli" target="_blank">XLI</a>) exchange traded fund  (ETF).</p>
<p>On the engineering front, head west and look no further than  California’s Jacobs Engineering Group (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=JEC" target="_blank">JEC</a>), which is the largest publicly traded engineering firm in the U.S. The infrastructure love is spreading across the sector, as the stock shot up on news that it has secured two more contracts…</p>
<ol type="1">
<li>A five-year, $17.5 million contract from the Peninsula Corridor Joint Powers Board that will see Jacobs serve SamTrans and the San Mateo County Transportation Authority agencies to work on three programs. This includes project management, scheduling, budget management, and more.</li>
</ol>
<ol type="1">
<li>A contract from Pima County, Arizona to provide project management and construction inspection services for the Ina Road water reclamation project. Construction costs here will total about $200 million.</li>
</ol>
<p>Jacobs pulls in a whopping $11 billion annually and employs more than 57,000 workers – a number that could grow under Obama’s bold plan.</p>
<p>Speaking of water, if you’re looking to cash in on this critical industry amid a surging global population, increasing pollution, and a depleting, finite amount of water resources, check out leading firm Watts Water Technologies Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=WTS" target="_blank">WTS</a>)  or the sector ETF, PowerShares Water Resources (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=PHO" target="_blank">PHO</a>), which tracks the price  and yield performance of the Palisades Water index.</p>
<p>Be sure to also pay a visit to our own free <strong><em>Smart  Profits Report</em></strong> research section, where you can read much more about the water problems facing the world &#8211; and the vast profit potential that the industry holds. We’ve got two in-depth (pun intended) water reports up there.</p>
<h3>Get Raw</h3>
<p>On the raw materials side, several firms spring to mind as potential winners of the Obama infrastructure initiative. And as Jim Cramer might say, they’re &#8220;best of breed&#8221; in their industries.</p>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>Cement: </strong>South of the border – in Garza Garcia, Mexico, to be exact – you can       find Cemex SAB de CV (ADR: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=cx" target="_blank">CX</a>), a world leader in producing, distributing, and selling cement. And when it comes to infrastructure rebuilding and repairs, you don’t get many more commodities more important than this one. Its market cap of almost $8 billion is evidence of this.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>Steel: </strong>Talk about a liftoff. U.S. Steel Corp. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=x" target="_blank">X</a>) shares have surged       from the mid $20s on November 20 to a current price around $37 a share.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>Copper: </strong>Copper hit a 52-week high of $127.24/ton on May 21, 2008. The price now sits around $20/ton. Quite a slump for what is the largest publicly traded copper producer, Freeport-McMoRan Copper &amp; Gold Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=FCX" target="_blank">FCX</a>). You can blame the prolonged commodities sector slump for that, in addition to the stock market’s woes. But in an Obama-fueled, infrastructure rebuilding rampage, I’m betting on a resurgence.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li><strong>Aluminum: </strong>Go large. The leader here is Alcoa Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=AA" target="_blank">AA</a>). Like FCX, Alcoa has endured a rocky year. Having traded at a 52-week high of $44.77 in May, the stock market’s tank job has whipped this stock into submission. Shares are currently trading around $10 and with a 0.37 Price/Earnings-to-Growth (PEG) ratio, the market thinks it’s ridiculously undervalued.</li>
</ul>
<p>The bottom line here is that companies like these could all stand to profit from a huge ramp up in infrastructure spending. What’s more, they’re all solid, well-established, industry-leading firms with strong cash positions, doing business in areas where there are clear, critical needs. If you’re looking for outperformers, infrastructure stocks are set up well for 2009.</p>
<p><a class="titleref" rel="bookmark" href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/12/19/obama-infrastructure/">From  Eisenhower To Obama …The Firms Poised To Cash In On The New U.S.  Infrastructure Revolution</a></p>
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		<title>These Stocks Will Soar On Obama&#8217;s Infrastructure Plan</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/these-stocks-will-soar-on-obamas-infrastructure-plan/9914</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/these-stocks-will-soar-on-obamas-infrastructure-plan/9914#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Dec 2008 12:37:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin Denholm</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CAT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ETFs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FCX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[infrastructure investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investing in raw materials]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[JEC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Martin Denholm]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PHO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[President Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock market investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock picks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US stocks]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=9914</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Obama&#8217;s infrastructure plan is still vague. But we know it will be big. And we know there will be great investment opportunities. <strong>Martin Denholm</strong> picks out the best stock plays in construction, engineering, utilities and raw materials.</p>
<p>This from Smart Profits Report:</p>
<blockquote><p>Six weeks from today, Barack Obama will take the oath as 44<sup>th</sup> president of the United States.</p>
<p>Since his election victory, the more he’s said about “getting to work immediately” and having “no time to waste,” the more I think the inauguration ceremony will be a time-consuming inconvenience, distracting him from fixing America’s problems!</p>
<p>One key area in which he’s pledged to spend his way out of the mire is by tackling the country’s aging and rapidly deteriorating infrastructure. He plans to make the&#8230;</p></blockquote>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Obama&#8217;s infrastructure plan is still vague. But we know it will be big. And we know there will be great investment opportunities. <strong>Martin Denholm</strong> picks out the best stock plays in construction, engineering, utilities and raw materials.</p>
<p>This from Smart Profits Report:</p>
<blockquote><p>Six weeks from today, Barack Obama will take the oath as 44<sup>th</sup> president of the United States.</p>
<p>Since his election victory, the more he’s said about “getting to work immediately” and having “no time to waste,” the more I think the inauguration ceremony will be a time-consuming inconvenience, distracting him from fixing America’s problems!</p>
<p>One key area in which he’s pledged to spend his way out of the mire is by tackling the country’s aging and rapidly deteriorating infrastructure. He plans to make the largest investment to repair and upgrade the country’s public works systems since Dwight Eisenhower spearheaded the nationwide interstate highway system in the 1950s.</p>
<p>In short, this means utility industries like electric and water will receive huge cash infusions. Roads and bridges will be repaired and rebuilt. Schools will be modernized, part of which will include improving Internet access to a nation that ranks 15<sup>th</sup> in the world in broadband adoption. Energy efficiency, particularly in government buildings, will be increased. The healthcare industry will make greater use of technology to streamline and computerize medical records to cut costs.</p>
<p>That’s the plan anyway. And Obama says it will create 2.5 million jobs by 2011. But we want profits. Read on to find out how you can grab some…</p>
<p><strong>It’s The Economy, Stupid… Six Weeks Away From $500 Billion Rescue Plan</strong></p>
<p>Obama’s economic brain trust is currently “busy working, crunching the numbers… to determine what the size and scope of the economic recovery plan needs to be. But it’s going to be substantial.”</p>
<p>Kinda vague right now, I know. But early estimates put the economic recovery bill at $500 billion. In terms of infrastructure upgrades, 5,000 road and bridge projects could get underway immediately after Obama puts his autograph on the bill.</p>
<p>Here are some investments that could revel in the building boom…</p>
<p><strong>Brick By Brick… Bridge By Bridge</strong></p>
<p>When the U.S. infrastructure sets to have a sweaty wad of cash lobbed in its direction, construction firms are lining up to grab a share of the spoils, as the need for equipment and raw materials rises.</p>
<p>Appropriately, we start in Obama’s home state of Illinois, which is also home to the world’s largest manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, engines, and industrial turbines. Founded in 1986 and based in Peoria, <strong>Caterpillar</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=CAT">CAT</a>) has shot up from $37 to over $43 over the past five trading days, as it feeds off the infrastructure buzz.</p>
<p>One of Caterpillar’s fellow Illinois-based construction equipment manufacturers, <strong>Deere &amp; Company</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=DE">DE</a>), could also be set to extend a share price boost that has seen the price surge from the upper $20s on November 20 to over $38 today.</p>
<p>If you want a more diversified way to play the industrial and construction sector, take a look at the ETF, the <strong>Industrial Select Sector SPDR</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=XLI">XLI</a>). ETF’s are a smarter investment choice in a rollercoaster market; our Guest Editorial on <a title="How To Box Clever Against A Hostile Market And Score “Knockout” Yields Of 21.5%" href="http://www.smartprofitsreport.com/archives/2008/good-etf-investmentsgood-etf-investments.html"><strong>Good ETF Investments</strong> </a>tells us why.</p>
<p>On the engineering front, head west and look no further than California’s <strong>Jacobs Engineering Group</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=JEC">JEC</a>), which is the largest publicly traded engineering firm in the U.S. The infrastructure love is spreading across the sector, as the stock shot up today on news that it has secured two more contracts…</p>
<ol type="1">
<li>A five-year, $17.5 million contract from the Peninsula Corridor Joint Powers Board (JPB) that will see Jacobs serve SamTrans and the San Mateo County Transportation Authority (SMCTA) agencies to work on three programs. This includes project management, scheduling, budget management, and more.</li>
<li>A contract from Pima County, Arizona to provide project management and construction inspection services for the Ina Road water reclamation project. Construction costs here will total about $200 million.</li>
</ol>
<p>Jacobs pulls in a whopping $11 billion annually and employs more than 57,000 workers &#8211; a number that could grow under Obama’s bold plan.</p>
<p>And speaking of water, if you’re looking to cash in on this critical industry amid a surging global population, increasing pollution, and a depleting, finite amount of water resources, check out leading firm <strong>Watts Water Technologies Inc.</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=WTS">WTS</a>) or the sector ETF, <strong>PowerShares Water Resources </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=PHO">PHO</a>), which tracks the price and yield performance of the<strong> </strong>Palisades Water index.</p>
<p>Be sure to also pay a visit to our own free <em><a href="http://www.smartprofitsreport.com/research/index"><strong>Smart Profits Report</strong><strong> research section,</strong></a></em> where you can read much more about the water problems facing the world &#8211; and the vast profit potential that the industry holds. We’ve got two in-depth (pun intended) water reports up there. An earlier issue titled, <a title="The Water Industry" href="http://www.smartprofitsreport.com/archives/2007/water-industry414.html"><strong>The Water Industry</strong> </a>analyzes how the economics of this increasingly scarce commodity are shaping our world.</p>
<p><strong>Get Raw</strong></p>
<p>On the raw materials side, several firms spring to mind as potential winners of the Obama Infrastructure Initiative (I just made that term up). And as Jim Cramer might say, they’re “best of breed” in their industries.</p>
<p><strong>Cement</strong><strong>: </strong>South of the border &#8211; in Garza Garcia, Mexico, to be exact &#8211; you can find <strong>Cemex </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=CX">CX</a>), a world leader in producing, distributing, and selling cement. And when it comes to infrastructure rebuilding and repairs, you don’t get many more commodities more important than this one. Its market cap of almost $8 billion is evidence of this.</p>
<p><strong>Steel</strong><strong>: </strong>Talk about a liftoff. <strong>U.S. Steel Corp. </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=x">X</a>) shares have surged from the mid $20s on November 20 to a current price around $37, having enjoyed its biggest daily jump in almost 20 years on Monday.</p>
<p><strong>Copper</strong><strong>:</strong> Its 52-week high on May 21, 2008 was $127.24. Its price now sits around $20. Quite a slump for what is the largest publicly traded copper producer, <strong>Freeport-McMoRan Copper &amp; Gold Inc.</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=fcx">FCX</a>). You can blame the prolonged commodities sector slump for that, in addition to the stock market’s woes. But in an Obama-fueled infrastructure rebuilding rampage, I’m betting on a resurgence here.</p>
<p><strong>Aluminum</strong><strong>:</strong> Go large. The leader here is <strong>Alcoa Inc.</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=AA">AA</a>). Like FCX, Alcoa has endured a rocky year. Having traded at a 52-week high of $44.77 in May, the stock market’s tank job has whipped this stock into submission. Shares are currently trading around $9.50 and with a 0.37 <a href="http://www.investopedia.com/terms/p/pegratio.asp" target="_blank"><strong>PEG ratio</strong></a> (Price/Earnings-to-Growth), the market thinks it’s ridiculously undervalued.</p>
<p>The bottom line here is that companies like these could all stand to profit from a huge ramp up in infrastructure spending. What’s more, they’re all solid, well-established, industry-leading firms in strong cash positions, doing business in areas where there are clear, critical needs. If you’re looking for outperformers, infrastructure stocks are set up well for 2009.</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.smartprofitsreport.com/archives/2008/obama-infrastructure-stocks.html">Source: From Eisenhower To Obama… The Firms Poised To Cash In On The New U.S. Infrastructure Revolution</a></p>
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