U.S. data showed the number of U.S. workers filing new claims for jobless benefits rose slightly more than expected last week, but a gauge of underlying labor trends fell for a fifth straight week.

Spot gold was bid at $933.50 an ounce at 1311 GMT, against $929.00 an ounce late in New York on Wednesday. U.S. gold futures for August delivery on the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange rose $6.20 to $933.40 an ounce.

“If this is welcomed by the equities market and triggers a fresh boost, that could benefit gold,” said CMC Markets strategist Ashraf Laidi.

The dollar was down 0.39 percent at 79.3 against a basket of currencies and was lower against the euro following the data. Traders are now eyeing U.S. data on second-quarter GDP due on Friday for clues as to the next direction of the economy.

European shares rose as investors digested a raft of broadly positive corporate earnings, while U.S. stock futures extended gains after the jobs report.

Oil was also boosted by stock markets and rose above $64 a barrel. Firmer crude prices can support gold, which can be used as a hedge against oil-led inflation.

Gold demand in India, the world’s biggest bullion consumer, is recovering after recent price falls, but a further decline will be needed for buying to significantly recover.

“There are advance orders in decent quantities in the range of $900-920 an ounce,” said one dealer with a state-run bank.

Overall demand in India remains weak, however. The country’s gold imports have reached a provisional 8-10 tonnes in July so far, well below the 24 tonnes recorded last June, the Bombay Bullion Association said.

INVESTMENT SOFT

Investment demand for gold remained soft, however, as ETF holdings slipped further. Holdings of the largest bullion ETF, the SPDR Gold Trust, fell over 10 tonnes on Wednesday, and are down nearly 48 tonnes in the last four weeks.

Jason Toussaint, managing director for exchange-traded gold with the World Gold Council, said there was evidence investors were selling out of the SPDR fund to buy shares.

Analysts fear a broader liquidation of ETF gold holdings resulting from a recovery in risk appetite could jeopardise gold’s gains.

“Without strong physical demand to absorb metal coming back into the market and with funds cutting long exposure, the metal is at risk of a deeper correction,” said TheBullionDesk.com analyst James Moore.

On the supply side, the world’s largest gold producer, Barrick Gold , said it produced 1.87 million ounces of gold in the second quarter and is on track to meet its 2009 output target of 7.2-7.6 million ounces.

Among other precious metals, silver tracked gold up to $13.44 an ounce against $13.28. Spot platinum was at $1,177 an ounce against $1,170, while spot palladium was at $255 against $252.50

LONDON, July 30 (Reuters)

Investors snapped up shares of technology bellwethers a day after the semiconductor index <.SOXX> fell for a fifth straight day. Apple Inc led the Nasdaq higher, climbing 1.8 percent to $121.59, while the semiconductor index gained nearly 2 percent.

Stocks in defensive sectors such as consumer staples and health care also advanced, with Coca-Cola Co (KO) up 1.6 percent to $44.34 and Pfizer Inc adding 0.8 percent to $15.39.

“What we’ve seen the past three days is not that money’s leaving the market, but just flowing in that (defensive) direction and trying to find the better deal,” said Marc Pado, U.S. market strategist at Cantor Fitzgerald & Co in San Francisco.

The Dow Jones industrial average <.DJI> was up 22.86 points, or 0.28 percent, at 8,307.75. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index <.SPX> added 3.23 points, or 0.37 percent, at 887.15. The Nasdaq Composite Index <.IXIC> gained 12.78 points, or 0.77 percent, at 1,676.97.

Data showed the number of U.S. workers filing new claims for jobless benefits rose to 637,000 and was more than expected in the latest week, according to government data, pushed up by plant shutdowns related to automaker Chrysler’s bankruptcy.

In another report, the Labor Department said prices received by U.S. producers rose at a brisk pace in April, driven by a surge in food costs.

May 14 (Reuters)

U.S. stocks fell on Thursday with the major indexes down more than 2 percent after a surprisingly grim earnings report from Microsoft Corp and economic data that showed further deterioration in the labor and housing markets.

Microsoft, raising worries over how it would fare in the economic slowdown, said it would cut up to 5,000 jobs over the next 18 months and that it could no longer offer profit forecasts for the rest of the fiscal year. The stock was among the Dow’s biggest drags, falling 8 percent.

“It is a negative surprise for the market, certainly from a bellwether technology company. For Microsoft to miss its guidance, it brings home the pervasive fallout from the credit crisis,” said Richard Sparks, senior equities analyst at Schaeffer’s Investment Research in Cincinnati, Ohio.

“On Wednesday, we had been able to bounce from the 8,000 level on the Dow. This (Microsoft news) makes it inevitable to retest the November lows for the market.”

The results, which had been expected to be released later in the day, added to the already negative tone after data showing the number of workers filing new claims for jobless benefits rose by more than expected last week, while housing starts and permits fell to a record low in December, data showed.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 195.30 points, or 2.37 percent, to 8,032.80. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index was down 21.20 points, or 2.52 percent, at 819.04. The Nasdaq Composite Index gave up 48.55 points, or 3.22 percent, to 1,458.52.

Investors were watching for a vote by the U.S. Senate Finance Committee on the nomination of Timothy Geithner to be Treasury secretary.

Geithner faced tough questioning at his confirmation hearing before the committee on Wednesday. Wall Street had originally cheered Geithner’s nomination but the choice has since come under controversy over Geithner’s failure to pay some taxes.

NEW YORK, Jan 22 (Reuters)

Oil fell a dollar to below $43 a barrel on Thursday on weak economic data from the United States and China, the world’s two largest oil consumers.

The focus will shift later in the session to weekly U.S. fuel stocks data, which is expected to show crude inventories rose for a fourth consecutive week, and higher gasoline inventories.

U.S. crude fell $1.10 to $42.45 at 1510 GMT. Earlier in the session prices rose as high as $45.10. London Brent was down 3 cents at $44.99.

Prices came under pressure from another round of gloomy economic data.

The number of U.S. workers filing new claims for jobless benefits rose by more than expected last week, while housing starts and permits fell to a record low in December, data showed.

China’s economy slowed sharply in the fourth quarter and Japan’s central bank on Thursday predicted two years of deflation as Asia’s largest economies buckle under the strain of the financial crisis.

U.S. crude oil stocks are expected to have risen by 1.4 million barrels and gasoline by 1.9 million barrels in weekly data due at 1600 GMT on Thursday.

Traders were looking for news of the oil storage levels at the Cushing, Oklahoma, delivery point for NYMEX crude, which have been a drag on the nearby contract for U.S. crude futures.

European equities also pared early gains to turn negative, pressuring crude prices, traders said. Microsoft earnings missed expectations, contributing to a weaker opening for U.S. stocks.

Investors have been watching moves in equity markets to try and gauge the resilience of the broader economy, as the global economic slowdown has curbed demand for fuel around the world.

LONDON, Jan 22 (Reuters)

Initial applications for jobless benefits climbed by 58,000 to 573,000 in the week ended Dec. 6, upwardly revised from 515,000 the previous week, the U.S. Labor Department reported yesterday (Thursday).  The figure was the highest since 1982, and far exceeded the median projection of 525,000 put forth by 39 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.

The increase was due, in part, to a bounce from the week before, which was shorter because it included the Thanksgiving holiday. Government offices were open only four days that week.

Nevertheless, the four-week average, which smooths out fluctuations, stood at 540,500.  That’s the biggest number of jobless claims filed since December 1982, when the economy was also mired in a deep recession. By comparison, there were 337,000 initial claims last year.

Workers claiming continuing jobless benefits also blew through economists’ projections, jumping by 338,000 to 4.4 million, the Labor Department said. Economists had expected 4.1 million. Continuing claims lag initial claims by one week.

“Stepping back from the short-term noise … it is very clear that the underlying trend in claims is still rocketing, as companies throw in the towel and prepare for a long, deep recession,” Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist for High Frequency Economics, wrote in a research note to clients, MSNBC News reported.

Jobless claims are considered by economists to be a snapshot of the health of the labor markets and broader economy.

The U.S. economy has shed 1.9 million jobs so far this year, with payrolls having now dropped for 11 straight months. U.S. companies slashed 533,000 jobs in November, and the unemployment rate grew to 6.7% , the highest since 1974, the government said last week.

“The labor market is facing its worst crisis since 1982, and it is certainly not over yet,” said Harm Banholtz, a U.S. economist at UniCredit Markets and Investment Banking in New York, told Bloomberg News. “One of the most important tasks of the newly elected government is, therefore, to help distressed homeowners and to stimulate the labor market.”

More companies added to the malaise  yesterday as additional layoffs were announced. New Britain, Conn.-based toolmaker Stanley Works (SWK) plans to lay off 2,000 workers and close three manufacturing plants.  Illinois-based foodmaker Sara Lee Corp. (SLE), said it had outsourced 700 jobs overseas, and Office Depot Inc. (ODP) is adding 2,200 cuts of its own over the next three months. The office-products firm is closing 112 stores – about 9% of those in the North American market – and six of its 33 distribution centers.

Looming over the jobless picture is the uncertainty surrounding the $14 billion automakers bailout bill, currently being mulled in the Senate.  But even with a bailout, one – or even all three – of America’s “Big Three” carmakers may fail.
If a bailout doesn’t materialize – or fails to have the desired impact – the results will be catastrophic, according to the Center for Automotive Research.  The Ann Arbor, Mich.- based nonprofit told The Associated Press that if Detroit’s Big Three stopped making cars today and returned to 50% production in 2010 and 2011, it would still wipe out nearly 2.5 million jobs next year.
Job losses of that magnitude would have a profoundly negative impact on the U.S. economy – with horrid ripple effects worldwide – because of the plunge in consumer confidence the resultant job losses and loss of confidence that would result. Fully 70% of all domestic economic activity is powered by consumer spending.  And with the cutbacks some doomsayers foresee, even exporters in developing markets as far away as China and India would feel the squeeze.

Here at home, the mere threat of job losses is being felt on Main Street. According to an Associated Press-GfK poll released Wednesday, 53% of shoppers say they expect to spend less on holiday gifts than they did last year, while 40% will spend the same.

In other words, more than 90% of American shoppers are resisting the urge to splurge and spend more this year than last on friends and family during the holiday period, a time retailers depend on for  as much as 40% of their revenue for the year. That spells big trouble for retailers nationwide, with the possible exception of Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT) , and other large discounters.

Also buttressing the curtailed spending argument is a new poll that says just 20% of shoppers plan to use credit cards for holiday purchases.  That’s down a whopping 33% from 2004. And two-thirds of the consumer surveyed said they would pay off the full balance owed when the bills come due in January, the poll found.

Source: U.S. Companies “Throw in the Towel” – Pushing Jobless Claims to a 26-Year High

• AT&T Inc. (T) said it would scale back 12,000 jobs, about 4% of its workforce, between now and the end of 2009 to fight “economic pressures, a changing business mix and a more streamlined organizational structure.” It will also take a severance charge of nearly $600 million for the fourth quarter, Reuters reported.

• Credit Suisse Group AG (ADR: CS) will scale back its workforce, eliminating 5,300 workers, or about 11% of its workforce. Switzerland’s second-largest bank will also nix bonuses for its top executives, Bloomberg reported.

• Capital One Financial Corp. (COF) said it will acquire privately-held Chevy Chase Bank for $520 million in cash and stock, The Associated Press reported. Bethesda, Md.-based Chevy Chase Bank has branches primarily in Maryland, Virginia and Washington, D.C., and has about $11 billion in deposits.

• Argentine President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner said the government will offer 13.2 billion pesos ($3.9 billion) for an economic stimulus. The plan seeks to reduce loan costs to manufacturers, help finance new auto purchases and reduce export taxes on corn and wheat, Bloomberg reported.

• The number of U.S. workers on unemployment benefits rolls soared to 4.09 million last month, the highest level in 26 years, according to the Labor Department. The four-week moving average of initial claims, a less volatile measure, climbed to 524,500, also the highest since 1982.

• E.I. du Pont de Nemours & Co. (DD) said yesterday (Thursday) that it will not turn a profit in the fourth quarter, and consequently, will be forced to cut 2,500 jobs and release 4,000 contractors by the end of this year. “We expect 2009 to be a very challenging year,” said DuPont chief financial officer Jeff Keefer.

• Williams-Sonoma Inc. (WSM) beat analysts’ third-quarter expectations, but the company’s revenue still fell 16% from a year ago, to  $752.1 million. The company lost $11 million, or 10 cents a share, for the in the three months ended November 2, compared with a profit of $27.1 million, or 25 cents a share, a year earlier. Analysts’ average forecast was a loss of 11 cents a share, according to Reuters Estimates.

• Crude oil prices fell more than 5% yesterday (Thursday) as employment and manufacturing data indicated the U.S. recession would be severe. Light, sweet crude for January delivery fell $2.49 to settle at $44.30 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Source: Global Investing Roundups, Friday, December 5th, 2008

The Commerce Department reported that retail sales rose by a surprising 1.0% in May, the best increase in six months. Excluding autos, sales rose 1.2%. Economists’ expectations had been for a 0.6% rise in total sales, 0.8% excluding autos.

That report was “serious and raises risks of earlier and more pronounced rate hikes” from the Federal Reserve, wrote Stephen Gallagher, economist for Société Générale.

The strong retail sales figures were shocking in that they show that consumers are continuing to shop, in the face of the lowest consumer confidence figures in decades. Where they’re getting the money is an open question, although it’s possible that the rebate checks are playing in.

Consumer spending projects to 2% annualized growth for the second quarter, and that would be enough to keep the economy “safely away from negative growth,” Gallagher said.

Traders shrugged off a more distressing report from the Labor Department showing that initial claims for jobless benefits rose by 25,000 last week, to 384,000. Continuing unemployment claims gained 58,000, pushing the number up to 3.14 million for the week ending May 31. That was the highest level since early February 2004.

Meanwhile, the euro weakened after European Central Bank executive board member Juergen Stark said the ECB isn’t planning a “series” of interest-rate hikes beyond July. Earlier remarks by ECB President Trichet had raised hopes of just such a sequence.

Source: Dollar Rallies on Sales Surprise - Euro Undercut on ECB Comments

• China’s central government said yesterday (Thursday) that this week’s earthquake in Sichuan ultimately could result in 50,000 deaths, and catastrophe-modeling firms are estimating the disaster will trigger losses of up to $20 billion, MarketWatch.com reported. Monday’s quake – which measured 7.9 in magnitude – is throwing a “harsh spotlight” on the widening gap between the rich and poor in China, particularly since the losses incurred by the country’s lower-wage classes were mostly not covered by insurance, The Wall Street Journal reported.

• The number of U.S. workers filing for initial jobless benefits increased slightly more than expected in the week ended May 10, the Department of Labor said yesterday (Thursday). First-time jobless claims rose to 371,000, up from 365,000 for the week prior. Economists surveyed by Reuters had forecast the number of new claims at 370,000. The four-week moving average of new claims, considered by economists a more reliable gauge of labor trends, fell to 365,750 in the week ended May 10.

• CBS Corp. (CBS) announced yesterday (Thursday) that it would pay $1.8 billion to acquire CNet Networks Inc. (CNET) in a move expected to help CBS establish a foothold in new advertising markets while also helping with its effort to gain a higher profile on the Internet. CBS will pay $11.50 a share for the online provider of technology news and product reviews, a 45% premium to the price CNet traded at prior to the deal’s announcement, MarketWatch reported.

• General Motors Corp. (GM) yesterday (Thursday) reached a tentative deal with striking workers at a plant in Delta Township, Mich., in what might be the first step towards ending a month-long walkout. However, the strike at the Delta Township factory won’t end until the tentative agreement is ratified, Dow Jones Newswire reported.

• At a conference on bank structure and competition in Chicago, U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke told banks to hold “generous” capital cushions and actively raise money. “I strongly urge financial institutions to remain proactive in their capital-raising efforts,” Bernanke said. The Fed chair added that he has been encouraged by the success of many banks in raising new capital and he praised foreign-owned sovereign wealth funds for the positive role they were playing as suppliers of badly needed capital.

• U.S. industrial output fell by 0.7% in April from the month before, when output was up 0.2%, the Federal Reserve said. The latest drop was twice that forecast by analysts. The automotive sector saw its biggest drop in nearly a decade as consumer demand for new cars slowed, and a strike at General Motors cut output.

• First-quarter profit for J.C. Penney Co., Inc. (JCP) dropped 50% from last year, but beat Wall Street expectations, causing the department store operator’s shares to rise more than 4% yesterday (Thursday). “I think it’s good news in the sense that things have stabilized. It doesn’t appear to be getting worse,” Wayne Hood, a retail analyst with BMO Capital Markets, told Reuters.

• A multibillion-dollar housing rescue package is close to being resolved, two members of the U.S. Senate Banking Committee said yesterday (Thursday). “We’re very, very close,” Panel chairman Sen. Chris Dodd (D-Conn.) told CNBC. “There’s really maybe one or two issues – maybe only one that’s outstanding here that we need to resolve.”

Source: Global Investing Roundups: Friday, May 16th, 2008