I believe that when the dust settles on the fact that the Fed isn’t going to raise rates, things will have gotten so bad here that the Fed will be entertaining thoughts of cutting rates again!

There’s been a return to risk aversion overnight, as some news from the United Kingdom has reignited the fears that the banks may still be sitting on a ton of bad debt… Of course, as Pfennig readers, you already know this…

Yesterday, I left you with the thought that the London traders had been buying dollars since they arrived back from their three-day Holiday weekend. The U.S. traders did the same… And I believe profit taking was the order of the day.

I saw a report on the IFO’s correlation with the euro’s past moves to higher ground… Made sense to me, as strong IFO reports came out right before the euro moved past previous big figures…

The U.S. economy is in a recession, and the over-leveraged U.S. consumer won’t be able to ride to the rescue as they have in the past. And I don’t expect the stimulus checks to help much either, as they are way too little too late.

There’s no two ways about it folks. Inflation is a baaaaaaaaaddddddd thing… And I believe we will all rue the day that the Fed turned its back on inflation here in the United States. But Hey! That’s just me!

Yellen stated that she ‘would be pleased’ if the economy was strong enough to raise rates by year-end. That’s all nice and sweet, Ms. Yellen… But did you realize you would move the markets with that ‘wish upon a star’?

The dollar is a bit softer this morning going into the Jobs Jamboree, and rightly so, given the forecast. However, the dollar is still swinging a mighty hammer and I’m a bit perplexed by this.

The Fed decided to leave out some language that had the markets thinking they had figured out the Fed… But in reality they know nothing more than they did earlier in the day!

With the dollar weakness overnight, gold has bounced back over $5. Oil has pushed back to within spittin’ distance of $119. Could this be the beginning of the next leg up for the commodities against the dollar?