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		<title>Are Banks Going Bankrupt? &#8220;NO!&#8221;, say Banks</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/are-banks-going-bankrupt-no-say-banks/16129</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/are-banks-going-bankrupt-no-say-banks/16129#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 May 2009 14:30:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Olivier Garret</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bank Of America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bank Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China Construction Bank]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Equity Investment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Market Capitalization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Merrill Lynch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Olivier Garret]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Timothy Geithner]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=16129</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>On April 21, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said the “vast majority” of U.S. banks have more capital than needed.  Geithner’s remarks come on the heels of a surge in reported quarterly profits by the big banks.</p>
<p>“Currently, the vast majority of banks have more capital than they need to be considered well capitalized by their regulators,” Geithner said in testimony to a congressional oversight panel on the government’s financial rescue program.</p>
<p>One of these banks, Bank of America (BAC), the world’s second largest in terms of market capitalization, booked a first-quarter net income of $4.247 billion – 6% more than it made in all of 2008.</p>
<p>So is this the turnaround Geithner et al. have been willing to beggar our nation’s future for?</p>
<p>Before&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On April 21, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said the “vast majority” of U.S. banks have more capital than needed.  Geithner’s remarks come on the heels of a surge in reported quarterly profits by the big banks.<span id="more-16129"></span></p>
<p>“Currently, the vast majority of banks have more capital than they need to be considered well capitalized by their regulators,” Geithner said in testimony to a congressional oversight panel on the government’s financial rescue program.</p>
<p>One of these banks, Bank of America (BAC), the world’s second largest in terms of market capitalization, booked a first-quarter net income of $4.247 billion – 6% more than it made in all of 2008.</p>
<p>So is this the turnaround Geithner et al. have been willing to beggar our nation’s future for?</p>
<p>Before calling your broker and placing a big order for bank stocks based on all this “good” news, it might be prudent to answer a couple questions first.</p>
<p>For starters, just where did all this income come from? And has credit quality really improved?</p>
<p>The answers to both can be found buried in a company press release bearing the encouraging title “Bank of America Earns $4.2 Billion in First Quarter.”</p>
<p>I’d like to draw your attention to the four most telling excerpts from this release.<br />
1.	“Equity investment income includes a $1.9 billion pretax gain on the sale of China Construction Bank (CCB) shares.”<br />
2.	“Noninterest income included $2.2 billion in gains related to mark-to-market adjustments on certain Merrill Lynch structured notes as a result of credit spreads widening.”<br />
3.	“Credit quality deteriorated further across all lines of business as housing prices continued to fall and the economic environment weakened.”<br />
4.	Nonperforming assets were $25.7 billion compared with $18.2 billion at December 31, 2008 and $7.8 billion at March 31, 2008, reflecting the continued deterioration in portfolios tied to housing.”<br />
Now we see that out of its $4.2 billion in profits, a total of $4.1 billion came from a one-time sale of CCB stock and marking up Merrill’s book of mortgages. If you subtract these one-time gains from net income and include preferred dividends, Bank of America actually lost $1.286 billion.</p>
<p>As far as credit quality goes, I think number 3 above makes the situation as clear as can be.</p>
<p>Importantly, Bank of America is not the only big bank engaged in accounting sleight of hand.</p>
<p>As The New York Times article “Bank Profits Appear Out of Thin Air” by Andrew Ross Sorkin points out:<br />
With Goldman Sachs, the disappearing month of December didn’t quite disappear (it changed its reporting calendar, effectively erasing the impact of a $1.5 billion loss that month); JP Morgan Chase reported a dazzling profit partly because the price of its bonds dropped (theoretically, they could retire them and buy them back at a cheaper price; that’s sort of like saying you’re richer because the value of your home has dropped); Citigroup pulled the same trick.</p>
<p>So what’s the takeaway?</p>
<p>When the Treasury secretary tells you banks are well capitalized and you read in the press that financial institutions have turned a corner, don’t buy it. And don’t buy the stocks of these companies either.</p>
<p>These days, smart investors are well advised to carefully watch the investment as well as the political landscape&#8230; because Washington’s movers and shakers’ influence on the markets has never been greater. <a href="http://www.caseyresearch.com/crpmkt/crpSolo.php?id=142&amp;ppref=CTP142ED0409A">The Casey Report </a>investigates and analyzes those influences and trends – to find the best investing opportunities with maximum gains. You can try it completely risk-free – check out our 3-month trial with 100% money-back guarantee. <a href="http://www.caseyresearch.com/crpmkt/crpSolo.php?id=142&amp;ppref=CTP142ED0409A">Click here to learn more.</a></p>
<p><a href="http://www.caseyresearch.com/library/articles/2700/are-banks-going-bankrupt?--/">Source: Are Banks Going Bankrupt? &#8220;NO!&#8221;, say Banks</a></p>
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