• The index that measures pending sales of previously owned homes rose 3.2% in March on the renewed confidence of first-time buyers. Meanwhile, the U.S. Department of Commerce reported that U.S. construction inched 0.3% in March, the first increase in six months, Reuters reported.

• Famed investor and chairman of Templeton Asset Management Ltd. Mark Mobius said emerging-market stocks may “break out” into a bull market at the end of the year. “We are at the base building period for the next bull market,” Mobius, who helps oversee $20 billion in emerging market assets at San Mateo, California-based Templeton, said yesterday (Monday) in an interview with Bloomberg. “What I see happening is perhaps this continuing till the end of the year, and then a break out.”

• Cost cutting measures helped Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S) post an unexpected quarterly profit excluding items, but the company also lost its highest amount of customers. “There are no clear signs that the business has made its turn,” Piper Jaffray analyst Christopher Larsen told Reuters.

• The Bovespa, Brazil’s benchmark index, hit a seven-month high yesterday (Monday), pushed by analysts’ expectations that Brazil’s economy will contract less than forecast. Analysts also expect commodities to continue jumping on global growth prospects, causing the country’s top commodities producers to see stock gains, Bloomberg reported.

• Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE: BRK.A, BRK.B) Chairman Warren Buffett blasted bankers, insurers and regulators and said their shortcomings caused the worst recession in half a century.  As he hosted a record 35,000 people at the company’s annual meeting in Omaha, Nebraska on Saturday, Buffett said Wall Street sold subprime mortgage “sewage,” blamed the media and regulators for missing the danger, and lambasted bankers for being blind to the possibility that housing prices could fall, Bloomberg reported.

• Liberty Media Corp (NASDAQ: LCAPA), controlled by cable pioneer John Malone, said on Monday it plans to split off the DirecTV Group Inc (NASDAQ: DTV) satellite TV operator into a separate company combined with other media assets.  Liberty plans to combine the top U.S. satellite TV provider with assets that include Game Show Network, FUN Technologies and three regional sports networks, Reuters reported. Liberty owns a 54% economic stake in DirecTV.

• U.S. airlines face a potential liquidity crisis if revenue keeps falling while credit markets remain tight, Reuters reported.  If revenue does not increase this year, carriers may breach the minimum liquidity covenants enforced by their creditors, who then may accelerate the loan and force a default. “If revenue doesn’t stabilize and capital markets remain constrained, then I think it’s certainly possible that we’ll see increased risk of a covenant breach for a couple of carriers moving into 2010,” said Fitch Ratings analyst Bill Warlick.

• Health Minister Jose Cordova said most of Mexico’s businesses will reopen in two days as the pace of new swine flu infections slows, putting an end to a five-day shutdown of most businesses enacted to stop the spread of the illness, Bloomberg reported.  Mexicans will return to work on May 6 except in areas of the country where new infections continue to rise. Authorities haven’t yet decided whether schools will reopen May 6, he said.

Source: Investment News Briefs Tuesday May 5, 2009

Editors Note: With their investment news briefs, Money Morning provides investors with a quick overview of the most important investing news stories from all around the world.

How does one control the inflationary trends that are happening worldwide? Surely, this is not a simple question to answer, even for specialists. Every time my colleagues and I meet, we cannot reach an agreement regarding how to control inflation, particularly in a context where international energy and food prices keep increasing.

One of the conclusions we can reach without much discussion is that strong food and energy price increases are striking all world economies, and that net commodities exporters are benefiting from these price spikes.

The second conclusion that we are able to gather from this situation is that countries having great natural resources, that are not yet net commodities exporters, now have a great opportunity to gain from the current economic situation.

This is exactly the circumstance that Brazil finds itself in currently. For two decades now they have had an effective policy regarding oil (fossil fuels), but now they are looking to expand their interests in biofuels and in developing policies to promote the cultivation of grains. In this way, Brazil is demonstrating a way not only to limit dependence on imported commodities, but also how to benefit from the current high international prices of commodities.

Thinking now of Mexico, the first thing I ask myself is: to which extent are these high energy and food prices affecting the Mexican economy?

Due to inflationary concerns, on the 16th of May, the Bank of Mexico decided not to modify interest rates. Inflationary pressures keep mounting along with concerns regarding a potential recession in the US: “Inflationary pressures in the world and in Mexico keep increasing and it is a growing concern.”

The Bank of Mexico’s governor, Guillermo Ortiz Martínez, noted a few days later: “There are still inflationary pressures because processed food prices could still go up, even though there is a more stable grain price.”

Inflation is worrying Mexico and there are concerns about a potential economic slowdown there as well… But there is also another situation that worries Mexico and this one is related to the development of energy reform there.

Reform within Pemex, the nation’s oil company, is at the center of this debate. Pemex plays a vital role in Mexico’s economy due to the huge profits that it generates. These profits, in turn, are used to fund areas within the infrastructure of Mexico such as education, security and other social programs.

For the first quarter of the year, 45% of the country’s income came from Pemex. This contribution by Pemex to the state treasury is particularly significant because oil production is decreasing and the known reserves have diminished significantly in recent years.

Pemex’s production peaked back in 2004, but ever since then it has consistently declined. Its oil production has fallen 1.3% in 2006, another 5.3% in 2007, and during the first quarter of this year it fell 7.8% below production levels during the same period last year.

However, it is most worrisome that between 2000 and 2007 the proven oil reserves in Mexico fell 54%, according to data from Pemex’s own annual stock report.

And while oil prices keep on skyrocketing (breaking the $130 barrier) Mexico is losing a great opportunity. With these high prices, now is the time for Mexico to begin looking towards investing in its future. However, the bad economic policies of the Mexican government are leading to a lack of any such investments at the current time.

But there is still time to change history by changing these policies; and to accomplish this Mexico needs massive amounts of capital for investing in its future. Thus the key issue for Mexico to resolve, and quickly, is how to find this necessary funding.

And one cannot forget that Mexico is not the only country in the region that is squandering its future growth opportunities. Argentina is as well and I will talk to you more in depth about this matter tomorrow. Today I have an opportunity to hear several renowned Argentine economists speak at an interesting conference at the Sheraton Hotel. Tomorrow I will specify their ideas and forecasts regarding Argentina, for you, our Latinforme readers.

We will meet again tomorrow,

Horacio Pozzo

Editor’s note: With oil prices climbing to higher than $133, to what extent does Mexico benefit from this? Is it taking advantage of this special time? Enjoy the following article and send your comments to: paola@latinforme.com or on our website at www.latinforme.com

Pemex pumps out more oil each year than Exxon Mobil. It pays for 40% of Mexico’s federal spending. And thanks to lack of investment, high taxes, corruption, anti-competition laws, Pemex is headed for collapse.

The bottom line, says Justice Litle in Taipan Daily, is that Mexico’s oil fields are running dry.

“Take the Cantarell field, for example. Cantarell is Mexico’s biggest field. In fact, it’s the second-largest oil field on the planet, behind only Ghawar in Saudi Arabia. In 2005, it came to light that Cantarell production had declined rapidly. ‘Fallen off a cliff’ is how some might put it, in terms of the speed and suddenness of the drop.

“If Cantarell production spirals downward into collapse, then Pemex — and, by extension, the entire Mexican economy — will be.”

To find out why the Mexican crisis could mean $200 oil becoming a reality read on here.