Before we delve into the reasons behind all the publicity, here’s the basic skinny on REEs: One, they are rare, at least sort of. Two, they are indispensable to modern technology. Three, the number of active, dedicated producers is tiny, with more than 90% of the world’s supply coming from China.

If you took high school chemistry, you probably remember the periodic table of the elements. But if you’re like most of us, even if you pulled a 95 on the chem final, you may not recall many of the details today. And there’s a better than even chance you never bothered to memorize the names of the REEs. It’s time to get reacquainted.

They’re generally clustered in a separate grouping at the bottom of the table, are known collectively as the lanthanoids, and these are their names, in order of atomic number (57-70): lanthanum, cerium, praseodymium, neodymium, promethium, samarium, europium, gadolinium, terbium, dysprosium, holmium, erbium, thulium, and ytterbium. Yttrium (39) and lutetium (71) are also sometimes included.

Need to Know, Point 1: Rarity

Fact is, we begin with something of a misnomer. These elements are not, strictly speaking, rare. Earth’s crust is full of them. True, they’re not as common as iron, carbon, or silicon, but are about on a par with nickel, copper, and zinc. Even the scarcest is way more abundant than gold, platinum, or palladium.

What is rare about them is that they’re widely dispersed. Very seldom are they found in economically exploitable deposits. Complicating matters further is that there are so many of them, and they clump together. They have to be separated first from the ore and then from each other.

Thus REE production comes primarily from other mines’ byproducts. The miner strips off the metal he’s really after, then sends the REE clusters to a specialty refiner.

Need to Know, Point 2: Applications

It’s safe to say that life as we know it would be very different without the REEs. The more our technological accomplishments pile atop one another, the more crucial these metals become. Because of their unique properties, there are generally no substitutes for them.

Of all the REEs, the one people may have heard of is neodymium. Alloys containing it have revolutionized permanent magnet technology, allowing miniaturization of all sorts of electronic components in appliances, A/V equipment, computers, communication systems, and military gear. Your hard drive probably has neodymium in it. So does your DVD player.

Liquid crystal displays depend on europium. Fiber-optic cables can’t function without erbium. Virtually all specialty glass products, from mirrors to precision lenses, are polished with cerium oxide. Several REEs are essential constituents of both petroleum fluid cracking catalysts and auto emissions-control catalytic converters. Half a dozen REEs go into the manufacture of the energy-efficient fluorescent bulbs that will soon be mandatory. Lanthanum-nickel-hydride rechargeable batteries are replacing older ones based on lead or cadmium. And no REEs, no electric cars. Nor next-generation wind turbines.

That’s only a partial list. But what makes REEs an increasingly sensitive topic is their role in national defense. Here are a few small items that have become dependent on them: jet fighter engines, missile guidance systems, underwater mine detectors, range finders, space-based satellite power plants, and military communications systems.

Think the Pentagon is very, very interested in maintaining a steady REE supply?

Need to Know, Point 3: Supply

95% of the world’s REE production originates in China. If you’re looking for reasons why we’re so nice to the premier Communist power left standing, this is a biggie.

We weren’t always so dependent. Not long ago, mines such as Mountain Pass in California made us nearly self-sufficient in REEs. But in the early ‘90s, China flooded the market with cheaper product, until it had driven all of its competitors out of business.

Today, Mountain Pass is being revived, but the start-up of an old mine is a lengthy and costly process. There are also some from-scratch REE development projects under way in the U.S., as well as Canada and Australia. But for the moment, China holds the hand with all of the high cards in it.

Forget your hard drive. Forget 11th-grade chemistry experiments. This is a national security issue. The American government cannot afford to lose that supply source, period. Maybe someday, but not now.

And that’s what’s behind the recent furor over these obscure elements. Because China threatened just that, a cutoff. The one thing that really gets Washington’s knickers in a twist.

In August, the story broke in the mainstream press. Sources in China leaked news of a draft copy of a report from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology. It allegedly calls for a total export ban on five of the rare earths, with the rest restricted to a combined export quota of 35,000 metric tons a year, far below annual global consumption of 125,000 tons, and rising fast.

This doesn’t look like a move they’d follow through on, if only because of the lost trade revenues. And it’s only a recommendation; final approval rests with China’s State Council. But consider it an opening shot across our bow, if you wish. Or perhaps they’re telling us they need their REEs for the domestic economy, and we’d best go find our own supplies. Either way, the scramble is on to find alternatives.

That could backfire. REE prices and demand were already dropping last fall as the recession deepened, and China maintains a decided competitive advantage beyond control of supply: lax environmental standards (many REEs are highly toxic). Thus the new companies could spend the fortunes required to come on line, only to find themselves victims of yet another market glut engineered by the Chinese. Still, these metals are so important, it wouldn’t surprise us if the U.S. government subsidized domestic production, rather than risk a squeeze.

The Market

The market took due notice of the China story, driving the stocks of Western REE producers, and would-be producers, nearly straight up. Since late August, Avalon Rare Metals (TSE:AVL) has gained 120%, Arafura Resources is up 75%, Rare Element Resources has added 72%, and Lynas Corp. (ASX:LYC) is 50% higher (China, ever the master strategist, exploited the credit crisis to grab 25% of Arafura and more than 50% of Lynas). Lurking in the background is Molycorp, the private company redeveloping Mountain Pass. It’s planning an IPO that may well come out of the gate red hot.

With market action this frantic, the sector is on the frothy side at the moment. The heady market caps being awarded to these companies are obviously not based on fundamentals, and a savvy investor takes care not to get caught on the wrong side of a bubble.

Even though the Chinese export ban may never materialize, the ever-growing need for REEs is dead serious. And while the current bubble may pop any day, the long-term prospects for successful miners are outstanding.

Regards,
Doug Hornig

Source: Why All the Fuss Over Rare Earths?

Investors are worried. The big question – as always – is whether the primary uptrend remains intact.

And the answer is yes.

To understand just what that target should be, let’s take a look at where we are right now.

Just before Wednesday’s sell-off, measures of the supply of stocks moved to new lows, while demand moved to new highs. This means bull-market-trading rules remain in effect. But as the cyclical bull market matures a little, we need to change the target of our buying efforts.

Although it looked like losses would be cut in the early afternoon, a lack of demand resulted in the major U.S. indices settling gently at support near the high end of the August trading range. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.4%, the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index lost 0.6%, the Nasdaq Composite Index lost 0.8%, and the Russell 2000 lost 0.5%.

All the major sector groups save healthcare finished in the red. The declines were the most severe among industrial conglomerates. The Industrials Select SPDR (NYSE: XLI) lost 1.4% thanks to a 2.5% fall in Textron Inc. (NYSE: TXT). Bank stocks were also weak as Bank of America Corp. (NYSE: BAC) dropped 2.2%. Defensive healthcare and utilities stocks were relatively buoyant with a gain of 0.1% for the Healthcare SPDR (NYSE: XLV) and just a 0.3% loss for the Utilities SPDR (NYSE: XLU).

Homebuilders were under some heavy selling pressure over the past week, likely the consequence of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to slow its purchases of mortgages. By spending $1.45 trillion, the Fed kept the difference between mortgage rates and the yield on U.S. Treasury debt very low.

Now, as these purchases taper off, mortgage rates will creep higher and erode some of the awesome affordability levels that are driving buyers to take advantage of the government’s first-time homebuyer tax credit and stabilize the housing market. As a result, the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (NYSE: ITB) lost 2.7% on Friday and dropped 8.3% last week.

The declines of the past week have been in alignment with our expectation of a short-term correction before equities push on to what should be a more meaningful top near the 1,200 level on the S&P 500. A number of technical indicators, including the percentage of stocks over their 10-day moving average as well as breadth and volume measures, had begun to deteriorate after having moved well into overbought territory the prior two weeks.

We aim to run our portfolios for long-term holds during bull markets, so although we warned of weakness ahead we did not expect it to be serious enough to merit exiting positions. Still don’t.

The big question – always – is whether the primary uptrend remains intact. And the answer is yes. Just before Wednesday’s sell-off, measures of the supply of stocks moved to new lows, while demand moved to new highs. This means bull-market-trading rules remain in effect. But as the cyclical bull market matures a little, we need to change the target of our buying efforts.

However dramatic the action of the past few days has been, it is a sign that some normalcy is returning to the equity markets. Moving forward, it is unlikely we will see long strings of uninterrupted up days, super-strong performance in the lowest quality stocks, and high correlations between stocks. In the final push to the stimulus- and recovery-Fed reaction high that we will likely see over the next three months or so, the emphasis may shift to fundamental analysis and quality.

As you can see in the chart above, stock-performance correlations tend to spike during times of economic stress. When investors enter panic mode and analyst estimates become much less accurate, the focus shifts from individual assets to asset classes and broad sectors of the economy. In other words, when all hell breaks loose investors don’t differentiate between great companies and good companies – they throw them all out.

Once this unease subsides and economic volatility wanes, fundamental analysis once again becomes the most important driver of investment performance.  And that’s okay, because there will be plenty of opportunities as investors shift their focus from stocks that were priced for Armageddon to stocks that are poised to benefit from renewed economic expansion.

The foundations for the transition are already being laid: UBS AG (NYSE: UBS) analyst Jeffrey Palma notes that after nearly a year of downward revisions to earnings, analysts are starting to upgrade their forecasts for 2010. Estimate rebounds are largest in the cyclical materials and retail sectors. Breaking it down by region, the most promising opportunities are in commodity-related stocks in the United States, consumer stocks in Europe, and British banks.

We have recommended SPDR Metals & Mining (NYSE: XME) in our Strategic Advantage service as a great vehicle to play this trend, even though it stumbled last week. Another good one is iShares Australia (NYSE: EWA). Check out our newsletter for a much-expanded list of recommendations.

The Week in Review

Monday: The index of leading indicators jumped 0.6% in August after a 0.9% jump in July and a 0.8% jump in June. The indicators’ August performance represented the fifth consecutive monthly increase. Moreover, the 4.7% increase during these five months was the strongest showing since early 1983, which marked the beginning of one of history’s greatest bull markets.

Tuesday: Home prices backed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac jumped 0.3% in July. There were also indications that retail sales plummeted in the week following the Labor Day Back-to-School blitz.

Wednesday: The Federal Reserve announced it would leave interest rates unchanged. Stocks initially bounded higher before abruptly shifting direction and screaming lower. The bulls gunned the Dow Industrial Average close to the 10,000 level before things fell apart. At issue wasn’t the Fed’s target policy rate, which affects short-term interest rates. Instead, traders were apparently concerned that Fed chairman Ben Bernanke and his cohorts failed to expand its direct purchases of mortgages and government debt. This will likely result in higher long-term rates.

Credit markets, though, didn’t care, and carried on with their bull market run. Crude oil fell 4.8% to $68.33, its largest percentage loss since July on a surprise increase in inventories.

Thursday: Some momentum was lost in the housing market after weak existing homes sales numbers put an end for four straight months of gains. Sales last month came in at a million seasonality adjusted annual rate of 5.1 million — a 2.7% drop from July. We continue to see an emphasis on foreclosures with distressed sales making up 31% of total sales. The highlight: Supply of homes fell to just 8.5 months of sales, a level that is believed to reflect a balanced market. There are, however, the issues surrounding a “shadow” inventory of homes waiting for foreclosure proceedings to complete or the slightest whiff of a recovery before being listed.

Friday: The G20 wrapped up its meeting in Pittsburgh with a commitment to tighter regulation of the financial system and system to subject each country’s economic policy to a type of peer review to try to avoid the types of global imbalances — China’s export obsession and America’s credit binge — don’t happen in the future. While the latter can only be enforced by a public shaming by other countries and the International Monetary Fund, it lacks an actual penalty. But it’s a good first step.

Consumer sentiment, as measured by the University of Michigan, improved to its highest level since early 2008 after rising by nearly one-third since late last year. According to Haver Analytics, over the last 10 years there has been a 69% correlation between sentiment and growth in consumer spending.
Unfortunately, the good news didn’t extend to durable goods orders in August: There was an unexpected decline that reversed half of July’s 4.8% gain. A drop in orders for transportation equipment was fingered as the main culprit. However, this metric is quite volatility and the overall trend still points towards a rebound in the manufacturing sector.

The Week Ahead

Monday: A quiet calendar with no economic releases.

Tuesday: The latest on nationwide home prices courtesy of the excellent Case-Shiller Home Price Index. Also, we get another update on consumer confidence.

Wednesday: The government makes its final revisions to second-quarter GDP. The last revision made no change to the initial estimate of a 1% decline. In the first quarter, GDP plummeted 6.4%. Traders will be looking for indications that inventories have dropped and demand is increasing ahead of a projected inventory rebuild in the months ahead. We will also get an update on the health of the manufacturing base in the latest ISM – Chicago Business Barometer.

Wednesday will also mark the end of the third quarter.

Thursday: A busy day with an update on auto sales, personal income and spending, the latest ISM Manufacturing Index, and construction spending.

Friday: The September jobs report is expected to show a loss of 170,000 jobs compared to the 216,000 that were lost in August and a 463,000 decline in June. The unemployment rate, currently at 9.7%, will move closer to 10%. Also, we get an update on factory orders.
In summary, the start of the fourth quarter is on the horizon. We expect it to be a plus for investors, though not without growth and geopolitical scares that create S-turns and potholes. Stay positive amid the turbulence as long as corporate credit markets remain strong and the primary trend is up.

Source: Long-Term Stock-Market Uptrend to Continue

This time around, silver has failed to match the gains that gold posted in recent months, spawning a widespread believe that silver is poised for a bull run. Such factors as a decline in supply and a weakening U.S. dollar have buttressed that bullish belief. And so has the fact that China’s government is strongly encouraging that country’s residents to buy the white metal.

With Beijing’s plan to inject $587 billion (4 trillion yuan) into China’s economy, and a growing desire to diversify away from the U.S. dollar as its key reserve currency, the Asian giant could increase its reliance on such precious metals as gold and silver – especially if global inflation takes hold.

China’s central bank “could use gold, silver or even a basket of commodities” to diversify away from the dollar, said Money Morning Contributing Editor Peter Krauth, a recognized expert in metals, mining and energy stocks. “It’s impossible to know how they’d go about it.”

This wouldn’t be the first time that silver played an important economic and transactional role in Mainland China. Nearly 2,500 years ago, the Red Dragon was the first to use silver as money. While China invented paper money in the ninth century, silver made its way back several dynasties later as legal tender until the government again prohibited its ownership in 1935.

Now, 75 years later – in the wake of the worst economic downturn since World War II – China has reversed its stance on silver.

In July, state-run China Central Television (CCTV) began a campaign that pushes the purchase of silver bullion as investment opportunity. Analysts say silver has been undervalued in the last few years, and is a good investment for individual investors, according to CCTV.

“The investment threshold [for silver] is not high, and is more suitable for the general public,” said Want Chunli, GM of Beijing’s Caibai Shopping Mall, the first to offer silver as an investment opportunity. “Silver is much cheaper than gold.”

Silver’s investment potential is best measured by the silver-gold ratio, or the price of gold divided by the price of silver. Over the past five years, the ratio has held fairly steady, requiring 55 ounces of silver to buy an ounce of gold. Earlier this year, as gold increased at a faster rate than sliver, the ratio skyrocketed to 70 to 1. It has since corrected to around 60.

Money Morning’s Krauth says that when this relative price ratio does correct, it tends to overshoot.

“I see it going to 50 at least,” Krauth said. “With gold at $1,000, that means silver could trade to $20 or even higher, which is another 20% from [the current price].”

Silver closed Friday at $16.06, while gold closed at $991.10 – implying a silver-to-gold ratio of 61.71.

Krauth sees China returning to an asset-backed currency and says ownership of silver could help the average citizen, even if its central bank is unable to diversify out of the U.S. dollar fast enough.

The more Chinese citizens who own silver, “the stronger the country will be in the eventuality that the world establishes a new world reserve currency backed by (most likely) precious metal(s).”

China’s middle class is estimated at 300 million – roughly equal to the entire U.S. population. And that consumer group in China is growing. As those incomes continue to rise, so, too, will the demand for silver.

China’s use for silver goes beyond jewelry or as a safeguard against inflation. Thanks to the antibacterial properties of silver ions, the white metal is used for everything from socks to wash machines, to name a few.

Silver Supply is Falling

The world once had 2.2 billion ounces of silver above ground, but that figure has plummeted 86% to the current 300 million ounces, according to Addison Wiggin, a best-selling author and an executive publisher at Agora Financial LLC, which, like Money Morning, is part of the Agora Inc. group of companies.

However, above-ground silver accounts for only 25% of the silver produced today, says Money Morning’s Krauth. The other three-quarters is actually a byproduct of such mined base metals as iron, nickel or lead.

When the financial markets nearly collapsed last fall, base-metals producers weren’t spared. As demand forecasts were cut, they quickly throttled back on production, expansion and exploration.

“More has to come from mine production, which can only grow so fast,” Krauth said. “The fact that base-metals producers have cut back a lot hurts silver production because it’s a byproduct of base-metal mining.”

Once the recovery begins – and it’s already under way in China – supplies will be hard to come by as demand for base metals returns, resulting in higher prices for silver.

Gold’s “Lap Dog”

The price of gold doesn’t necessarily affect the price of silver, but when other economic factors such as the U.S. dollar falter, prices traditionally rise at the same pace. But when the global financial crisis took hold last year, the silver-to-gold ratio shot up to 84.

Much like a “nervous little lapdog,” the price of silver follows gold closely, Krauth says.

Since its mid-July low of $12.46 an ounce, silver has rebounded roughly 30% to current levels. But if gold supplies run short, silver may have even more room to run.

When gold hit its all-time high of $1,033.90 per ounce in March 2008, silver prices soared as high as $20.92. But when gold hit its 18-month high earlier this month, silver stayed in check.

“Silver has lagged the rise in gold prices since 2000,” said Money Morning Contributing Editor Martin Hutchinson, a former investment banker with more than 25 years’ experience in the global financial markets. “If gold really takes off and the big money finds there isn’t enough of it, there should be spillover into silver.”

Famed commodities investor Jim Rogers also noted the lag in silver and gold’s prices.

“I’m looking at all commodities, but some commodity prices are very depressed,” Rogers told China International Business. “Silver is 70% or so below its historical highs, coffee is 70% or so, as is sugar, while gold is only 10% off its all time high.”

Making the Investment

While buying physical silver is an option for investors, the simplest way to get in, Krauth says, is via the iShares Silver Trust (NYSE: SLV) exchange-traded fund (ETF). In the three years since its inception, SLV has accumulated $3.91 billion in assets, and the share price – which is the equivalent to one ounce of silver – is up more than 50% this year.

During last fall’s market crash, SLV’s holdings remained nearly flat, around 220 million silver ounces. Since then, it has grown a further 22% to about 280 million ounces.

“That’s a testament to investor commitment,” Krauth said.

Hutchinson calls SLV “quite a good vehicle” over the big silver miners – such as Coeur d’Alene Mines Corp. (NYSE: CDE).

Coeur d’Alene has a large silver deposit in Bolivia. But Hutchinson characterizes Bolivia as a country that he “wouldn’t touch,” thanks chiefly to the Venezuela-like nationalization of the country’s other commodities, including oil and natural gas.

Source: The No. 1 Way to Profit When Silver Upstages Gold

If you can’t farm it, you have to mine it. It is a great message, no matter if you are an investor or an out-of-work cowboy.

Riding through the streets of Alaska’s ever-wet capital, you see all sorts of bumper stickers. There are three main categories – fishing, mining and Sarah Palin.

It is the miners getting all of the attention this week.

There are several reasons the world’s mining industry is opening a big ‘ole bottle of bubbly, but none more poignant than the fact that America is shelling out debt faster than a hot-rod blackjack dealer unloading his deck.

As Uncle Sam goes “all in,” the folks paying for Washington’s lavish lifestyle are getting nervous. For proof, I need just one set of numbers.

In July, foreign purchasers bought just $15.3 billion more debt than they sold. In June, that number was $90.7 billion. If the trend continues (and you know it will), we could be in serious trouble.

Here come the interest rates

With an all-out disdain for American debt, countries like China and Russia are finding other ways to convert their greenbacks into something more useful. The commodities market has been the first vehicle of choice.

The share price of just about every major mining company is all the proof we need.

Every day, I compile a list of the session’s big winners and losers. I study them, look for the cause of the volatility and determine how to profit from the action. Lately, my winners list has been filled with the folks pulling minerals from the ground.

One player getting plenty of attention from the bulls is Hecla Mining (NYSE:HL).

So far this month, the silver, gold, lead and zinc miner has watched its Street value increase by more than 60%. Shares are up by over 6% today as gold prices continue their exploration above the critical $1,000 level.

As the markets worry more and more about the notion of runaway inflation and a weakening greenback, gold miners like Hecla will continue to increase in value.

Shares are approaching the $5 mark today, but a $10 quote by spring is not out of the question.

Another double-digit commodity winner comes from Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE:APC). If you are a Hot Stock Confidential subscriber, you are familiar with this oil and gas producer’s winning ways.

Since I recommended buying shares of the company back in May, share price has jumped by over 30%.

The gains continue today as natural gas prices surge above the $3.50 level and as word spreads about the company’s latest deepwater discovery off of Africa’s western coast. The news makes Anadarko a major player in the region and the markets are rewarding the company in kind.

Progress in action

Finally, after spending a week in Juneau, I could not write a piece about the mining industry and not mention Coeur d’Alene Mines (NYSE:CDE), the owner of the ever-disputed Kensington Mine.

Over the past week, I had the opportunity to see the mine, talk with some of its employees and witness the hustle and bustle taking place as the site finally goes into action.

With metal prices on the rise, the mine could not have better timing. When the first minerals are pulled from the ground early next year, the company will get a hefty price for its product.

It is no wonder shares of the company are up by more than 100% in the last ninety days.

No matter your political slant or your views of the mining industry, there is absolutely no room to deny the fundamental value of tangible assets like commodities.

As the world’s wealth and power transfers from one continent to another, the rocks buried beneath the earth’s surface will be the only reliable asset.

If I were you, I would get my hands on some.

Source: Commodities Market: Dig Your Way to Riches

If you are in the metals market, your eyes are certainly watching the action out of China. The more the country builds and expands, the higher its demand for anything that is pulled from the ground.

If you have been paying attention, you already know copper prices reached their highest prices since last October early yesterday. Buyers had to shell out $6,258 for a metric ton of the vital base metal.

While it is disappointing to see prices slipping today, it is no surprise. The commodities markets have often moved in lock step with the global equities market. And with mixed economic data coming from Beijing today, it is surprising prices are not down even further today.

Even with a few nuggets of less-than-expected data, China’s economy is one of the quickest expanding on the planet. Earlier today, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) made the not-so-bold move of increasing its GDP expectations for the country from an annual rate of 8.5% to 9.4%.

Many investors are starting to wonder if it is time for Beijing to begin unwinding its recent stimulus measures.

No matter what the government does in the next few months, there is no debating China is at the center of the world’s commodity demand. Its desire to expand is the lifeline keeping the sector afloat.

With virtually no chance of a major disruption in its role, China is making the commodity and mining sector a fine investment.

Go ahead, make your move

While I have recommended several optimized plays for TFN Strategic Trader subscribers, I know of plenty of investors looking for a plain-vanilla sort of way to play the situation.

Anytime we need simple, the ETF market is there.

The SPDR S&P Metals and Mining (NYSE:XME) fund gives investors a pure shot at one of the most potential-filled industries on the planet. The fund includes holdings of powerhouses like Massey Energy (NYSE:MEE), United States Steel (NYSE:X) and Titanium Metals (NYSE:TIE).

Between those three companies alone, investors get a shot at a recovery global economy.

Of course, ETFs are great investments for the set-it-and-forget-it investing crowd. But they are not for everybody. With diversification comes lowered risk and lowered reward.

And anytime you are paying somebody else to do your buying and selling, it will come with a cost. In this case, SPDR charges 0.35% of your position, a fairly low fee in a high-priced industry.

But if you have been watching the commodities sector on the sidelines, eager to make a move, and are unsure how to do it, I think you just found your answer.

ETFs are a great way to enter the investing world on a low-cost, low-risk basis.

Source: Use the ETF Market to ‘Mine’ Commodity Profits

If you fire enough bullets, eventually one of them is bound to hit the bull’s eye. After spending a trillion dollars on an array of stimulus packages, the Obama administration is scrambling to “enhance” a billion-dollar program that actually hit its mark.

By now, we have all heard of the popularity of Washington’s Cash-for-Clunkers initiative. Drive, push or tow any old gas hog into a local dealer and Uncle Sam will give you a check for $3,500 or even $4,500 if you buy a new car.

In the short-term, the plan appears to be nothing but success. Car dealers actually have a reason to turn on the lights each day. Thanks to the program, inventories are no longer measured by months of supplies, but days or even hours.

For now, we are going to overlook the long-term detrimental ramifications of free money, including inflation and disruptions throughout the nation’s auto market. Prices could be brutally different in six months, even less, if the free markets still exist by then.

But, as of this writing, there is at least a semblance of capitalism in America and that means somebody is getting rich.

Is it you? It should be.

In an article yesterday, I wrote about some of the more obvious investment possibilities created by the Cash-for-Clunkers plan. Today, it is an even better, much less talked about chance to make some money.

Thanks to the weakening American dollar and Obama’s free money for new wheels, the nation’s platinum sector has had a fantastic week. Yes, platinum.

Like usual, a strong equities market weakens the greenback and increases demand for precious metals like gold, silver and platinum. The latter of the three is critical in the auto manufacturing industry as it plays a key role in exhaust gas management.

This single piece of legislation is a double-whammy for the sector.

With nearly 250,000 cars sold through Cash-for-Clunkers, savvy investors realize manufacturers are going to have to increase their production in order to replace the inventory.

That means platinum demand is on the rise.

It also means shares of companies like North American Palladium (AMEX:PAL) and Polymet Mining (AMEX:PLC) are increasing in value.

In just the last five days, shares of these miners surged by as much as 40% and 25%, respectively.

Even better, one of my favorite mining stocks – if you are a TFN Strategic Trader subscriber, it is already in your portfolio – is leading the charge.

While I am not about to anger my loyal paying customers by giving away the stock for free, I will tell you it is the month’s top performer, with gains of over 24%.

Of course, thanks to the leverage of options, our gains are significantly larger than that.

Thanks Obama!

As an American, I cannot possibly give my support for reckless subsidy spending, like Cash-for-Clunkers. It is unfair to taxpayers and the countless other individuals and companies that could benefit from similar handouts.

But as an investor, hey, you can’t beat free money. We are making plenty of that.

Source: Mining Stocks: The Surprising Cash-for-Clunker Winners

Gold prices may not be moving by leaps and bounds today, but savvy gold investors are seeing their stakes make a nice move.

I have always told investors if they can handle the extra risk, investing in the leading gold miners is a surefire strategy to leverage the gains made in the gold market. Today’s action from AngloGold Ashanti (NYSE:AU) proves the theory is valid.

Shares of the South African gold miner are up by about 5% after the company announced its second quarter was a record breaker. Thanks to increased production efficiency and a boost in gold prices, AngloGold increased its Q2 earnings by 11% to $167 million, or $0.47 per share.

In all, the company pulled 1.102Moz of gold from the ground during the last three months with an average cost of $472 per ounce. During last year’s corresponding quarter, the company managed to extract 1.103Moz.

While these figures prove AngloGold is doing things right and is well managed, an earnings report does little to show an investor the risk involved in taking a stake in the operation.

Gold mining, especially international gold mining, is risky business. I could list dozens of risk factors for the company, but will muzzle myself to just the top priorities.

First, and most obvious, is AngloGold’s exposure to fluctuating gold prices. While the spot market has been relatively quiet over the last two months, we all know that can change with any macroeconomic fluctuation.

While all gold miners hedge their exposure to the variability of the spot market to some degree, investors need to be aware of just how much the company’s profitability is affected by fluctuations.

Buying safety

With a 100% hedge, changes in spot prices have no impact. Any figure less than that, however, and earnings stand to move up or down, often drastically, with the market’s whims.

AngloGold is working on reducing its hedges to increase its exposure to what it obviously feels is a bullish tendency for the spot price. As of today’s report, the company’s gold hedge commitment is now 4.47Moz, down from 5.84Moz at the end of the first quarter.

According to the company’s CEO, Mark Cutifani, “The market fundamentals are extremely robust for gold, which supported our decision move aggressively sooner rather than later, to ensure we maximize our exposure to spot prices.”

Investors with the same belief that gold prices are on the rise, would back up their opinion by investing in the company.

Another risk for the company is its exposure to international currency markets. With mining operations all over the world, major moves in the world’s currencies could spell volatility for AngloGold’s earnings. With gold prices denominated in American dollars, a weak greenback would spell stronger gold prices, but could have detrimental impacts on some of the company’s international operations.

With several countries ready to “dump” the dollar in exchange for a basket of world currencies, there is some higher-than-average currency risk with AngloGold that I do not feel is reflected in share price. Fortunately, because its product is considered the ultimate currency hedge, the exposure is limited.

Finally, investors need to be aware of an entirely unpredictable risk factor, mine safety. In just the last three months, AngloGold lost eight workers to mining accidents. These deaths significantly reduce production and increase costs.

While we hope there are never any accidents, investors must be aware that any serious incident could be detrimental to share price.

As I said, there are plenty of other risk factors, but it is important to remember the markets reward us for risk.

If you are bullish on gold and want a shot at leveraging a surge in the commodity’s price, a gold miner is a great way to do it. Even with all the risks noted above, AngloGold is one of the best and most popular ways to enter the game.

Source: AngloGold Ashanti: Getting Paid for Risk

Nevgold Resource announced that the drill rig will be turning on its Cordero gold project in Nevada. The junior is targeting high-grade feeders at around 450 meters depth. Nevgold ended the day unchanged at C$0.15.

The Evolving Gold story continued to evolve. The junior mobilized a fourth core drill rig to its Rattlesnake Hills property in Wyoming. Evolving Gold closed at C$1.29, for a C$0.18 gain.

The markets appear to be at a pivotal turning point with signs that an economic recovery is at hand driving buyers back into equities. We shall see what Monday trading has in store.

Source: Resource Stock Roundup:Monday, July 27, 2009

Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (NYSE:POT), the world’s largest fertilizer producer by market value, saw second quarter profits fall by 79% to $187.1 million or $0.62 per share. Stripping out a one-time gain of $115.3 million from previously impaired securities and the profit tallied $0.32 per share. The company also announced that 2009 earnings will be less than previously forecast as demand from farmers declined. This did not dismay investors as Potash ended the session up C$7.09 at C$104.59.

Brett Resources tabled an updated inferred resource of 155 million metric tons grading 1.04 gram gold per metric ton for its Hammond Reef deposit in Ontario. Brett ended the day up C$0.03 at C$0.89.

The appetite for resource related equities appears to be insatiable right now with the bigger producers receiving most of the interest. We shall see what Friday trading has in store.

Source: Resource Stock Roundup:Friday, July 24th, 2009

High-flying Ventana Gold appointed Stephen Orr to the position of president and chief executive officer effective September 1. Mr. Orr was chief executive officer of OceanaGold and prior to that he was vice-president of North American operations, then managing director of Australia and Africa for Barrick Gold (NYSE:ABX). Ventana ended the day up C$0.01 at C$5.20.

Following the Colombian gold theme, Ventana’s neighbor Greystar Resources ended the day up C$0.35 at C$4.30.

Shares of Keegan Resources (AMEX:KGN) added C$0.24 to close at C$3.03 after the company reported drill results that included 10.31 grams gold per metric ton over 22 meters at its Esaase property in southwest Ghana.

Investors in junior resource stocks are eagerly anticipating the next batch of drill results with favorable ones driving the share price higher and disappointing ones causing a run for the exits. In other words, all appears to be right with the world. We shall see what Thursday trading has in store.

Source: Resource Stock Roundup:Thursday, July 23rd, 2009