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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; new deal</title>
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		<title>7 Stock Plays For An Obama &#8216;New Deal&#8217;</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/7-stock-plays-for-an-obama-new-deal/8177</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/7-stock-plays-for-an-obama-new-deal/8177#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Nov 2008 14:29:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Fessler</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=8177</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>We all know about the challenges Barack Obama faces as President elect. But <strong>David Fessler</strong> says he also has an incredible opportunity to &#8220;turn the recession ship around.&#8221; David selects seven companies in the infrastructure and clean energy sectors that will profit most from an Obama &#8216;New Deal&#8217;.</p>
<p>This from <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/"  class="alinks_links">Investment U</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Our next President will be faced with unprecedented challenges in health care, energy, global warming, an aging infrastructure and huge “legacy” automobile businesses that are teetering on the verge of bankruptcy.</p>
<p>He’s also being presented with an incredible opportunity… one that, if implemented correctly, could have profoundly positive effects on the economic health of the world, just when we need it.</p>
<p>For years, the engine that fueled global economic growth was the spending&#8230;</p></blockquote>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We all know about the challenges Barack Obama faces as President elect. But <strong>David Fessler</strong> says he also has an incredible opportunity to &#8220;turn the recession ship around.&#8221; David selects seven companies in the infrastructure and clean energy sectors that will profit most from an Obama &#8216;New Deal&#8217;.</p>
<p>This from <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/"  class="alinks_links">Investment U</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Our next President will be faced with unprecedented challenges in health care, energy, global warming, an aging infrastructure and huge “legacy” automobile businesses that are teetering on the verge of bankruptcy.</p>
<p>He’s also being presented with an incredible opportunity… one that, if implemented correctly, could have profoundly positive effects on the economic health of the world, just when we need it.</p>
<p>For years, the engine that fueled global economic growth was the spending of the American consumer. Market crashes because of the dot-coms and the housing boom have left many individuals with too much debt and not enough money. Americans are tapped out, and they’re closing their wallets.</p>
<p>Reinvigorating our economy rests upon jumpstarting consumer spending &#8211; and ultimately improving the financial condition of millions of Americans. It’s much easier said than done &#8211; and this new administration will have its work cut out for it.</p>
<p>If you’ve got an eye on how these government actions could benefit your bottom line, you should take a look at our past. You might find these newest sources of “economic fuel” and wealth creation look surprisingly familiar. The government’s solution could be just the thing our portfolio needs for a healthy return in the years to come…</p>
<p><strong>The Cause of The Current U.S. Economic Slowdown</strong></p>
<p>Ask most people to give you the cause of the current economic slowdown enveloping the United States and the rest of the world, and their likely answer will be the explosion of housing and the subsequent bubble in the credit markets.</p>
<p>But that was just the peak of the problem, not the beginning. The trouble has its roots in something that started 20 or 30 years ago.</p>
<p>That was when we started seeing the shift away from personal savings in America and toward the beginning of a huge consumer <a title="The Credit Crisis" href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2008/October/understanding-the-credit-crisis.html" target="_blank">credit crisis</a>.</p>
<p>And now, we are witnessing first-hand the effects of the increasing use of massive leverage can have on the markets, and ultimately on the American consumer. They’re broke and can no longer be the fuel that powers the world’s economic engine.</p>
<p>With consumer spending slowing, layoffs increasing and hiring all but stopped, the prospects for future economic growth aren’t particularly bright. Or are they? We have almost everything we need to fire up the world’s economic engine again: The ingenuity of the American people, plenty of factories, etc.</p>
<p>There’s only one thing missing… the fuel to get it going again. So what’s going to be the new “fuel?” History is a great teacher, and we need look no further than the Great Depression, and Franklin D. Roosevelt’s New Deal.</p>
<p>The New Deal was a series of programs Roosevelt employed between 1933 and 1936 with the intent to provide work for the unemployed, reform of financial and business operations, and economic recovery. Here are a couple of examples:</p>
<ul type="disc">
<li>The Works Progress Administration (WPA) was the largest of the New Deal agencies. It alone was responsible for providing almost eight million jobs. What did all of those people do? They built public buildings, roads, bridges and other infrastructure projects. Anyone who needed a job could easily become eligible.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li>Another program, created by an act of Congress in 1933, was the Tennessee Valley Authority. The TVA, as it was known, was chartered to provide food, navigation and flood control, electrical generation, fertilizer manufacturing and general economic development for the people of the Tennessee Valley, a region hard hit by the Great Depression. And it was just what the doctor ordered: The TVA’s projects were catalysts that fueled unprecedented economic growth in the area that continued through the 1960s. Today, the TVA’s 43 power plants make it one of the largest producers of power in the country.</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>7 Companies Profiting From a “New” New Deal</strong></p>
<p>While the slowdown we are experiencing is nowhere near as severe as the Great Depression, the solution will be the creation of similar New Deal programs in two specific areas: <a title="The Infrastructure &amp; Energy Sectors" href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2008/September/the-infrastructure-and-energy-sectors.html" target="_blank">the infrastructure and energy sectors</a>.</p>
<p>More specifically, developing energy savings, making alternative forms of energy our mainstream sources, and building the green infrastructure to support what will be our growing energy independence.</p>
<p>More insulation in a house’s walls, lower thermostats, fluorescent bulbs, more fuel efficient cars and commercial building energy management systems are just a few of the ways to save energy. Public transportation is another. Expect the new government to provide tax incentives for these and other programs as short-term incentives to save. Companies that stand to benefit are <strong>Owens Corning </strong>(NYSE:<a title="Owens Corning" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AOC" target="_blank">OC</a>): insulation, <strong>General Electric </strong>(NYSE:<a title="General Electric" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AGE" target="_blank">GE</a>): lighting and <strong>Johnson Controls </strong>(NYSE:<a title="Johnson Controls" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AJCI" target="_blank">JCI</a>): energy management systems.</p>
<p>Clearly wind, solar geothermal and tidal energy companies stand to benefit, too. While a comprehensive list is beyond the scope of this article, companies like <strong>First Solar </strong>(Nasdaq:<a title="First Solar" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3AFSLR" target="_blank">FSLR</a>): solar panels, <strong>Ormat Technologies </strong>(NYSE:<a title="Ormat Technologies" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AORA" target="_blank">ORA</a>): geothermal and <strong>Vestas Wind Systems </strong>(PINK:<a title="Vestas Wind Systems" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=VWDRY" target="_blank">VWDRY</a>): wind turbines, will do well.</p>
<p>As new green sources of energy begin to come on-line in a big way, the nation’s electrical grids will have to be upgraded to move the power to where it’s needed. This is a huge project, and one of the biggest winners will be <strong>ABB </strong>(NYSE:<a title="ABB" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AABB" target="_blank">ABB</a>): power and automation technologies.</p>
<p>Ironically, the same government that’s trying to find a solution to the energy problems we face has been the biggest roadblock to solving them. The trillion dollar coal and oil subsidies prolong the carbon industry’s advantage over &#8211; and are a constant roadblock for &#8211; fledgling <a title="Alternative Energy Companies" href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2008/September/alternative-energy-investments-finally-getting-the-green-light-in-2008.html" target="_blank">alternative energy companies</a>.</p>
<p>The new President and his administration have an opportunity to turn the recession ship around, before it runs aground. By implementing new energy and infrastructure projects, thousands of new jobs will be provided at a time when they are desperately needed, and most importantly, these projects will provide the fuel to restart the world’s economic engine.</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2008/November/obamas-economic-fuel.html#more-3979">Source: <strong>Obama’s New “Economic Fuel”… and 7 Ways to Profit</strong></a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Even Obama Can&#8217;t Fix The Economy</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/even-obama-cant-fix-the-economy/7991</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/even-obama-cant-fix-the-economy/7991#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 07 Nov 2008 12:53:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Theo Casey</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics & Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bear market]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=7991</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>President elect Barack Obama is expected to move quickly to try and revive the US economy. <strong>Theo Casey</strong> says a new fiscal stimulus will be targeted at job creation and infrastructure building instead of free handouts. However, it still won&#8217;t stop the recession. And it will add even more zeros to Treasury debt.</p>
<p>This from Fleet Street Invest:</p>
<blockquote><p>As investors, we must take a step back from the spectacle of this historic event and ask a more pressing question. What does this mean for the world economy and the world’s stock markets?</p>
<p>First the economy&#8230;</p>
<p>Almost 70 per cent of Americans named the economy as the number one motivation behind their vote.</p>
<p>A vote for a man that has so much influence on us all.</p>
<p>After all,&#8230;</p></blockquote>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>President elect Barack Obama is expected to move quickly to try and revive the US economy. <strong>Theo Casey</strong> says a new fiscal stimulus will be targeted at job creation and infrastructure building instead of free handouts. However, it still won&#8217;t stop the recession. And it will add even more zeros to Treasury debt.</p>
<p>This from Fleet Street Invest:</p>
<blockquote><p>As investors, we must take a step back from the spectacle of this historic event and ask a more pressing question. What does this mean for the world economy and the world’s stock markets?</p>
<p>First the economy&#8230;</p>
<p>Almost 70 per cent of Americans named the economy as the number one motivation behind their vote.</p>
<p>A vote for a man that has so much influence on us all.</p>
<p>After all, when America sneezes, the rest of the world catches a cold. And when the US subprime bubble burst, we caught pneumonia. We are caught in a storm of macro crises: the credit crunch, housing slumps, recessions and bear markets across the globe. The responses by the world’s leaders affect all of the above and all of us.</p>
<p>As leader of the free world at such a low ebb, Barack Obama’s next move is so important.</p>
<p>President Obama wasted no time, addressing the economy in his acceptance speech:</p>
<p>&#8220;Even as we celebrate tonight, we know the challenges that tomorrow will bring are the greatest of our lifetime — two wars, a planet in peril, the worst financial crisis in a century.</p>
<p>&#8220;There is new energy to harness and new jobs to be created; new schools to build and threats to meet and alliances to repair.&#8221;</p>
<p>The President must, in the coming weeks, outline a convincing plan of action to help the world’s biggest economy get back on its feet.</p>
<p><strong>What’s next for the economy?</strong></p>
<p>A big recession bailout.</p>
<p>The last intervention by the US was the $700 billion bank bailout. That was about the financial system, not the recession.</p>
<p>The last recession bailout was the $150 billion of rebate cheques handed out to ordinary Americans. This fiscal injection was a bad call, one that the new President-elect opposed, and it had an artificial effect on the economy.</p>
<p>The money could have been much better spent and the next round of monies will be better spent.</p>
<p>How much money?</p>
<p>$300 &#8211; $500 billion is being touted as the size of the next injection. That’s what is estimated as necessary for America to spend to offset the downturn of the private sector.</p>
<p>- $300 billion is equivalent to a 2% boost to GDP.<br />
- $500 billion is equivalent to a 3.4% boost to GDP.</p>
<p>The expectation is that rather than give everyone $600 to fritter away, they’ll put the money into big infrastructure projects to spur &#8220;job creation.&#8221;</p>
<p>Digging holes in the ground, building bridges&#8230; the Keynesian approach.</p>
<p>The good news is that it should all now happen a lot faster.</p>
<p>We have a Democratic President and a Democratic Congress. That means that we are unlikely to face the same sentiment-crushing political hurdles that we encountered with the $700 billion bailout.</p>
<div><img style="width: 500px; height: 200px;" src="http://www.fleetstreetinvest.co.uk/economy/international-economies/%7E/media/Images/FreeELetters/fsdaily/charts/treasury-debt.ashx" alt="Treasury Debt % of GDP" /></div>
<p>SocGen Cross Asset Research</p>
<p>The bad news is that it only delays the inevitable. The US, the world’s largest recession and an economy that affects the UK heavily, is still going into recession. Even a supersized deal would not prevent recession in the US and, if anything, will probably push debt levels over 50% of GDP.</p>
<p>It’s a bad move in the long term, but having led his campaign on the economy, Barack Obama has no choice but to spend, spend, spend.</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.fleetstreetinvest.co.uk/economy/international-economies/barack-obama-victory-04763.html">Source: Even Obama Can&#8217;t Fix The Economy</a></p>
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