The broader S&P 500 bled more, ending the day down just over 3%. The tech-centric Nasdaq was worse off still, losing 3.35%.

And today, the bloodletting spilled over into Asian measures. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (-2.9%), Japan’s Nikkei 225 (-2.8%), Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 ( -3.1%) and South Korea’s Kospi Composite ( -2.8%) were among the worst hit.

“Asian investors are connecting the dots – with the World Bank’s help – that the U.S. economy is nowhere near turning around,” Tony Sagami, editor of Asia Stock Alert, told the Wall Street Journal’s Asian Edition. “Any Asian companies that depend on Americans for a big chunk of their sales need to prepare for lots of red ink.”

But it’s not just Asian markets.

Russia “officially” entered a bear market after yesterday’s 0.6% selloff pushed the Micex index down 20% from its last peak. Indeed, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index ended the session down 10% from its 2009 high. What do you call that? Half a bear market?

“After the World Bank report yesterday we see more concern about the return of negative growth dynamics,” Commerzbank AG’s Michael Ganske, told Bloomberg. “Investors realize that all the discussions of a sharp, V-shaped recovery are not going to materialize.”

NOW they realize, eh? We wonder how long it will be before they’ll forget that the word depression doesn’t end with a “V”. It ends with a lower case “n” or, as Bill Bonner is fond of saying, “a corrective force equal and opposite to the deception and delusion that preceded it.”

And there’s still plenty more deception and delusion to come, folks. For starters, the FOMC meets tomorrow, no doubt armed with a sack full of optical illusions and prestidigitations for the investing public. History shows, however, that we humans prefer a blissful illusion to a decaying reality…even if the shoots are turning brown before our noses.

or a closer look at what’s going on around town, we decided to ask the Rude readership for some boots-on-ground analysis. As usual, you obliged with emails from Sweden to Singapore and Atlanta to Alabama. In today’s column, we present the second and final installment of our green shoots vs. premature celebration mailbag. Please enjoy…

From Anytown, U.S.A., a reader reports…

Regardless of what the official figures are on inflation, prices are going up. Here are a few examples.

· Grape juice, Walmart store brand, up 17%

· Corn chips, up 27% [price unchanged, but the bag went from 28 oz. to 22 oz.]

· Gasoline, up 84% since January.

· Commodity Futures data provider, up 50% [he apologized, but said the exchange fees are up sharply.]

· Homeowners insurance, down 5%. I guess the cost to replace a house isn’t what it used to be.

I could go on, but you get the point. Meanwhile, I am retired, with a pension that is supposed to include an annual COLA [cost of living adjustment], but because the government declared that there was no inflation last year, I will not receive a COLA come July 1.

My IRA/401(K) accounts are heavily overweighted toward oil, natural gas, gold, etc., in an effort to keep my purchasing power at least even with inflation, and I just hope that it works. Now if we can just sell our house [which we own free and clear] my wife and I are looking to move to Latin America.

A lot of our friends think we are crazy, that the government will never let things “get too bad” here. I think that they are crazy to have that much faith in the government, and I would rather live where people actively distrust their government, but I guess that it is differences of opinion that make a market.

From Texas, a reader reports…

In the Hill Country of Central Texas, life continues at what passes for normal in these parts. The Texas economy overall has been able to withstand the credit crisis quite well. Foreclosures are almost non-existent out here in the sticks since the mortgage loans were never any of the alphabet soup variety and the lending banks keep their own paper. Real estate seems to be selling but at the normally slow pace that is historic for our area. Real estate prices never got overheated here so the market has remained slow and stable. Even the local Chrysler dealership is still in business (must have made a large-enough contribution to the Democrats’ campaign). I own an industrial building and my tenant tells me his business has slowed somewhat but he is still doing a good volume. One note of economic concern is tourism. Friends own a Bed & Breakfast on the lake and they tell me their guest-count has dropped dramatically.

Out on the West Coast, we just bought a second home in San Clemente, CA. It’s a gorgeous ocean-view home that was foreclosed and then we bought it on a short-sale from the bank. I calculated we got a 60% discount overall. From what I see in Southern California, they’re in a world of hurt.

From Oakland, California, a reader reports…

Well, I’ve got some doom and gloom. My IRA is still down over 40% from its high. At the beginning of the year I could not find work for 4 months and finally swallowed my pride and went on unemployment. My house is under water. Bank of America says that I do qualify for a loan adjustment but they won’t do it “right now” because I’m not over 2 months late on my payments.

On the flip side I have started getting work lately and I’m still making money with the short report. Puts and gold seem to be where it is at right now.

From Florida, a reader reports…

I know it is politically au courant to blame all spending on Obama, but that ignores the truths that the Congress is doing a helluva good job in that field as well AND that Eisenhower started building the Interstate highways with money we didn’t have and that every congress and every administration since then has spent more than it has taken in. Our two ruling parties are equally fiscally irresponsible.

As for Kudrin’s “white lies” about US currency, I remember while being trained for intelligence work a lengthy discussion of information, misinformation, disinformation, propaganda and outright lies. And while there are differences in them, it seems these days everything we hear from governments and most media stinks of one or another kind of spin. I read Agora financial info every day to try to get unadulterated information without the spin. Keep up the good work. And keep entertaining us with the fashion reports on the emperor’s new clothes.

From north of the border, a reader reports…

I live in Peterborough, a city of about 75,000 which is 90 miles NE of Toronto.

Things here are slow, but not extremely so, even though we depend on the auto industry and tourism. We have a high retired population and people are very price conscious. Housing sales died during the winter but have come back a little since. Prices are off 10 to 15% on average and houses over 350k usually sit a long time and are then marked down. Some businesses are running ads suggesting people “just think positive”. Since everyone is still looking for the bottom, I’d say we still have a ways to go. I expect this winter to be really ugly.

And finally, an unpaid international correspondent reports from Singapore…

1) Unemployment; graduates are finding it difficult to find jobs, other than the “odd jobs” that don’t fit the qualification; most of which have vacancies because the cheaper foreign workers that were brought in during the boom phase were repatriated back to their countries…Its déjà vu for people who graduated in the 70s; they are repeating the mantra from then – “Graduation = Unemployment”.

2) Retail sales are down pretty big, but those shopping malls continue to pop up all over the place and many of them are continuing their work-in-progress. The government is supportive of these projects… again, uncertainty over the economic climate is putting a gloom over these things.

3) Property prices fell approximately 30%, but have since rebounded about 15% with the stock market rally. The same companies that are building those shopping malls continue with these condominium projects.

5) Consumer credit still seems pretty okay; those stupid banks continue to pull out all the stops to get people signed up for their credit cards.

6) Healthcare costs continue to rise regardless of economic conditions and there is quite a bit of public outrage at the moment; no worries, just let the government handle everything… we’re a nanny state. (That disgusts me btw and I’m pretty close to swearing never to work for the government… having said that, I might choose the porridge over my ideals).

Source: For Better or Worse, Part II

• Crude oil for December delivery declined 1.4% yesterday (Monday) with a 93-cent drop to close at $63.22 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Oil futures are down 57% from the July 11 record of $147.27 and 31% down from a year ago, Bloomberg News reported.  “With all of the stock markets going down, there’s going to continue to be downward pressure,” said Michael Fitzpatrick, vice president for energy risk management at MF Global Ltd. (MF) in New York. “There’s not a lot that can be done to stop this downward spiral right now.”

• Shares of German automaker Volkswagen AG (ADR OTC: VLKAY) skyrocketed over 120% yesterday (Monday) with a gain of $64.75 to close at $118.00. Porche SE (PINK: POAHF) announced late Sunday that it would increase its stake in Volkswagen to 75% in 2009, The Wall Street Journal reported. The sudden price spike was due in part to Volkswagen’s relatively small free float, as Porche is just shy of a 75% ownership stake and the German state of Lower Saxony controls 20%.

• The Japanese yen hit a 13-year high versus the dollar yesterday (Monday), trading at just under 94 yen to the dollar. Fear of the effect the strong yen would have on exports sent the Nikkei 225 to a 26-year low of 7,162.90 after losing 6.4% for the day. The key Japanese benchmark is down 53% year-to-date, BusinessWeek reported.

• Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) announced yesterday (Monday) third-quarter earnings were $1.67 billion, or 59 cents per share, up from $1.27 billion, or 44 cents a share, for the same period the year prior. But Chief Executive Ivan Seidenberg cautioned that economic weakness and poor consumer demand would have an effect in the fourth quarter. “For the Christmas season, consumer spending will be somewhat lighter, and business spending will be somewhat curtailed,” Seidenberg said in a conference call, The Associated Press reported.

• New home sales posted an unexpected increase in September, the Commerce Department reported yesterday (Monday). New, single-family home sales rose 2.7% in September to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 464,000 homes. Sales were still down 33% from a year ago and off almost 68% from the peak reached July 2005.

• Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT) said yesterday (Monday) that it is slowing the pace of U.S. store openings and cutting back on capital spending in the face of economic headwinds, The Associated Press reported. The company plans to open 191 stores in the current fiscal year and between 142 and 157 stores in the next fiscal year. Wal-Mart opened 218 U.S. stores in fiscal 2008. Wal-Mart also plans $5.8 billion to $6.4 billion in capital expenditures this fiscal year for its U.S. division, down from $9.1 billion last year.

• Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) Chief Executive Lloyd Blankfein called Citigroup Inc.’s (C) Vikram Pandit last month about a possible merger, but Pandit rejected the proposal, a source familiar with the situation told Reuters yesterday (Monday). Blankfein’s call was made shortly after Goldman got the approval to become a commercial bank on September 21 and with the knowledge of regulators, the source said.

Source: Global Investing Roundups Tuesday, October 28th, 2008

Agora Financial’s 5-Minute Forecast reports that “in terms of major stock indexes around the world… there are few places to hide. The Euro Stoxx 50, a gauge of the big indexes in the eurozone, is down 24% this year. Germany’s DAX has fallen 20%. The CAC in France is down 22%. Britain’s FTSE is doing the ‘best,’ down 15% YTD.”In case you were wondering, the MSCI Asia Pacific Index is down 13% since the beginning of the year, the Shanghai Composite is down around 50% this year, Indian markets have fallen about 40%, Japan’s Nikkei 225 is down 12% year-to-date, Australia is down about 16%, Germany is down 20%, India down 32% and China is down 48% YTD. To name a few.

And, closer to home, the S&P 500 is down about 15% year-to-date, and the Dow is off about 14%, which when coupled with the ugly fact that they dollar is down about 7%, means that foreigners are getting whacked harder for investing in America than Americans! And I thought Americans were stupid! Hahahaha!

The Bank for International Settlements figures, “The current market turmoil in the world’s main financial centers is without precedent in the postwar period. Given the possibility of such a worsening economic and financial environment, it would not be surprising if asset valuations also came under further pressure,” made worse by an “uncomfortably long period of high inflation, along with slower growth.”

This is pretty gloomy news, which may explain why the latest survey of consumer sentiment from Reuters/University of Michigan fell to 56.4 in June, which shows that Americans are the gloomiest since 1980. And for good reason, too, as inflation in prices is going to keep getting higher and higher, because inflation in prices always follows inflation in the money supply, and money just keeps getting created by the idiot central banks of the world by the literal ton every day, as we learn from Ty Andros of TedBits newsletter, who gives us the Ugly, ugly News (UUN) that “The AVERAGE amount of M3 central bank money and credit creation is simply astonishing. It is clocking in at an average annual rate of 23%. Yes, that’s right, 23%.” Doug Casey of the International Speculator newsletter is a little more conservative, and says, “All over the world, but especially in the U.S., currencies are being inflated radically; M3 is rising at about 18% per year.”

To show the horror of that, Mr. Andros notes that a 23% rise in the money supplies, “Using the rule of 72…means those money supplies in one form or another are doubling on average every 3.13 years.” I involuntarily pee in my pants! Doubling the money supply in three years! This is insane! We are freaking doomed!

In case you were interested in knowing if there were any countries that are not a bunch of dirtbag, fiat-currency, inflationist morons, the answer is, unfortunately, “no”. But Mike Hewitt of DollarDaze.org writes, “The Swiss Franc was the best-performing currency of the 20th century, losing only 80% of its value.” Hahahaha!

And it is all going to get worse, too, and people will get more angry, and some of them will remember that The Magnificent Mogambo (TMM) always said that elementary mathematics and history prove that the majority of stock market investors must always lose in the long run so that a small minority of investors can make some meager gains (sometimes), and this losing majority must also pay the rapacious Wall Street financial services industry huge, huge, HUGE sums so that fancy-suited sharpies can make a lot of money ALL the time by “managing” all that money and making a complete failure of it, and the sting is mostly felt because the losing majority must also pay the government lots of taxes and fees levied on all the various handlings of this money, and they will blame me, like it is my fault that simple mathematics makes it inescapably true, or that the stupid, socialist/communist/fascist way that they vote has created a ravenous, cancerous monster that is going to destroy us all by necessitating that the Federal Reserve keep creating all the money and credit that the government needs to borrow, and these “majority losers” will sue the living hell out of their little “financial planner” or “account executive” that told such a lying piece of stupidity!

In short, the biggest and most damaging lie of all is that everyone can retire on the money they “invest for the long term” in the stock market. It can’t be done. It is mathematically impossible. You will lose more in purchasing power (as central bank monetary inflation destroys the currency by printing enough to finance the higher stock prices) than you will ever net in gains, and so the best, absolute best thing that can happen to the majority of investors is that they will invest the equivalent of a whole pizza today to get back a half a pizza when they retire, instead of merely a tenth of a pizza, if that! Hahaha!

Such are the just desserts of people stupid enough, with a media stupid enough, with an educational system stupid enough, and a government both stupid and corrupt enough to create a boom with a fiat currency, and to actually make a bet with everything they have that such a preposterous monetary system will not go bust, although it has, 100% of the time in all of history when any other country full of people stupid enough, with a media stupid enough, with an educational system stupid enough, and a government both stupid and corrupt enough to create a boom with a fiat currency.

The good news is that the astute can succeed where all others fail by merely buying gold and silver the whole time that the government is doing this, which is the easy way (”The Mogambo Way (TMW)). And we all love it when it is easy!

Well, I do anyway. And since it is easy to stop here, I will.

Well, after I make a pitch for buying gold, silver and oil. Now I’ll shut up. Just remember what I said. Okay, now I’ll REALLY shut up.

Source: The Biggest Loser of Purchasing Power

He was a great fan – he read all my columns and had done well over the years out of taking some of my advice. I glowed with pride. Then came the fall. But, he went on, he had also lost a small fortune as a result of buying into the Japanese market – again on my advice – in 2007.

What did I suggest he did now? I shifted uncomfortably from foot to foot and prayed for the speeches to begin while the editor of a rival publication, irritatingly standing right next to me at the time, tried not to smirk too obviously.

It’s always horrible to feel responsible for other people losing money, but when it comes to Japan I really feel the pain: my own Isa is stuffed with Japan-related investments. So the fact that the Nikkei 225 was one of the world’s worst performing markets last year hasn’t exactly brought forward my retirement date.

So what did I tell him? That I was buying more. Japan is cheap in a way that no other developed markets are. A good 50% of Japanese stocks trade at less than their book value (the accounting value of their assets), for example. Dividend payouts are also rising. They have always been stingy, when they have existed at all, but over the past three years, the dividends offered by the biggest companies have been rising at double-digit rates.

And the economy isn’t doing badly at all. In the fourth quarter of last year, Japan grew at an annualised rate of 3.5% and in the first quarter of this year the numbers are expected to show that it grew at around 2.5%. Given that the best the US can do is 0.6% (and that number is bound to be revised down over the next few months), that looks pretty good.

Japan is currently the world’s fastest growing developed economy and given its links to Asia (twice as many Japanese exports go to Asia than to the US), it is likely to stay so.

Even more interesting is that fact that, after well over a decade of falling prices, Japan appears to have finally banished deflation. Food prices are rising (McDonald’s has eased the price of a Big Mac up from ¥250 to ¥280) as are energy prices.

But these obvious elements aren’t the only things that drove core inflation up to 1.2% year-on-year in March. Strip them out, says Jonathan Allum of broker KBC Financial Products, and inflation is still “mildly positive”. Better still, wages appear to be rising: the average base salary turned positive in November last year.

This is a very big deal. For far too long falling prices have put the Japanese off spending money (why buy something now if it will be cheaper tomorrow?) but if prices are rising – and workers have more money in their pockets – perhaps they will finally start to loosen their grip on their left-over-from-the-1980s Louis Vuitton wallets.

Already, says Christopher Wood of CLSA, Japanese consumers are expecting inflation to be running at 3.1% in 12 months’ time. This should do wonders for corporate pricing power (you can’t put prices up when people are expecting prices to fall but you sure can when they are expecting them to rise anyway) and for profit margins.

The other thing that might work to cheer up the Japanese consumer is the state of the property market.

Those who have placed very heavy bets on the UK property market on the basis that “we are a small island and demand is greater than supply” don’t like anyone to mention Japan. There, the long and totally insane bubble of the 1980s was justified on identical grounds. Then prices fell for 15 agonising years.

The good news – for Japanese homeowners if not for our own buy-to-let investors – is that they aren’t falling any more: residential land prices rose for the first time in 16 years last March.

Still, a lot of this has been true for some time and, as my new banker friend reminded me, it didn’t do us any good last year. Why might it now?

The answer is sentiment. Today most people hate Japan. Jonathan Allum points out that the week leading up to March 14 saw the biggest wave of foreigner selling since October 1987.

This is good news in the sense that the total capitulation of foreign buyers often marks a turning point for Japan. And so it has again. The point is that sentiment is beginning to turn. Right now very few investors have a stake in Japan. Soon they’re all going to want one.

So it’s best to get in before the rush – and the easiest way to do so is via the iShares MSCI Japan ETF (NYSE:EWJ).

Source: Bucking the Trend Could Help You Make It Big in Japan