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		<title>How to Make Big Money in Undervalued Transport Stocks</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/how-to-make-big-money-in-undervalued-transport-stocks/5110</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Sep 2008 14:13:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Floyd Brown</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BNI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Floyd Brown]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[JPM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[KNX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NSC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[transport stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UNP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wachovia Capital Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[YRCW]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Shares in this transport sector have been hit hard, following the recent downgrading of the <strong>trucking sector</strong> by a Wachovia Capital Markets analyst.</p>
<p>But contrarian investors should be wary of such &#8216;expert&#8217; opinion. <strong>Floyd Brown</strong> in <a href="http://www.investmentu.com" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">Investment U</a> says: &#8220;Trucking is an integral part of our national goods transportation network. And because it&#8217;s tied so closely to our economy, it will also be one of the first sectors to see a turnaround.&#8220;</p>
<p>Floyd says savvy investors should follow <strong>Warren Buffett</strong> into undervalued <strong>transport stocks</strong> now&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Even Warren Buffett &#8211; the closest person America has to a modern day industrialist &#8211; has used the last few years to build an increasing stake in transportation stocks like <strong>Union Pacific</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=UNP&#38;hl=en">UNP</a>), <strong>Norfolk Southern</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NSC&#38;hl=en">NSC</a>) and his biggest purchase by far, <strong>Burlington Northern Railroad</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=BNI&#38;hl=en">BNI</a>).</p>
<ul>
<li>BNI transports&#8230;</li></ul></blockquote>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span class="Normal">Shares in this transport sector have been hit hard, following the recent downgrading of the <strong>trucking sector</strong> by a Wachovia Capital Markets analyst.</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">But contrarian investors should be wary of such &#8216;expert&#8217; opinion. </span><span class="Normal"><strong>Floyd Brown</strong> in <a href="http://www.investmentu.com" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">Investment U</a> says:</span><span class="Normal"> &#8220;Trucking is an integral part of our national goods transportation network. And because it&#8217;s tied so closely to our economy, it will also be one of the first sectors to see a turnaround.</span><span class="Normal">&#8220;</span></p>
<p>Floyd says savvy investors should follow <strong>Warren Buffett</strong> into undervalued <strong>transport stocks</strong> now&#8230;<span id="more-5110"></span></p>
<blockquote><p><span class="Normal">Even Warren Buffett &#8211; the closest person America has to a modern day industrialist &#8211; has used the last few years to build an increasing stake in transportation stocks like <strong>Union Pacific</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=UNP&amp;hl=en">UNP</a>), <strong>Norfolk Southern</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NSC&amp;hl=en">NSC</a>) and his biggest purchase by far, <strong>Burlington Northern Railroad</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=BNI&amp;hl=en">BNI</a>).</span></p>
<ul>
<li><span class="Normal">BNI transports goods eastward from Pacific shipping ports, and commodities such as coal and corn around the Midwest over 32,000 miles of track in 28 states and Canada. It is currently trading at a forward PE of 14.</span></li>
<li><span class="Normal">Railroads are coming back into vogue as their economy and their cost effectiveness make them popular again. That&#8217;s why <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/research/warren-buffetts-railroad.html">Warren Buffett took a $5 billion stake in the railroads</a>.</span></li>
<li><span class="Normal">Trucking also deserves a look. <strong>YRC Worldwide</strong> (Nasdaq:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=YRCW&amp;hl=en">YRCW</a>) and <strong>Knight Transportation</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=KNX&amp;hl=en">KNX</a>) were hurt along with the rest of the sector with the spike in diesel costs this spring. With energy prices starting to settle down, the larger concern for trucking companies is the overall economy, as a continued slowdown will be just as costly.</span></li>
</ul>
<p><span class="Normal"><strong>Transportation Stocks &#8211; Calling All Contrarian Investors</strong></span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">For contrarian investors like myself, buying when the rest of the crowd isn&#8217;t in love with a particular sector or company is par for course, as is the case with transportation stocks. The secret is to find value that everyone else is missing…</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">For example, <strong>YRC Worldwide</strong> is trading in deep value territory at only 62% of book value. With revenue over $165 per share, this firm is selling at approximately 10% of its sales. The forward PE is only 11.</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">Commodity, oil and agricultural products all had a significant price increase this spring and summer as energy prices impacted profitability across the board. Many have already seen their prices crash downwards along with <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2008/May/crude-oil.html">crude oil</a>, and it remains to be seen whether this will continue.</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">While slowing with the U.S. economy, international development around the world will continue to be an engine of growth to drive production in multiple industries and there will always be a need to transport these products.</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">As the great leaders and businessmen of the 19th Century knew, markets can retreat, but after every retreat comes a new day of increased growth and higher market returns.</span></p>
<p><span class="Normal">By investing like the great industrialists, we can follow their examples to great wealth. Build your fortune the same way as Vanderbilt and Buffett by investing in unloved and undervalued sectors like transportation…</span></p></blockquote>
<p>Source: <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2008/August/transportation-stocks.html">Follow the Great Industrialists to Incredible Wealth</a></p>
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		<title>Berkshire Hathaway&#8217;s Mystery $3.5bn Spending Spree</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/buffett-still-buying-big-in-railroad-stocks/4956</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Aug 2008 09:06:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jason Simpkins</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Anheuser Busch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Anheuser Busch Cos]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AXP]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Brk B]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[First Three Months]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Horacio Marquez]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Ingersoll Rand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ingersoll Rand Co]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ingersoll Rand Co Ltd]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jason Simpkins]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NRG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nrg Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nrg Energy Inc]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Securities Exchange Commission]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SNY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Spending Spree]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trane Inc.]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Unrealized Losses]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Warren Buffett]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>With the stock market in turmoil, it&#8217;s a good time to check in on what <strong>Warren Buffett</strong> is doing with his portfolio. Buffett&#8217;s <strong>Berkshire Hathaway Inc.</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ABRK.A" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NYSE%3ABRK.A_1" target="_blank">BRK.A</a>, <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ABRK.b&#38;hl=en" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NYSE%3ABRK.b&#38;hl=en_1" target="_blank">BRK.B</a>) has struggled in the first half of the year. <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Money Morning</a>&#8217;s <strong><a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/author/jason-simpkins"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Jason Simpkins</a></strong> says $3.5 billion of Berkshire&#8217;s recent $4-billion shopping spree is still unaccounted for&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p>Not even Warren Buffett was immune to the stock market’s  rampant first-half gyrations, as Berkshire Hathaway Inc. notched its worst first half in 18 years, with the shares skidding more than 16%. But only a fool would count out the great Oracle of Omaha, who has spent the past several months restructuring his company’s portfolio and is now ready to come out swinging for the year’s second half.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote>
<p class="entry">As Money Morning’s&#8230;</p></blockquote>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With the stock market in turmoil, it&#8217;s a good time to check in on what <strong>Warren Buffett</strong> is doing with his portfolio. Buffett&#8217;s <strong>Berkshire Hathaway Inc.</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ABRK.A" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NYSE%3ABRK.A_1" target="_blank">BRK.A</a>, <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ABRK.b&amp;hl=en" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NYSE%3ABRK.b&amp;hl=en_1" target="_blank">BRK.B</a>) has struggled in the first half of the year. <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Money Morning</a>&#8217;s <strong><a href="http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/author/jason-simpkins"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Jason Simpkins</a></strong> says $3.5 billion of Berkshire&#8217;s recent $4-billion shopping spree is still unaccounted for&#8230;<span id="more-4956"></span></p>
<blockquote><p>Not even Warren Buffett was immune to the stock market’s  rampant first-half gyrations, as Berkshire Hathaway Inc. notched its worst first half in 18 years, with the shares skidding more than 16%. But only a fool would count out the great Oracle of Omaha, who has spent the past several months restructuring his company’s portfolio and is now ready to come out swinging for the year’s second half.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote>
<p class="entry">As Money Morning’s <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/contributors/" onclick="s_objectID=" target="_blank">Horacio Marquez</a> noted in  his most recent <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/category/buy-sell-hold/" onclick="s_objectID=" target="_blank">“Buy,  Sell, or Hold”</a> feature, <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/08/25/brk/" onclick="s_objectID=" target="_blank">Berkshire Hathaway has had a  tough start for the year</a>.</p>
<p>The company’s net earnings for the first half were $3.8 billion &#8211; a 33% decline from the $5.7 billion reported for the same period last year. But even though the second quarter was weak &#8211; especially by Buffett’s standards &#8211; it showed marked improvement from the first three months of the year.</p>
<p>Berkshire reported about $1.6 billion in unrealized losses from derivatives in the first quarter. But after warning that derivatives contracts will often “swing wildly,” the company posted $689 million in derivatives gains in the second quarter.</p>
<p>Berkshire’s revenue actually rose 10% to $30.09 billion for  the quarter.</p>
<p>But that’s not enough for Buffett, who <a href="http://www.rttnews.com/Content/BreakingNews.aspx?Node=B1&amp;Id=686534%20&amp;Category=Breaking%20News" onclick="s_objectID=" breakingnews.aspx?node="B1&amp;Id=686534%20&amp;Category=Breaking%20News_1" target="_blank">has  set about restructuring his company’s holdings</a>. In the past few months,  Berkshire has reduced its investments in <strong>Anheuser Busch Cos</strong>. (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=bud&amp;hl=en" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="bud&amp;hl=en_1" target="_blank">BUD</a>) and <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=8852723" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?cid="8852723_1" target="_blank">Trane Inc.</a>, and added  positions in <strong>NRG Energy Inc. </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=nrg&amp;hl=en" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="nrg&amp;hl=en_1" target="_blank">NRG</a>),  <strong>Ingersoll-Rand Co. Ltd</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=ir&amp;hl=en" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="ir&amp;hl=en_1" target="_blank">IR</a>),  and <strong>Sanofi-Aventis</strong> (ADR:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=sny&amp;hl=en" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="sny&amp;hl=en_1" target="_blank">SNY</a>).</p>
<p>According to filings with the <a href="http://www.sec.gov/" onclick="s_objectID=" target="_blank">U.S.  Securities Exchange Commission</a> (SEC), Berkshire in June reduced its stake in Anheuser Busch to 13.85 million shares, less than half the 35.56 million shares it held as of March 31. It’s likely the company received a tidy sum for its shares, as earlier that month <strong>InBev SA</strong> (PINK: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=PINK%3AINBVF" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="PINK%3AINBVF_1" target="_blank">INBVF</a>) offered $65 a share for the American icon. Buffett admits to bailing on the Bud brand before InBev raised its offer to $70 a share, but AB was trading at close to $62 a share on June 30, much higher than the $47 a share the company was valued at in late March.</p>
<p>Also in March, Berkshire dumped its 10.9 million shares of Trane Inc. That stake was valued at more than $500 million as of March 31.</p>
<p>After unloading in the spring, Buffett treated Berkshire Hathaway to a $4-billion shopping spree over the next several months. By the end of the second quarter, Berkshire’s stake in French drug maker Sanofi Aventis had shot up 317,200 shares to reach 3.9 million. Berkshire also added 5 million shares of Ingersoll-Rand, and announced new holdings in NRG Energy, the second-biggest power producer in Texas. Berkshire had 3.24 million NRG shares as of June 30.</p>
<p>Even more interesting, <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/01/28/how-buying-like-warren-buffett-can-boost-your-portfolio-profits/" onclick="s_objectID=" target="_blank">in  a move that highlighted Buffett’s bullishness on railroad stocks</a>, Berkshire  doubled its stake in <strong>Union Pacific Corp.</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AUNP" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NYSE%3AUNP_1" target="_blank">UNP</a>), taking its  holdings from 4.45 million shares at the end of March to 8.91 million shares as  of June 30.</p>
<p>Last year, Buffett and Berkshire road the rails hard. Buffett made his first  move on <strong>Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp.</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ABNI" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NYSE%3ABNI_1" target="_blank">BNI</a>) last April, acquiring nearly 40 million shares &#8211; or close to 11% &#8211; of the railroad. He then moved on to snap up 10.5 million shares of Union Pacific Corp., and 6.4  million shares of <strong>Norfolk Southern Corp. </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ANSC" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NYSE%3ANSC_1" target="_blank">NSC</a>).</p>
<p>Later in August, Berkshire went shopping again, loading on an additional 3.3 million shares of Burlington and another 6,000 in September. But Buffett didn’t stop there: He added yet another 10,300 shares of Burlington over the two-week period ending Jan. 22, bringing Berkshire’s total stake in the company to 18.2%.</p>
<p>Berkshire’s second-quarter acquisitions, which were disclosed in an SEC filing last week, are only a fraction of the $3.98 billion Berkshire spent on stocks in the April-June period.</p>
<p>Even if Buffett bought the shares at their highest second-quarter prices, which he almost certainly did not, the total cost would only have been about $260 million. That means more than $3.5 billion went into smaller amounts of unnamed stocks the company was not required to disclose.</p>
<p>Where that money went is anybody’s guess, but Buffett <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/26337280" onclick="s_objectID=" target="_blank">indicated in a recent interview</a> with CNBC<strong><em> </em></strong>that a portion of it went into one of two stocks: <strong>Wells  Fargo &amp; Co. </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=WFC&amp;hl=en" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="WFC&amp;hl=en_1" target="_blank">WFC</a>)  or <strong>American Express Co. </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=axp&amp;hl=en" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="axp&amp;hl=en_1" target="_blank">AXP</a>).</p>
<p>Wells Fargo stock has plummeted 22% in the past year, while American Express is down more than 37% in that time. However there may be some clues as to which stock Buffett really believes will rebound in some earlier comments he made.</p>
<p>“<a href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/92661-is-buffett-buying-american-express-for-berkshire-hathaway" onclick="s_objectID=" target="_blank">We’ll  say at American Express… they are experiencing credit deterioration and they’re  experiencing it sort of in all segments</a>,” Buffett said earlier on CNBC’s Squawk Box. “So they’re seeing the rich customers slow down in payments,  slow down in purchases.</p>
<p>“And American Express can describe that rather than I,” he added, “but I pay a lot of attention to that sort of thing. And incidentally, it will get cured at some time in the future, but right now the situation is getting worse and I would say that I don’t see any early end to that.”</p>
<p>That assessment doesn’t seem particularly favorable, particularly compared with comments Buffett made with regards to Wells Fargo just a few months ago.</p>
<p>&#8220;<a href="http://www.fool.com/investing/value/2008/08/25/just-tell-me-what-youre-buying-warren.aspx" onclick="s_objectID=" target="_blank">Wells  Fargo stock was down last year</a>,” Buffett said, “I don’t think the intrinsic business value shrunk. In fact, I said I thought it probably increased a touch.&#8221;</p>
<p>Berkshire  already owns considerable stakes in both companies.</p></blockquote>
<p>Source:  	  <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/08/27/buffett/" onclick="s_objectID=" class="titleref" rel="bookmark">Buffett Reignites Berkshire Hathaway with a $4 Billion  Spending Spree</a></p>
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