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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; NVS</title>
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		<title>Takeover Targets: 3 Steps to Finding Them &amp; 3 Stocks for Any Portfolio</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/takeover-targets-3-steps-to-finding-them-3-stocks-for-any-portfolio/16346</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 06 May 2009 19:31:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Louis Basenese</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>I promise. Alexander Green and I are not in cahoots about the coming boom in corporate takeovers… We both researched the possibility separately. Unprompted, I might add. And yet, armed with different evidence, we arrived at the same conclusion. If you ask me, such a convergence of analysis in a narrow space of time shouldn’t be ignored. So today, let’s move on from why a takeover boom is imminent and focus exclusively on three takeover targets you can profit from…</p>
<p><strong>Identifying The Market’s Next Takeover Targets </strong></p>
<p>The task of identifying the market’s next <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/research/index/profit-from-takeover-targets.html" target="_blank">takeover targets</a> can be daunting. Literally thousands of potential targets exist, which is probably why most investors liken it to a crapshoot and in turn, shun such a strategy&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I promise. Alexander Green and I are not in cahoots about the coming boom in corporate takeovers… We both researched the possibility separately. Unprompted, I might add. And yet, armed with different evidence, we arrived at the same conclusion. If you ask me, such a convergence of analysis in a narrow space of time shouldn’t be ignored. So today, let’s move on from why a takeover boom is imminent and focus exclusively on three takeover targets you can profit from…</p>
<p><strong>Identifying The Market’s Next Takeover Targets </strong></p>
<p>The task of identifying the market’s next <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/research/index/profit-from-takeover-targets.html" target="_blank">takeover targets</a> can be daunting. Literally thousands of potential targets exist, which is probably why most investors liken it to a crapshoot and in turn, shun such a strategy altogether.</p>
<p>But that’s a monumental mistake!</p>
<p>They’re passing up easy double-digit profits. Historical takeover premiums (the amount paid over the current share price for a target company) average 22%, according to a study in <em>The Journal of Finance</em>.</p>
<p>And that’s just the averages.</p>
<p>It’s common for many deal premiums to reach into the high double digits and even triple digits.</p>
<p><strong>Investing in Takeover Targets &#8211; 3 Steps to Improving Your Odds</strong></p>
<p>By following three simple steps when investing in <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2008/January/takeover-trader.html" target="_blank">takeover targets</a>, we can dramatically improve our odds of success…</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Go where there is consolidation. </strong>Consolidation trends are a powerful predictive tool because they tend to persist. Think about it. When your biggest competitor goes out and doubles in size overnight, there’s only one way to respond &#8211; find a suitable acquisition of your own to remain competitive. Thus, by focusing on those industries and sectors undergoing the most rapid consolidation, we can isolate high probability targets.</li>
<li><strong>Focus on companies with valuable (and undervalued) assets. </strong>Whether it’s a new drug, a mammoth oil discovery, key market share, distribution channels, or a few promising patents, the real reason a company is acquired is because it owns a particular asset of value to the acquirer. Only invest in companies with such “must have” assets. And to reduce risk even further, I suggest buying clearly undervalued companies &#8211; ones trading at or near cash levels on the balance sheet. (Yes, they do exist.)</li>
<li><strong>Insist on improving fundamentals. </strong>Understand that takeovers take time. In fact, acquiring companies might spend as much as nine months conducting due diligence. Yet, even then, there’s nothing stopping them from walking away from a deal (Microsoft -NASDAQ:<a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3AMSFT">MSFT</a>- and Yahoo! -NASDAQ:<a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=yhoo">YHOO</a>- ring a bell?). I recommend buying an “insurance policy” to protect against such unprofitable break-ups. By that I mean, only buy companies with improving fundamentals &#8211; whether it’s strong earnings growth, new product launches, increasing market share, etc. That way, you stand to profit even if a takeover never materializes.<strong></strong></li>
</ul>
<p>You’ll recall in my previous article about the imminent <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2009/April/takeover-boom.html" target="_blank">takeover boom</a>, I singled out three sectors that fit the first criteria above &#8211; health care (specifically drug makers), energy and technology.</p>
<p><strong>3 Takeover Targets to Add to Your Portfolio Today</strong></p>
<p>For those unwilling to expend the effort to carry out the next two steps… or just eager to get going immediately, here are three takeover targets to consider adding to your portfolio today:</p>
<ul type="square">
<li><strong>Crucell NV</strong> (Nasdaq: <a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=CRXL" target="_blank">CRXL</a>): Merck (NYSE:<a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:MRK">MRK</a>) and Schering Plough (NYSE:<a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=Schering+Plough">SGP</a>). Pfizer (NYSE:<a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=Pfizer">PFE</a>) and Wyeth( NYSE:<a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=Wyeth">WYE</a>). <a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=OTC%3ARHHBY">Roche</a> and Genentech (NYSE:<a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=Genentech">DNA</a>). Now Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ:<a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=Gilead+Sciences">GILD</a>) and CV Therapeutics. Crucell is likely next. It’s the largest independent vaccine maker, with products for treating influenza, childhood diseases and hepatitis B. Crucell’s PER.C6 cell line is its most valuable asset. The company already licenses out the technology to over 60 companies. And there’s no doubt management is accepting offers. In January, it was in friendly talks with Wyeth, before Pfizer swooped in and bought Wyeth and ended the discussions. Best of all, multiple suitors exist (Novartis -NYSE:<a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:NVS">NVS</a>-, Sanofi-Aventis (NYSE:<a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:SNY">SNY</a>), Merck and eventually Pfizer) so a bidding war could unfold, which translates into greater profit potential for us.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="square">
<li><strong>Anadarko Petroleum, Corp</strong>. (NYSE: <a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=APC" target="_blank">APC</a>): As oil tycoon T. Boone Pickens famously observed, it’s often cheaper to drill for oil on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange than in the ground. Andarko proves it, as its reserves currently trade for less than $10 per barrel. Throw in a recent deep-sea discovery off Brazil, minimal political risk (80% of assets are located in North America) and high-quality, relatively untapped and undervalued natural gas assets and the takeover case here is an cinch. A multi-billion dollar stock repurchase program provides downside protection, too.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="square">
<li><strong>Lawson Software</strong> (Nasdaq: <a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=LWSN" target="_blank">LWSN</a>): The company is a quickly growing niche vendor of enterprise resource planning (ERP) software for medium-sized businesses. Tech heavyweights like Oracle (NASDAQ:<a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=Oracle">ORCL</a>), Cisco (NASDAQ:<a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=Cisco">CSCO</a>)and Microsoft are in desperate need of new growth initiatives. They have little exposure to the middle-market. And they have the cash to afford to buy it. The $308 million in cash sitting on Lawson’s balance sheet reduces our risk and also represents a 32% instant rebate to any potential suitors.</li>
</ul>
<p>Full disclosure: I have recommended all three of these companies to subscribers in recent months. And we’re sitting on gains of 8%, 25% and 59%, respectively, proving it pays to follow step 3 above.</p>
<p>So to echo Alex’s sentiments from Monday, if you haven’t added a handful of potential <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2009/May/corporate-takeovers.html" target="_blank">corporate takeover</a> targets to your portfolio, what are you waiting for? The opportunities and potential profits will be historic.</p>
<p>Good investing,</p>
<p>Lou Basenese</p>
<p><a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2009/May/takeover-targets.html"><br />
</a></p>
<p><a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2009/May/takeover-targets.html">Source:  Takeover Targets: 3 Steps to Finding Them &amp; 3 Stocks for Any Portfolio</a></p>
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		<title>Europe Stocks Rise as Buoyant Pharmas Offset Miners</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/europe-stocks-rise-as-buoyant-pharmas-offset-miners/9311</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 28 Nov 2008 19:54:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>FTSEurofirst 300 up 1.1 pct on the day, up 13 pct on week&#8230; Index lost 7 pct in Nov, ninth month of losses in 2008&#8230; Cyclicals hammered; defensive pharmas surge </p>
<p> </p>
<p> European stocks ended higher on Friday, as buoyant pharmaceutical shares eclipsed a drop in cyclical mining and industrial sectors hit by renewed economic fears, while energy shares tumbled along with oil. </p>
<p> The FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares  closed 1.1 percent higher at 862.07 points. </p>
<p> Although it gained 13 percent during the week, the index dropped 7 percent in November, recording a ninth month of losses in what has been a torrid 2008 for equities worldwide. </p>
<p> Pharma stocks made strong gains on Friday, with  <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=LON:GSK">GlaxoSmithKline</a> up 5.1 percent and <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:SNY">Sanofi-Aventis</a> up&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>FTSEurofirst 300 up 1.1 pct on the day, up 13 pct on week&#8230; Index lost 7 pct in Nov, ninth month of losses in 2008&#8230; Cyclicals hammered; defensive pharmas surge </p>
<p> </p>
<p> European stocks ended higher on Friday, as buoyant pharmaceutical shares eclipsed a drop in cyclical mining and industrial sectors hit by renewed economic fears, while energy shares tumbled along with oil. </p>
<p> The FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares  closed 1.1 percent higher at 862.07 points. </p>
<p> Although it gained 13 percent during the week, the index dropped 7 percent in November, recording a ninth month of losses in what has been a torrid 2008 for equities worldwide. </p>
<p> Pharma stocks made strong gains on Friday, with  <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=LON:GSK">GlaxoSmithKline</a> up 5.1 percent and <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:SNY">Sanofi-Aventis</a> up 4.5 percent. <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:NVS">Novartis </a>, whose CEO said the company could increase its dividend and also resume share buybacks once it has reduced its debt, gained 4.4 percent. </p>
<p> The sector rallied after the publication of a long-anticipated EU report on generic competition. Although Competition Commissioner Neelie Kroes said preliminary results showed competition in the pharmaceuticals industry &#8220;does not work as well as it should&#8221;, traders said the absence of specific penalties in the report brought some relief to pharma stocks. </p>
<p> Energy firms such as <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=EPA:FP">Total </a>and <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=BP+">BP </a>dropped  0.7-2.6 percent as oil prices  sank below $52 a barrel on  signs OPEC would defer cutting production when it meets this  weekend in Cairo. </p>
<p> Industrials were also among the biggest losers, with <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:SI">Siemens </a>down 3.8 percent and <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=Alstom+">Alstom </a>down 6 percent. </p>
<p> Despite the market&#8217;s recovery during the week, analysts  remain wary about a potential &#8220;Christmas rally&#8221; this year. </p>
<p> &#8220;The volatility is not about to come down immediately. The economic newsflow is just too horrible. It&#8217;s too early to call for a straight market rally at this point,&#8221; said Arthur van Slooten, strategist at Societe Generale, in Paris. </p>
<p> &#8220;With deflation fears, risky assets have been pricing in the worst. But it doesn&#8217;t mean that all of a sudden, from now on you have a straight way up. We know that the newsflow will be terrible, but we need at least some sort of indication that the bottom is maybe in sight,&#8221; he said. </p>
<p> &#8220;Next year&#8217;s first quarter will really look awful in terms of macro data and with analyst further downgrading their estimates and companies finally becoming realistic in their own guidance. That in itself could provide us with a sound basis to build from there.&#8221; </p>
<p> Miners took a beating on Friday, adding to recent sharp  losses. <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=LON:AAL">Anglo American</a> shed 2.4 percent and <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=Xstrata+">Xstrata </a>dropped 3 percent. </p>
<p> Prices for copper, a key industrial metal, slipped as tumbling industrial production data from Japan highlighted bleak prospects for demand in an oversupplied market, while prices for aluminium also fell, hit by the rising fears about the health of the embattled auto sector. </p>
<p> &#8220;There is little doubt that the outlook for metals demand is grim for at least the next few quarters and prices have fallen to levels that reflect market expectations for further stock increases,&#8221; Barclays Capital said in a note. </p>
<p> Automakers lost ground, with <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=OTC%3AVLKAY">Volkswagen </a>down 5  percent, BMW  off 3.4 percent and <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=EPA%3ARNO">Renault </a>down 4.8 percent. </p>
<p> &#8220;Going into the weekend, one can&#8217;t help but worry that we are only a heartbeat away from the next scare story,&#8221; said Chris Hossain, senior sales manager at ODL Securities. </p>
<p> &#8220;The markets appear to have been buoyed by the feeling that the U.S. will be bailing out the auto industry, but one has to wonder how much more the global governments can continue to support troubled industries,&#8221; he added. </p>
<p> Around Europe, Germany&#8217;s DAX index eked out a gain of 0.1 percent, UK&#8217;s FTSE 100 index rose 1.5 percent and France&#8217;s CAC 40 added 0.4 percent. </p>
<p>By Blaise Robinson<br />
PARIS, Nov 28 (Reuters)</p>
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		<title>5 Fat-Dividend Paying Pharmacuetical Stocks</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/5-fat-dividend-paying-pharmacuetical-stocks/5221</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Sep 2008 14:09:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Floyd Brown</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Given the gut-wrenching financial turmoil of the last year, many investors are looking for more secure ways of investing.</p>
<p><strong>Floyd Brown</strong> says one way of doing this is to rethink the &#8220;boring&#8221; image of dividend-paying stocks. These stocks can offer great returns and a steady cash flow.</p>
<p>Floyd says there are five <strong>pharmaceutical companies</strong> offering outstanding dividend yields in a growing sector. And with most negative sentiment already priced into the stocks, downside risk is limited&#8230;</p>
<p>This from <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/"  class="alinks_links">Investment U</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Fat dividends have attracted me recently to the largest pharmaceutical companies. Ten years ago, these firms were the darlings of growth investors. When Bill Clinton&#8217;s plan to reform and socialize medicine was defeated in the early 1990s, the shares of these firms rocketed higher.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>However, near the&#8230;</p></blockquote>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Given the gut-wrenching financial turmoil of the last year, many investors are looking for more secure ways of investing.</p>
<p><strong>Floyd Brown</strong> says one way of doing this is to rethink the &#8220;boring&#8221; image of dividend-paying stocks. These stocks can offer great returns and a steady cash flow.</p>
<p>Floyd says there are five <strong>pharmaceutical companies</strong> offering outstanding dividend yields in a growing sector. And with most negative sentiment already priced into the stocks, downside risk is limited&#8230;</p>
<p>This from <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/"  class="alinks_links">Investment U</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Fat dividends have attracted me recently to the largest pharmaceutical companies. Ten years ago, these firms were the darlings of growth investors. When Bill Clinton&#8217;s plan to reform and socialize medicine was defeated in the early 1990s, the shares of these firms rocketed higher.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote><p>However, near the end of the decade shares of many of these stocks stalled and, as a group, their prices have remained stable. But in the following decade, regular increases in the dividends and earnings of the shares have compressed the price-to-earnings and dramatically boosted the dividend yields.</p>
<p>When you approach <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2007/November/dividend-paying-stocks.html">dividend-paying stocks</a> or companies, gauging their strength is sometimes difficult. Here is one way to know if they are actually going to pump up your returns:</p>
<ul>
<li>A common misconception is that a high dividend yield is the most important measure.</li>
<li>But a yield that is higher than that of other stocks in a sector could actually be a sign of weakness.</li>
<li>If the firm is in trouble, they could be preparing to cut, or in some cases, cease to pay a dividend.</li>
</ul>
<p>A high yield preceded major downturns in financial stocks that had gotten in trouble with subprime and other bad loans. The dividends were slashed to improve the liquidity and cash position of the businesses.</p>
<p><strong>The Dividend PayOut Ratio &#8211; An Important Indicator</strong></p>
<p>The important indicator for you to watch is not just dividend yield, but the dividend payout ratio. This is the percentage of earnings directed to paying <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2008/March/stock-dividends.html">stock dividends</a>, and it shows us if a company can maintain a level or growing annual payment.</p>
<p>For example, <strong>Pfizer </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=PFE&amp;hl=en">PFE</a>) currently has a 6.6% yield. With a stock price of $19.11, the firm must pay a dividend of $1.28 to maintain that yield. Last year, Pfizer earned $1.33, and it has a payout ratio of 92% of earnings.</p>
<p>Pfizer generates more than enough profit to continue to pay the dividend, but if the company should stumble more &#8211; and make less than $1.28 next year &#8211; it would not have the earnings to cover dividends. Then the firm would have to dip into reserves or borrow money to pay the dividend. In such a case, the dividend would be at risk.</p>
<p>The best dividend paying stocks are those that hold the yield steady as they grow. In this case, the dividends are growing year after year, and you benefit from both the capital gains and the cash.</p>
<p><strong>The Top 5 Dividend-Paying Stocks</strong></p>
<p>For decades, buying shares of such franchise players as <strong>Coca-Cola </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:KO">KO</a>), <strong>Johnson &amp; Johnson, Altria </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=Altria&amp;hl=en">MO</a>)<strong> </strong>and <strong>General Electric </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=GE&amp;hl=en">GE</a>) have been great dividend-paying stock plays.</p>
<p>In the current market, I like pharmaceutical stocks because the largest have become virtual cash machines. The dividends offer a protection against dramatic drops in share price. In addition to Pfizer…</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Johnson &amp; Johnson</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=JNJ&amp;hl=en">JNJ</a>) yields 2.6%</li>
<li><strong>Novartis</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NVS&amp;hl=en">NVS</a>) yields 2.6%</li>
<li><strong>Glaxosmithkline</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=GSK&amp;hl=en">GSK</a>) yields 4.4%</li>
<li>And <strong>Eli Lilly</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=LLY&amp;hl=en">LLY</a>) yields 4.0%.</li>
</ul>
<p>All these are outstanding yields for growing firms. Pfizer grew revenue 9.4% last quarter. JNJ grew 8.7%, Novartis grew 14.7%, Glaxo grew 3.5% and Lilly grew 11.20% in the last quarter.</p>
<p>While a number of these drug firms have been under pressure from market perceptions of slow growth, shallow pipelines of new drugs and patent expirations, these negatives are already priced into the shares. </p>
<p><a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2003/20031212.html">Investing in dividend stocks</a> is not a sexy investment strategy, but it can be one of the most profitable. By following the &#8220;show me the money&#8221; mantra, these cash machines can start improving your portfolio and deliver outstanding returns.</p></blockquote>
<p>Source: <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2008/September/dividend-paying-stocks.html">5 Pharmaceutical &#8216;Cash Machines&#8217;</a></p>
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		<title>Global Investing Roundups: Friday, June 6th, 2008</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/global-investing-roundups-friday-june-6th-2008/2899</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/global-investing-roundups-friday-june-6th-2008/2899#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Jun 2008 12:46:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Patalon III</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[International Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CAL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China Stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Continental Airlines]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DAL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Delta Air Lines]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FTE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HON]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MBA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Northwest Airlines]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NVS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NWA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Telecom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TLSNF]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UAUA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United Airlines]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Continental’s Cost Cuts; Possible Eurozone Telecom Merger; Rising Tide of Foreclosures; Jobless Claims Drop; Inflation Controls Threaten China Stocks; Honeywell Shot Full of Holes; Dupont’s Bumper Crop; Novartis on the Guard Against Influenza.</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Continental Airlines Inc.</strong> (<a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ACAL">CAL</a>) became the latest airline to announce reduced flight service and jobs cuts yesterday (Thursday). <a s_oc="null" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/06/business/06air.html?ref=business">Continental will eliminate 3,000 jobs and 16% of its flight capacity</a>, <strong><em>The New York Times</em></strong> reported. The cost cutting efforts follow similar moves from <strong>UAL Corp.’s</strong> (<a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=uaua&#38;hl=en">UAUA</a>) United Airlines, <strong>Northwest Airlines Corp.</strong> (<a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=nwa&#38;hl=en&#38;meta=hl%3Den">NWA</a>) and <strong>Delta Air Lines Inc.</strong> (<a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=dal&#38;hl=en&#38;meta=hl%3Den">DAL</a>).</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><strong>France Telecom SA</strong> (ADR: <a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AFTE">FTE</a>) announced yesterday (Thursday) that it was pursuing a $42 billion bid for Sweden’s <strong>TeliaSonera AB</strong> (PINK: <a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=PINK%3ATLSNF">TLSNF</a>), <strong><em>The Associated Press</em></strong> reported. <a s_oc="null" href="http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5isRgyDQvl5WjkzgAcA8HlJLwZbYAD913T3M00">TeliaSonera dismissed the initial offer as too low</a>, but France Telecom reported it has&#8230;</li></ul>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Continental’s Cost Cuts; Possible Eurozone Telecom Merger; Rising Tide of Foreclosures; Jobless Claims Drop; Inflation Controls Threaten China Stocks; Honeywell Shot Full of Holes; Dupont’s Bumper Crop; Novartis on the Guard Against Influenza.</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Continental Airlines Inc.</strong> (<a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ACAL">CAL</a>) became the latest airline to announce reduced flight service and jobs cuts yesterday (Thursday). <a s_oc="null" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/06/business/06air.html?ref=business">Continental will eliminate 3,000 jobs and 16% of its flight capacity</a>, <strong><em>The New York Times</em></strong> reported. The cost cutting efforts follow similar moves from <strong>UAL Corp.’s</strong> (<a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=uaua&amp;hl=en">UAUA</a>) United Airlines, <strong>Northwest Airlines Corp.</strong> (<a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=nwa&amp;hl=en&amp;meta=hl%3Den">NWA</a>) and <strong>Delta Air Lines Inc.</strong> (<a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=dal&amp;hl=en&amp;meta=hl%3Den">DAL</a>).</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><strong>France Telecom SA</strong> (ADR: <a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AFTE">FTE</a>) announced yesterday (Thursday) that it was pursuing a $42 billion bid for Sweden’s <strong>TeliaSonera AB</strong> (PINK: <a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=PINK%3ATLSNF">TLSNF</a>), <strong><em>The Associated Press</em></strong> reported. <a s_oc="null" href="http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5isRgyDQvl5WjkzgAcA8HlJLwZbYAD913T3M00">TeliaSonera dismissed the initial offer as too low</a>, but France Telecom reported it has the backing of the French government and could up its bid.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>The <strong>Mortgage Bankers Association</strong> (MBA) announced yesterday (Thursday) that <a s_oc="null" href="http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/mortgages-foreclosure-jump-again-first/story.aspx?guid=%7BDEAE7997-A8BB-4B68-A664-EA23A0F94ADD%7D&amp;dist=msr_1">both the percentage of loans in foreclosures, as well as the number of foreclosure starts, climbed to levels not seen since 1979</a>, <strong><em>MarketWatch</em></strong> reported. For one- to four-unit properties, 2.47% of all mortgages outstanding were in foreclosure, up from 2.04% in the fourth quarter, according to the MBA’s latest National Delinquency Survey. At the end of first quarter 2007, only 1.28% of such homes were in foreclosure.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>The number of U.S. citizens filing first time unemployment claims fell last week, the Department of Labor said yesterday (Thursday). <a s_oc="null" href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601068&amp;sid=a7bvAOvkxlTk&amp;refer=home">Initial jobless claims decreased by 18,000 to 357,000</a> in the week that ended May 31, the lowest level in more than a month, due in part to the Memorial Day holiday, <strong><em>Bloomberg News</em></strong> reported.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><a s_oc="null" href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601089&amp;sid=a_htBtK0Mx4w&amp;refer=china">Stocks in China fell to a six-week low Thursday</a> (yesterday) on speculation that the government would tighten prices to curb inflation. The move that would shave profits from the country’s commodity titans. The CSI 300 Index, which tracks 300 stocks traded in Shanghai and Shenzhen, fell 1 percent to close at 3,512.14, the lowest since April 23, <strong><em>Bloomberg </em></strong>reported.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>The U.S. government announced yesterday (Thursday), via the Department of Justice, that it is suing <strong>Honeywell International Inc.</strong> (<a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AHON">HON</a>) for selling material used in bulletproof vests that it alleges was defective, <strong><em>The</em></strong> <strong><em>Associated Press</em></strong> reported. According to the DOJ, <a s_oc="null" href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/24989041/for/cnbc">Honeywell had scientific data that showed the ballistic material, known as Zylon, “degraded quickly over time, especially in hot and humid conditions,</a>” leaving the vests unfit for use. The department also alleges that Honeywell failed to notify the government or the vest manufacturer, <strong>Armor Holdings Inc.</strong>, of the defect.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><strong>E.I. Du Pont De Nemours &amp; Co. </strong>(<a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=E.I.+Du+Pont+De+Nemours+%26+Co.+&amp;hl=en">DD</a>), commonly known as DuPont, said yesterday (Thursday) that it is <a s_oc="null" href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/24989039/for/cnbc">targeting a 40% increase in soybean and corn yields over the next 10 years through its Pioneer Hi-Bred unit</a>, according to <strong><em>Thomson Financial</em></strong>. The company expects DuPont Agriculture &amp; Nutrition segment sales to grow by 6% to 8% and earnings by more than 15% on average between 2007 and 2010.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Swiss pharmaceutical maker <strong>Novartis AG</strong> (ADR: <a s_oc="null" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ANVS">NVS</a>) spent nearly $1.3 million lobbying the U.S. government in the first quarter on drug and health care issues, according to a recent disclosure form, <strong><em>The Associated Press</em></strong> reported. <a s_oc="null" href="http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080605/novartis_lobbying.html?.v=1">Novartis lobbied on bills designed to ensure the government has a sufficient stockpile of influenza vaccine in case of an outbreak</a>.</li>
</ul>
<p>Source: <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/06/06/global-investing-roundups-72/">Global Investing Roundups: Friday, June 6th, 2008</a></p>
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		<title>Fed Will Grab Headlines This Week With &#8216;Last Hurrah&#8217; Interest-Rate Cut</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/fed-will-grab-headlines-this-week-with-last-hurrah-interest-rate-cut/1614</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/fed-will-grab-headlines-this-week-with-last-hurrah-interest-rate-cut/1614#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 28 Apr 2008 12:40:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Patalon III</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AAPL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ABK]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Airbus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BAC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BSC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[COP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CVX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DAL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[David Rosenberg]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dollar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ECB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fed]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gdp]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[JPM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MCD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MER]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Merrill Lynch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MRK]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MSFT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NBER]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NFLX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NVS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NWA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NWS.A]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ODP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RSH]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SAF]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SBUX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TRY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Txn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ups]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US stocks]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/fed-will-grab-headlines-this-week-with-%e2%80%9clast-hurrah%e2%80%9d-interest-rate-cut/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>U.S. Federal Reserve policymakers will likely cut its key interest rate to 2.0% from 2.25% this, which would mark the seventh such move since the central bank launched its rate-reduction campaign in mid-September.</p>
<p>But if the central bank does pare short-term interest rates, it’s likely to be the last such move in awhile; the Fed will take a break and give its rate cuts a chance to work their way through the U.S. economic system.</p>
<p>Despite an active-economic-calendar schedule this week &#8211; which includes a report on first-quarter gross-domestic product, and several other statistics that could confirm that the U.S. economy is entrenched in a recession &#8211; the Fed’s machinations should dominate this week’s headlines, given that the central bank’s interest-rate-setting arm&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>U.S. Federal Reserve policymakers will likely cut its key interest rate to 2.0% from 2.25% this, which would mark the seventh such move since the central bank launched its rate-reduction campaign in mid-September.</p>
<p>But if the central bank does pare short-term interest rates, it’s likely to be the last such move in awhile; the Fed will take a break and give its rate cuts a chance to work their way through the U.S. economic system.</p>
<p>Despite an active-economic-calendar schedule this week &#8211; which includes a report on first-quarter gross-domestic product, and several other statistics that could confirm that the U.S. economy is entrenched in a recession &#8211; the Fed’s machinations should dominate this week’s headlines, given that the central bank’s interest-rate-setting arm is set to meet Tuesday and Wednesday.</p>
<p>Any announcements about interest rates will be made at 2:15 p.m. Wednesday. Experts also say that whatever the Fed says about its expectations will be just as important as what it actually does to the benchmark Federal Funds rate.</p>
<p>&#8220;I don’t think there’s any question that they’ll cut [a quarter-percentage point] off the rate,&#8221; David Rosenberg, chief economist for Merrill Lynch &amp; Co. Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=mer&amp;hl=en">MER</a>), told <strong><em>The  International Herald Tribune</em></strong>. &#8220;The real question is what they say about the future. It won’t be an ‘all clear’ signal. But they’ll find a way to tell the markets that they’ve done enough for now, simply put.&#8221;<br />
Not everyone agrees.</p>
<p>&#8220;There is no reason why the Fed should be cutting rates right now,&#8221; Richard Yamarone, director of economic research at Argus Research Corp., <a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/Story.aspx?guid=%7b6A1A6095-CF18-4915-A7BD-806C20BCAE44%7d">told <strong><em>MarketWatch.com</em></strong></a>.</p>
<p>Yamarone may be thinking back to  some of the public comments certain of the central bankers themselves have been  making.</p>
<p>Back on April 18, Fed officials hinted that they would be reluctant to cut the benchmark Federal Funds rate yet again, given that the slumping U.S. economy also faced a major inflationary threat. Indeed, Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser warned against believing that interest-rate cuts were &#8220;the solution to most, if not all, economic ills.&#8221;</p>
<p>Plosser is one of the Fed’s major anti-inflation hawks At the time, Plosser was merely the latest in a string of policy-makers to warn about the rising risks of inflation, essentially suggesting that another rate cut would probably be a very tough sell.</p>
<p>In a speech at Drexel University’s LeBow College of Business in Philadelphia, Plosser said real interest rates were now at &#8220;an accommodative level, meaning borrowing costs were low enough to start boosting the U.S. economy’s growth rate back toward its normal historical norm, <strong><em><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/ousiv/idUSN1528457320080418?sp=true">Reuters reported</a></em></strong>.</p>
<p>The futures market is projecting a Fed Funds rate of 1.75% by the  end of this year. Here’s <a href="http://www.money-rates.com/fed.htm">a look at  the futures market’s month-by-month expectations</a> for short-term borrowing  costs for the remainder of 2008:</p>
<ul>
<li>April: 2.17%.</li>
<li>May: 1.89%.</li>
<li>June: 1.85%</li>
<li>July 1.79%.</li>
<li>August 2008: 1.76%.</li>
<li>September 2008: 1.76%.</li>
<li>October 2008: 1.77%.</li>
<li>December 2008: 1.73%.</li>
</ul>
<p>The worries about inflation that Plosser and other inflation hawks have are very real. And those concerns don’t exist solely on our side of the Atlantic. The low U.S. rates are contributing to a weakness in the greenback that’s sent the American currency to record lows against most other key world currencies. That’s fueling a massive run-up in the cost of energy and food-related imports &#8211; and that’s inflationary for U.S. buyers.</p>
<p>But it’s made U.S. exports very competitive abroad, acting almost as a big discount for foreign buyers of such wares as Boeing Co. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ABA">BA</a>) jetliners. In fact, just last week Boeing surprised Wall Street with record earnings and announced a record order backlog. And pan-European arch-rival <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=mer&amp;hl=en">Airbus SAS</a>., was  forced to announce a price increase on several   of its commercial airliners &#8211; because of rising steel prices <em><u>and</u></em> because of the falling dollar.</p>
<p>French Economy Minister Christine Lagarde yesterday (Sunday) that the gap between the U.S. and Eurozone interest rates was way too large, and called for a change in rate policies on one side of the Atlantic, or the other.</p>
<p>&#8220;We are in a delicate situation where we have, on the one hand, an American Federal (Reserve) which has a policy of very low rates and a European Central Bank which has maintained high interest rates,&#8221; Lagarde told <strong>LCI  Television</strong> and <strong>RTL Radio</strong>, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/marketsNews/idUSL2743171220080427?sp=true">the  global wire service <strong><em>Reuters</em></strong> reported</a>. &#8220;The differential in  interest between the two, it seems to me, is a little too big at the moment.&#8221;</p>
<p>Paris has long been a vocal critic of what French President Nicolas Sarkozy has termed the ECB’s overly narrow focus on fighting inflation &#8211; and has previously been criticized by Germany for meddling in the business of the &#8220;independent&#8221; central bank.</p>
<p>With Eurozone inflation running at about 3.6% &#8211; its highest rate since the measure for that portion of the European market began in 1997, the European Central Bank (ECB) has left its key refinancing interest rate unchanged at 4.0%, despite some very definite signs that Eurozone growth is slowing.</p>
<p>By comparison, the key U.S. interest rate is at 2.25%, though it may be heading lower this week, and inflation is &#8220;officially&#8221; said to be at right about 4% &#8211; though such experts as <strong><em>Money</em></strong> <strong><em>Morning</em></strong> Contributing Editor Martin Hutchinson <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/01/24/three-ways-to-profit-in-the-face-of-surging-inflation/">believe  the actual U.S. inflation rate is actually much higher</a>.</p>
<p>Although the FOMC meeting is likely to top the economic the economic news of the week this week, the GDP report will come in a fairly close second and will be nearly as closely watched by some experts. The reason: Many eternal pessimists are expecting the report to show negative growth during that three-month period.</p>
<p>Why is that important? Simple:  According to the <a href="http://www.nber.org/">National Bureau of Economic  Research</a> (NBER), two consecutive quarters of negative growth constitutes a  recession.</p>
<p>Most folks &#8220;feel&#8221; like the U.S. economy is already in a recession. An official designation by the NBER &#8211; which usually comes well after the fact &#8211; would simply make it official.</p>
<p>In the meantime, some of these other reports this week could help serve as an interim and unofficial &#8220;confirmation&#8221; of that dour diagnosis of the U.S. economy:</p>
<ul>
<li>The health of the manufacturing sector will get a solid assessment via Thursday’s release of the much-watched ISM survey and Friday’s report on factory orders.</li>
<li>The all-important U.S. labor markets will get significant scrutiny via Thursday’s report on initial jobless claims and Friday’s reports on the U.S. unemployment rate and on non-farm payroll data.</li>
<li>We’ll get a bit more insight into the psyche of the American consumer with Tuesday’s report on consumer confidence for the month of April and Thursday’s report on personal income and spending for the month of March.</li>
<li>And  we’ll get an overview of Corporate America’s health, as U.S. energy giants  Exxon Mobil Corp. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AXOM">XOM</a>)  and Chevron Corp. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ACVX">CVX</a>) reveal how their profit reports have been boosted by record energy prices [likely also prompting new calls for Congressional investigations into allegations of price gouging].  <strong>Starbucks  Corp</strong>. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=sbux&amp;hl=en">SBUX</a>)  will follow up recent warning with an actual announcement, while <strong>Office Depot Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AODP">ODP</a>)</strong> and <strong>Radio Shack</strong> <strong>Corp.</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=radio+shack">RSH</a>) will give  investors a look inside the world of retail.</li>
</ul>
<h3>Market Matters</h3>
<p>Two weeks ago, investors disregarded any semblance of bad news (and lately, there has been plenty) and instead took the stock indices to their highest levels in months. Last week, investors allowed the earnings releases to guide their trading activities while awaiting the Fed’s interest-rate decision and commentary.</p>
<p>So just what did the recent earnings  reports say about the current state of Corporate America?</p>
<p>Financialscontinue to stoke the negativity (no surprise there) with <strong>Bank of America Corp. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ABAC">BAC</a>)</strong>, investment  banker <strong>Credit Suisse Group (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ACS">CS</a>)</strong>, and bond  insurer <strong>Ambac Financial Group Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AABK">ABK</a>)</strong> reporting  more disappointing results.  Drugmakers,  on the other hand, enjoyed a nice quarter with <strong>Merck &amp; Co. Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AMRK">MRK</a>) </strong>and <strong>Novartis</strong> <strong>AG</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ANVS">NVS</a>) beating  expectations.  While a sluggish economy  can’t keep folks out of <strong>McDonald’s</strong> <strong>Corp.</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=mcd&amp;hl=en">MCD</a>) (as least  in its international markets), it does seem to be impacting coffee intake as <strong>Starbucks</strong> warned that this week’s results (and those for all of 2008) will miss earlier projections.  Of course, dire times lead to more nervous smoking (and higher cigarette sales) as happy <strong>Philip Morris</strong> <strong>International Inc.</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3APM">PM</a>) shareholders found  out this quarter.  While cost-conscious  folks stayed home and watched more DVDs, <strong>Netflix </strong>Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=netflix&amp;hl=en">NFLX</a>)  warned that future subscriber growth may be limited.</p>
<p>Both<strong> Delta Air Lines Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ADAL">DAL</a>)</strong> and <strong>Northwest Airlines Corp.</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ANWA">NWA</a>) posted sizable losses on skyrocketing fuel costs, leading some analysts to question the wisdom behind the proposed merger. While the world’s largest shipper, <strong>United Parcel Service Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AUPS">UPS</a>),</strong> experienced a jump in profits, management expressed concern about the quarters to follow, since consumers just don’t seem quite as interested in finding out &#8220;<em>what Brown can do for you</em>.&#8221;  Even techs, which previously had been a  savings grace for the market, turned pessimistic this week.  <strong>Apple  Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=aapl&amp;hl=en">AAPL</a>) </strong>and <strong>Texas Instruments</strong> <strong>Inc.</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ATXN">TXN</a>) reported decent  earnings, but warned about their respective outlooks.</p>
<p>Likewise, high-tech bellwether <strong>Microsoft Corp. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=msft&amp;hl=en">MSFT</a>) </strong>disappointed  with its profit numbers, while investors wait with trepidation to see what  becomes of Microsoft’s bid for <strong>Yahoo!  Inc., (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=yhoo&amp;hl=en">YHOO</a>). </strong>Meanwhile, Yahoo beat &#8220;The Street’s&#8221; expectations. However, the three-week deadline that Microsoft gave Yahoo to come to an agreement on its unsolicited bid passed Saturday without any announcement from either side, leading to the possibility that the battle for Yahoo is about to turn hostile, <strong><em><a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/Story.aspx?guid=%7b76D17FC1-83FB-4325-9970-0994FD539271%7d">MarketWatch.com  reported</a></em></strong>.</p>
<p><strong>ConocoPhillips  (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=cop&amp;hl=en">COP</a>) </strong>showed that record energy prices are not hurting  everyone, as the No. 3 U.S. oil company reported a 17% increase in  profits.</p>
<p>Transactions typically imply growing confidence in corporate boardrooms as management finds the value in certain acquisition targets.  Last week, <strong>News Corp. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ANWS.A&amp;hl=en&amp;meta=hl%3Den">NWS.A</a>) </strong><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/ousiv/idUSWEN523620080427">moved closer  to buying <strong><em>Newsday</em></strong> and giving  Rupert Murdock greater control over the New York press</a>.</p>
<p>Insurance giant <strong><a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=5697286">Liberty Mutual  Holding Co. Inc</a>.</strong> agreed to buy <strong>SAFECO  Corp. </strong>(<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ASAF">SAF</a>) <a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/liberty-mutual-buy-safeco-62/story.aspx?guid=%7BCE9CFE4E-2B6E-4079-84D8-19C8D443C074%7D&amp;dist=msr_26">in  a $6.2 billion deal</a> that will create the<strong> </strong>5th-largest property and casualty firm.  <strong>Triarc</strong> <strong>Cos. Inc</strong>. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ATRY">TRY</a>) soon may be adding those terrific &#8220;hot-and-juicy&#8221; square burgers and addictive Frosty drinks to its Arby’s roast-beef-sandwich menus as it looks to acquire <strong>Wendy’s International </strong>(<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AWEN">WEN</a>) in a deal valued  at $2.34 billion. And, of course, there’s still the Microsoft-Yahoo  proposal.</p>
<p>With a mixed week on the earnings front, stocks traded relatively flat as investors took some profits from last week’s newfound bullish sentiment, while still searching for a bargain or two.</p>
<p align="center">&nbsp;</p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="450">
<tr>
<td><strong>Market/Index</strong></td>
<td>
<p align="center"><strong>Year Close    (2007)</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center"><strong>Qtr Close    (03/31/07)</strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center"><strong>Previous    Week</strong><br />
<strong>(04/18/08)</strong></td>
<td>
<p align="center"><strong>Current    Week </strong><br />
<strong>(04/25/08)</strong></td>
<td>
<p align="center"><strong>YTD Change</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones Industrial</td>
<td>
<p align="right">13,264.82<strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right">12,262.89</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right">12,849.36</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right"><strong>12,891.86</strong><strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td valign="bottom" width="84">
<p align="right"><strong>-2.81%</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>NASDAQ</td>
<td>
<p align="right">2,652.28<strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right">2,279.10</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right">2,402.97</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right"><strong>2,422.93</strong><strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td valign="bottom" width="84">
<p align="right"><strong>-8.65%</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>
<p align="right">1,468.36<strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right">1,322.70</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right">1,390.33</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right"><strong>1,397.84</strong><strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td valign="bottom" width="84">
<p align="right"><strong>-4.80%</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>
<p align="right">766.03<strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right">687.97</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right">721.07</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right"><strong>721.88</strong><strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td valign="bottom" width="84">
<p align="right"><strong>-5.76%</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Fed Funds</td>
<td>
<p align="right">4.25%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right">2.25%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right">2.25%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right"><strong>2.25%</strong></p>
</td>
<td valign="bottom" width="84">
<p align="right"><strong>-200 bps</strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>10 yr Treasury (Yield)</td>
<td>
<p align="right">4.04%<strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right">3.43%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right">3.74%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right"><strong>3.87%</strong><strong> </strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="right"><strong>-17 bps </strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
</table>
<h3>Economically Speaking</h3>
<p>For many Fed-watchers, the prospect for another rate cut has been a foregone conclusion.  After all, central bank Chairman Ben S. Bernanke and clan have let their creative juices flow [not to be confused with the creative juices of those Wendy’s hamburgers] over the past few months; the Fed has tried everything from the aggressive rate-cutting campaign to liquidity injections to arranging the buyout of The Bear Stearns Cos. Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ABSC">BSC</a>) by  JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=jpm&amp;hl=en">JPM</a>).</p>
<p>Suddenly, some great prognosticators believe the Fed may be &#8220;seven and done&#8221; as they drop the Federal Funds rate again (by a minimal quarter of a percentage point this time around) &#8211; before going on a &#8220;summer hiatus&#8221; to give their earlier work the time to take effect.</p>
<p>With oil prices hovering around the (once unheard of) $120/barrel level, some policymakers are sure to claim that inflation should be considered as critical a concern as the sluggish housing market to the U.S. economy’s health. Indeed, comments such as those of Philly Fed President Plosser make it clear that inflation is already becoming an increasingly important consideration.</p>
<p>Additionally, the European Central Bank seems content to keep its lending rate at 4%, so further Fed actions will continue to have devastating impact on the value of the dollar.</p>
<p>The economic calendar was relatively light last week as analysts rested up for this week’s vast array of important data. After a surprising climb (better known now as an aberration) in February, existing home sales plunged again in March, while new homes sales fell to their lowest level in more than 16 years.</p>
<p>Furthermore, the median price of a new home dropped by more than 13% last month, the largest such decline in almost four decades.</p>
<p>Durable goods orders fell in March, as well, although once the volatile transportation sector was removed from the equation, the results did not look half bad.</p>
<p>We hope that investors and analysts got plenty of rest over the weekend to get ready for the bustle of economic reports due throughout this week. Talk of recession should resume with the release of the first-quarter GDP, which many eternal pessimists believe will show negative growth during that three-month stretch.</p>
<p><strong>Weekly Economic Calendar</strong></p>
<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="450">
<tr>
<td><strong>Date</strong></td>
<td><strong>Release</strong></td>
<td><strong>Comments </strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>April    22</td>
<td>Existing Home Sales (03/08)</td>
<td>Decline    implied that rise in February was an aberration</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>April    24</td>
<td>Durable Goods Orders    (03/08)</td>
<td>Slide    in transportation orders offset other gains</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td>Initial Jobless Claims    (04/19/08)</td>
<td>Large,    unexpected drop in benefits claims</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td>New Home Sales (03/08)</td>
<td>Worst    showing in 16.5 years</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>The Week Ahead</strong></td>
<td><strong> </strong></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>April    29</td>
<td>Consumer Confidence (04/08)</td>
<td><em> </em></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>April    30</td>
<td>GDP (1st qtr)</td>
<td><em> </em></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td>Fed Policy Meeting    Statement</td>
<td><em> </em></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>May    1</td>
<td>Initial Jobless Claims    (04/26/08)</td>
<td><em> </em></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td>Personal Spending/Income    (03/08)</td>
<td><em> </em></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td>Construction Spending    (03/08)</td>
<td><em> </em></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td>ISM &#8211; Manu (04/08)</td>
<td><em> </em></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>May    2</td>
<td>Unemployment Rate (04/08)</td>
<td><em> </em></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td>Nonfarm Payroll Additions    (04/08)</td>
<td><em> </em></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td>Factory Orders (03/08)</td>
<td><em> </em></td>
</tr>
</table>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Global Investing Roundups</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/global-investing-roundups-6/1026</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/global-investing-roundups-6/1026#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Apr 2008 15:20:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Patalon III</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[International Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ACL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chile]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China Subsidiary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[copper]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Copper Prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crude Oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Keith Meister]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[KPPC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MCD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MOT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MWV]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NVS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Praxair Inc]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sonami]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/global-investing-roundups-6/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Icahn Nominees Join Motorola’s Board; S&#38;P Downgrades Novartis; Chile Copper Boost; Praxair Scores Olympic Contract; Gas Prices Hit Another High; McDonalds Settles Suit; Kapstone Parcels Out $485 Million for SC Mills</p>
<p>Two of billionaire investor Carl Icahn’s  nominees have been named to <strong>Motorola Inc. </strong>(<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=mot">MOT</a>) board of directors. Keith Meister, managing director of Icahn investment funds and whose previous nomination to the board was rejected, will serve on the board immediately. William Hambrecht, chief executive of <strong><a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=12015083">WR Hambrecht &#38; Co.</a></strong>,  will be nominated for election to Motorola’s board, <strong><em><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/ousiv/idUSWNAS700020080407">Reuters reported</a></em></strong>.</p>
<ul>
<li><strong><a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=4907797">Standard &#38; Poor’s</a></strong> cut its AAA rating on <strong>Novartis AG</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ANVS">NVS</a>) to AA- after the  firm announced it would finance its acquisition of <strong>Alcon Inc.</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AACL">ACL</a>) with new debt, <strong><em><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&#38;sid=aKuKDdVi4VAE&#38;refer=home">Bloomberg  News reported</a></em></strong>. &#8220;Novartis’ lack of&#8230;</li></ul>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Icahn Nominees Join Motorola’s Board; S&amp;P Downgrades Novartis; Chile Copper Boost; Praxair Scores Olympic Contract; Gas Prices Hit Another High; McDonalds Settles Suit; Kapstone Parcels Out $485 Million for SC Mills</p>
<p>Two of billionaire investor Carl Icahn’s  nominees have been named to <strong>Motorola Inc. </strong>(<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=mot">MOT</a>) board of directors. Keith Meister, managing director of Icahn investment funds and whose previous nomination to the board was rejected, will serve on the board immediately. William Hambrecht, chief executive of <strong><a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=12015083">WR Hambrecht &amp; Co.</a></strong>,  will be nominated for election to Motorola’s board, <strong><em><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/ousiv/idUSWNAS700020080407">Reuters reported</a></em></strong>.</p>
<ul>
<li><strong><a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?cid=4907797">Standard &amp; Poor’s</a></strong> cut its AAA rating on <strong>Novartis AG</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ANVS">NVS</a>) to AA- after the  firm announced it would finance its acquisition of <strong>Alcon Inc.</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AACL">ACL</a>) with new debt, <strong><em><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=aKuKDdVi4VAE&amp;refer=home">Bloomberg  News reported</a></em></strong>. &#8220;Novartis’ lack of commitment to the former AAA rating is demonstrated&#8221; by the use of debt to fund the Alcon purchase, S&amp;P credit analyst <a href="http://search.bloomberg.com/search?q=Olaf+Toelke&amp;site=wnews&amp;client=wnews&amp;proxystylesheet=wnews&amp;output=xml_no_dtd&amp;ie=UTF-8&amp;oe=UTF-8&amp;filter=p&amp;getfields=wnnis&amp;sort=date:D:S:d1">Olaf  Toelke</a> said in the statement announcing the downgrade. &#8220;This action is a marked deviation from the group’s former conservative financial policy.&#8221;</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Copper  industry association <strong>SONAMI</strong> announced yesterday (Monday) that it expects  Chile’s copper output to increase 5.5% in 2008 to about 5.9 million  tones, <strong><em><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/marketsNews/idUSN0717118720080407">Reuters reported</a></em></strong>. The association also expects the increase in output will stabilize copper prices, which are currently near record levels of $4 per pound, and projects prices will level out through 2012 to between $2 and $2.50 a pound.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Industrial-gases specialist, <strong>Praxair Inc.</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=px">PX</a>), announced its China  subsidiary has secured a contract to supply oxygen to <strong>Beijing No. 3 Water  Works</strong>, the company that will provide fresh drinking water for the Beijing  Olympic Games, <strong><em><a href="http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/praxair-affiliate-gets-oxygen-supply-pact/story.aspx?guid=%7BA8DE314F%2D2382%2D4295%2D817F%2DDCBD7F8F340E%7D">MarketWatch reported</a></em></strong>.  Praxair also said that it’s in talks to supply the two other plants from <strong>Beijing  Waterworks Group Co.</strong></li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Crude oil jumped more than $3 a barrel to 109.26 dollars per barrel in New York yesterday (Monday), after member nations of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) rejected calls to increase output. As a result, gasoline rose to a record $3.339 a gallon, AAA, the nation’s largest motorist organization, said on its Web site.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Four  former <strong>McDonald’s</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=MCD">MCD</a>) workers will be paid more than $505,000 to settle a sexual harassment lawsuit against the owners of the Durango franchise. Terms of the settlement approved Thursday in federal court included letters of apology from franchise owner John Bronson. Two of the victims and their lawyer will split $450,000, while an additional $55,000 will be split by two other victims who were represented by the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission, which filed the lawsuit, the <strong><em><a href="http://www.businessweek.com/ap/financialnews/D8VT1PKG0.htm">Associated  Press reported</a></em></strong>.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>Shares of <strong>Kapstone Paper and Packaging Corp.</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3AKPPC">KPPC</a>) surged yesterday (Monday) after the company said it would pay $485 million cash for six mills in South Carolina owned by packing company <strong>MeadWestvaco Corp.</strong> (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AMWV">MWV</a>). The purchase gives Kapstone four wood chip  mills, a paper mill and a lumber mill, which employ about 1,100 people, the <strong><em><a href="http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080407/kapstone_paper_mover.html?.v=1">Associated  Press reported</a></em></strong>.  Shares of Kapstone rose 7.85% on the day to close at $7.01.</li>
</ul>
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