Whoever said irony died after 9/11 clearly didn’t anticipate this.

Obama’s ever-growing stimulus package isn’t giving the markets a boost. Matthew Collins says the Fed’s zero-rate interest policy has created a liquidity trap, in which businesses and consumers prefer to hoard cash than make risky investments. That makes stimulating the economy very difficult, and dampens hopes of an ‘Obama rally’ in the near future.

Right now, the conventional wisdom seems to be that the United States is looking at a “U-shaped” recession and recovery. Output declined gently in the third quarter, is dropping sharply now and will continue dropping sharply in the first and possibly the second quarter of the New Year, finally bottoming out and beginning a slow recovery thereafter.