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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; OC</title>
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		<title>Black Monday Brings Massive Layoffs – Economists Say Some Jobs Could be Gone for Good</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/black-monday-brings-massive-layoffs-%e2%80%93-economists-say-some-jobs-could-be-gone-for-good/12441</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Jan 2009 15:00:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Don Miller</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=12441</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The unemployment picture took on an even more ominous tone this week as new layoffs emphatically underscored a worsening global economy.  Now, fear is rising that the losses represent a major restructuring in the business world and that some, if not most, of the jobs are gone forever.</p>
<p>Monday began with several European companies, including  electronics giant Philips (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:PHG" target="_blank">PHG</a>) and insurance and  banking conglomerate <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=AMS:ING" target="_blank">ING</a>,  announcing job cuts of 6,000 and 7,000 employees respectively.</p>
<p>The gloomy start to the workweek quickly turned into a bloodbath as more than 75,000 jobs were lost in a single day, when a who’s who of U.S. household names launched a gauntlet of layoffs:</p>
<p>● Sprint  Nextel Corp. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:S" target="_blank">S</a>), the  wireless phone carrier said it is eliminating about&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The unemployment picture took on an even more ominous tone this week as new layoffs emphatically underscored a worsening global economy.  Now, fear is rising that the losses represent a major restructuring in the business world and that some, if not most, of the jobs are gone forever.</p>
<p>Monday began with several European companies, including  electronics giant Philips (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:PHG" target="_blank">PHG</a>) and insurance and  banking conglomerate <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=AMS:ING" target="_blank">ING</a>,  announcing job cuts of 6,000 and 7,000 employees respectively.</p>
<p>The gloomy start to the workweek quickly turned into a bloodbath as more than 75,000 jobs were lost in a single day, when a who’s who of U.S. household names launched a gauntlet of layoffs:</p>
<p>● Sprint  Nextel Corp. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:S" target="_blank">S</a>), the  wireless phone carrier said it is eliminating about 8,000 positions in the  first quarter.</p>
<p>●  Caterpillar Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:CAT" target="_blank">CAT</a>),  the world’s largest maker of mining and construction equipment, is in the  process of shedding about 20,000 jobs.</p>
<p>●  Pharmaceutical company Pfizer Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:PFE" target="_blank">PFE</a>), is buying rival  drugmaker Wyeth (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:WYE" target="_blank">WYE</a>)  for $68 billion, and said it would cut 8,000 jobs as part of the merger  strategy.</p>
<p>● Home  Depot Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:HD" target="_blank">HD</a>) the  home-improvement retailer said it was closing four small business units,  trimming about 7,000 jobs in the process.</p>
<p>● General  Motors Corp. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:GM" target="_blank">GM</a>)  said it will cut 2,000 jobs at plants in Michigan and Ohio.</p>
<p>● Texas  Instruments Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:TXN" target="_blank">TXN</a>),  which makes chips for cell phones and other gadgets, said it will axe 3,400  jobs.</p>
<p>And the  bad news continued yesterday (Tuesday) as Owens Corning (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:OC" target="_blank">OC</a>) said it is cutting  3,500 jobs, or 13% of its payroll.<br />
It was a stark reminder of how rapidly the recession is claiming jobs. Already 170,000 jobs have been lost in January. The U.S. economy lost 2.6 million jobs in 2008.</p>
<p>Moreover, a growing number of economists say the U.S. has only reached the halfway mark of job losses expected for this recession.</p>
<p>“<a href="http://www.usatoday.com/money/economy/2009-01-26-economy-recession-layoffs_N.htm" target="_blank">Some  of the worst job losses are ahead of us, not behind us</a>,” Wells Fargo  &amp; Co. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:WFC" target="_blank">WFC</a>)  senior economist Scott Anderson told <strong><em>USA Today</em></strong>.</p>
<p>Anderson expects 3 million Americans to lose their jobs in 2009. Approximately 2.6 million were cut last year &#8211; the most since 1945, the final year of World War II. The layoffs are happening in “all industries in all areas of the world,” Anderson says.</p>
<p>The worst news, though may be that the U.S. economy is not just shedding jobs temporarily, but is undergoing a fundamental restructuring process that will eliminate some types of jobs for good.</p>
<p>“<a href="http://www.businessweek.com/bwdaily/dnflash/content/jan2009/db20090126_735128.htm" target="_blank">They  [represent] structural, not cyclical, changes to the economy</a>,” Peter  Morici, a professor at the Robert H. Smith School of Business at the University  of Maryland told <strong><em>BusinessWeek</em></strong>. “We’re looking at a permanently smaller economy  with prolonged unemployment at an unacceptable level.”</p>
<p>Morici says that housing, real estate, automobiles, finance, and retail sectors are resetting to “permanent lower levels” of employment.</p>
<p>Mike Montgomery, an economist with <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:IHS" target="_blank">IHS Global Insight</a>, asserts that many jobs in autos, manufacturing, apparel, and textiles aren’t coming back. Those industries “have been in a long-term decline, and the recession is knocking them out.”</p>
<p>Jobs began disappearing in home building and mortgage operations early in the recession, then across finance and banking more generally. Now the ax is falling across large swaths of manufacturing, retailing and information technology sectors.</p>
<p>The news ratchets up the pressure on the Obama  administration and Congress as lawmakers debate an <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2009/01/21/the-obama-blueprint-for-solving-the-us-financial-crisis/" target="_blank">$825  billion stimulus package</a> intended to save or create millions of jobs.</p>
<p>“These are not just numbers on a page,” President Obama said citing the layoff announcements in remarks Monday. “As with the millions of jobs lost in 2008, these are working men and women whose families have been disrupted and whose dreams have been put on hold.”</p>
<p>The House of Representatives will vote on its version of the bill today (Wednesday), and Senate committees will begin pulling together a companion bill this week.</p>
<p>But Obama’s stimulus package is based largely on an estimate that the unemployment rate will rise to between 8% and 9% this year, according to the proposal summary from the House Appropriations Committee. If unemployment soars into double digits, as some economists expect, the financing may not be enough.</p>
<p>Many economists see the nationwide jobless number rising to at least 9% this year, possibly reaching double digits in 2010. Thirteen states are already above the national average of 7.2%, with Michigan (9.6%), Rhode Island (9.3%), California (8.4%), and South Carolina (8.4%) topping the list.</p>
<p>But as <strong><em><a href="http://www.moneymorning.com"  class="alinks_links">Money Morning</a></em></strong> reported Monday, the government’s recently  released official unemployment number of 7.2%, already <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2009/01/26/unemployment-rate-2/" target="_blank">vastly  understates the number of jobless Americans</a> because it fails to account for  “discouraged” and “unattached” workers who have given up even looking for  work.</p>
<p>Our research further indicates that if the number included unemployed farm and self-employed workers, “real” unemployment levels would approach 18%.  Whatever the unemployment number is, the new administration’s stimulus plan is the only glimmer of hope for newly laid-off workers.</p>
<p>While stimulus spending on public works may take some time to get going, some companies could bring back displaced workers quickly if the government initiative generates new orders.</p>
<p>And because many businesses were already operating with a lean workforce when the recession began, there is some hope they will fill vacated positions when the economy improves.</p>
<p>“The vast majority of the job loss is strictly short-term,” said Global Insight’s Montgomery. “When consumer demand and sales come back, the jobs will come back.”</p>
<p>But as Univeristy of Maryland’s Morici contends, many companies may not rush to increase staffs even if business begins to pick back up.  “We are very early in the cycle,” he said. “We are going to see the fury of the Old Testament for what we have done to the economy.”</p>
<p><a class="titleref" rel="bookmark" href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2009/01/27/job-cuts/">Source: Black Monday Brings Massive Layoffs – Economists Say Some Jobs Could be Gone for Good</a></p>
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		<title>7 Stock Plays For An Obama &#8216;New Deal&#8217;</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/7-stock-plays-for-an-obama-new-deal/8177</link>
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		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Nov 2008 14:29:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Fessler</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>We all know about the challenges Barack Obama faces as President elect. But <strong>David Fessler</strong> says he also has an incredible opportunity to &#8220;turn the recession ship around.&#8221; David selects seven companies in the infrastructure and clean energy sectors that will profit most from an Obama &#8216;New Deal&#8217;.</p>
<p>This from <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/"  class="alinks_links">Investment U</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Our next President will be faced with unprecedented challenges in health care, energy, global warming, an aging infrastructure and huge “legacy” automobile businesses that are teetering on the verge of bankruptcy.</p>
<p>He’s also being presented with an incredible opportunity… one that, if implemented correctly, could have profoundly positive effects on the economic health of the world, just when we need it.</p>
<p>For years, the engine that fueled global economic growth was the spending&#8230;</p></blockquote>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We all know about the challenges Barack Obama faces as President elect. But <strong>David Fessler</strong> says he also has an incredible opportunity to &#8220;turn the recession ship around.&#8221; David selects seven companies in the infrastructure and clean energy sectors that will profit most from an Obama &#8216;New Deal&#8217;.</p>
<p>This from <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/"  class="alinks_links">Investment U</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Our next President will be faced with unprecedented challenges in health care, energy, global warming, an aging infrastructure and huge “legacy” automobile businesses that are teetering on the verge of bankruptcy.</p>
<p>He’s also being presented with an incredible opportunity… one that, if implemented correctly, could have profoundly positive effects on the economic health of the world, just when we need it.</p>
<p>For years, the engine that fueled global economic growth was the spending of the American consumer. Market crashes because of the dot-coms and the housing boom have left many individuals with too much debt and not enough money. Americans are tapped out, and they’re closing their wallets.</p>
<p>Reinvigorating our economy rests upon jumpstarting consumer spending &#8211; and ultimately improving the financial condition of millions of Americans. It’s much easier said than done &#8211; and this new administration will have its work cut out for it.</p>
<p>If you’ve got an eye on how these government actions could benefit your bottom line, you should take a look at our past. You might find these newest sources of “economic fuel” and wealth creation look surprisingly familiar. The government’s solution could be just the thing our portfolio needs for a healthy return in the years to come…</p>
<p><strong>The Cause of The Current U.S. Economic Slowdown</strong></p>
<p>Ask most people to give you the cause of the current economic slowdown enveloping the United States and the rest of the world, and their likely answer will be the explosion of housing and the subsequent bubble in the credit markets.</p>
<p>But that was just the peak of the problem, not the beginning. The trouble has its roots in something that started 20 or 30 years ago.</p>
<p>That was when we started seeing the shift away from personal savings in America and toward the beginning of a huge consumer <a title="The Credit Crisis" href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2008/October/understanding-the-credit-crisis.html" target="_blank">credit crisis</a>.</p>
<p>And now, we are witnessing first-hand the effects of the increasing use of massive leverage can have on the markets, and ultimately on the American consumer. They’re broke and can no longer be the fuel that powers the world’s economic engine.</p>
<p>With consumer spending slowing, layoffs increasing and hiring all but stopped, the prospects for future economic growth aren’t particularly bright. Or are they? We have almost everything we need to fire up the world’s economic engine again: The ingenuity of the American people, plenty of factories, etc.</p>
<p>There’s only one thing missing… the fuel to get it going again. So what’s going to be the new “fuel?” History is a great teacher, and we need look no further than the Great Depression, and Franklin D. Roosevelt’s New Deal.</p>
<p>The New Deal was a series of programs Roosevelt employed between 1933 and 1936 with the intent to provide work for the unemployed, reform of financial and business operations, and economic recovery. Here are a couple of examples:</p>
<ul type="disc">
<li>The Works Progress Administration (WPA) was the largest of the New Deal agencies. It alone was responsible for providing almost eight million jobs. What did all of those people do? They built public buildings, roads, bridges and other infrastructure projects. Anyone who needed a job could easily become eligible.</li>
</ul>
<ul type="disc">
<li>Another program, created by an act of Congress in 1933, was the Tennessee Valley Authority. The TVA, as it was known, was chartered to provide food, navigation and flood control, electrical generation, fertilizer manufacturing and general economic development for the people of the Tennessee Valley, a region hard hit by the Great Depression. And it was just what the doctor ordered: The TVA’s projects were catalysts that fueled unprecedented economic growth in the area that continued through the 1960s. Today, the TVA’s 43 power plants make it one of the largest producers of power in the country.</li>
</ul>
<p><strong>7 Companies Profiting From a “New” New Deal</strong></p>
<p>While the slowdown we are experiencing is nowhere near as severe as the Great Depression, the solution will be the creation of similar New Deal programs in two specific areas: <a title="The Infrastructure &amp; Energy Sectors" href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2008/September/the-infrastructure-and-energy-sectors.html" target="_blank">the infrastructure and energy sectors</a>.</p>
<p>More specifically, developing energy savings, making alternative forms of energy our mainstream sources, and building the green infrastructure to support what will be our growing energy independence.</p>
<p>More insulation in a house’s walls, lower thermostats, fluorescent bulbs, more fuel efficient cars and commercial building energy management systems are just a few of the ways to save energy. Public transportation is another. Expect the new government to provide tax incentives for these and other programs as short-term incentives to save. Companies that stand to benefit are <strong>Owens Corning </strong>(NYSE:<a title="Owens Corning" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AOC" target="_blank">OC</a>): insulation, <strong>General Electric </strong>(NYSE:<a title="General Electric" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AGE" target="_blank">GE</a>): lighting and <strong>Johnson Controls </strong>(NYSE:<a title="Johnson Controls" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AJCI" target="_blank">JCI</a>): energy management systems.</p>
<p>Clearly wind, solar geothermal and tidal energy companies stand to benefit, too. While a comprehensive list is beyond the scope of this article, companies like <strong>First Solar </strong>(Nasdaq:<a title="First Solar" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3AFSLR" target="_blank">FSLR</a>): solar panels, <strong>Ormat Technologies </strong>(NYSE:<a title="Ormat Technologies" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AORA" target="_blank">ORA</a>): geothermal and <strong>Vestas Wind Systems </strong>(PINK:<a title="Vestas Wind Systems" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=VWDRY" target="_blank">VWDRY</a>): wind turbines, will do well.</p>
<p>As new green sources of energy begin to come on-line in a big way, the nation’s electrical grids will have to be upgraded to move the power to where it’s needed. This is a huge project, and one of the biggest winners will be <strong>ABB </strong>(NYSE:<a title="ABB" href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AABB" target="_blank">ABB</a>): power and automation technologies.</p>
<p>Ironically, the same government that’s trying to find a solution to the energy problems we face has been the biggest roadblock to solving them. The trillion dollar coal and oil subsidies prolong the carbon industry’s advantage over &#8211; and are a constant roadblock for &#8211; fledgling <a title="Alternative Energy Companies" href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2008/September/alternative-energy-investments-finally-getting-the-green-light-in-2008.html" target="_blank">alternative energy companies</a>.</p>
<p>The new President and his administration have an opportunity to turn the recession ship around, before it runs aground. By implementing new energy and infrastructure projects, thousands of new jobs will be provided at a time when they are desperately needed, and most importantly, these projects will provide the fuel to restart the world’s economic engine.</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2008/November/obamas-economic-fuel.html#more-3979">Source: <strong>Obama’s New “Economic Fuel”… and 7 Ways to Profit</strong></a></p>
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