• More than $48 billion was withdrawn from emerging market funds in 2008, with the largest chucks of change pulled from funds tracking Asia, according to EPFR Global. An emerging markets bellwether, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, dropped 54% last year, its worst performance since it was created in 1987, Bloomberg reported.

• Bank of America Corp. (BAC) sold 5.62 billion of its China Construction Bank Corp. shares, raising $2.83 billion. Based on the Construction Bank’s IPO price, Bank of America realized a profit of about $1.13 billion, Reuters reported.

• Bargain retailer Family Dollar Stores Inc. (FDO) closed its fiscal fourth quarter with a 14% rise in profit and raised its annual forecast, Reuters reported. The compact expects to earn $1.63 to $1.81 a share, up from $1.58 to $1.78, in its fiscal year ending August 29. It also expects sales, same-store sales and total sales to rise as well.

• Orbitz Worldwide, Inc. (OWW), an online travel agency, announced a new president and chief executive, and that it would institute more measures to save an additional $20 to $25 million annually. Barney Harford will replace Steve Barhart as CEO, The Wall Street Journal reported.

• Russia cut off all gas supplies to Europe through Ukraine yesterday (Wednesday) leaving more than a dozen countries struggling with dwindling energy supplies in the depths of winter, The Associated Press reported. “It is unacceptable that the EU gas supply security is taken hostage to negotiations between Russia and Ukraine,” said European Union spokeswoman Pia Ahrenkilde Hansen.

• Monsanto Co. (MON), the world’s largest producer of genetically modified seeds, closed up more than 17% yesterday (Wednesday) after the company reported that first-quarter profit more than doubled. Revenue jumped 29% to $2.65 billion from $2.05 billion.

• India’s Sun Pharmaceuticals Industries Ltd. said yesterday (Wednesday) that it’s secured U.S. Food & Drug Administration approval to sell a generic tablet version of the painkiller Vicodin. The U.S. market for branded and generic versions of that drug is worth $540 million. Sun has also received approval for generic versions of cholesterol-fighting Lopid, for Aredia, which is used to treat high blood calcium, and for the anti-allergent drug Phenargen, in multiple strengths, Reuters reported.

• Light, sweet crude for February delivery yesterday (Wednesday) tumbled 12%, or $5.95, to settle at $42.63 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The drop was the mainly the result of a report from the Energy Information Administration said U.S. inventories of commercial crude inventories rose by 6.7 million barrels.

Source: Global Investing Roundups Thursday, January 8th, 2009

The stock market has already factored in the challenges facing the travel and retail sectors into Priceline’s stock price, Reuters and Barron’s both reported.

According to Barron’s, as the current financial crisis deepens, consumers are going to devote an increasing amount of time to their personal and household spending budgets – a point that Money Morning has repeatedly made as part of its ongoing “Credit Crisis Safety Plays” series. As those consumer concerns about spending and household budgets increase, Priceline’s name-your-own-price business will become a bigger draw, Barron’s, the popular investing weekly, said in its most recent edition.

Barron’s also said Priceline has little debt and plenty of cash on its balance sheet, including $282 million in free cash flow this year. At Friday’s closing price of $54.57, Priceline was trading at 8.8 times projected profits for 2009. That’s well below the average Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 21 for Internet retailers, and 9.0-plus for the travel and leisure sectors, Barron’s reported.

Priceline also has a tendency to report upside earnings surprises. In each of the past four quarters, the Norwalk, Conn.-based Priceline has beaten analyst estimates by amounts that range from 9.9% to as much as 27% (Please see accompanying chart).

Strategy Shift a Major Plus

According to noted travel writer Arthur Frommer, Priceline.com was largely once just “a rather exotic service meant only for the gamblers among us – the folks willing to accept the risk of a 6 a.m. flight or an out-of-the-center hotel. By featuring its bidding process (‘name your own price’), Priceline.com came up with absurdly low air or hotel rates, but with the drawback of sometimes producing a dawn departure, a multi-stop flight or a badly located hotel.”

But that’s changed. In a story he penned for TheLedger.com, Frommer said that while Priceline “still maintains its ‘name your own price’ option – the way to get the very lowest prices imaginable - it now also offers the same full-disclosure airfares and hotel rates that Web sites like Hotels.com, Expedia.com (EXPE), Travelocity.com, Orbitz.com (OWW) and others offer.”

The bottom line: Priceline.com often beats the prices offered by these other “full-disclosure” Web sites – and without charging the extra fees that these other sites hit users with, Frommer wrote.

The economic slowdown may also benefit Priceline. The financial crisis has hit the travel sector and the airlines hard. So the major airlines are now using Priceline.com as a way of disposing of their unsold seats – “of which there are a great many,” Frommer wrote. But that’s good news for the more-adventurous traveler, since the “last-minute” airfare deals feature has returned to the Priceline.com Web site, Frommer said.

Priceline is now going global. With its recent acquisition of European hotel search engine called Booking.com, Priceline.com is also has become a standard full-range search engine for hotel rates both in the United States and abroad. Booking.com is the largest of the hotel booking sites in Europe, meaning users will find offers from some of the “more interesting, nonchain, boutique-like hotels that are often absent from American hotel search engines.”

Master Marketer

When it launched its somewhat campy television ad campaign, Priceline.com was smart enough to go after the king of camp himself – Shatner, whose entire TV life has been spent playing such campy characters as Capt. James T. Kirk (Star Trek), police Sgt. T.J. Hooker (T.J. Hooker) and legal legend (in his own mind) Denny Crain (Boston Legal). Shatner’s performances as the “Priceline Negotiator,” have spawned kudos both for Shatner and for Priceline.

Curiously for Shatner, however, it’s original “Star Trek” series veteran Leonard Nimoy (Mr. Spock), and not the irrepressible Shatner – described by one writer recently as the “master of the strained staccato delivery” who landed a role in the new Star Trek (2009) movie due out next year.

But Shatner does have a new talk show starting: Shatner’s Raw Nerve debuts Dec. 2 on the Bio Channel, media reports state.

Source: Hot Stocks: Priceline.com Shares Poised to Beam Up, Barron’s Says

“Hot Stocks” is a new Money Morning feature that analyzes the investment outlook of global companies that are in the news. This is the fifth installment of this ongoing investment series

Byron, on his Energy and Oil blog, has a great piece on the future of aviation. He reckons big changes are coming thanks to high crude oil prices…

Mother Nature is taking her revenge in the form of high-priced oil. The cost of jet fuel is soaring. The airplanes of the world are starting to get grounded. The skies of the future will not be so crowded. Flying will cease to be an option for many tens of millions of Americans — maybe for hundreds of millions.

In the future, only the most efficient jets (like Boeing’s new 787 Dreamliner) will ever go wheels up at the end of a runway. Ticket prices will be high. How soon will these things happen? I think that we will experience our first silent spring as early as next year.

Now, Byron says, Northwest (NYSE:NWA) and Air Canada (TSE:AC.A, AC.B) are now cutting flights within the US, and grounding more aircraft…

The Airline Waiting Game

By Byron King

Thing is, most of the airline cuts announced to date have not yet taken effect. The plane groundings and service cutbacks will occur towards the end of the year and into 2009. As of now, almost all of the flights are still rolling down the runways.

For the flying public, all that passengers are seeing just now is higher ticket prices and the nickel-and-dime stuff like charging for bagage check and paying for the sodas in coach class. A lot of people who bought tickets for summer travel back in the winter are feeling no pain, really.

Wait until people go to the likes of Orbitz (NYSE:OWW) and Priceline (NASDAQ:PCLN), and want to book flights in the first quarter of 2009. Good luck.

Choices of flights, connections, timetables and fares will be causing serious heartburn.

As I’ve been saying, in six months you will not recognize the US airline industry.

More info here.

Until next time,

Byron King

Note: Byron King is a frequent contributor to the free e-letter Whiskey & Gunpowder. To receive daily insights into energy, oil, commodities and other natural resources sign up here!

Source: The Airline Waiting Game