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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; Peabody Energy</title>
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		<title>The Short and Long Term Solutions to the Growing Global Energy Crisis</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/the-short-and-long-term-solutions-to-the-growing-global-energy-crisis/2294</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/the-short-and-long-term-solutions-to-the-growing-global-energy-crisis/2294#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 May 2008 14:28:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jason Simpkins</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Oil Investment & Alternative Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[aluminum]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[coal]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/the-short-and-long-term-solutions-to-the-growing-global-energy-crisis/2294</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Crude oil is grabbing the headlines but it’s coal and  uranium that together provide nearly half the world’s power.</p>
<p>So it follows that as worldwide demand for electricity skyrockets &#8211; as it will &#8211; the shares of companies that provide these two key fuels also will take flight.</p>
<p>And they make for almost-perfect partners.</p>
<p>That’s because coal represents the world’s short-term solution to the problem of a rapidly climbing global demand for power. It’s plentiful, it’s cheaper than other available alternatives, and a big percentage of the world’s power plants are set up to burn this fossil fuel.</p>
<p>Uranium, on the other hand, represents the long-term solution to potential fuel shortages &#8211; and it offers a solution to global warming, to boot. Uranium-powered commercial&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Crude oil is grabbing the headlines but it’s coal and  uranium that together provide nearly half the world’s power.<span id="more-2294"></span></p>
<p>So it follows that as worldwide demand for electricity skyrockets &#8211; as it will &#8211; the shares of companies that provide these two key fuels also will take flight.</p>
<p>And they make for almost-perfect partners.</p>
<p>That’s because coal represents the world’s short-term solution to the problem of a rapidly climbing global demand for power. It’s plentiful, it’s cheaper than other available alternatives, and a big percentage of the world’s power plants are set up to burn this fossil fuel.</p>
<p>Uranium, on the other hand, represents the long-term solution to potential fuel shortages &#8211; and it offers a solution to global warming, to boot. Uranium-powered commercial nuclear plants are cheap to operate, can run a long time, and when operated correctly cause little pollution.</p>
<h3><strong>The <em>New</em> ‘Black Gold’</strong></h3>
<p>India, a growing economic and industrial power, relies on  coal for nearly 70% of its total energy supply. And the <a href="http://www.worldcoal.org/pages/content/index.asp?PageID=402" onclick="s_objectID=" index.asp?pageid="402_1";return">World Coal  Institute</a> expects India’s energy consumption to rise by as much as 8% to  10% annually through 2020.</p>
<p>Coal also is used to satisfy the Red Dragon’s energy appetite, providing 78% of China’s total power needs. Coal demand in China jumped nearly 9% last year &#8211; meaning the Eastern power now accounts for a full quarter of the world’s annual coal consumption, <em><strong>The</strong></em> <em><strong>Wall  Street Journal</strong></em> reported.</p>
<p>Five years ago, China exported 83 million metric tons more coal than it imported. But last year, the nation’s surplus dropped to a meager 2 million metric tons. That means more than 80 million metric tons of coal (about 12% of the internationally traded market)<em><strong> </strong></em>has been taken  out of global circulation.</p>
<p>Vic Svec, a senior executive at Peabody Energy Corp. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ABTU" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NYSE%3ABTU_1";return">BTU</a>), the world’s  largest private-sector coal producer, referred to China’s ability to influence  the price of commodities as a &#8220;<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Butterfly_effect" onclick="s_objectID=">butterfly effect</a>.&#8221;   In other words, Svec told <strong><em>The Journal, </em></strong>&#8220;demand from Beijing  can ripple back to Queensland, Australia, or Gillette, Wyoming.&#8221;</p>
<p>Svec’s right. China’s recent development is part of the  reason the highly desirable low-sulfur coal from the coal-laden <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Powder_River_Basin" onclick="s_objectID=">Powder River Basin</a> in Wyoming and Montana has climbed from less than $10 a ton last year, to  nearly $15 a ton &#8211; a price gain of 50%.</p>
<p>Central Appalachian coal, the benchmark grade widely used by power plants, jumped from $40 a ton in early 2007, to nearly $90 a ton now, according to a recent report by the <strong><em>Associated Press</em></strong>.  That’s price increase of 125% in just a  single year.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, the weekly index for power station coal prices at Australia’s Newcastle port, a benchmark for the Asian market, averaged $126.45 per metric ton in the month of April, up nearly 40% from January.  The port’s weekly price index rose to $133.63 per metric ton for the week ended May 9 &#8211; an 11-week high according to the <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601081&amp;sid=abgt_BfDdQKo&amp;refer=australia" onclick="s_objectID=" news?pid="20601081&amp;sid=abgt_BfDdQKo&amp;refer=australia_1";return">globalCOAL  NEWC Index</a>. The index is up approximately 49% this year.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/ieo/coal.html" onclick="s_objectID=">According  to the Energy Information Administration</a>, world coal consumption could  expand by 74% from 2004 to 2030. And that will only drive prices higher.</p>
<p>While demand for coal is at an all-time high, the same can’t be said for coal supplies. Harsh weather conditions and infrastructure constraints in coal-producing regions have severely crimped supplies.</p>
<p>In South Africa, power shortages and flooding have closed down several key  mines. <a href="http://www.miningweekly.com/article.php?a_id=132465" onclick="s_objectID=" article.php?a_id="132465_1";return">With such  setbacks</a>, the price of coal coming out of South Africa’s <a href="http://www.rbct.co.za/" onclick="s_objectID=">Richards Bay Coal Terminal</a>, the world’s  largest, jumped nearly 90% last year.</p>
<p><a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=LON%3AXTA" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="LON%3AXTA_1";return">Xstrata  PLC</a>, the world’s biggest exporter of power-station coal, <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&amp;sid=aXnrOuc8pOxs" onclick="s_objectID=" news?pid="newsarchive&amp;sid=aXnrOuc8pOxs_1";return">said  that first-quarter coal output fell 3.6%</a> after floods and rain delays diminished supplies from Australian mines. Monsoon rains throughout the region also impacted archrivals Rio Tinto PLC (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=RTP&amp;hl=en" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="RTP&amp;hl=en_1";return">RTP</a>), and BHP  Billiton Ltd. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ABHP" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="NYSE%3ABHP_1";return">BHP</a>).</p>
<p>Meanwhile, China, a leading producer and consumer, was devastated just a few months ago by the worst blizzard of the past half-century. Three weeks of snowfall killed at least 60 people and cost the country approximately $7.5 billion.</p>
<p>China had already closed a multitude of coalmines in 2007, after they were deemed unsafe. The subsequent weather problems only exacerbated that situation, forcing the closure of a great many more mines and prompting China to restrict exports. Major roads and railways also were shut down, creating traffic congestion during the thickly traveled Chinese New Year &#8211; and making deliveries highly problematic for drivers.</p>
<p>As the cold of winter gave way to the higher temperatures of spring and summer, yet another weather-related challenge emerged. This time around, the double-whammy of higher-than-expected temperatures coupled with sparse rainfall are straining thermal power plants: The warm weather is boosting the use of energy-intensive air conditioning even as those same higher temperatures have dropped the water level of the rivers that spin the huge power-producing turbines at hydroelectric dams.</p>
<p>If you’re looking to play surging coal prices, <em><strong>Money  Morning</strong></em> Investment Director Keith Fitz-Gerald suggests taking a look  at Yanzhou Coal Mining Co. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=yzc" onclick="s_objectID=" finance?q="yzc_1";return">YZC</a>).  The China-based Yanzhou is nicely diversified in several ways:</p>
<ul type="disc">
<li>First, it not only operates underground coalmines, Yanzhou also operates a railway transportation network for shipping coal.</li>
<li>Second,       Yanzhou’s focus on low-sulfur coal products means it finds demand from       large-scale power plants <strong><u>and</u></strong> from metal-producing companies all around the world. The reason: Low-sulfur coal can be combined with coking coal in a metal-production process known as &#8220;<a href="http://www1.eere.energy.gov/industry/steel/pdfs/pci.pdf" onclick="s_objectID=">pulverized       coal injection</a>,&#8221; or PCI. That combination gives Yanzhou a nice       extra bit of industrial diversification.</li>
<li>Third,       investors can add geographic diversification to the profit mix as they       analyze sector plays.</li>
</ul>
<p>Provided with these positives, it should be no surprise to investors that Yanzhou’s first-quarter profit more than doubled, climbing more than 112% on surging demand for the fuel and on the higher trading prices seen in the markets around the world.</p>
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