All Posts Tagged With: "peak oil"
We Don’t Have the Resouces to Run Our Suburbs Anymore
The American suburb was the greatest misallocation of resources in the history of the world, says Clusterfuck Nation author James Howard Kunstler. Why? Because it has no future, because we’re not going to be able to run it…. We don’t have the resource base to run it.
Crude Oil Prices: Are Speculators Behind the Move?
Alexander Green’s last column on crude oil prices generated a number of interesting responses. If you recall, he mentioned that crude oil’s pullback from a high of more than $147 a barrel in early July was long overdue. With demand decreasing and supply increasing, oil is doing exactly what you’d expect it to do - drop…
Follow T. Boone Pickens’ Lead With These 4 Stocks
Billionaire Texas financier T. Boone Pickens‘ BP Capital commodity fund dropped in value by 34% in July, according to figures obtained by the New York Post.
Fortunately for Pickens, he has a plan to move away from volatile oil. It’s called the Pickens Plan. It involves converting US cars to run on natural gas instead of petroleum and devleoping a massive wind farm in Texas.
Floyd Brown at Investment U says Pickens has a history of being in the right place and the right time and profiting handsomely. Floyd has picked four stocks to help you follow Pickens’ lead into natural gas and wind energy…
Financial Woes Hurting Investment in US Energy Projects
Whiskey and Gunpowder contributor Byron King is currently driving through the US and Canada looking for new energy investments. And he says he is amazed at the level of activity in the energy and agricultural sectors.
But even though the crisis on Wall Street is far away, it’s impact can be felt in rural America: At a time when energy projects desperately need heavy investment, bank lending is drying up.
Byron says the financial sector woes risk making the forthcoming energy crisis even more severe…
Banning Oil Speculators Would Badly Damage the Free Market
According to a recent report in The Mercury News, oil speculators cannot be held responsible for high oil prices.
That’s because “bets on the future price of oil have no impact on the current price of oil if the current demand equals the current supply, meaning there is no net change in inventories of oil.”
So why does Washington continue to point the finger at oil ’speculators’ (who in reality are energy traders)? Because it’s politically expedient, says Resource Trader Alert editor Kevin Kerr. In fact, so-called speculators usually keep prices lower and the markets more efficient. More from Kevin below…
To say we are in a crisis is a massive understatement. It’s like saying there was a little fire on the Hindenburg. As oil prices surge and the ebb and flow of trading begins to catch up with the world’s growing population, we can expect to see these prices continue to climb — maybe exponentially.
Meanwhile, the fools in Washington, and those political candidates hoping to get into that asylum, continue to talk the same smack they have for years. Essentially, they’ll say whatever they need to in order to get elected. What else is new?
The problem this time, however, is that the situation is simply too dire. We should not waste time trying to find scapegoats. That won’t solve the problem. It will just distract attention while politicians hope for answers.
But let’s face it. The blame game works. The politicians have an easy target in speculators. After all, the average American imagines Gordon Gekko-type characters slashing and burning their way through Wall Street and making the everyday man’s life more expensive while they water-ski behind their yachts.
So for senators and other politicians, it’s not a tough putt to get the general public to latch on and want to lynch every speculator out there.
But Gordon Gekko was not a speculator. He was a manipulator. He used information he should not have had to do things he should not have done.
That does not matter to the politicians, however. They want to paint every speculator with a broad brush. To the politicians, every legitimate speculator is an unlawful manipulator.
The problem is this: If the politicians restrict legitimate speculation, they will cripple the free market and actually cause prices to surge even higher. Politicians have confused things pretty badly.
Speculation shapes the margins of the markets. Many markets cannot function correctly without some element of speculation at the margins. Few politicians seem to understand that. Or they do, but won’t acknowledge it. Either way, it’s a critical mistake to be focusing on witch-hunts, rather than real answers.
Liquidity, Liquidity, Liquidity
In real estate, it’s location, location, location. In trading, it’s liquidity, liquidity, liquidity.
In case a number of U.S. senators don’t know, one of the most important elements in a free market is a provision of liquidity. It is possible to discover an “active price” only when the market is free and open. This is the job that speculators perform. Without speculators, there cannot be free market capitalism.
~~~~~~~~~~~Special~~~~~~~~~~~
Far From Over
A few stimulus checks may have made everything seem okay for a few weeks, but there is still blood in the water and more financial danger right around the corner.
If you’re starting to think things are going to get better, think again. The worst of this financial crisis is still to come.
Read about the next five financial shocks here…
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Yet even in the face of clear evidence that speculators perform this vital service, all we hear about is how speculators are causing the run-up in energy prices. And then we hear how speculators need to be more “regulated.” It’s absurd and dangerous.
As Richard Rahn of the Cato Institute writes in a great article for The Washington Times, “Many members of Congress make up ‘solutions’ to things they do not understand and cause problems where there are none or make real problems worse, which explains the current run-up in gasoline prices.”
Amen.
If You’re Not Part of the Solution, You’re Part of the Problem
You may be reading this and saying, “Of course you’re saying this. You’re a speculator!”
Very true, but I am also a consumer who has to buy gasoline and heating oil, just as you do. I also know the risks of assuming any position in these volatile markets. And that risk is calculated each time I trade. There are no guarantees. (How I wish there WERE some guarantees when I lay my cash on the line!)
The other very important factor here is to realize that speculators are not beholden to one side of the market. They are married to movement, not direction.
As far as my trading portfolio goes, I couldn’t care less if oil were moving higher or lower. As long as there is movement, we have trading opportunities.
The problem with blaming speculators is the damage done to the free market can be irreversible.
Richard Rahn goes on to say, “Speculators are not the problem; they are part of the solution, by reducing the risk for producers, refiners and other oil market participants. This risk reduction results in more production of oil, other fuel, food and metals where futures markets exist.”
Once again, he has hit the nail on the head. Reducing the number of speculators in the free market actually has the reverse impact. It drives prices much, much higher.
Can’t We All Just Get Along?
Let me just say that I am one of the biggest advocates of free, open, transparent markets. So are almost all speculators. The integrity of any market is only as good as its participants. And in some cases, I can see the need for more regulation. But the best regulator of the commodity market is usually the market itself. Markets punish unwarranted excesses.
Did you notice that back in July — when oil prices slipped from record highs and even had their biggest one-week drop in history — nobody was calling for speculators’ heads? There were no congressional hearings into the matter, just silence.
The fact of the matter is that speculators were just as active on the way down as they were on the way up, providing the service they do. With or without speculators, prices will continue to climb. The solutions, however, will be much harder to come by without speculators. The speculators are the ones who add liquidity and discover the best free market prices every day.
We must set aside all of the election-year rhetoric and demand better from our politicians, energy producers and even ourselves. We all have to take some responsibility if we hope to find solutions. Simply blaming one group of people is not going to work. The challenges of Peak Oil — if not Peak Everything — remain. Banning speculation means just losing a critical piece of the early warning system.
Source: The Trendy Pick
Why Dave Gonigam Is Losing Faith in the Pickens Plan
Energy expert Dave Gonigam has serious reservations about T. Boone Pickens‘ energy plan.
When the Pickens Plan was first announced, Dave expressed concerns in The Daily Reckoning’s Desidooru Saloon blog about its finer details.
The problem is the Pickens Plan isn’t quite as free market as it claims. Take the proposed $5-billion sale of general bond funds to help finance alternative energy schemes in California. This is more like a back-door subsidy for Pickens’ natural gas agenda. More from Dave below…
How High Prices Are Turning Big Oil Into a Bit-Part Player
Big Media are ignoring the real problems in the oil market, says energy expert Dave Gonigam in The Daily Reckoning.
Oil Prices Still Too High Thanks to Weak Dollar
Crude oil prices fell for a second day today. This means July saw the biggest monthly decline in the black goo since 2004.
Crude oil for September delivery on the Nymex fell by about $1.45 cents to $122.53 a barrel.
Oil maybe on the way down, says Byron King in Whiskey and Gunpowder. But its recent run up teaches up a couple of important lessons: 1) A lot of parts of the global economy simply don’t work at $140 oil; 2) Chronic mismanagement of the dollar is pushing up crude oil prices…
High Gas Prices Are Shutting Down Rural Gas Stations
Price spikes are causing rural gas station owners to shut off their pumps rather than pay for sky-high gas, says Matt Insley on EnergyAndOil.com.
Crude Oil Price Correction Means Bargains in Oil Service Stocks
Crude oil prices have slumped over $23 over the last 17 days.
This opens up a great long-term investment play, says Jon Herring at Investor’s Daily Edge.
Crude oil will push higher again. And dwindling reserves will force oil majors to shell out trillions of dollars on oil and natural gas exploration.
So follow the money: Buy the strongest oil service sector stocks and ETFs now, and hold for the long term.
Latest News
- Bullish Signals for Macmahon Holdings Limited (ASX:MAH)2:36pm CDT
- How the Persian Gulf Will Drive the Next Big Agricultural Boom12:15pm CDT
- The 4 Best Securities to Hold in the Coming Global Recession11:43am CDT
- Charles Delvalle Says Get Ready for Deflation in Asset Prices11:01am CDT
- Global Investing Roundups Friday, August 29th, 20089:50am CDT
- Can We Take Yesterday’s GDP Figures at Face Value?7:38am CDT
- Bond King Bill Gross Wants Obama to Up the Deficit to $1 Trillion6:44am CDT
- ‘Resource Nationalism’ Threatens the Future Availability of Oil5:21am CDT
- Two Reverse ETFs Are Making a Killing in This Bear Market4:27am CDT
- Base Metals Move Higher10:49pm CDT
- Crude Pushes Higher as Gustav Threatens Gulf10:46pm CDT
- Dollar Drops10:42pm CDT
- Precious Metals Uncertain10:38pm CDT
- FDIC Braces for More Bank Failures, Expands Offices4:32pm CDT
- Global Investing Roundups Thursday, August 28th, 20083:16pm CDT
- Dow’s (DJI) Earnings Slump Will Lead to More Inflationary Policies3:10pm CDT
- Chrysler Considers Sale of Gas-Guzzling Viper1:10pm CDT
- Look Deeper Into Housing Numbers And You Will See A Different Picture1:04pm CDT
- Bank Failures Could Mean 79% Gains on XLF December 20 Puts9:32am CDT
