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		<title>A Four-Point Investing Plan to Beat the Bear</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/a-4-point-plan-to-beat-the-bear/6010</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Oct 2008 14:51:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Patalon III</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p><strong>William Patalon III</strong> says the US economy is heading into recession and there is little the Fed or Treasury can do to stop it.</p>
<p>But that doesn&#8217;t mean contrarian investors can&#8217;t make a profit. History is littered with examples of investors that made a fortune during the darkest days for the economy.</p>
<p>William has a four-point plan to <strong>beat the bear</strong> this time round: 1) Load up on high dividend stocks; 2) Buy gold; 3) Stick to &#8216;global titan&#8217; companies; and 4) Stay relaxed&#8230;</p>
<p>This report from <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com"  class="alinks_links">Money Morning</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>No. 1 &#8211; Stock up  on Dividend stocks</strong></p>
<p>Many investors are so scared by the wild gyrations the stock market has seen of late that they’ve jettisoned everything in their search for safety.</p>
<p>Not only is this a massive&#8230;</p></blockquote>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>William Patalon III</strong> says the US economy is heading into recession and there is little the Fed or Treasury can do to stop it.</p>
<p>But that doesn&#8217;t mean contrarian investors can&#8217;t make a profit. History is littered with examples of investors that made a fortune during the darkest days for the economy.</p>
<p>William has a four-point plan to <strong>beat the bear</strong> this time round: 1) Load up on high dividend stocks; 2) Buy gold; 3) Stick to &#8216;global titan&#8217; companies; and 4) Stay relaxed&#8230;</p>
<p>This report from <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com"  class="alinks_links">Money Morning</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>No. 1 &#8211; Stock up  on Dividend stocks</strong></p>
<p>Many investors are so scared by the wild gyrations the stock market has seen of late that they’ve jettisoned everything in their search for safety.</p>
<p>Not only is this a massive mistake from a timing standpoint, it’s also a major misstep because of all the dividend income those folks are going to forego.</p>
<p>Dividend-paying stocks tend to be more stable than their non-dividend paying brethren -particularly during rocky stock markets. In other words, stocks that have income streams attached are treated better, especially when the going gets tough.</p>
<p>They also outperform non-dividend paying stocks by even more  in down markets than they do in up markets.<br />
By consistently reinvesting dividends during down markets, investors can substantially expand their asset base, which puts them way ahead of the game when markets recover and stock prices soar &#8211; as they always eventually do.</p>
<p>And the savvy investors who owned them watched as their own portfolios easily outperformed the market averages and roundly trounced the returns of portfolios that were devoid of or light on dividend-paying shares.</p>
<p>And there are some excellent investment candidates. Two of  the best are the <strong>PowerShares</strong><strong> International Dividend Achievers Fund </strong>(<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=AMEX%3APID">AMEX:PID</a>)<strong> </strong>and  the <strong>Alpine Dynamic Dividend Fund</strong>  (MUTF:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=ADVDX">ADVDX</a>)<strong>, </strong>two exchange-traded funds (ETFs)  that we like a great deal.</p>
<p>The PowerShares International Fund is a global-income portfolio that can help you spread your risk, while also earning income. The Alpine fund is a more-specialized fund that uses a &#8220;dividend harvest strategy&#8221; that can boost the fund’s yield.</p>
<p>Both funds invest in companies that have survived countless business cycles, and that are likely to survive this downdraft, too.</p>
<p>Because dividend-paying stocks tend to be downdraft resistant, portfolios with higher yields tend to last longer and pay stronger. That’s something that’s important to all of us, but especially to investors who are nearing retirement, or who have already retired.</p>
<p><strong>No. 2 &#8211; Go for Gold</strong></p>
<p>When times are tough, gold soars.</p>
<p>And frankly, the economy has been tough: $4 gasoline, the  housing crisis, rampant inflation, plummeting stocks…</p>
<p>But all the while, gold prices vaulted a cool 26.5% in the  past year.</p>
<p>Missing out on gold is already costing investors a pretty penny. What’s more, most experts are forecasting gold prices to rise at least another 75.6% by the end of this year.</p>
<p>So, how does one profit from gold? It’s simple. You don’t have to wade through a plethora of flashy websites offering bullion or risk it all on a junior mining company.</p>
<p>Instead, here are five ways to profit from gold right away &#8211;  from the most lucrative to the least risky.</p>
<p><strong>Gold Fields Ltd.</strong>  (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=gfi">GFI</a>)<strong>: </strong>South Africa’s Gold Fields Ltd. is the world’s fourth-biggest gold producer &#8211; with about 90 million ounces in reserve from its operations in Africa, South America and Australia.</p>
<p>It recently reported that its fourth-quarter production  would beat its previous forecast by up to 120%.</p>
<p>Overall, the company has a solid balance sheet and ample reserves. But if anything scares investors away, it’s Gold Fields’ location.</p>
<p>South Africa mines are frequently a political tool between the country’s labor unions and state-owned utility provider <strong>Eskom Holdings Ltd.</strong> (OTC: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=ESKAY">ESKAY</a>), which controls 95% of the country’s power.</p>
<p>Eskom recently jacked electricity prices up 27.5%, and unions decided to hit the government where it hurts &#8211; by striking- thus gutting the government of taxes from its vast gold profits.</p>
<p>That is just one example of why this stock is a risky gold play. Gold could reach another record but Gold Fields may not see a penny of it if its miners are on strike.</p>
<p><strong>Yamana</strong><strong> Gold Inc. </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=AUY">AUY</a>)<strong>: </strong>When gold prices are high, investors should pay extra attention to mining companies with increasing production levels because they translate into a bigger bottom line.</p>
<p>For its second quarter this year, Yamana  Gold Inc. produced almost 10% more gold than it did in the previous quarter.</p>
<p>What’s more, its <em>gold  production is expected to double </em>to 2.2 million ounces per year by  2012, primarily from its Brazil and Argentina mines.</p>
<p>That’s because Yamana Gold went on a spending spree in the past two years, buying up junior mines around the world to lock in reserves.</p>
<p>&#8220;Now it is about production, cash flow and earnings,&#8221; Chief  Executive Officer Peter Marrone told <em>Reuters.</em></p>
<p>It’s also about dividends. The company recently kicked up its investor payout by 300%, a strong vote of confidence to its production and stock performance.</p>
<p><strong>Barrick</strong><strong> Gold Corp.</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=ABX">ABX</a>)<strong>: </strong>Like Yamana, Barrick Gold Corp. has also been on a spending spree. Over the past year, it has gobbled up stakes in a half-dozen mines, multiplying its reserves and production capacities in light of record gold prices.</p>
<p>All totaled, Barrick owns 27 mines in five continents and produces over 8 million ounces of gold a year, making it the world’s largest gold miner.</p>
<p>We consider this a medium-risk investment because &#8211; despite its solid operations, profitability and efficiency &#8211; it’s vulnerable like any tradable stock.</p>
<p>But since it’s the world largest gold producer, its stock  will move closest in line with gold compared to other gold miners.</p>
<p>And as an added bonus, it just kicked up its biannual  dividend by 33%.</p>
<p><strong>SPDR Gold Trust</strong>  (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=gld">GLD</a>)<strong>: </strong>Some investors want to buy gold but feel uneasy about storing it overseas, by another person… and for a commission nonetheless. But at the same token, not many<br />
want to make their homes a burglary target by stashing gold  reserves in their basements.</p>
<p>Enter SPDR Gold Trust (GLD), an ETF that trades like a stock, but whose value directly tracks the price of gold bullion. Only 1.82 percentage points separate the gains made by gold price and Gold Trust in the past year.</p>
<p>Gold Trust has a $17 billion-plus market cap, giving it ample liquidity. Simply put, it’s the easiest way to buy gold without buying physical bullion or coins.</p>
<p><strong><a href="http://www.everbank.com"  class="alinks_links">EverBank</a> Select  Metals Account </strong>has a minimum deposit that is 98% lower than its competitors, and its commission costs are up to 86% lower than other metals brokers and bullion banks.</p>
<p>Second, it offers two types of gold accounts:<br />
<strong>Unallocated: </strong>Your purchased gold is pooled with that of other investors, eliminating storage and maintenance costs. The minimum deposit amount for unallocated accounts is a scant $5,000.<br />
<strong>Allocated: </strong>You directly own the gold you purchase, held in your own private account. The minimum deposit for allocated accounts is $7,500.</p>
<p>Both types of accounts can be set up 24/7 <strong>online. </strong>But if you  prefer the phone, call 866-326-6241, and be sure to give them the code 12608  when setting up an account.</p>
<p>We should point out that the publisher of <em>Money Morning </em>has a  marketing relationship with EverBank, but that’s  because its products are best in show.</p>
<p><strong>No. 3 &#8211; Grab the &#8220;Global Titans&#8221;</strong></p>
<p>There are a handful of companies that are either located in, or focused on, overseas markets that remain poised for growth &#8211; even if the U.S. market slows down. We call those companies &#8220;Global Titans&#8221; because they usually derive a hefty portion of their sales and profits from outside U.S. borders.</p>
<p>The old adage that &#8220;when the U.S. economy sneezes, the rest of the world catches a cold&#8221; is becoming increasingly less valid, due to an economic process known as &#8220;decoupling.&#8221; This means that &#8211; eventually &#8211; such economies as China and others will be able to show respectable growth, even if the U.S. economy slows down or even drops into a recession.</p>
<p>In the immediate term, even the partial decoupling we’ve seen means that these other economies could continue to grow, even if we get mired down by the housing meltdown, subprime crisis and ensuing credit woes.</p>
<p>While those markets may take a near-term hit because of the maladies of the U.S. economy, their longer-term growth is much less dependent than ever before on the U.S.-centric model of the global markets.</p>
<p>And <strong><em>Money  Morning</em></strong> has identified a portfolio of Global Titans whose quarterly earnings and stock prices are laughing in the face of the gloomy U.S. market: <strong>The Coca-Cola Co. </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AKO">KO</a>), <strong>PepsiCo Inc. </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3APEP">PEP</a>), <strong>Diageo</strong><strong> PLC </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=DEO">DEO</a>), <strong>Yum! Brands Inc. </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AYUM">YUM</a>), <strong>McDonald’s Corp. </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=mcd">MCD</a>) and <strong>The Boeing Co. </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3ABA">BA</a>).</p>
<p><strong>No. 4 &#8211; Relax, Breathe</strong></p>
<p>No one knows how long this economic vortex will last, but  two things are dead certain:</p>
<p>• We’ve been here before.<br />
• No matter how bad it  gets, it will pass.</p>
<p>So far, we’ve gone through the Price/Earnings (P/E) Ratio peak crash of 1901; the Great Crash of 1929, the &#8220;Black Monday&#8221; stock market crash of October 1987, the Asian Contagion of 1997, loan defaults in South America and Russia, and even then 9/11 terrorist attacks.</p>
<p>And not only did we survive each; our economy rebounded to  become bigger, stronger and leaner.</p></blockquote>
<p>Source:  	  <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/10/07/us-economy-are-we-nearing-the-end-of-the-american-dream-2/">US Economy: Are We Nearing the End of the American Dream?</a></p>
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		<title>4 Ways To Recession Proof Your Portfolio</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/us-economy-are-we-nearing-the-end-of-the-american-dream/5410</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/us-economy-are-we-nearing-the-end-of-the-american-dream/5410#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Sep 2008 13:38:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>William Patalon III</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Wall Street is on its knees, and the taxpayer is on the hook for well over a trillion dollars to prop up the financial system.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, the wider US economy is sliding into a recession.</p>
<p><strong>William Patalon III</strong> says there are four solid ways to protect your portfolio from these forces: 1) Buy dividend-paying stocks; 2) Buy gold; 3) Buy companies focused on overseas market; and 4) Don&#8217;t panic&#8230;</p>
<p>The following extract is taken from a research report published over the weekend by <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com"  class="alinks_links">Money Morning</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>No. 1 &#8211; Stock Up  on Dividend stocks</strong></p>
<p>Many investors are so scared by the wild gyrations the stock market has seen of late that they’ve jettisoned everything in their search for safety.</p>
<p>Not only is this a massive mistake from a&#8230;</p></blockquote>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Wall Street is on its knees, and the taxpayer is on the hook for well over a trillion dollars to prop up the financial system.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, the wider US economy is sliding into a recession.</p>
<p><strong>William Patalon III</strong> says there are four solid ways to protect your portfolio from these forces: 1) Buy dividend-paying stocks; 2) Buy gold; 3) Buy companies focused on overseas market; and 4) Don&#8217;t panic&#8230;</p>
<p>The following extract is taken from a research report published over the weekend by <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com"  class="alinks_links">Money Morning</a>&#8230;</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>No. 1 &#8211; Stock Up  on Dividend stocks</strong></p>
<p>Many investors are so scared by the wild gyrations the stock market has seen of late that they’ve jettisoned everything in their search for safety.</p>
<p>Not only is this a massive mistake from a timing standpoint, it’s also a major misstep because of all the dividend income those folks are going to forego.</p>
<p>Dividend-paying stocks tend to be more stable than their non-dividend paying brethren -particularly during rocky stock markets. In other words, stocks that have income streams attached are treated better, especially when the going gets tough.</p>
<p>They also outperform non-dividend paying stocks by even more  in down markets than they do in up markets.<br />
By consistently reinvesting dividends during down markets, investors can substantially expand their asset base, which puts them way ahead of the game when markets recover and stock prices soar &#8211; as they always eventually do.</p>
<p>And the savvy investors who owned them watched as their own portfolios easily outperformed the market averages and roundly trounced the returns of portfolios that were devoid of or light on dividend-paying shares.</p>
<p>And there are some excellent investment candidates. Two of  the best are the <strong>PowerShares</strong><strong> International Dividend Achievers Fund </strong>(<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=PID&amp;hl=en">PID</a>)<strong> </strong>and  the <strong>Alpine Dynamic Dividend Fund  </strong>(<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=ADVDX&amp;hl=en">ADVDX</a>),<strong> </strong>two exchange-traded funds (ETFs)  that we like a great deal.</p>
<p>The PowerShares International Fund is a global-income portfolio that can help you spread your risk, while also earning income. The Alpine fund is a more-specialized fund that uses a &#8220;dividend harvest strategy&#8221; that can boost the fund’s yield.</p>
<p>Both funds invest in companies that have survived countless business cycles, and that are likely to survive this downdraft, too.</p>
<p>Because dividend-paying stocks tend to be downdraft resistant, portfolios with higher yields tend to last longer and pay stronger. That’s something that’s important to all of us, but especially to investors who are nearing retirement, or who have already retired.</p>
<p><strong>No. 2 &#8211; Go for Gold</strong></p>
<p>When times are tough, gold soars.</p>
<p>And frankly, the economy has been tough: $4 gasoline, the  housing crisis, rampant inflation, plummeting stocks…</p>
<p>But all the while, gold prices vaulted a cool 26.5% in the  past year.</p>
<p>Missing out on gold is already costing investors a pretty penny. What’s more, most experts are forecasting gold prices to rise at least another 75.6% by the end of this year.</p>
<p>So, how does one profit from gold? It’s simple. You don’t have to wade through a plethora of flashy websites offering bullion or risk it all on a junior mining company.</p>
<p>Instead, here are five ways to profit from gold right away &#8211;  from the most lucrative to the least risky.</p>
<p><strong>Gold Fields Ltd.  </strong>(<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=GFI&amp;hl=en">GFI</a>)<strong>: </strong>South Africa’s Gold Fields Ltd. is the world’s fourth-biggest gold producer &#8211; with about 90 million ounces in reserve from its operations in Africa, South America and Australia.</p>
<p>It recently reported that its fourth-quarter production  would beat its previous forecast by up to 120%.</p>
<p>Overall, the company has a solid balance sheet and ample reserves. But if anything scares investors away, it’s Gold Fields’ location.</p>
<p>South Africa mines are frequently a political tool between the country’s labor unions and state-owned utility provider Eskom Holdings Ltd. (OTC:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=OTC%3AESKAY">ESKAY</a>), which controls 95% of the country’s power.</p>
<p>Eskom recently jacked electricity prices up 27.5%, and unions decided to hit the government where it hurts &#8211; by striking- thus gutting the government of taxes from its vast gold profits.</p>
<p>That is just one example of why this stock is a risky gold play. Gold could reach another record but Gold Fields may not see a penny of it if its miners are on strike.</p>
<p><strong>Yamana</strong><strong> Gold Inc. </strong>(<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=AUY&amp;hl=en">AUY</a>)<strong>: </strong>When gold prices are high, investors should pay extra attention to mining companies with increasing production levels because they translate into a bigger bottom line.</p>
<p>For its second quarter this year, Yamana  Gold Inc. produced almost 10% more gold than it did in the previous quarter.</p>
<p>What’s more, its <em>gold  production is expected to double </em>to 2.2 million ounces per year by  2012, primarily from its Brazil and Argentina mines.</p>
<p>That’s because Yamana Gold went on a spending spree in the past two years, buying up junior mines around the world to lock in reserves.</p>
<p>&#8220;Now it is about production, cash flow and earnings,&#8221; Chief  Executive Officer Peter Marrone told <em>Reuters.</em></p>
<p>It’s also about dividends. The company recently kicked up its investor payout by 300%, a strong vote of confidence to its production and stock performance.</p>
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