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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; PVD</title>
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		<title>Insights on Income: You Don’t Have to Sacrifice Capital Gains for a High Yield</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/insights-on-income-you-don%e2%80%99t-have-to-sacrifice-capital-gains-for-a-high-yield/4820</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/insights-on-income-you-don%e2%80%99t-have-to-sacrifice-capital-gains-for-a-high-yield/4820#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 22 Aug 2008 12:28:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin Hutchinson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Investing]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/insights-on-income-you-don%e2%80%99t-have-to-sacrifice-capital-gains-for-a-high-yield/4820</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>When it comes to income investing, it’s all too easy to fall into the trap of forgoing growth in pursuit of juicy dividends. It’s a major problem when investing in U.S. stocks in particular, but internationally, investors can have their cake and eat it, too: There is no reason why you cannot have both income and growth.</p>
<p class="entry">Buying shares for income has traditionally entailed investing in sectors that economically aren’t going anywhere.  U.S.-focused investors find themselves owning railroads, trucking companies and electric utilities, not the most exciting of sectors, and most unlikely to grow your investment as a percentage of the global economy.</p>
<p>Even in those so-called “tried and true” sectors, in the modern U.S. economy of huge payouts, stock options and&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When it comes to income investing, it’s all too easy to fall into the trap of forgoing growth in pursuit of juicy dividends. It’s a major problem when investing in U.S. stocks in particular, but internationally, investors can have their cake and eat it, too: There is no reason why you cannot have both income and growth.</p>
<p class="entry">Buying shares for income has traditionally entailed investing in sectors that economically aren’t going anywhere.  U.S.-focused investors find themselves owning railroads, trucking companies and electric utilities, not the most exciting of sectors, and most unlikely to grow your investment as a percentage of the global economy.</p>
<p>Even in those so-called “tried and true” sectors, in the modern U.S. economy of huge payouts, stock options and multi-millionaire management, you aren’t likely to get the dividends you deserve. For example, the railroad company CSX Corp. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=csx&amp;hl=en">CSX</a>) yields 1.5%,  trucking company J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3AJBHT">JBHT</a>) yields 1.0%  and even electric utility American Electric Power Co. Inc. (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=aep&amp;hl=en">AEP</a>) yields a  modest 4.3%.</p>
<p>All three companies pay out less than half their earnings. The remainder is retained in the company, or used for share buy-backs, to provide capital gains for top management’s greedy stock options. If you can’t get decent dividends from investing in these admirable operations, dividend investing in the United States is a lost cause.</p>
<p>But  internationally, income investment is a horse of a different color.</p>
<p>First, international firms don’t follow the Wall Street model of huge salaries, generous stock options and seven-figure bonuses. Less money earmarked for executive compensation means more cash in investors’ pockets.  And that’s a good thing, because international investors have a natural cynicism about retained earnings, believing that money that stays with the company is just management’s to waste. It’s much better to have the excess cash paid out in dividends, to do with, as you like.</p>
<p>Second, foreign markets are growing much faster than the United States. If the local economy is growing at 7% to 10%, even the railroads and electric utilities will grow at a similar pace, providing an increasing stream of profits.</p>
<p>Third, you don’t need to confine yourself to companies growing at the speed of an arthritic snail to get good dividends or sacrifice the capital gains that come from investing in sectors that provide the world’s new ideas, intellectual growth and economic advance. Unlike the technology firms in the United States, some international companies in growth sectors don’t feel they have a God-given right to keep ALL the earnings under management’s control. Instead, they pay out dividends to shareholders.</p>
<p>The international appeal of dividends makes more sense when you remember that many of these companies are still controlled by the founders or their immediate heirs. Large dividends on their holdings are understandably attractive to these rich founding families.</p>
<p>Furthermore, in some countries such as Taiwan, the tax system rewards paying dividends, by imposing an additional “retained profits tax” on companies that keep too much of their earnings without making good use of them.  (The United States had a similar tax from 1936 to 1958, but the management lobby proved stronger than the investor lobby, so it was repealed.)</p>
<p>Internationally, you can find what seems impossible in the United States: Companies in growth sectors, with good track records, that nevertheless pay out good dividends, at least at the 4-5% level and sometimes more. By investing in such companies, investors can have the best of both worlds:</p>
<ul type="disc">
<li>A substantial       dividend that they can live on.</li>
<li>And the chance of       capital gains in the future as the company expands.</li>
</ul>
<p>It’s almost like U.S. investing in the halcyon days of 1949, when the Dow Jones Index had a Price-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 7% and a 6.9% yield (U.S. Treasuries yielded less than 3% at that time). And while we can’t go back in time, by investing internationally and picking carefully, we can get some of the advantages of an investor in 1949. And even possibly do as well as that investor did during the subsequent decade of Eisenhower growth and stock price rises.</p>
<p>Here’s how to “have it both ways,” when it comes to  international income investing:</p>
<p><strong>Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones Provida  SA</strong> (ADR: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=pvd">PVD</a>), commonly known as Provida, is the funds manager of the privatized Chilean social security funds, a business it has diversified to hold investments in fund administrators in Peru, Ecuador, Mexico and the Dominican Republic. Majority owned by the Spanish bank Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria with a P/E ratio at 9 times trailing earnings, and a dividend yield of 7.6%, this stock is especially juicy for income investors. Growth will likely come from increases in assets under management, as Chile becomes richer and some expansion of the Chilean pension fund model to other countries.</p>
<p><strong>Acer</strong> (Taiwan) (London  Stock Exchange: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=acid&amp;hl=en">ACID</a>) is the world’s third largest manufacturer of personal computers, with top technological innovation in Taiwan and the ability to manufacture in the cheap-labor rural China. P/E ratio 12 and a dividend yield of 5.6%, plus you get to participate in the growth of the PC industry.</p>
<p><strong>Eni SPA</strong><strong> </strong>(ADR: <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AE">E</a>) is Italy’s entry in the “Big Oil” stakes. Because of Italy’s neutral foreign policy posture, it has the advantage of being able to operate in countries like Kazakhstan, Libya and Venezuela where U.S. companies have difficulty. At a price-earnings ratio of only 6.7 with a dividend yield of 6.6%, it currently offers excellent value with chances for growth if oil prices stay high and new oil sources remain attractive.</p>
<p>[<strong><u>Editor’s Note</u></strong>: When it comes to global income  issues, <em><strong><a href="http://www.moneymorning.com"  class="alinks_links">Money Morning</a></strong></em> Contributing Editor Martin Hutchinson knows his stuff.  An investment banker with more than 25 years’ experience, Hutchinson has worked on both Wall Street and Fleet Street and is a leading expert on the international financial markets. In February 2000, as an advisor to the Republic of Macedonia, Hutchinson figured out how to restore the life savings of 800,000 Macedonians, who had been stripped of nearly $1 billion by the breakup of Yugoslavia - and then the Kosovo War. Hutchinson’s “<em><a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/category/insights-on-income/"><em>Insights on  Income</em></a></em>” column is a regular feature in <em><strong>Money Morning</strong></em>].</p>
<p>Source: <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com/2008/08/22/china-investing-strategy/">Insights on Income: You Don’t Have to Sacrifice  Capital Gains for a High Yield</a></p>
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		<title>3 Ways to Play the Emerging Markets Banking Boom</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/how-to-profit-from-the-emerging-markets-investment-banking-boom/4779</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/how-to-profit-from-the-emerging-markets-investment-banking-boom/4779#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Aug 2008 13:11:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Martin Hutchinson</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Emerging Markets]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p><strong>Emerging markets</strong> are the place for investment bankers to wheel and deal during the next couple of years, says <strong>Martin Hutchinson</strong> in <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com"  class="alinks_links">Money Morning</a>.</p>
<p>Emerging markets&#8217; share of <strong>investment banking</strong> revenue has increased in both percentage share and in total value over the past few years.</p>
<p>Of course, if you want to buy into this dynamic growth business you need to invest in emerging markets investment banks. Martin has picked three that are worth a look&#8230;</p>
<p class="entry">In 2005, investment-banking revenue from emerging markets accounted for almost $40 billion, or 16% of the global investment-banking revenue total. Those figures increased to just over $78 billion, a 21% share of the total in 2007.</p>
<p>Emerging markets’ share of investment banking revenue will  soar to 28%-30% by 2010, according to&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Emerging markets</strong> are the place for investment bankers to wheel and deal during the next couple of years, says <strong>Martin Hutchinson</strong> in <a href="http://www.moneymorning.com"  class="alinks_links">Money Morning</a>.</p>
<p>Emerging markets&#8217; share of <strong>investment banking</strong> revenue has increased in both percentage share and in total value over the past few years.</p>
<p>Of course, if you want to buy into this dynamic growth business you need to invest in emerging markets investment banks. Martin has picked three that are worth a look&#8230;</p>
<p class="entry">In 2005, investment-banking revenue from emerging markets accounted for almost $40 billion, or 16% of the global investment-banking revenue total. Those figures increased to just over $78 billion, a 21% share of the total in 2007.</p>
<p>Emerging markets’ share of investment banking revenue will  soar to 28%-30% by 2010, according to <strong><em>McKinsey Quarterly</em></strong>. And depending on how quickly the global financial markets recover, emerging markets will see investment banking revenue growth from $40 billion to somewhere between $90 billion and $115 billion in the five-year period of 2005-2010.</p>
<p>McKinsey’s overall thesis &#8211; that emerging markets are coming to represent an increasingly important source of investment banking revenues &#8211; appears correct. Emerging market economies are generally growing economically much faster than the West, so opportunities for companies are greater and an increasing proportion of the merger business is happening there.</p>
<p>With high Asian savings rates, current account surpluses, and the piling up of petrodollars, emerging markets represent much of the world’s savings pool. So, it’s not surprising that emerging market investment banking business is growing rapidly, both in absolute terms and as a percentage of the global total.</p>
<p>So we should all rush out and buy Goldman Sachs Group Inc.  (<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AGS">GS</a>), right?</p>
<p>Not so fast.</p>
<p>First, Goldman Sachs has had huge successes in a number of emerging markets, notably China, but its main business remains with U.S. and European Union companies, and that’s not going to change. Even if its emerging markets business were to expand, it could never be big enough to provide more than a modest uplift over the gloomy prospects for investment banking business domestically.</p>
<p>Second, Goldman Sachs and the rest of Wall Street are hopelessly uncompetitive in terms of costs and fees. They can be undercut, and fairly easily.</p>
<p>Wall Street firms have a habit of relying on superb connections to get the mandates and a dedicated team of top quality salesmen to sell the paper. But with emerging markets being largely separate from the United States and EU, the big Wall Street houses don’t necessarily have the local connections they need. And paper issued by emerging markets often sells to investors such as the sovereign wealth funds, which are again outside the normal Wall Street speed-dial.</p>
<p>Moreover, Wall Street bankers are hopelessly overpaid &#8211; recent graduates from the top business schools can start at around $200,000 a year. That makes a lot of emerging market deals off-limits, because they are too small to cover U.S. investment bank’s costs.</p>
<p>A merger deal that might make a $250,000 fee just isn’t worth their while &#8211; by the time they’ve put analysts onto it, found a buyer and done the legal work, they’re out of pocket. A $250,000 fee is small change to a U.S. or Western Europe investment bank, but in many emerging markets it represents a decent piece of business. What’s more, there are a far greater number of $250,000 deals around in those emerging markets then there are $2.5 million pieces of business.</p>
<p>Local traders and analysts, even with some years of experience, make a fraction of $200,000 Wall Street salaries. That means, for most business in emerging markets, local houses are likely to be much more competitive than their Wall Street brethren.</p>
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