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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; Quarter Gdp</title>
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		<title>Gold Firms as Dollar Falls after U.S. Data</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/gold-firms-as-dollar-falls-after-us-data/19536</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 30 Jul 2009 16:45:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Advance Orders]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ashraf Laidi]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[New York Mercantile]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Quarter Gdp]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Report Oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Spot Gold]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=19536</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Gold rose on Thursday as the dollar fell versus a basket of currencies, with rebounding stock markets and U.S. jobless figures showing a decline in continuing claims boosting appetite for assets seen as higher risk.</p>
<p>U.S. data showed the number of U.S. workers filing new claims for jobless benefits rose slightly more than expected last week, but a gauge of underlying labor trends fell for a fifth straight week.</p>
<p>Spot gold was bid at $933.50 an ounce at 1311 GMT, against $929.00 an ounce late in New York on Wednesday. U.S. gold futures for August delivery on the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange rose $6.20 to $933.40 an ounce.</p>
<p>&#8220;If this is welcomed by the equities market and triggers a fresh boost,&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Gold rose on Thursday as the dollar fell versus a basket of currencies, with rebounding stock markets and U.S. jobless figures showing a decline in continuing claims boosting appetite for assets seen as higher risk.<span id="more-19536"></span></p>
<p>U.S. data showed the number of U.S. workers filing new claims for jobless benefits rose slightly more than expected last week, but a gauge of underlying labor trends fell for a fifth straight week.</p>
<p>Spot gold was bid at $933.50 an ounce at 1311 GMT, against $929.00 an ounce late in New York on Wednesday. U.S. gold futures for August delivery on the COMEX division of the New York Mercantile Exchange rose $6.20 to $933.40 an ounce.</p>
<p>&#8220;If this is welcomed by the equities market and triggers a fresh boost, that could benefit gold,&#8221; said CMC Markets strategist Ashraf Laidi.</p>
<p>The dollar was down 0.39 percent at 79.3 against a basket of currencies and was lower against the euro following the data. Traders are now eyeing U.S. data on second-quarter GDP due on Friday for clues as to the next direction of the economy.</p>
<p>European shares rose as investors digested a raft of broadly positive corporate earnings, while U.S. stock futures extended gains after the jobs report.</p>
<p>Oil was also boosted by stock markets and rose above $64 a barrel. Firmer crude prices can support gold, which can be used as a hedge against oil-led inflation.</p>
<p>Gold demand in India, the world&#8217;s biggest bullion consumer, is recovering after recent price falls, but a further decline will be needed for buying to significantly recover.</p>
<p>&#8220;There are advance orders in decent quantities in the range of $900-920 an ounce,&#8221; said one dealer with a state-run bank.</p>
<p>Overall demand in India remains weak, however. The country&#8217;s gold imports have reached a provisional 8-10 tonnes in July so far, well below the 24 tonnes recorded last June, the Bombay Bullion Association said.</p>
<p>INVESTMENT SOFT</p>
<p>Investment demand for gold remained soft, however, as ETF holdings slipped further. Holdings of the largest bullion ETF, the SPDR Gold Trust, fell over 10 tonnes on Wednesday, and are down nearly 48 tonnes in the last four weeks.</p>
<p>Jason Toussaint, managing director for exchange-traded gold with the World Gold Council, said there was evidence investors were selling out of the SPDR fund to buy shares.</p>
<p>Analysts fear a broader liquidation of ETF gold holdings resulting from a recovery in risk appetite could jeopardise gold&#8217;s gains.</p>
<p>&#8220;Without strong physical demand to absorb metal coming back into the market and with funds cutting long exposure, the metal is at risk of a deeper correction,&#8221; said TheBullionDesk.com analyst James Moore.</p>
<p>On the supply side, the world&#8217;s largest gold producer, Barrick Gold , said it produced 1.87 million ounces of gold in the second quarter and is on track to meet its 2009 output target of 7.2-7.6 million ounces.</p>
<p>Among other precious metals, silver tracked gold up to $13.44 an ounce against $13.28. Spot platinum was at $1,177 an ounce against $1,170, while spot palladium was at $255 against $252.50</p>
<p>LONDON, July 30 (Reuters)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Junior Diamond Miner And Explorer KCM Makes A Sparkling Appearance</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/junior-diamond-miner-and-explorer-kcm-makes-a-sparkling-appearance/2807</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/junior-diamond-miner-and-explorer-kcm-makes-a-sparkling-appearance/2807#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Jun 2008 16:21:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Erin Hamilton</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Emerging Markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[African Miners]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[altx]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Power Crisis]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Quarter Gdp]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[South African Economic Outlook]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[South African Migrant Workers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trans Hex]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/junior-diamond-miner-and-explorer-kcm-makes-a-sparkling-appearance/2807</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>For most South African miners it was a time of darkness. But on the day that Statistics SA released truly dismal 2008 first quarter figures, a stunning debutant proved the mining sector is not all gloom. </p>
<p>Kimberley Consolidated Mining (KCM), a junior diamond miner, explorer and developer made a sparkling appearance. Its share price soared by 11% as it listed on Johannesburg’s alternative exchange (AltX).</p>
<h2>For South Africa it’s &#8211; what commodities boom?</h2>
<p>Still, the economic outlook remains gloomy in the southern hemisphere.</p>
<p>According to Statistics SA, South Africa has &#8220;seriously missed the commodities boom&#8221;. It reckons the mining sector’s contribution to first quarter GDP plummeted some 22%.</p>
<p>Of course everyone expected the mining sector to shrink what with the power crisis, not to&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For most South African miners it was a time of darkness. But on the day that Statistics SA released truly dismal 2008 first quarter figures, a stunning debutant proved the mining sector is not all gloom. <span id="more-2807"></span></p>
<p>Kimberley Consolidated Mining (KCM), a junior diamond miner, explorer and developer made a sparkling appearance. Its share price soared by 11% as it listed on Johannesburg’s alternative exchange (AltX).</p>
<h2>For South Africa it’s &#8211; what commodities boom?</h2>
<p>Still, the economic outlook remains gloomy in the southern hemisphere.</p>
<p>According to Statistics SA, South Africa has &#8220;seriously missed the commodities boom&#8221;. It reckons the mining sector’s contribution to first quarter GDP plummeted some 22%.</p>
<p>Of course everyone expected the mining sector to shrink what with the power crisis, not to mention safety issues and violence against migrant workers. But even economists didn’t think it would be that bad. Most predicted a 10% fall.</p>
<p>Gold, platinum and diamond producers &#8211; South Africa’s worst performers &#8211; are to blame. They’ve not been producing enough precious material!</p>
<p>Platinum production was down 15% in the first quarter year-on-year&#8230; gold was down 19% and diamonds 18%. This was a major reason for South Africa’s economy growing just 2.1% versus 5.3% in the previous quarter.</p>
<p>So, South African miners are trapped in a recession in the middle of a commodities boom. Most lay the blame for this at the door of Eskom, the state electricity supplier. But other reasons are beginning to emerge&#8230;</p>
<p>The reserve bank’s efforts are one — it’s trying keep inflation between 3% and 6% at a time when the oil price is going through the roof. This means the bank was forced to hike interest rates to keep inflation within its target. Propping up the currency is another move that has caused many miners to move their production boosts — they’ve gone offshore!</p>
<p>Then there are the new mining regulations. While they came into force as long ago as May 2004, they’ve taken some time to implement. And, of course, new royalty payments came into affect this year. This was the subject of heated debate between the mining industry and the government.</p>
<p>Now, it looks like things are about to get worse&#8230;</p>
<p>Electricity supplies may have been stabilised, but winter is on its way. Domestic consumption is expected to rise. More stress on the system does not bode well for its major mining users.</p>
<h2>Still, there are gems down there&#8230;</h2>
<p>You can’t blame South African miners for downing their tools and investors for making for the exit!</p>
<p>But the little newcomer shows that there are still gems in there.</p>
<p>In spite of fears about prospects in South Africa, KCM still managed to arouse a lot of interest when it listed on the JSE’s AltX. Even as Statistics SA announced the mining sector’s demise, the first day’s trade in KCM saw its share price soar.</p>
<p>So what has KCM got going for it?</p>
<p>CEO Hein Le Riche reckons there is massive demand for high quality gem diamonds. And there is a lot of promise in KCM’s prospects. The company’s two main mines (Bo-Karoo and Taung) are on the Orange River. This territory is famous for large high value gemstones.</p>
<p>Mining at Bo-Karoo kicked off in mid-2005. Between then and now the mine has produced an average of 250 carats a month. For the year ending 2009, the mine is forecast to produce 4,840 carats, rising to 6,000 the following year.Bo-Karoo has &#8220;indicated&#8221; diamond resources and more certain &#8220;probable&#8221; diamond reserves of 25,490 carats.</p>
<p>Already the mine has produced some significant white and coloured sparklers &#8211; a 98 carat stone in 2006 and a 123 carat stone in 2007. The latter went for $22,000/carat. Then in April this year a 46 carat blue-white stone sold for an impressive $28,000/carat.</p>
<p>At its other alluvial mine, Taung, 3657 carats of diamond have sold for an average of US$751/carat. Better still, 90% of these diamonds are of gem quality and 40% are bigger than one carat stones. A 42 carat Cape yellow diamond from Taung sold for US$918 per carat.</p>
<p>Then there is The Carter Block in the Northern Cape Province near to one of De Beers mines. Here there are known kimberlite pipes &#8211; the other type of diamond mining that takes the form of an open pit. There are also alluvial deposits.</p>
<p>KCM has entered a joint venture on this with JSE listed Trans Hex, a company that has kimberlite mining expertise. While this mine is still in the exploration phase, prospects have been judged good enough to begin bulk sampling.</p>
<p>Exploration is also underway at Batloung, another area in the Northern Cape where KCM holds mining rights.</p>
<p>The company may raise capital to fund the development of these Kimberlite prospects particularly the one at Carter.</p>
<h2>&#8230;and prices are rising for its gems, not just KCM shares</h2>
<p>All in all, it sounds as though Mr Le Riche’s confidence is justified.</p>
<p>In two years KCM and its subsidiaries produced more than 12,000 carats. These, he said, sold for more than R120m (just under £8m). In February alone Bo-Karoo and Taung produced more a 1000 carats. These brought a gross income of more than R10m.</p>
<p>Since 2005, KCM has sold diamonds worth R150m. Come February 2009 the company expects to generate an annual R91m in sales. It has already achieved a third of that this year!</p>
<p>Even KCM has underestimated the buoyancy of diamond prices. In its pre-listing statement it said average prices would be around $1900/carat, but that has already shot to $2400/carat.</p>
<p>And Mr Le Riche reckons demand is strong enough to push prices higher still. That means KCM is not limiting itself to South Africa. It has plans to enter Sierra Leone, Angola and Lesotho, too.</p>
<p>One word of warning though! Diamond stocks have been the worst performing of resource stocks.</p>
<p>Still, KCM is already ahead of its revenue targets for this financial year by 30%. It has profits of R4.5m forecast for February 2009. By the end of 2010, the company is forecasting profits of R30,5m.</p>
<p>Even better news! It is talking of paying dividends to shareholders. That would make it the first AltX mining company to do so. And it could send the share price higher!</p>
<p>So, if all goes to plan, this one could be just be a glimmer of light in the South Africa’s darkness.</p>
<p>Keep exploring,</p>
<p>Erin and Isabel</p>
<p>By Erin Hamilton and Isabel Turner,<br />
First published on Wednesday, June 04, 2008</p>
<p>Source: <a href="http://www.fspinvest.co.uk/free-e-letters/the-miner-diaries.html">Junior Diamond Miner And Explorer KCM Makes A Sparkling Appearance</a></p>
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