The U.S. news media has convinced many investors that oil consumption is falling because of the global recession. While that may be true, it’s a disservice to millions of investors because production is declining at a pace that’s actually three times faster.
On June 10, 2008, Alexei Miller, CEO of Russia’s Gazprom, told a French audience that crude oil prices would reach $250 a barrel in 2009. His former Gazprom cohort and then freshly minted Russian prime minister Medvedev did him one better… pegging crude oil prices at $500. Was it wishful thinking? Did the gentlemen overdose on “hard-money” investment newsletters and Peak Oil Theory? We may never know.
Barring some dramatic – and unforeseen – news this week, expect investors to tread water until Thursday, when the government is expected to release the results of the bank stress tests it conducted on the 19 largest U.S. banks.
Who knew that oil, once the pariah of the western world, would have such a positive role in the Obama’ Administration. Senator Clinton couldn’t have asked for a better ally. Oil is bringing America’s strongest enemies to their knees and reminding Europe why Russia isn’t such a great neighbor after all.
It’s become apparent that Israel’s land war and Russia’s childish power plays aren’t driving gas prices up. In fact, the price of crude sank 6% to $38.00 a barrel this morning.
We are in a transition between the old profligate energy economy and the new economy of relative scarcity, says James Howard Kunstler. He is not convinced the President-elect Obama is fully aware of the dramatic changes that lie ahead for America. Even if he were, says James, he’d probably be crucified for daring to talk about it.
Government mulls mortgage price-control plan… who needs the free market anyway? Dan Denning on the true meaning behind the recent bull market in bonds. Stocks rally on Beige Book release… did the Fed send us the wrong copy? Bill Gross on stock evaluation for the Brave New World of tomorrow. Byron King with anecdotal evidence that oil is well oversold.
Crude oil prices slipped below $60 a barrel yesterday, taking the black goo to a 20-month low. But that doesn’t change the fundamentals. Oil production is levelling out, and will soon begin to fall. Andrew Gordon expects crude to soar back toward $200 after a short pause. And Big Oil companies that are still investing in new projects will shine.
Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) set a U.S. profit record today (Thursday) when it announced its third quarter profit topped $14.8 billion on record-high oil prices.
Choppy markets have sent dividend yields to “unbelievably high” levels, says Jim Nelson. This makes today a great time to start income investing. Jim says Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE:RDS:A/RDS.B) and BP (NYSE:BP) are two cash-rich companies with consistent dividend payments and “absurdly” high yields right now.