Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks » RTPIX http://www.contrarianprofits.com Access market-beating ideas from the world's top investment gurus on stock market investing, the gold market, ETFs, Forex trading and real estate values. Mon, 10 May 2010 15:10:45 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.5 en hourly 1 Corporate Bonds Are No Longer Boring http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/someone-will-make-a-lot-of-money-on-this-market-anomalymr/3244 http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/someone-will-make-a-lot-of-money-on-this-market-anomalymr/3244#comments Wed, 25 Jun 2008 19:36:01 +0000 Steve Sjuggerud http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/someone-will-make-a-lot-of-money-on-this-market-anomalymr/3244 Editor’s Note: DailyWealth’s Steve Sjuggerud thinks there is an extraordinary opportunity for investors in the bond market.

The spread of yields between investment grade corporate bonds and treasury bonds is at its highest since 2002. Soon after that point came a sharp correction back to the long-running average.

A similar adjustment now, says Steve, will make someone a lot of money. He’s calling it a “once-in-a-generation opportunity”…

Someone Will Make a Lot of Money on This Market Anomaly

By Steve Sjuggerud

In the latest issue of True Wealth, I shared with subscribers “The Next Big Thing(s) – Nine ideas for a difficult market. “To me, it’s exciting to be able to have that many unique opportunities to share. That’s the biggest unseen benefit of the rough market…

]]> Editor’s Note: DailyWealth’s Steve Sjuggerud thinks there is an extraordinary opportunity for investors in the bond market.

The spread of yields between investment grade corporate bonds and treasury bonds is at its highest since 2002. Soon after that point came a sharp correction back to the long-running average.

A similar adjustment now, says Steve, will make someone a lot of money. He’s calling it a “once-in-a-generation opportunity”…

Someone Will Make a Lot of Money on This Market Anomaly

By Steve Sjuggerud

In the latest issue of True Wealth, I shared with subscribers “The Next Big Thing(s) – Nine ideas for a difficult market. “To me, it’s exciting to be able to have that many unique opportunities to share. That’s the biggest unseen benefit of the rough market we’ve had over the last 12 months.

The nine ideas I shared come from all over the globe, in all kinds of investments (stocks, bonds, and whatever else). So they’re not all correlated… If one doesn’t work, another will more than make up for it.

And I believe a few of those ideas will turn out to be “life changing” investments. The opportunities are that good. Most of them are “once in a generation” trades.

Today, I want to share with you yet another possible once-in-a-generation opportunity…

Right now, “investment grade” corporate bonds are as cheap as they’ve ever been, relative to Treasury bonds.

The only time we saw a similar anomaly in the last 50 years was in October 2002. It was a great buy signal…

In less than eight months, “boring” investment-grade bonds soared 19% in price. And don’t forget, the bonds were paying more than 7% (compared to just 4% in Treasury bonds)… So you’d have picked up a good amount of interest in addition to your capital gains.

Today, we’re seeing a nearly identical situation… Investment-grade corporate bonds are paying more than 7%, while Treasury bonds are paying around 4%. Take a look at the chart and you’ll see what I mean:

Corporate Bonds: As attractive as they've ever been

Traditionally, investment-grade bonds have paid out only 25% more interest than Treasury bonds. So, for example, if Treasury bonds are paying 4% interest, then investment-grade corporate bonds would typically pay out only 5% interest.The difference between 4% and 5% isn’t huge… Treasury bonds are thought of as the ultimate safe investment. But investment-grade bonds are not usually considered particularly risky either.Today, however, investors are spooked. So now, investment-grade corporate bonds once again pay out more than 7% interest… nearly twice what Treasuries pay.This relationship could return to normal in two ways… Corporate-bond prices could soar, or Treasury prices could fall. Last time around (in late 2002 to mid 2003), both of these happened at the same time.This relationship will likely return to “normal” again – and someone will make a lot of money.The easiest way to buy a basket of investment-grade corporate bonds is through the iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond Fund (LQD). It generally holds a basket of 100 different investment-grade corporate bonds.But I’m not that bold… LQD has been hitting new lows daily. And we can’t know in advance how the relationship will return to normal (if corporate bonds will soar or if Treasuries will crash).

There’s another way to put the trade on… You could do it hedge-fund style, where you buy LQD and make the equal and opposite bet against Treasuries. One way to bet against Treasuries is through the ProFunds Rising Rates 10 (RTPIX), which will profit if Treasury prices fall.Again, I’m not bold enough for these trades yet. The trends are against me so far. And with all the turmoil in anything related to borrowing money, I can’t recommend getting in right now.

But it is an extraordinary anomaly… one we should only see once in a generation. Soon, we will have a safer moment to capitalize on it. Someday, someone will make a lot of money here. We’ll do our best to pick the right time to get in…

Source: Someone Will Make a Lot of Money on This Market Anomaly

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