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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; Seasonal Adjustments</title>
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		<title>No Inflation If You Don&#8217;t Eat or Drive</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/no-inflation-if-you-dont-eat-or-drive/2083</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/no-inflation-if-you-dont-eat-or-drive/2083#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 14 May 2008 17:38:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Consumer Price Index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CPI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[energy costs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[energy prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gas prices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inflation Rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kevin Phillips]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mish Shedlock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Seasonal Adjustments]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Inflation, if you believe what the government tells you, ran at 3.9% in the 12 months ending this April, but was it more like 5% or even 10%?</p>
<p>According to <a href="http://money.cnn.com/2008/05/13/news/economy/misery/index.htm?cnn=yes" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">CNN</a> &#8220;part of the disconnect may be due to the fact that nondurable goods, such as food and gasoline, makes up only 12% of the Consumer Price Index (CPI), the main measure of inflation.<strong> </strong></p>
<blockquote><p>In addition, food and energy prices are eliminated from the so-called core CPI, which many economists tend to focus more closely on because they claim food and gas prices are volatile.</p>
<p>But food and energy costs are a very important part of household budgets. And those prices have been skyrocketing: Gas prices were up about 21% over the 12 months&#8230;</p></blockquote>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Inflation, if you believe what the government tells you, ran at 3.9% in the 12 months ending this April, but was it more like 5% or even 10%?</p>
<p>According to <a href="http://money.cnn.com/2008/05/13/news/economy/misery/index.htm?cnn=yes" title="Open a new browser window to learn more." target="_blank">CNN</a> &#8220;part of the disconnect may be due to the fact that nondurable goods, such as food and gasoline, makes up only 12% of the Consumer Price Index (CPI), the main measure of inflation.<strong> </strong></p>
<blockquote><p>In addition, food and energy prices are eliminated from the so-called core CPI, which many economists tend to focus more closely on because they claim food and gas prices are volatile.</p>
<p>But food and energy costs are a very important part of household budgets. And those prices have been skyrocketing: Gas prices were up about 21% over the 12 months ending in April.</p></blockquote>
<p>So-called &#8220;seasonal adjustments&#8221; also come into play. Because of these adjustments, the government reported that gas prices were 2% in April, despite the fact that on a non-adjusted basis, gas prices rose 5.6% from March.</p>
<p>For more on how how seasonal adjusting skews inflation, read on at <a href="http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/" title="Open a new browser window to learn more.">Mish Shedlock&#8217;s blog</a>.</p>
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