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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; short trading</title>
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		<title>How Put Options Can Yield Mega Profits In Retail Sector</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/how-put-options-can-yield-mega-profits-in-retail-sector/8619</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/how-put-options-can-yield-mega-profits-in-retail-sector/8619#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 17 Nov 2008 18:49:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Adam Lass</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adam Lass]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bear market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[etf]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[put options]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[retail sector]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[short trading]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[XLY]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=8619</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p><strong>Adam Lass</strong> says it&#8217;s not too late to make profits in the retail sector. As an &#8220;anxious&#8221; holiday season approaches some stocks could be cut in half again. Adam says put options on the most vulnerable retailers can yield triple-digit gains. An alternative is to buy a put contract on a<strong> retail sector ETF </strong>(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=XLY">XLY</a>).</p>
<p>This from <a href="http://www.taipanpublishing.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title="Taipan Publishing"  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Taipan</a> Daily:</p>
<blockquote><p>Damien Hirst creates grotesqueries. Grand statues of  pregnant mothers’ intestines… drowned sheep in tanks of blue water… corpses in  full wedding regalia lying under a table.</p>
<p>His conflations of birth, love and death have made him the  darling of the art world in recent years. As aberrant as it might seem to place  a diamond-covered human skull in the lobby of an office building, this sort of&#8230;</p></blockquote>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Adam Lass</strong> says it&#8217;s not too late to make profits in the retail sector. As an &#8220;anxious&#8221; holiday season approaches some stocks could be cut in half again. Adam says put options on the most vulnerable retailers can yield triple-digit gains. An alternative is to buy a put contract on a<strong> retail sector ETF </strong><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;">(NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=XLY">XLY</a>)</span>.<span id="more-8619"></span></p>
<p>This from <a href="http://www.taipanpublishing.com"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title="Taipan Publishing"  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Taipan</a> Daily:</p>
<blockquote><p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;">Damien Hirst creates grotesqueries. Grand statues of  pregnant mothers’ intestines… drowned sheep in tanks of blue water… corpses in  full wedding regalia lying under a table.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;">His conflations of birth, love and death have made him the  darling of the art world in recent years. As aberrant as it might seem to place  a diamond-covered human skull in the lobby of an office building, this sort of  odd behavior is actually quite the norm at the peak of an inflationary bubble.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;">After all, it makes about as much sense to pay $3 million  for a “Neimanesque” painting of four rotting skulls as it does to pay $3  million for a two-bedroom condo on Manhattan’s lower West Side. Why the heck  not, when the money itself has become as meaningless as the art’s supposed  aesthetic or the cachet of the address.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;"><strong>A Chill Breeze…</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;">And then a crash blows through, bringing a bracing chill to  the public’s fevered conscience. Suddenly, the idea of spending dollars as fast  as one can possibly manage seems remarkably foolish.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;">And so it is that last week, auctioneers to the overly rich,  Phillips de Pury and Co., were completely unable to peddle off Hirst’s  “Beautiful Artemis Thor Neptune Odin Delusional Sapphic Inspirational Hypnosis  Painting.” In fact, an additional 20 lots enticed no bids whatsoever – this  despite all the champagne staffers plied attendees with.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;">This sudden grim turn is hardly unique to P.d.P’s.  Christie’s reports that it was unable to move an equally grotesque  self-portrait by Francis Bacon that had been expected to pull down some $40  million.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;"><strong>The Awful Grip of Reality </strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;">If I could tell you that this is all simply symptomatic of a  long overdue upper-class comeuppance, I surely would. Unfortunately, while this  crash may have started in Downtown Manhattan, it is now spreading its clammy  fingers throughout the global economy, sparing neither high nor low.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;">Just last week I was perusing my Bloomberg feed and came across  an article describing the alarming increase in shoplifting and  pick-pocketing&#8230; by elderly Japanese retirees. According to Japan’s Ministry  of Justice, the number of petty thefts by this suddenly-bereft cadre have  doubled in 2008. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;">Chuo University’s Masahiro Yamada credits the spike to  anxiety over increasing lack of assets and a failing social net. And this in a  society famed for its familial loyalty and massive savings rate! One can only  imagine the sort of future we have to look forward to here in the States. </span></p>
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<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;"><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;"><strong>How to Turn Wall Street’s Pain Into a Quick 146% Gain! </strong></span></span></p>
<p>While current market conditions are treacherous for naive “buy and hold” investors, a small group of smart folks are converting the market slide into gains of <strong>251%&#8230; 307%&#8230; even 387%</strong>&#8230; week in and week out… no matter how far the Dow falls. <a href="http://www.isecureonline.com/reports/WOW/WWOWJA08/" target="_blank">Here’s how you can join them &#8212; free &#8212; for a full six months!</a></div>
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<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;"><br />
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<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;"><strong>High Anxiety</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;">We are certainly becoming ever more anxious. Recent polls  put the current White House occupant’s approval rating in the low 30s. And The  Reuters/University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey is pegged at a 28-year  low for the second month in a row.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;">And for those of you who dismiss such surveys as “utterly  disconnected from reality,” I must point out that this one has found alarming  traction in the “real world.” Retail sales put in a record breaking collapse in  October. Nor was this 2.8% drop but so unique. In fact, sales have fallen in  each of the past four months, the first such instance of prolonged retail  failure since we began keeping track in 1992.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;">Needless to say, many of the retailers that comprise the  <strong>Standard and Poors Consumer  Discretionary SPDR</strong> (NYSE:<a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=XLY">XLY</a>) have recalled their more optimistic guidance of  a few short months ago, and are now finally warning of hard times ahead.<br />
</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;"><strong>Capitalizing Fear and Pain</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;">For some, this admission is rather late in coming, seeing as  how the XLY has already cut itself in half over the past five months.  Fortunately, regular readers of both this and my <em>WaveStrength Options Weekly  (WOW)</em> column have been completely prepared for this blow.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;">Here, I have begged folks for the better part of a year to  protect themselves by purging these stocks from their portfolios, while in <em>WOW</em>,  I armed readers with put contracts against the weakest players that have  garnered <strong>gains of approximately 1,873%</strong>. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;">It is NOT too late to do either. First of all, the retail  stocks as a whole could still easily cut themselves in half again, as we move  through the most “anxious” holiday shopping season in recent memory.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;">Beyond that, you can capitalize this loss simply by buying a  mid-dated, at-the-money put against the XLY itself. My calculations show that a  contract of this nature can expect to gain $50 for every additional dollar the  retail ETF loses.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Arial;">Heck, with the gains you might make, you could even buy that  dreadful Hirst painting of the skulls and all. And probably at a marked  discount to boot.</span></p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.taipanpublishinggroup.com/Taipan-Daily-111708.html"><span style="text-align: left; font-size: medium; font-family: Arial;">Source: High Anxiety Strikes New York, Tokyo – and Your Local Mall</span></a></p>
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