Retail investors had a rough go of things in the first half, but since the March lows of all the markets, the Standard & Poor’s Retail Index is showing progress toward its 52-week high of 427.13.

On the earnings calendar, as you can see from the ones I have listed there is a significant amount of retailers reporting this week. That’s only a partial list, here’s the rest: ANN, BJ, APP, DDS, HOTT, DKS, ARO, GPS, PSUN, NWY, ROST, and TJX.

Massive unemployment? No problem! Adam Lass of the Taipan Publishing Group says that no one is buying luxury goods right now but he gives us two puts in the retail sector that are playing out well during the crisis.

With stores tripping over themselves to offer steep holiday season discounts, their efforts were largely in vain, as many consumers simply weren’t financially able to take full advantage. Even the beast that is Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT) struggled to make much headway. As we reported yesterday, Thomson-Reuters projected a 2.8% same-store sales rise for the firm in December. But the actual results proved otherwise.

Retail stores confirmed yesterday (Thursday) what most analysts had already suspected – the Grinch stole Christmas. The huge discount programs big retailers devised to bolster sales failed to attract enough consumers to save the holiday season.

Investors are breathing a sigh of relief that 2008 is over, but they shouldn’t get too comfortable. After all, with a worldwide recession under way, investors can expect acceleration in corporate bankruptcies in 2009.

But the question is – which ones?

In the financial services sector, 2008 was a year of spectacular failures:

• Bear Stearns Cos. and Merrill Lynch & Co. Inc. were absorbed by JP Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) and Bank of America (BAC), respectively.
• Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (OTC: LEHMQ) filed for bankruptcy protection.
• And financial-sector giants American International Group Inc. (AIG) and Citigroup Inc. (C) were both bailed out a vast expense to taxpayers.

If at the start of 2008 I’d written that the entire New York investment banking business would disappear during the…

Money Morning’s William Patalon III says comments by Ben Bernanke at the end of the week show he continues to prioritise economic growth over inflation. This means no rate hikes in the near future. But despite falling commodity prices, William says the threat of stagflation is growing…

With oil trading near a three-month low (and corn now at a four-month low), U.S. Federal Reserve policymakers may have just the ammunition they need to hold the line on interest rates for the foreseeable future – or at least until their Sept. 16 policymaking meeting.

Produce Prices Up Modestly; Target Earnings Off the Mark; Coal Shortage in China; Icahn’s Yahoo Battle Gains Support; Whitney Slashes U.S. Bank Outlooks; Sacked Earnings for Saks; Merck’s Vioxx Settlement; Fed on Pause, Says Kohn.