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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; Spot gold prices</title>
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		<title>And Then There&#8217;s This&#8230;Friday, February 6th, 2009</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/and-then-theres-thisfriday-february-6th-2009/13137</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Feb 2009 20:01:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ed Steer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>For at least the last two weeks, without exception, gold has been sold off the moment that Globex trading opened in the Far East. Thursday morning was no different. From there, gold and silver didn&#8217;t do a thing until the usual 3:00 a.m. New York time, when a nice rally commenced in both metals. But if you note the Kitco gold chart carefully, there was some not-for-profit seller, selling this London rally every time it looked like it showed too much &#8216;irrational exuberance&#8217; to the upside. This happened five times during London trading. Ditto for silver. The peak in gold came about half an hour after the Comex open. From there, it got sold off until around half-past lunchtime in&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For at least the last two weeks, without exception, gold has been sold off the moment that Globex trading opened in the Far East. Thursday morning was no different. From there, gold and silver didn&#8217;t do a thing until the usual 3:00 a.m. New York time, when a nice rally commenced in both metals. But if you note the Kitco gold chart carefully, there was some not-for-profit seller, selling this London rally every time it looked like it showed too much &#8216;irrational exuberance&#8217; to the upside. This happened five times during London trading. Ditto for silver. The peak in gold came about half an hour after the Comex open. From there, it got sold off until around half-past lunchtime in New York. <span id="more-13137"></span></p>
<p>The subsequent rally into electronic trading didn&#8217;t last long. And considering the size of the rally in the precious metals on Thursday, there sure wasn&#8217;t huge volume in either.</p>
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<p>The only difference between the price action of the two metals yesterday, was that silver had its high of the day in Globex trading&#8230;after floor trading on the Comex closed. And despite the wonderful time that gold and silver prices had on Thursday, it also seemed that someone didn&#8217;t want the HUI to blast through 300&#8230;as every attempt to break out, was firmly sold down. Note specifically that the 12:30 noon rally in the gold and silver price, produced exactly the opposite reaction in the shares for about half an hour. Maybe I&#8217;m imagining things&#8230;but maybe not. Here&#8217;s the HUI from yesterday&#8230;and you can be the judge.</p>
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<p>In gold news yesterday, I noted a story posted at <em>kitco.com</em>, that gold/jewelery sales in Dubai were down 60%. Yesterday there was no change in the <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=SLV">SLV</a> ETF&#8230;but another 7.5 tonnes was added to the <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=GLD">GLD</a> ETF&#8230;which makes 23.5 tonnes in four days&#8230;about 750,000 troy ounces. That&#8217;s getting awfully close to the figure of one million ounces that Ted Butler mentioned on Monday was owed to GLD. So, if Ted was right about that, then he&#8217;s probably pretty close to mark on silver as well&#8230;where he figures that SLV is owed somewhere between 15-20 million ounces&#8230;of which only 2.5 million has showed up so far. And lastly&#8230;a couple of gold stories&#8230;the first, a story posted at <em>mineweb.com</em>, has this headline&#8230;&#8221;ETFs absorb more than $3 billion of gold so far this year.&#8221; The link to this story is further down. The second, from the <em>Financial Times</em> in London, is a story about South Africa&#8217;s gold production&#8230;and that item is linked below as well.</p>
<p>In other news&#8230;in a <em>Bloomberg</em> report yesterday &#8220;The Bank of England cut the benchmark interest rate to the lowest [now 1% - Ed] since the bank was founded in 1694 to help drag the British economy out of the deepening recession.&#8221; [Note to Bloomberg: The British Prime Minister called it a 'depression' on Wednesday! - Ed] In a story headlined &#8220;The City fears Russia&#8217;s default&#8221; filed out of Moscow at <em>en.rian.ru</em>, there is now deep concern in London that Russia will, once again, default on its foreign debts. Credit default swaps have blown out to rates higher than Iceland&#8230;1,123 basis points! That&#8217;s junk!!! And I note in another <em>Bloomberg</em> story that the once almighty <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE%3AAIG"><strong>AIG</strong></a> had their shares trade at less than $1.00 for a time yesterday. And lastly, I see that Ron Paul has re-introduced, before the U.S. House of Representatives, the bill to abolish the Fed. He doesn&#8217;t pull his punches. His accompanying speach is a quick read, and the link is <a href="http://news.goldseek.com/RonPaul/1233818100.php" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
<p>There are so many quality <strong>must read</strong> stories that are well worth your time today, that I&#8217;m just going to post the headline and the link to all of them. Then it&#8217;s up to you, dear reader, to decide which to spend time on. I feel obligated to present everything to you, as I do not wish to misinform by censoring something that might be of great interest&#8230;or importance&#8230;to you personally. We are now rapidly accelerating down the path to Armageddon&#8230;and some of these stories reveal, in depth, just how fast events are moving along. I&#8217;m not sure how much longer &#8216;the world as we know it&#8217; is going to last at this rate.</p>
<p>1)  <em>Mine Web</em> &#8211; ETFs Absorb more than $3 Billion of Gold so far this year.  Click <a href="http://www.mineweb.com/mineweb/view/mineweb/en/page33?oid=78038&amp;sn=Detail" target="_blank">here</a>.<br />
2)  <em>Bloomberg</em> &#8211; Bank of England Cut Main Rate a Half Point to 1%.  Click <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=afu0SjkxN42w&amp;refer=home" target="_blank">here</a>.<br />
3)  <em>The Telegraph</em> &#8211; ECB delays on interest rates despite German industrial slump.  Click <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/4527496/ECB-delays-on-interest-rates-despite-German-industrial-slump.html" target="_blank">here</a>.<br />
4)  <em>Bloomberg</em> &#8211; Bill Gross of Pimco says &#8220;Trillions must be spent&#8230;not billions&#8221;.  Click <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&amp;sid=a_qX29XEwEqg&amp;refer=home" target="_blank">here</a>.<br />
5)  <em>RIA Novosti</em> &#8211; The City [London] fears Russia&#8217;s Default. Click <a href="http://en.rian.ru/analysis/20090205/120003979.html" target="_blank">here</a>.<br />
6)  <em>Reuters</em> &#8211; Geithner convenes meeting of President&#8217;s Working Group&#8230;the PPT.  Click <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/americasRegulatoryNews/idUSN0536213920090205" target="_blank">here</a>.<br />
7)  <em>Financial Times</em> &#8211; South Africa: A rich country insisting on being poor. Click <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/4ac8f142-f39f-11dd-9c4b-0000779fd2ac,Authorised=false.html?_i_location=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ft.com%2Fcms%2Fs%2F0%2F4ac8f142-f39f-11dd-9c4b-0000779fd2ac.html%3Fnclick_check%3D1&amp;_i_referer=&amp;nclick_check=1" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
<p><em>The fundamentals [Britain's] are still weak, and there is still some scope for orthodox policy easing. It’s preferable to nudge [interest] rates further now, than to turn to the printing presses.</em> &#8211; Ross Walker, economist&#8230;Royal Bank of Scotland, <em>Bloomberg</em>, February 5, 2009</p>
<p>With <em>Bloomberg</em> reporting that the President&#8217;s Working Group on Financial Markets was meeting yesterday, there was no way on God&#8217;s green earth that anything bad was going to be allowed to happen. And as the <em>King Report</em> said earlier this a.m&#8230;&#8221;This is a blatant signal to the stock market, which is close to another breakdown, that the PPT stands ready, willing and able to rig the stock market if needed.&#8221; The Dow had another miracle starting about 10:00 a.m&#8230;.and gold and silver prices, and their respective equities&#8230;were kept in check. Any of the above posted stories should be screaming red flags&#8230;almost the same as front page ads in The Wall Street Journal&#8230;extolling the reasons why everyone should be buying gold and silver with both hands. Never in my wildest dreams could I have invented such positive gold and silver stories on my own.</p>
<p>Have a great weekend&#8230;and I&#8217;ll see you on Saturday sometime.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.caseyresearch.com/displayDrpArchives.php"><br />
</a></p>
<p><a href="http://www.caseyresearch.com/displayDrpArchives.php">Source: And Then There&#8217;s This&#8230;Friday, February 6th, 2009</a></p>
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		<title>Japan &#8216;08 Gold Exports Double but Retail Demand Up</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/japan-08-gold-exports-double-but-retail-demand-up/10587</link>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Dec 2008 16:25:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Japan&#8217;s gold exports have doubled this year as individual investors locked in profits after gold prices soared earlier in the year, but retail demand for bullion has been picking up steadily over the past few months. </p>
<p> Industry sources say the rise in retail demand for gold may turn Japan into a net importer again, but that may not happen immediately as many players are still looking to unload their gold holdings when prices recover. </p>
<p> Japan was a net importer of gold in October for the first time this year as investors bought on a plunge in prices, but exports exceeded imports again in November, finance ministry data showed on Friday. </p>
<p> In the eleven months to November, Japan&#8217;s exports of unwrought&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Japan&#8217;s gold exports have doubled this year as individual investors locked in profits after gold prices soared earlier in the year, but retail demand for bullion has been picking up steadily over the past few months. <span id="more-10587"></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> Industry sources say the rise in retail demand for gold may turn Japan into a net importer again, but that may not happen immediately as many players are still looking to unload their gold holdings when prices recover. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> Japan was a net importer of gold in October for the first time this year as investors bought on a plunge in prices, but exports exceeded imports again in November, finance ministry data showed on Friday. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> In the eleven months to November, Japan&#8217;s exports of unwrought solid gold, gold bars and sheet totalled 393.9 tonnes, up from 174.9 tonnes in 2007. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> In November alone, Japan exported 47 tonnes of gold, rising more than five-fold from October, while imports more than halved to 4.1 tonnes from the previous month. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> A Tokyo-based trader said the rise in exports last month may have been related to spot gold prices rebounding above $800 an ounce  after falling to near $680 in late October. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> &#8220;There were still many people who hadn&#8217;t sold,&#8221; the trader said, referring to a wave of selling after spot gold prices hit a record high of $1,030.80 an ounce in March. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> But he noted that in Japan, premiums on spot gold rose by as much as about $2 when gold prices dipped below $700, reflecting strong demand from Japanese individual investors. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> That compared with discounts deepening by as much as around  $3 when the gold market was rallying. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> The global financial turmoil has prompted many Japanese retail investors to reassess gold as a long-term investment rather than just a safe haven at times of crises, industry sources say, adding that a wider array of investors are now attracted to metal. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> Other overseas assets have lost their appeal as central banks around the world slash interest rates close to zero, wiping out huge yield differences and on the yen&#8217;s appreciation to 13-year highs against the dollar. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> &#8220;Although the principal is not guaranteed and it&#8217;s does not bear interest, gold does not fail,&#8221; said Osamu Ikeda, general manager at Tanaka Kikinzoku Kogyo, Japan&#8217;s biggest bullion retailer. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> Tanaka Kikinzoku saw a record number of new customers signed up for its online gold savings plan in November, which allowed customers to start from a purchase of a minimum of 1,000 yen worth of gold each month. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> Tanaka does not report actual volumes or value, but it said its sales of gold exceeded its purchases for the fourth month in a row in November. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> &#8220;Given the lack of a key, strong currency, the importance of gold as an alternative to the dollar has been heightening,&#8221; said Takeo Okuhara, market economist at Daiwa SB Asset Management. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> &#8220;Gold is an asset with value more than zero and is also regarded as a type of savings in times of economic deterioration,&#8221; he said. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> Some of the gold individual investors sell to bullion houses is recycled for industrial and jewellery use in Japan, but the remaining bulk is sold via Singapore and other trading centres to the rest of the world.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;">Chikako Mogi, TOKYO, Dec 26 (Reuters) </span></p>
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		<title>Dollar, Gov&#8217;t Bond Yields Sink to New Lows</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/dollar-govt-bond-yields-sink-to-new-lows/10274</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Dec 2008 22:06:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Contrarian Profits</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Dollar plunges to 13-1/2 year trough vs yen, below 88&#8230; European, U.S. government debt touch fresh historic lows&#8230; Morgan Stanley&#8217;s, PNB Paribas&#8217; losses lead stocks lower&#8230; Oil slips; OPEC&#8217;s record cut doesn&#8217;t offset demand slide </p>
<p>The dollar fell anew against the euro and yen while yields on U.S. and European government debt traded at or near historic lows on Wednesday, a day after the bold credit easing by the Federal Reserve to combat a worsening recession. </p>
<p> Oil prices dropped as much as $3 a barrel after dealers said a record supply cut by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries would not be enough to counter slumping energy demand brought on by the global economic downturn. </p>
<p> Equity markets on either side&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dollar plunges to 13-1/2 year trough vs yen, below 88&#8230; European, U.S. government debt touch fresh historic lows&#8230; Morgan Stanley&#8217;s, PNB Paribas&#8217; losses lead stocks lower&#8230; Oil slips; OPEC&#8217;s record cut doesn&#8217;t offset demand slide <span id="more-10274"></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;">The dollar fell anew against the euro and yen while yields on U.S. and European government debt traded at or near historic lows on Wednesday, a day after the bold credit easing by the Federal Reserve to combat a worsening recession. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> Oil prices dropped as much as $3 a barrel after dealers said a record supply cut by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries would not be enough to counter slumping energy demand brought on by the global economic downturn. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> Equity markets on either side of the Atlantic slid as the initial enthusiasm over the Fed&#8217;s surprisingly aggressive interest rate cut on Tuesday gave way to weak financial results at key banks and European data reinforced a dismal outlook. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> Despite yields already at historic lows, investors piled into debt. Short-term government bonds still offer a safe-haven for investors fearful that a deepening recession will lead to further losses in other assets. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> The yield on 30-year U.S. government bonds  led a rally in the United States, touching a series of record lows to yield as little as 2.58 percent. Yields move in the opposite direction of bond prices. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> &#8220;We are trading in no man&#8217;s land and expect this will continue into year-end,&#8221; said Thomas di Galoma, head of government trading at Jefferies &amp; Co. in New York. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note  was up  36/32 in price to yield 2.14 percent. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> Two-year German government bond yields hit their lowest level since the euro zone was created, with the two-year Schatz hitting 1.842 percent , according to Reuters data. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> It was the lowest level since the rate-sensitive Schatz was  launched in 1991. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> The Fed&#8217;s surprisedly large cut further eroded the U.S. currency&#8217;s appeal against the euro, which has gained a staggering 11 percent so far during the month. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> The dollar hit a fresh 2-1/2 month low versus the euro and fell towards a recent 13-year low against the yen, in a plunge that stoked speculation Japanese authorities may intervene to rein in its climb, which is hurting the nation&#8217;s exporters. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> &#8220;The underlying story in the FX market remains yield. The fact that the Fed made this major policy move yesterday really changed the balance of power towards the euro for the time being,&#8221; said Boris Schlossberg, director of currency research at GFT Forex in New York. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> The dollar fell against a basket of major currencies, with the U.S. Dollar Index off 1.48 percent at 79.011. Against the yen, the dollar  fell 1.21 percent at 87.85. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> The euro  rose 1.65 percent at $1.4331. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> U.S. and European stocks fell. Morgan Stanley  shares slid after reporting a worse-than-expected $2.2 billion quarterly loss as the credit crisis caused more write-downs. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=EPA%3ABNP">BNP Paribas</a> revealed an 11-month loss at its investment banking unit, hit by exposure to an alleged fraud by U.S. financier Bernard Madoff. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> &#8220;Weaker company data are back in focus,&#8221; said Heinz-Gerd  Sonnenschein, equity strategist at Postbank in Bonn, Germany. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> &#8220;The news about BNP is the main trigger regarding European banks, while Morgan Stanley&#8217;s results only seem to seem to have a marginal impact,&#8221; he added. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> <a href="http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ%3AAAPL">Apple Inc </a> was a major weight on the Nasdaq after the iPod maker said Chief Executive Steve Jobs will not deliver the keynote address at the Macworld trade show next month, reviving concern about his health. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> Apple&#8217;s shares tumbled about 7 percent. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> Sal Arnuk, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey, said investors were initially enthused after the Fed&#8217;s moves on Tuesday made it clear it would do whatever it takes to get the U.S. economy back on track. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> &#8220;This morning we awaken with a hangover and the realization  of how many bullets do they have left?&#8221; Arnuk said. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> Before 1 p.m., the Dow Jones industrial average was off 41.50 points, or 0.47 percent, at 8,882.64. The Standard &amp; Poor&#8217;s 500 Index was down 3.55 points, or 0.39 percent, at 909.63. The Nasdaq Composite Index was down 6.67 points, or 0.42 percent, at 1,583.22. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> The FTSEurofirst 300 index of top European shares  closed down 0.76 percent at 828.53 points. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> OPEC announced an agreement to cut 2.2 million barrels per day of output starting Jan. 1 &#8212; the biggest single reduction on record &#8212; adding to previous cuts of 2 million barrels since September. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> U.S. light sweet crude oil  fell $2.36 percent to  $41.24 a barrel. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> Spot gold prices  rose $8.00 to $864.70 an ounce. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> Asian stocks rose overnight, supported by sectors sensitive to interest rates in anticipation regional policy-makers will take more aggressive steps to support growth after the Federal Reserve&#8217;s easing on Tuesday. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: x-small; font-family: arial,helvetica;"> The MSCI index of Asian-Pacific stocks outside Japan rose 2.3 percent to the highest since Nov. 11. But Japan&#8217;s Nikkei share averagE shed early gains to end down 0.5 percent as the yen&#8217;s strength walloped exporters.</span></p>
<p>Herbert Lash<br />
NEW YORK, Dec 17 (Reuters)</p>
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