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		<title>Using a Put Selling Strategy: A Step-By-Step Lesson On Selling Options</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/using-a-put-selling-strategy-a-step-by-step-lesson-on-selling-options/18497</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/using-a-put-selling-strategy-a-step-by-step-lesson-on-selling-options/18497#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 29 Jun 2009 22:00:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lee Lowell</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Buying Stock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lee Lowell]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MSFT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Share Costs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock market analysis]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=18497</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Let’s say you’ve been interested in buying Microsoft stock and you feel $20 is a good price to pick up some shares. It currently trades at $23.50 per share, so you’ll need it to fall in price a bit before getting filled on the trade. Most stock traders would just put in a “limit buy” order to buy the stock if/when Microsoft falls down to $20 per share. But there’s no guarantee that Microsoft will ever fall to $20 per share, and there’s no one paying this stock trader upfront for his time while they wait to buy Microsoft (NASDAQ:<a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=Microsoft">MSFT</a>) at $20…</p>
<p>That is unless you’re using a put selling strategy…</p>
<p>As an option trader, you can take the transaction one step&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Let’s say you’ve been interested in buying Microsoft stock and you feel $20 is a good price to pick up some shares. It currently trades at $23.50 per share, so you’ll need it to fall in price a bit before getting filled on the trade. Most stock traders would just put in a “limit buy” order to buy the stock if/when Microsoft falls down to $20 per share. But there’s no guarantee that Microsoft will ever fall to $20 per share, and there’s no one paying this stock trader upfront for his time while they wait to buy Microsoft (NASDAQ:<a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=Microsoft">MSFT</a>) at $20…<span id="more-18497"></span></p>
<p>That is unless you’re using a put selling strategy…</p>
<p>As an option trader, you can take the transaction one step further by selling a Microsoft $20 put option contract &#8211; you’ll receive the going rate for that option and receive instant income.</p>
<p>I recently showed <em><a href="http://www.investmentu.com/"  class="alinks_links" onclick="return alinks_click(this);" title=""  style="padding-right: 13px; background: url(http://www.contrarianprofits.com/wp-content/plugins/alinks/images/external.png) center right no-repeat;" rel="external">Investment U</a></em> readers some of the ins and outs of put options &#8211; you can read all about them, but right now I’m going to show you how to profit from a real life example of selling puts options.</p>
<p><strong>Selling Naked Put Options &#8211; Strike Prices &amp; Option Chains </strong></p>
<p>When <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2009/June/selling-naked-put-options.html" target="_blank">selling naked put options</a>, it can be hard to grasp how the strike prices and contract prices work together until you understand what an option price list &#8211; or option chain &#8211; looks like.</p>
<p>Take a look at Microsoft’s option chain below:</p>
<p><img src="http://www.investmentu.com/images/iu062909chart.gif" alt="Put Selling - Understanding What an Option Chain Looks Like" width="387" height="266" /></p>
<p>Chart: <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/images/iu062909chart.gif" target="_blank">http://www.investmentu.com/images/iu062909chart.gif</a></p>
<p>This is a typical option chain for Microsoft options that expire in January 2010.</p>
<ul>
<li>The strike prices are listed in the column in black. Since we’re interested in the $20 strike price, we look at the JAN10 20.00 line.</li>
<li>Scan over to the “bid” column that shows how much you can receive for selling that $20 put option contract. The bid column shows $1.30 as the price. This translates into $130 you will receive for every $20 put option contract you sell because all prices are in listed in per share costs. And an option contract controls 100 shares of stock.</li>
<li>For a typical 1,000 share stock trade, you can sell 10 put option contracts and instantly receive $1,300 in your account, no questions asked.</li>
</ul>
<p>This is money for you to use anyway you see fit. No matter what happens, this money is yours.</p>
<p>In exchange for selling those 10 put option contracts and receiving your instant $1,300, you are obligating yourself to buy 1,000 shares of Microsoft at a price of $20 per share until the expiration day in January 2010.</p>
<p>At this point, you know ahead of time that you will be obligating yourself to buy 1,000 shares of Microsoft at $20 per share, for a total investment of $20,000.</p>
<p>Not only do you get to collect $1300 upfront just for placing the option trade, but you’re also giving yourself a chance to buy a stock that you want to own, at the price you want.</p>
<p>How great is that?</p>
<p>As long as you know this potential future transaction is within your financial means and trading plan, then it is a win-win situation for you.</p>
<p><strong>When Selling Options, What Happens On Options Expiration Day?</strong></p>
<p>So, when <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2008/November/put-option-selling.html" target="_blank">selling put options</a> or any options, people often ask what happens when options reach their expiration date?</p>
<p>Only two things can occur at expiration &#8211; either the price of the stock is above the chosen strike price or it’s below.</p>
<ul>
<li>If the stock finishes above the strike price, then the trade is over and the option expires worthless. The option buyer walks away with nothing while the option seller gets to keep the upfront cash with no further obligations.</li>
<li>If the stock finishes below the strike price at option expiration, the option buyer will “exercise” his right to the contract and you will be required to fulfill your end of the agreement &#8211; which means you end up having to buy a stock you wanted at the price you wanted.</li>
</ul>
<p>Sounds pretty good to me. And all the while you still get to keep the upfront cash.</p>
<p>So in the case of our Microsoft example above…</p>
<ul>
<li>If Microsoft closes below $20 in January 2010, you will be obligated to purchase your 1,000 shares at $20 each. With the $130 received upfront for each option contract, this essentially reduces your cost basis to $18.70 per share once the transaction is complete. Not bad.</li>
<li>If Microsoft closes above $20 at January 2010 expiration, the trade is over and the option expires worthless. You keep the $1,300 and are free to repeat the process again for another expiration period. This is the key to income generation.</li>
</ul>
<p>As I mentioned in my article about selling naked put options article that up to 90% of option contracts will expire worthless, leaving you with the upfront cash payment.</p>
<p>After implementing this strategy for a while, you will come to see that most of the trades will expire and you’ll keep padding your account with instant income.</p>
<p><strong>Using a Put Selling Strategy &#8211; Six Tips to Selling Options</strong></p>
<p>A few guidelines to keep in mind when selling naked put options:</p>
<ul>
<li>Only sell put options on stocks you want to own. Do not use this <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2006/20060710.html" target="_blank">options trading strategy</a> on high flyers just to receive the upfront income.</li>
<li>Only sell enough contracts to stay within your comfort zone. If you normally trade in 500-share blocks, then only sell five option contracts.</li>
<li>If you are uncomfortable at anytime during the trade, or do not wish to own the stock at the strike price you’ve chosen, then you can unwind the trade at any point. All you have to do is buy back the put options you’ve sold.</li>
<li>The option price will fluctuate during the course of the trade. It may get cheaper or more expensive while you hold it. The bottom line is &#8211; you’ll either get to buy the stock at expiration or the option will expire with no value.</li>
<li>You will need to have an approved “option trading account” with your broker. This needs to be set up before making these transactions.</li>
<li>You’ll always know ahead of time what your potential total outlay will be if obligated to buy the shares. No surprise endings.</li>
</ul>
<p>That’s all there is to selling put options. It’s easy, simple and much safer than most investors imagine if you just stick to my six tips above.</p>
<p><strong>Using Put Options With The Instant Money Trader </strong></p>
<p>These are the profitable types of trades we execute in <em><a href="http://www.oxfonline.com/IMT/IMT0609.html?pub=IMT&amp;code=NIMTK601" target="_blank">The Instant Money Trader</a></em> service.</p>
<p>In fact, since launching in November 2008, we’ve had a 100% win streak, meaning all the options have expired worthless, allowing us to bank all the money paid to us upfront from the option buyers.</p>
<p>Although we concentrate on selling put options on high quality stocks within the Dow Industrials and S&amp;P 500 that we’d be more than happy to own, we’ve yet to have to fulfill our obligation and purchase them.</p>
<p>This is mostly because we sell the put options that have the high percentage of expiring worthless. It’s fine with us, as we’ll gladly keep accepting all the instant money we get from these transactions.</p>
<p>We’re able to pick quality stocks that are paying good money to us, all the while knowing that we’ll either take possession of these great stocks or repeat the process for the next month.</p>
<p>Good investing,</p>
<p>Lee Lowell</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2009/June/put-selling-strategy.html"><br />
</a></p>
<p style="text-align: left;"><a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2009/June/put-selling-strategy.html">Source: Using a Put Selling Strategy: A Step-By-Step Lesson On Selling Options</a></p>
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		<title>The Perverse Logic Of Market Bottoms</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/the-perverse-logic-of-market-bottoms/9888</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/the-perverse-logic-of-market-bottoms/9888#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Dec 2008 14:18:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Justice Litle</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bottom fishing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Justice Litle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market bottom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock market analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US Jobless Rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US stocks]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[<p>I got another small surprise Monday night, browsing the  major indexes. </p>
<p align="center"></p>
<p>As you can see from the chart above, the S&#38;P 500 has  broken the accelerated downtrend it’s been in since September. </p>
<p>Now, it’s true that this chart is only current as of  Monday’s close. I’m writing you these words early Tuesday morning before  hopping on a plane. </p>
<p>Perhaps while I’m up in the air at 35,000 feet, Treasury  Secretary Paulson will say or do something alarmingly idiotic and help stocks  return to form. </p>
<p>But if not, just imagine! The very idea that stocks don’t  always go down and down&#8230; who’d have thunk it?</p>
<p><strong>Whisper it Quietly</strong></p>
<p>Okay, that was a wee bit of sarcasm (in case you hadn’t  noticed). </p>
<p>If I&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">I got another small surprise Monday night, browsing the  major indexes. </span></p>
<p align="center"><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;"><img class="alignleft" src="http://www.taipanpublishinggroup.com/images/web/taipandaily/20081210tdimg.jpg" alt="$SPX (S&amp;P 500 Large Cap Index)" width="400" height="344" /></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">As you can see from the chart above, the S&amp;P 500 has  broken the accelerated downtrend it’s been in since September. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">Now, it’s true that this chart is only current as of  Monday’s close. I’m writing you these words early Tuesday morning before  hopping on a plane. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">Perhaps while I’m up in the air at 35,000 feet, Treasury  Secretary Paulson will say or do something alarmingly idiotic and help stocks  return to form. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">But if not, just imagine! The very idea that stocks don’t  always go down and down&#8230; who’d have thunk it?</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;"><strong>Whisper it Quietly</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">Okay, that was a wee bit of sarcasm (in case you hadn’t  noticed). </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">If I felt like <em>really </em>pushing  my luck though – being out of pocket for Tuesday’s market action and all – I  could point out that the upmove from 750 to just under 910 on the S&amp;P is a  greater than 20% advance&#8230; and thus technically constitutes a new bull market. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">Not that it’s time to go around shouting <em>new bull market! </em>That would be insane,  and worse still not very helpful in terms of making money. Plus, with the  volatility levels we’ve seen, 20% just doesn’t carry the same heft that it used  to. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">Wholly artificial and backward-looking labels aside, it’s  eye-opening to note the backdrop against which stocks chose to rise these past  few days. Just consider what the beleaguered bulls had to deal with: </span></p>
<ul>
<li><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;"> We got word of the ugliest jobs  report since 1974 – 533,000 jobs lost – with gloomier-than-thou pundits falling  all over themselves to point out why the report was actually even <em>worse </em>than it seemed. </span></li>
<li><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;"> Treasury bond yields effectively  hit <em>zero</em> as panicked investors parked  their last slugs of cash with Uncle Sam. On Friday the U.S. Treasury  three-month T-bill yield fell to <em>0.01  percent</em>. </span></li>
<li><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;"> Credit spreads on  investment-grade bonds versus treasuries – a measure of what it costs for  companies to borrow money – widened to super-panic  levels last week, as the below <em>FT</em> chart shows.</span></li>
</ul>
<p align="center"><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;"><img class="alignleft" src="http://www.taipanpublishinggroup.com/images/web/taipandaily/20081210tdimg2.jpg" alt="U.S. Debt Markets" width="400" height="296" /></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">In spite of that awful trifecta, stocks managed to put in a  rather impressive reversal Friday&#8230; then powered higher again on Monday with  news of the Obama infrastructure plan.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">If Mr. Market has been fighting off a fever, we may have  just seen that fever finally break. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;"><strong>When Yes Means No and  No Means Yes (Maybe)</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">Does this mean that stocks have bottomed? Or, at the very  least, that it’s time to again take a harder look at long-side opportunities,  from both a trading and investing perspective? </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">To be honest, I’d rather prefer you <em>didn’t</em> believe that. Well, okay, maybe not <em>you</em>. But as for the investing public at large – we’re better off  without their agreement at this point. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">I should probably explain&#8230;</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">In order for stocks to bottom, we need to see maximum  pessimism. It needs to be thoroughly common knowledge just how bad things are,  with everyone and their brother fully aware that things are “only going to get  worse.” </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">This reality is precisely what makes it so hard to buy near  the actual bottom. By the time the market gets there, positive sentiment is all  but washed out. At the bottom, the true believers have all been converted to  cynics.</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">This ironic sliver of market reality creates a paradox. If  you were to go around taking a survey of investors asking, “Is this the  bottom?”, the results of the survey would have inverse value. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">The more investors who responded to your ad hoc survey with  a firm “NO” – or better yet with a “what are you, crazy?” – the greater the  odds would be of a bottom having been reached. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">Hardly anyone trusts the first ascent from the pit. Everyone  is half-waiting for the whole thing to break again. Coincidentally, that’s why  professional traders and investors tend to get the best prices&#8230; they’re the  ones who can steel themselves against queasiness and uncertainty when the odds  tell them to act.<br />
</span></p>
<div>
<div style="border: 1px solid #debe7c; padding: 4px; background: #f2ead7 none repeat scroll 0% 0%; width: 490px; text-align: left;">
<div style="text-align:left;padding:10px;border:1px solid #DEBE7C;background:#F2EAD7"><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;"><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;"><strong>Predatory Trading Formula Preys on Falling Stocks for 170 Winning Trades! </strong></span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;"><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;"> </span></span></p>
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</div>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;"><br />
</span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;"><strong>Bottoms Aren’t the  Point</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">At this point I have to share a confession with you. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">In spite of what the thrust of today’s piece might imply, I <em>don’t really care</em> whether the market has  bottomed or not. And you probably shouldn’t either. Here’s why. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;"><span style="text-decoration: underline;">If you are a trader</span>, you act based on odds and  probabilities (or at least you should). Solid trades, like solid poker hands,  are all about getting a handle on odds and reward to risk. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">If the reward to risk is right – if the probability and the  setup is right – then you take the trade. If not, then you don’t. Trading gains  are accumulated over time in this fashion – with large wins overpowering small  losses – just as pro poker players accumulate their winnings over an extended  series of hands. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;"><span style="text-decoration: underline;">If you are an investor</span>, you act based on valuations  and long-term assessments of what companies are worth. Like Warren Buffett, you  may not “time” things, but you do “price” things. A skilled investor has the  habit of looking at a stock quote and seeing the actual value of the business  behind it. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">For sharp investors the question is less “How much are the  shares really worth” and more “How much is the <em>business</em> really worth?” How good a shape is the business in? What  kind of cash flows does it have? What kind of long-term potential does it hold?  If I could get the financing and the go-ahead to buy this company outright and  run it myself, would I want to do it? </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">Some of you are traders, some of you are investors, and some  of you (like yours truly) have a consuming passion for both. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">Either way, if you’re really focused on your process – on  using all the tools you have available to make money – then picking “the”  bottom doesn’t matter so much. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;"><strong>Why Talk About This  Stuff At All Then? </strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;"><em>Okay</em>, some of you  may be wondering now, <em>if calling the  bottom isn’t all that meaningful for the trading and investing process, why  talk about bottoms then? </em></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">The reason to talk about this kind of thing is because there <em>is </em>real value (in your editor’s  humble opinion) in analyzing the tone and tenor of market action. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">It’s useful to get a handle on how the market is acting,  just as it’s useful for a doctor to have means of checking the symptoms and  vital signs in a patient. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">The key differential comes down to purpose – it depends on  what you <em>do</em> with the information you  collect, and what your mindset is in collecting it in the first place. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">Following market action with the goal of saying “I called  such and such a move,” or to win an argument or bolster a pre-existing opinion,  is one thing. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">Dissecting market action with a cool, dispassionate eye –  looking to inform the choices you make with a better sense of odds and  probabilities – is quite another. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;"><strong>A Possible Inflection  Point</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">What we’ve seen in the past few days, I believe, is a  possible inflection point&#8230; a point in the cycle at which the news got about  as bad as it could get, with credit spreads on investment-grade debt about as  wide as they could be&#8230; and yet stocks shot up anyway. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">I think, too, that we just might be in the midst of a <em>psychological </em>inflection point here. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 14px; text-align: left; font-family: Verdana;">After an extended nightmare of government dolts who screwed  up at every turn, and banks that blew up every time a Wall Street CEO turned  around, we are finally starting to get a handle on what <em>tomorrow </em>might look like. </span></p>
<p>Source: <a href="http://www.taipanpublishinggroup.com/Taipan-Daily-121008.html">Source: The Perverse Logic of Market Bottoms</a></p>
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		<title>A Simple Formula To Make Your Portfolio Work For You</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/a-simple-formula-to-make-your-portfolio-work-for-you/8292</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/a-simple-formula-to-make-your-portfolio-work-for-you/8292#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Nov 2008 16:33:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Steve McDonald</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[balance portfolio]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bear market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bond Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investing in bonds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[investing in stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[long-term investment strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steve McDonald]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stock market analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Us Inflation Rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US stocks]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=8292</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Chasing market moves is the worst way to invest, says <strong>Steve McDonald</strong>. And piling everything into one asset class will not work either. Over time, you will always make more money with a balanced portfolio. That means a suitable combination of stocks and bonds. Steve comes up with a simple formula to find a portfolio split that works specifically for you.</p>
<p>This from Investor&#8217;s Daily Edge:</p>
<blockquote><p>Reacting to market moves guarantees you will be on the losing end of the equation. Jumping in and out of investments as the market swings up and down is the absolute worst way to invest. It amounts to market timing with a broken clock.</p>
<p>Sometime around the late eighties, a real brain found a way to quantify&#8230;</p></blockquote>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Chasing market moves is the worst way to invest, says <strong>Steve McDonald</strong>. And piling everything into one asset class will not work either. Over time, you will always make more money with a balanced portfolio. That means a suitable combination of stocks and bonds. Steve comes up with a simple formula to find a portfolio split that works specifically for you.<span id="more-8292"></span></p>
<p>This from Investor&#8217;s Daily Edge:</p>
<blockquote><p>Reacting to market moves guarantees you will be on the losing end of the equation. Jumping in and out of investments as the market swings up and down is the absolute worst way to invest. It amounts to market timing with a broken clock.</p>
<p>Sometime around the late eighties, a real brain found a way to quantify what we in the investment business had been recommending for many years, a balanced portfolio. He called it asset allocation.</p>
<p>What asset allocation did for investors is to prove, once and for all, that investing over many asset classes, and leaving it alone, will make more money than putting all your eggs in one basket, or trying to time the market.</p>
<p>Essentially, a balanced portfolio, or asset allocation, means you don’t have all your money in one asset class. You spread it around over stocks, bonds, gold, cash, etc.</p>
<p>How much you put in each  category is directly related to your age or your ability to assume risk, which  goes down as you age.</p>
<p>In my experience, investors  usually ignore this advice. <strong>The urge to get rich quickly is too great</strong>.  But, the fact remains; you will make <span style="text-decoration: underline;">more</span> money if you spread your risk  around.</p>
<p>The market’s insanity over the past year was driving many investors to gold and cash, or money markets. People who would never have considered gold were pouring money into it. All they were doing was shifting the risk from equities to another investment class. And now that gold has fallen over 20 percent in the last four months, they have jumped off that ship too.  This is not a solution. This is another problem waiting to happen.</p>
<p>This type of activity is called, “detaching from fundamentals.” Everyone has forgotten everything we know about the markets and has just started following the noise of the herd in front of them.</p>
<p>In the ongoing destruction of the capital markets, no haven is safe. Gold&#8230; down. Blue chips&#8230; down. Utilities&#8230; down. Consumer staples&#8230; down. Cash? Well, maybe for a little while, but we all know the dollar is doomed.</p>
<p>As the markets recover, and they will, the same investors will run back into stocks long after they have been fully priced. Essentially, people are throwing money at the back of the money train. Too late!</p>
<p>As I pound the desk every week pushing you to look at bonds, it is with the assumption that you are using a balanced approach. That is, you have the appropriate percentage of stocks to bonds for your age.</p>
<p>The formula is very simple, the discipline and patience to make it work is not. Subtract your age from 100. The remainder is what you should have in stock; the balance should be in bonds, or other low risk investments. As you get older, the percentage in bonds should increase, a lot.</p>
<p>Here’s the problem. The get-rich-quick urge kicks in for just about everyone and no one is able to see beyond the end of his or her nose. The best advice available is thrown out the window and time horizons are about six days.</p>
<p>The reverse is also true. You can never have all your money in bonds. As the market churns out the timid it may seem plausible to think, “I will never invest in stocks again.”&#8230;</p>
<p><strong>I will  never recommend a portfolio invested entirely in bonds</strong>.</p>
<p>From an inflation  standpoint, it is not recommended, but that’s another article.</p>
<p>Go back over your accounts for the past few years. I guarantee if you work a reasonable return for an appropriate percentage of bonds into the problem, you would have made more money in a balanced approach than in the get rich quick method.</p>
<p>If nothing else, bonds will give you a steady return on a portion of your portfolio when the markets are flat or down, which is most of the time. This investing thing is as much about finesse as information. Patience plays a big part in it as well.</p>
<p>While the markets spin their wheels, take a step back and evaluate what and how you have been doing things for the past few years. From here, it can only get better.</p>
<p>Keep your powder dry.</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.investorsdailyedge.com/default.aspx">Source: A Balanced Approach</a></p>
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