Ford and Toyota Sales Crash; Triple Airline Merger in Talks; GE Ponders Job Cuts; Sears Closing Stores; Oil Prices Hit 3-year Low; Discover Says More Credit-card Write-offs Likely

Perhaps I am being too optimistic, but I think the government bailout of the Detroit 3 is a foregone conclusion. In the interest of the entire country and the national economy, the government simply can’t let the automakers fail. There is no denying the business model is broken, but hopefully steps will be taken to change that.

The UAW holds the key to the success of the U.S. auto industry. The recent Senate hearing with the CEOs of the big three car manufacturers was better than most sitcoms. The CEOs were unable to answer questions about how they plan to pay back the loans, or just avoided the question, or how long the loans would keep them afloat, or how they would change their business models to avoid asking the taxpayers to bail them out again. It went on and on.

“Airshow China,” the huge aerospace trade show that’s known officially as the “China International Aviation and Aerospace Exhibition,” ended Sunday in the southern-coast city of Zhuhai. It was the seventh time the event has been held.

American optimism at all-time low, 2009 recession imminent… Fannie and Freddie to the rescue? Chris Mayer with good news for oil investors. Another day, another double-digit decline… Russian market, currency plummeting. Pat Cox with a “huge” breakthrough medical tech about to become reality. Have we hit a nerve? The automaker debate rages on in The 5’s inbox

Another stimulus check should be coming our way as the market keeps falling.

If it doesn’t happen as one of the final acts of the Bush administration, it will happen as one of the first acts of the Obama one.

The question is, will it help the fast-falling auto industry?

It’ll help retailers. The overwhelming evidence is that the last round of stimulus checks helped pick up consumer spending in the second and third quarters.

But big-ticket retailers like auto dealers play in another sandbox entirely. Unless these checks have a couple of more zero’s than the previous ones, the auto industry’s fate is tied to getting another $25-billion loan package from the government.

The auto industry needs it. And from Obama’s latest statements, it…

South Korea Plans $10.8 billion Stimulus; KKR IPO Delayed Again; DryShips Posts 71% Profit Growth; Oil Slides Below $64; Manufacturing Hits 26-year Low; Viacom Profit Down 37%; Cars Sales Plummet

The recent devastation in global stock markets makes US bears look relatively cuddly. Japan’s Nikkei index is hitting 26-year lows. And the resurgent Yen is creating even more problems for Japanese exporters. Andrew Snyder says companies like Sony (NYSE:SNE) and Toyota (NYSE:TM) face a very difficult period ahead.

Shares of Ford Motor Co. (F) and General Motors Corp. (GM) posted gains yesterday (Tuesday) on speculation that consolidation in the U.S. domestic auto industry could be the struggling sector’s saving grace.Over the last three trading sessions, Ford shares are up almost 18%, while GM shares are up over 37% on reports of possible merger talks and asset sales.

Eli Outbids Bristol; Carmax Crashes; IBM Could Miss Estimates; Micron’s Loss; Cereal’s Sugar High; Canada Drives Toyota