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	<title>Contrarian Stock Market Investing News - Featuring Bargain Stocks &#187; TRID</title>
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		<title>How to Take the Guesswork Out of Valuing Stocks</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/how-to-take-the-guesswork-out-of-valuing-stocks/20160</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianprofits.com/articles/how-to-take-the-guesswork-out-of-valuing-stocks/20160#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 26 Aug 2009 21:30:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Louis Basenese</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Stock Market Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CYNO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Louis Basenese]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TRID]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Warren Buffett]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianprofits.com/?p=20160</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>I don’t care what investing legend you idolize and try to emulate – Buffett, Graham, Rogers, Lynch – they all share a common recommendation.</p>
<p>Always buy undervalued stocks and sell them when they’re overvalued. Or more commonly: “Buy low, sell high.” Of course, if you’ve invested for more than a week, you know this is easier said than done.</p>
<p>Undervalued (cheap) and overvalued (expensive) are such subjective measures when it comes to investing. Most times we end up guessing and most times we end up overpaying.</p>
<p>But today, let me show you one amazingly simple way to  always buy stocks that are truly cheap…</p>
<p><strong>Why  America’s Most Successful Investors Buy “Low-Density” Stocks</strong></p>
<p>All you have to do in order to <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2008/December/investing-like-warren-buffett.html" target="_blank">invest like Warren Buffett</a>, or&#8230;</p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I don’t care what investing legend you idolize and try to emulate – Buffett, Graham, Rogers, Lynch – they all share a common recommendation.<span id="more-20160"></span></p>
<p>Always buy undervalued stocks and sell them when they’re overvalued. Or more commonly: “Buy low, sell high.” Of course, if you’ve invested for more than a week, you know this is easier said than done.</p>
<p>Undervalued (cheap) and overvalued (expensive) are such subjective measures when it comes to investing. Most times we end up guessing and most times we end up overpaying.</p>
<p>But today, let me show you one amazingly simple way to  always buy stocks that are truly cheap…</p>
<p><strong>Why  America’s Most Successful Investors Buy “Low-Density” Stocks</strong></p>
<p>All you have to do in order to <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2008/December/investing-like-warren-buffett.html" target="_blank">invest like Warren Buffett</a>, or any of America’s most successful investors – and rack up easy double-digit gains – is to buy what I call “low-density” stocks.</p>
<p>I define density like this: The value the market assigns to  the cash that a company has in the bank.</p>
<ul type="disc">
<li>A high-density ratio: Means the market overvalues the cash.</li>
<li>A low-density ratio: Means the market undervalues the cash.</li>
</ul>
<p>The reason I focus on cash is straightforward: It’s the most tangible, liquid asset – and the easiest to value. After all, $1 is worth $1, so it’s easy to tell when you’re overpaying or getting a discount.</p>
<p>Let me use an example to make this concept crystal clear…</p>
<ul type="disc">
<li>Company       XYZ trades for $1 per share and has $1 per share in cash (total cash       divided by shares outstanding).</li>
<li>To calculate the density ratio, we simply divide the price per share by the cash per share. In this case, the result is 1.</li>
</ul>
<p>Here’s the thing, though: A one-to-one ratio is uncommon.</p>
<p>Most of the time, you’ll have to pay a premium for a company’s cash. Right now, for example, the density ratios for more than 480 companies in the S&amp;P 500 are higher than 1, meaning you’ll pay more for these shares than they’re worth in cash.</p>
<p>But it’s even rarer to find a stock trading at a density  ratio below 1.</p>
<p><strong>Density Ratio Below 1 = Cheap Stock &amp; Massive Gains</strong></p>
<p>A density ratio below 1 means a stock could be worth $10 in cash, yet it trades for $7.50. Or it’s worth $1 and trades for 75 cents, etc.</p>
<p>And rest assured, whenever America’s best investors can buy $1 for 75 cents or less, they do. And you should, too. That’s because these discounts, understandably, don’t last for long.</p>
<p>Just take a look at <strong>Cynosure, Inc.</strong> (Nasdaq: <a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=CYNO" target="_blank">CYNO</a>). It traded at a density of roughly 0.70 for about a month this year. Once investors woke up to the bargain on offer, shares surged 138% higher.</p>
<p>There’s another low-density stock up for grabs at the  moment, too…</p>
<p><strong>Buy  This “Low-Density” Stock Today</strong></p>
<p>If you want to put my low-density strategy to work today,  consider <strong>Trident Microsystems, Inc.</strong> (Nasdaq: <a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=TRID" target="_blank">TRID</a>), which makes specialized  semiconductors used in flat panel televisions.</p>
<ul>
<li>With zero debt, $2.87 per share in cash, and a market price  of $1.90, it trades at a density ratio of 0.66.</li>
<li>In other words, when you buy  Trident, you’re buying $1 for 66 cents.</li>
</ul>
<p>Incidentally, such a steep discount also makes Trident a  prime <a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2009/May/takeover-targets.html" target="_blank">takeover target</a>. And with $2.21 billion in cash, <strong>Broadcom Corp.</strong> (Nasdaq: <a href="http://www.google.com/finance?q=BRCM" target="_blank">BRCM</a>) could easily  afford the $125 million market cap Trident.</p>
<p>But, even if Broadcom doesn’t pounce on the opportunity,  history dictates that other investors will.</p>
<p>Based on its low-density ratio, Trident needs to rebound 51%  to return to a density ratio of 1.</p>
<p>I recommend you capitalize on this truly cheap stock before  it’s too late.</p>
<p>Good investing,</p>
<p>Louis Basenese</p>
<p><a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2009/August/buying-low-density-stocks.html"><br />
</a></p>
<p><a href="http://www.investmentu.com/IUEL/2009/August/buying-low-density-stocks.html">Source: How to Take the Guesswork Out of Valuing Stocks</a></p>
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